Carlyle Group Inc
NASDAQ:CG
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CG stock under the Base Case scenario is 44.18 USD. Compared to the current market price of 50.03 USD, Carlyle Group Inc is Overvalued by 12%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Carlyle Group Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Carlyle Group Inc. is a global investment firm with a rich history and a significant footprint in the private equity, real assets, and credit markets. Founded in 1987, Carlyle has grown from a small startup into one of the largest and most prestigious alternative asset managers in the world, managing over $300 billion in assets across multiple sectors and geographies. The firm takes a hands-on approach to investing, leveraging deep industry expertise and a vast network of relationships to drive value in its portfolio companies. With a commitment to disciplined investment strategies and risk management, Carlyle is well-positioned to capitalize on opportunities across diverse economic environm...
Carlyle Group Inc. is a global investment firm with a rich history and a significant footprint in the private equity, real assets, and credit markets. Founded in 1987, Carlyle has grown from a small startup into one of the largest and most prestigious alternative asset managers in the world, managing over $300 billion in assets across multiple sectors and geographies. The firm takes a hands-on approach to investing, leveraging deep industry expertise and a vast network of relationships to drive value in its portfolio companies. With a commitment to disciplined investment strategies and risk management, Carlyle is well-positioned to capitalize on opportunities across diverse economic environments, making it an attractive choice for investors seeking a blend of growth and stability.
For investors, Carlyle's diversified investment strategy is a key selling point. The company focuses not only on private equity investments but also on real estate and global credit management, allowing it to navigate different market cycles effectively. Carlyle's strong track record of generating robust returns and a disciplined approach to capital allocation have garnered trust from institutional investors and high-net-worth clients alike. Furthermore, the firm embraces transparency and sustainability, aligning its interests with those of its investors while pursuing long-term value creation. As the demand for alternative investments continues to rise, Carlyle Group Inc. stands out as a resilient player with the experience and expertise to thrive in a competitive landscape, making it a compelling prospect for savvy investors looking to diversify their portfolios.
Carlyle Group Inc. is a global investment firm that manages a diverse range of investment vehicles. Its core business segments can be categorized as follows:
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Global Private Equity: This segment focuses on investing in and managing equity in private companies across various industries. Carlyle's private equity team seeks to drive value creation through operational improvements, strategic growth, and a disciplined investment approach.
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Global Credit: Carlyle operates this segment by providing a range of credit products, including private credit and structured credit. The firm invests in corporate debt, distressed assets, and other credit opportunities, often focusing on providing companies with financing solutions.
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Investment Solutions: This area encompasses Carlyle's multi-asset class investment solutions, such as fund of funds, co-investments, and customized investment strategies for institutional clients. It leverages Carlyle’s investment expertise across various asset classes to deliver tailored investment solutions.
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Real Assets: Carlyle invests in real estate and other tangible assets within this segment. This includes real estate equity and debt investments, infrastructure investments, and energy-related assets. The firm typically targets opportunities that can provide stable cash flows and value appreciation over time.
Each of these segments represents a critical component of Carlyle's overall investment strategy, offering clients diversified investment opportunities across asset classes and geographies. The firm's extensive experience and global reach enable it to capitalize on market inefficiencies and generate attractive risk-adjusted returns for its investors.
Carlyle Group Inc. is one of the largest global investment firms, and it maintains several unique competitive advantages over its rivals. Here are some key factors that contribute to Carlyle's competitive edge:
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Diverse Investment Strategy: Carlyle has a broad array of investment strategies, including private equity, real assets, global credit, and investment solutions. This diversified approach allows them to capitalize on various market opportunities and mitigate risks associated with downturns in specific sectors.
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Global Presence and Scale: With offices in over 30 cities across multiple continents, Carlyle has a significant global footprint. This allows the firm to access a variety of markets and investment opportunities, facilitating cross-border investments that might not be accessible to smaller firms.
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Strong Track Record: Carlyle's long-standing history and expertise give it a credible reputation in the industry. Its past performance and successful exits lend credibility to its investment strategy, attracting more capital from institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals.
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Expertise Across Multiple Sectors: Carlyle has a well-established team of professionals with deep expertise across various industries, including healthcare, technology, defense, and energy. This sector-specific knowledge enables the firm to conduct thorough due diligence and identify promising investment opportunities.
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Robust Network and Relationships: Carlyle's extensive network and strong relationships with governmental entities, corporate leaders, and financial institutions provide it with valuable insights and access to high-quality deal flow. These relationships can often lead to preferential terms and exclusive opportunities.
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Focus on Operational Value Creation: Carlyle emphasizes not just financial engineering but also improving the operational performance of its portfolio companies. This focus on value creation through management improvements and strategic guidance helps generate superior returns.
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Capital Markets Access and Fundraising Capability: Carlyle has established strong relationships with institutional investors globally, giving it an advantage in raising capital for its funds. Its size and reputation enable it to attract significant investments from pensions, sovereign wealth funds, and endowments.
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Innovative Investment Solutions: Carlyle continually adapts its investment strategies to meet changing market conditions and investor demands. For example, it has developed tailored investment products in private equity, real estate, and credit, which can provide flexible solutions for different types of investors.
