Crossfirst Bankshares Inc

NASDAQ:CFB

Earnings Call Analysis

Earnings Call Transcript 2023-Q3

[Operator]

Good morning, and welcome to the CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. Q3 2023 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mike Daley, Chief Accounting Officer and Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

[Michael Daley, executive]

Good morning, and welcome to CrossFirst Bankshares Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. Before we begin, please be aware this call will include forward-looking statements, including statements about our business plans, expansion and growth opportunities, expense control initiatives, sources of liquidity, capital allocation strategies and our future financial performance. These comments are based on our current expectations and assumptions and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements. Our forward-looking statements are as of the date of this call, and we do not assume any obligation to update or revise them, except as required by law. Statements made on this call should be considered together with the risk factors identified in today's earnings release and our other filings with the SEC. We may also refer to adjusted or non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP financial measures can be found in our earnings release. These non-GAAP financial measures are not meant to be a substitute for or superior to financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Our presentation will include prepared remarks from Mike Maddox, President and CEO of CrossFirst Bankshares; Randy Rapp, President of CrossFirst Bank; and Ben Clouse, CFO of CrossFirst Bankshares. At the conclusion of our prepared remarks, our operator, Anthony, will facilitate a Q&A session. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Mike, who will begin on Slide 5 of the presentation available on our website and filed with our earnings release. Mike?

[Michael Maddox, executive]

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. I'm very proud of this quarter and the great job that our team is doing. We are seeing the benefits of the investments we have made over the last 24 months. We continue to execute on our strategic plans this quarter with growth in operating revenue, core deposits and earnings despite a difficult macro environment for banking. We delivered 7% growth in adjusted earnings this quarter with adjusted net income of $18.6 million or $0.37 per share. We remain focused on improving profitability by scaling our franchise in our high-growth dynamic markets and verticals, optimizing our expense base and driving efficiency, all while remaining diligent on credit quality. Pressure on our margin has slowed due to some normalization of pricing for deposits. We also continue to benefit from our highly variable loan portfolio. Our focus as a company is on earnings and profitability growth and less so on balance sheet growth as we drive improved efficiency and operating leverage. Competition for deposits continues to be strong. Despite that, however, our funding composition continues to improve as core deposits increased while wholesale borrowings declined and our loan-to-deposit ratio improved this past quarter. As expected, our loan portfolio grew modestly this quarter, and we continue to see nice balance in our loan mix. Additionally, I'm pleased to share that our SBA lending platform continues to gain traction across our markets and is accelerating our noninterest income growth. Credit quality continues to be a primary focus, especially in the face of the number of challenging external factors. Our overall credit quality remains at manageable levels that are well within acceptable norms. Randy will cover credit in more detail in a moment, but let me just say that I remain confident in our high-quality credit standards, our well-diversified portfolio and more importantly, our relationship-based client approach. During this past quarter, we completed our Tucson acquisition, which complements our existing Arizona franchise and provides additional liquidity and lower cost deposits. We were excited to welcome our new shareholders, clients and team members and look forward to supporting the needs of the Tucson community. We expect to have our Tucson clients fully onboarded to our systems by mid-November. Looking ahead, we are in a unique position with the opportunity to increase profitability through multiple levers, scaling our existing investments, optimizing expenses and maintaining a focus on credit quality. We have the opportunity to increase profitability by gaining density in our dynamic high-growth metro markets and verticals. In addition, we intend to continue to prudently manage expenses, including an ongoing focus on optimizing operations, leveraging key technology and infrastructure investments. Finally, maintaining solid credit quality is at the center of everything we do. Our team is focused on these priorities, which we believe position CrossFirst for the future while enhancing our franchise value. And now I'd like to turn the call over to our President of CrossFirst Bank, Randy Rapp.

[W. Rapp, executive]

