Confluent Inc
NASDAQ:CFLT

Watchlist Manager
Confluent Inc Logo
Confluent Inc
NASDAQ:CFLT
Watchlist
Price: 31.52 USD 2.97% Market Closed
Market Cap: 10.3B USD
Have any thoughts about
Confluent Inc?
Write Note

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one CFLT stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.14 USD. Compared to the current market price of 31.52 USD, Confluent Inc is Overvalued by 52%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

CFLT Intrinsic Value
15.14 USD
Overvaluation 52%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Confluent Inc

Backtest Intrinsic Value
Dive into the past to invest in the future

Uncover deeper insights with the Valuation Backtest. Learn how current stock valuations stack up against historical averages to gauge true investment potential.

Start backtest now and learn if your stock is truly undervalued or overvalued!

Run Backtest
Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

Backtest Example
Register to View Results
Register to View Results

To access the results of this valuation backtest, please register an account with us. Registration is quick and gives you instant access to insights on 3 stocks per week for free.

Backtest Unavailable

The backtest for CFLT cannot be conducted due to limitations such as insufficient data or other constraints. Please select a different stock or adjust your settings.

Backtest In Progress...
Backtest In Progress...
How do you feel about CFLT?
Bearish
Neutral
Bullish

Fundamental Analysis

Company Quality
No Indicators Selected
Select Indicators

Select up to 3 indicators:

Insider Trading
0-3
Months
0-6
Months
0-12
Months
0-36
Months
No Periods Selected
Select Periods

Select up to 2 periods:

Investment Journal
AI Assistant
AI Assistant
Ask me anything about Confluent Inc

Provide an overview of the primary business activities
of Confluent Inc.

What unique competitive advantages
does Confluent Inc hold over its rivals?

What risks and challenges
does Confluent Inc face in the near future?

Has there been any significant insider trading activity
in Confluent Inc recently?

Summarize the latest earnings call
of Confluent Inc.

Is it considered overvalued or undervalued
based on the latest financial data?

Show all valuation multiples
for Confluent Inc.

Provide P/S
for Confluent Inc.

Provide P/E
for Confluent Inc.

Provide P/OCF
for Confluent Inc.

Provide P/FCFE
for Confluent Inc.

Provide P/B
for Confluent Inc.

Provide EV/S
for Confluent Inc.

Provide EV/GP
for Confluent Inc.

Provide EV/EBITDA
for Confluent Inc.

Provide EV/EBIT
for Confluent Inc.

Provide EV/OCF
for Confluent Inc.

Provide EV/FCFF
for Confluent Inc.

Provide EV/IC
for Confluent Inc.

Show me price targets
for Confluent Inc made by professional analysts.

What are the Revenue projections
for Confluent Inc?

How accurate were the past Revenue estimates
for Confluent Inc?

What are the Net Income projections
for Confluent Inc?

How accurate were the past Net Income estimates
for Confluent Inc?

What are the EPS projections
for Confluent Inc?

How accurate were the past EPS estimates
for Confluent Inc?

What are the EBIT projections
for Confluent Inc?

How accurate were the past EBIT estimates
for Confluent Inc?

Compare the revenue forecasts
for Confluent Inc with those of its competitors based on recent analyst estimates.

Compare the intrinsic valuations
of Confluent Inc and its key competitors using the latest financial data.

Compare historical revenue growth rates
of Confluent Inc against its competitors.

Analyze the profit margins
(gross, operating, and net) of Confluent Inc compared to its peers.

Compare the P/E ratios
of Confluent Inc against its peers.

Discuss the investment returns and shareholder value creation
comparing Confluent Inc with its peers.

Analyze the financial leverage
of Confluent Inc compared to its main competitors.

Show all profitability ratios
for Confluent Inc.

Provide ROE
for Confluent Inc.

Provide ROA
for Confluent Inc.

Provide ROIC
for Confluent Inc.

Provide ROCE
for Confluent Inc.

Provide Gross Margin
for Confluent Inc.

Provide Operating Margin
for Confluent Inc.

Provide Net Margin
for Confluent Inc.

Provide FCF Margin
for Confluent Inc.

Show all solvency ratios
for Confluent Inc.

Provide D/E Ratio
for Confluent Inc.

Provide D/A Ratio
for Confluent Inc.

Provide Interest Coverage Ratio
for Confluent Inc.

Provide Altman Z-Score Ratio
for Confluent Inc.

Provide Quick Ratio
for Confluent Inc.

Provide Current Ratio
for Confluent Inc.

Provide Cash Ratio
for Confluent Inc.

What is the historical Revenue growth
over the last 5 years for Confluent Inc?