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Commitment to ESG Principles: Carlyle has made a strong commitment to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) principles. This focus on sustainability can enhance its appeal to socially conscious investors and position it favorably in a market that increasingly values responsible investing.
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Experienced Leadership: The firm's leadership team includes individuals with extensive experience in finance, investment, and management. Their insights and strategic direction are crucial for navigating complex investment landscapes.
Overall, Carlyle Group's combination of experience, global reach, diversified strategy, and strong relationships gives it a competitive edge in the investment management industry.
Carlyle Group Inc., as one of the largest private equity firms in the world, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Market Volatility: Economic uncertainties, such as fluctuating interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions, can affect investment valuations and exit strategies. Market downturns may make it challenging to monetize investments and raise new funds.
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Regulatory Environment: Increasing scrutiny and regulation in the private equity industry can impact Carlyle's operations, including compliance costs and potential restrictions on fund structures or investment strategies.
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Competition: The private equity landscape is highly competitive, with numerous firms vying for investment opportunities. Carlyle must continuously adapt its strategies to differentiate itself from other players, including traditional private equity firms and alternative investment funds.
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Fundraising Challenges: Given the cyclicality of private equity investments, raising new funds during periods of economic uncertainty can be difficult. Investors may become more cautious, impacting Carlyle's ability to secure commitments for new funds.
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Operational Risks: Issues related to portfolio company management can arise, including poor performance or failure to meet growth expectations. Carlyle must effectively monitor and support its portfolio companies to maximize returns.
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Technological Disruption: Rapid advancements in technology can disrupt traditional industries. Carlyle needs to identify and invest in emerging technologies while also mitigating the risks posed by tech-driven competitors.
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Investment Concentration: A heavy concentration in specific sectors or geographies can pose risks if those markets underperform. Diversification is essential to mitigate potential downturns in specific areas.
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Limited Exit Opportunities: Market conditions can impact Carlyle's ability to exit investments profitably. Slow M&A activity or unfavorable public market conditions can hinder exit strategies.
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Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Pressures: Increasing demands from investors for robust ESG practices can impact Carlyle’s investment decisions and necessitate changes in its portfolio strategies.
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Reputation and Brand Risk: Negative publicity related to any of its portfolio companies or investment decisions can harm Carlyle’s reputation, affecting its ability to attract investors and talent.
By acknowledging these risks and challenges, Carlyle Group Inc. can strategize and adapt its operations to mitigate potential impacts on its business model.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Carlyle Group Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Carlyle Group Inc
Current Assets | 2.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 2B |
Receivables | 943.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 19.4B |
Long-Term Investments | 12.4B |
PP&E | 521.5m |
Intangibles | 700.2m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 5.7B |
Current Liabilities | 5.5B |
Accounts Payable | 371.1m |
Accrued Liabilities | 4.9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 259.8m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 11.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 10B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.8B |
Earnings Waterfall
Carlyle Group Inc
Revenue
|
3.4B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-1.8B
USD
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Gross Profit
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1.6B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-2B
USD
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Operating Income
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-336.3m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-60.6m
USD
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Net Income
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-396.9m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Carlyle Group Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
The first half of 2024 demonstrated strong momentum for Carlyle Group, achieving record assets under management (AUM) of $435 billion, which is a 13% increase year-over-year. Fee-related earnings (FRE) rose by over 30% to $273 million in the second quarter, and first-half FRE set a new record at $539 million, up 35% year-over-year. The firm raised $18 billion in new capital year-to-date and $5 billion in the latest quarter for Global Credit. Carlyle is on track to meet its 2024 financial targets, including $1.1 billion of FRE. The investment environment is improving, with significant transactions expected in the second half of the year.
What is Earnings Call?
CG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Carlyle Group Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Carlyle Group Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Carlyle Group Inc's solvency score is 33/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Carlyle Group Inc's solvency score is 33/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CG Price Targets Summary
Carlyle Group Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CG is 52.29 USD with a low forecast of 43.43 USD and a high forecast of 81.9 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CG is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
CG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
The Carlyle Group, Inc. engages in multi-product global alternative asset management. The company is headquartered in Washington, Washington Dc and currently employs 1,850 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2012-05-03. The firm advises an array of investment funds and other investment vehicles that invest across the private capital asset classes. The firm operates through three segments: Global Private Equity, Global Credit, and Global Investment Solutions. The Global Private Equity segment is comprised of the Company’s operations that advise a diverse group of funds that invest in buyout, real estate, and natural resources funds. The Global Credit segment advises a group of funds that pursue investment strategies across the credit spectrum, including liquid credit, illiquid credit, and real assets credit, as well as cross-platform vehicles, such as Carlyle Tactical Private Credit Fund. The Global Investment Solutions segment provides investment opportunities and resources for its investors and clients to build private equity portfolios through fund of funds, secondary purchases of existing portfolios and managed co-investment programs.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one CG stock under the Base Case scenario is 44.18 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 50.03 USD, Carlyle Group Inc is Overvalued by 12%.