What is the historical Net Income growth
over the last 5 years for Confluent Inc?

What is the current Free Cash Flow
of Confluent Inc?

Discuss the annual earnings per share (EPS)
trend over the past five years for Confluent Inc.

Business Breakdown

Confluent Inc., founded in 2014 by the creators of Apache Kafka, has emerged as a leader in the realm of real-time data streaming and event-driven architecture, fundamentally transforming how businesses harness their data. Designed to streamline data flow across various systems, Confluent's platform enables organizations to manage, store, and process vast amounts of data in real-time, facilitating timely decision-making and enhancing operational efficiency. With an impressive array of use cases—from improving customer experiences to optimizing supply chain logistics—Confluent empowers companies to become more agile and responsive in a fast-paced digital landscape. The rapid surge in demand f...

Read More
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Confluent Inc

Current Assets 2.3B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1.9B
Receivables 278.7m
Other Current Assets 128m
Non-Current Assets 341.8m
PP&E 83.1m
Intangibles 173.1m
Other Non-Current Assets 85.6m
Current Liabilities 535m
Accounts Payable 15.5m
Accrued Liabilities 126.1m
Other Current Liabilities 393.3m
Non-Current Liabilities 1.1B
Long-Term Debt 1.1B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 47.6m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Confluent Inc

Revenue
915.6m USD
Cost of Revenue
-247m USD
Gross Profit
668.6m USD
Operating Expenses
-1.1B USD
Operating Income
-398m USD
Other Expenses
46.9m USD
Net Income
-351.1m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Confluent Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q3, Confluent reported a significant 25% revenue increase, hitting $250 million, with subscription revenue rising 27% to $240 million, surpassing guidance. Confluent Cloud revenue surged 42% to $130 million. Notably, gross margins reached 79%, and operating margins expanded to 6.3%. The company serves major clients like the top U.S. banks. Looking ahead, Confluent raised its Q4 subscription revenue guidance to $245-$246 million (21% growth) and expects full-year 2024 subscription revenue between $916.5-$917.5 million (26% growth). This solid performance reflects stable demand from digital natives shifting focus from cost-cutting to new use cases.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

CFLT Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Confluent Inc's profitability score is 30/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
ROIC is Increasing
Exceptional Revenue Growth Forecast
30/100
Profitability
Score

Confluent Inc's profitability score is 30/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CFLT Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Confluent Inc's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
Negative Net Debt
Long-Term Solvency
Average D/E
54/100
Solvency
Score

Confluent Inc's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CFLT Price Targets Summary
Confluent Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast CFLT stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CFLT is 32.16 USD with a low forecast of 25.25 USD and a high forecast of 42 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
25.25 USD
20% Downside
Average
Price Target
32.16 USD
2% Upside
Highest
Price Target
42 USD
33% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates
Want to learn more about Wall St estimates for CFLT?

Click here to dive deeper.

Dividends

Confluent Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CFLT is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Ownership

CFLT Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

CFLT News

Other Videos

Profile

Confluent Inc Logo
Confluent Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Technology

Market Cap

10.3B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Confluent, Inc. designs and develops a real-time data platform for organizations. The company is headquartered in Mountain View, California and currently employs 1,981 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-06-24. The firm is focused on data in motion for developers and enterprises. The company enables enterprises to deliver customer experiences for their business functions, departments, teams, applications, and data stores to have connectivity. The company is designed to have real-time data from multiple sources streamed across an enterprise for real-time analysis. The company enables organizations to deploy production-ready applications that run across cloud infrastructures and data centers, and scale, with features for security and compliance. Its platform provides the capabilities to fill the structural, operational, and engineering gaps that are required for businesses. The company enables software developers to build their applications to connect data in motion and enable enterprises to make data in motion to everything they do.

Contact

CALIFORNIA
Mountain View
899 W. Evelyn Avenue, Suite 111
+18004393207.0
www.confluent.io

IPO

2021-06-24

Employees

1 981

Officers

Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO
Mr. Edward Kreps
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Rohan Sivaram
Chief Technology Officer
Mr. Chad Verbowski
Chief Marketing Officer
Ms. Stephanie Buscemi
President of Field Operations
Ms. Erica Ruliffson Schultz
Co-Founder
Mr. Jun Rao
Show More
Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Kong Phan
Investor Relations Officer
Shane Xie
Chief Legal Officer
Ms. Melanie D. Vinson Esq.
Chief People Officer
Ms. Colleen McCreary
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one CFLT stock?

The intrinsic value of one CFLT stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.14 USD.

Is CFLT stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 31.52 USD, Confluent Inc is Overvalued by 52%.

Back to Top