Thanks, Mike, and good morning, everyone. In Q3, we continued to intentionally moderate the pace of loan growth. We remain highly focused on deposit generation and closely monitored our portfolio metrics. In Q3, we reported total loan growth of $149 million, resulting in a growth rate of 2.6% for the quarter or 10% on an annualized basis. The increase was primarily attributable to $106 million in loans from the Tucson acquisition, which are largely USDA and SBA guaranteed commercial real estate and C&I credits. Legacy markets and lines grew approximately $43 million, led by a slight increase in CRE exposure, primarily due to fundings on existing relationships. We continue to focus on increasing loan yields and the average loan yield on new production in the quarter was a strong 8.54%. Average C&I line utilization for the quarter was 47%, which is slightly above the prior quarter and portfolio churn decreased slightly and is now below the historical average level. We expect portfolio churn to decrease slightly over the next several quarters. Our loan portfolio continues to remain balanced with 43% in commercial real estate and 44% in C&I and owner-occupied real estate. Energy exposure is now $214 million or 4% of the total portfolio. On Slide 6, you can see there remains good diversity within each of these portfolios with the highest CRE property type, industrial, accounting for 19% of total CRE exposure and the largest industry segment in C&I being manufacturing at 10% of C&I exposure. Total office exposure is now $294 million, down slightly from $312 million at the end of Q2 and is 5% of total loans. The average office loan size remains $7 million and the largest is $25 million. The average loan-to-value is 61% and the majority of the portfolio is suburban Class A and Class B office. As we have previously stated, we will follow our strongest sponsors to other markets, but the majority of this exposure is in our footprint centered in North Texas, Kansas City and Colorado. Moving to credit highlights on Slide 7. For Q3, we reported an increase in nonperforming assets to $36.1 million, resulting in a nonperforming asset to total asset ratio of 50 basis points. The increase was primarily due to 2 C&I credits and 1 CRE credit moving to nonperforming. I'm pleased to report that one of the C&I credits with a $13.6 million balance that was over 90 days past due at quarter end, has raised fresh equity and plans to bring the credit current this week. This action will lower our NPAs back to $22.5 million or 31 basis points of total assets. The remaining nonperforming loans are primarily C&I with one fully secured commercial real estate transaction. This remaining NPA ratio of 31 basis points is in line with the same period in 2022, and our ORE balance remains at 0. Classified assets to capital plus combined reserves ended Q3 at 14%, which is up from 9.6% at the end of Q2, but remains at a low level. The increase in classified assets was due to downgrades of several C&I and CRE credits. $21 million of the increase is well secured by current real estate valuations and $5 million has USDA or SBA guarantees. We do not expect any material loss from these loans, and we are proactively managing each relationship. In addition, $5 million of the increase in Classifieds was due to acquired loans, which were mark-to-market in the quarter. For the quarter, we reported net charge-offs of $1.3 million, resulting in a charge-off rate of 9 basis points on an annualized basis and 5 basis points on a trailing 12-month basis. At quarter end, we reported an allowance for credit loss to total loan ratio of 1.2%, which is up from 1.17% at the end of Q2. The combined allowance for credit loss and reserve for unfunded commitments totaled 1.31%. For the quarter, we reported provision expense of $3.3 million, resulting in a provision to charge-off rate of 254%. Provision was higher than Q2 due to day 1 CECL reserves for the acquired Tucson loans and changes in credit metrics during the quarter. With a total ACL of $72 million, our current ACL to nonperforming loan ratio is nearly 200%. We remain highly focused on maintaining good credit metrics moving forward. Turning to Slide 8. Deposits increased 3.8% to $6.3 billion, up $232 million from the previous quarter. Noninterest-bearing deposits increased during the quarter to $1 billion and now represents 16% of the total deposits, up from 15% at the end of the second quarter. Ben will cover additional deposit portfolio statistics in his remarks. We continue to focus heavily on deposit generation, expanding fee income with treasury management and credit card products, improving loan yields in the portfolio with new originations and as existing facilities mature and monitoring the portfolio for performance issues. We remain confident in our proven sponsors and underwriting standards, which include significant equity contributions, but we could continue to see some negative grade movement in the short term. We expect our loan growth rate to continue to be at a moderate level in the last quarter of 2023, but we continue to actively call on clients to generate a healthy pipeline of new transactions heading into 2024. I will now turn the call over to Ben to cover the financial results in more detail. Ben?

[Benjamin Clouse, executive]

Thanks, Randy, and good morning, everyone. GAAP net income this quarter was $16.9 million or $0.34 per share. The third quarter included acquisition-related charges of $1.3 million and as Randy said, a day 1 CECL provision of $0.9 million, resulting in adjusted net income of $18.6 million or $0.37 per share. Both GAAP and adjusted net income improved from the prior quarter with slowing margin pressure, yielding increased net interest income, an increase in noninterest income and lower noninterest expenses. These gains were partially offset by a higher provision. Quarterly adjusted return on average assets was 1.04% and adjusted return on average equity was 11.3%. We saw modest balance sheet growth, primarily from the acquisition and continued our progress toward driving higher profitability through expense management in the quarter. Net interest income on a fully tax equivalent basis expanded slightly by $0.5 million from the second quarter due to the benefit of higher average earning assets, higher loan yields and 1 additional day, which were partially offset by higher cost of funds. Average earning assets increased $183 million compared to the prior quarter, with most of the net increase from the Tucson acquisition. The yield on loans increased 9 basis points due to repricing as well as higher yields on new loans and was negatively impacted 7 basis points due to the net impact of nonaccrual loans as we are proactively addressing any signs of weakness in the portfolio. Turning to Page 9. Our total cost of deposits was 3.59% for the quarter against loan yields of 6.96%. Our total nonmaturity deposit beta against the entire rate cycle through the third quarter was 57%, in line with our expectations, and we have slowed the growth in our cost of funds. Our deposit base remained consistent with the prior quarter in terms of diversification and composition. We were very pleased to see net deposit growth beyond the acquisition impact as well as growth in noninterest-bearing deposits, which allowed us to decrease wholesale funding and FHLB borrowings during the quarter. Our effective uninsured deposits percentage and our deposit concentration across the top 25 clients remained consistent this quarter. Fully tax equivalent net interest margin narrowed 8 basis points compared to the prior quarter to 3.19%. Our core NIM, adjusting out noise from accrual impacts has remained stable in a range of $3.21 to $3.23 since May. Our balance sheet is only slightly sensitive through a potential additional 25 basis point rate move yet this year, and we expect margin to be in a range of $3.20 to $3.25 in Q4. With continued lower anticipated loan growth, we don't expect as great of a need to add higher cost deposits going forward. While we acknowledge the competition for deposits will persist, we believe we are near the peak of deposit pricing, allowing us to continue to defend our NIM as we move forward from here. Noninterest income was $6 million for the quarter, increasing 3% from the second quarter. The primary drivers were growth of treasury and credit card revenues. These improvements were partially offset by lower SBA loan sales after some pent-up demand in second quarter as we transitioned back to an originate and sell model. Moving to Slide 10. Excluding the acquisition-related severance and core deposit intangible expenses from both Q3 and Q2, noninterest expense decreased $0.9 million compared to the second quarter of '23 due to lower compensation and discretionary expenses. We advanced our efforts to drive additional efficiencies and gain operating leverage in the quarter, and we will continue our focus on cost control with adjusted efficiency improving 2% to 55% this quarter. Our headcount remained flat in the quarter despite the Tucson acquisition, and we anticipate it to remain stable for the rest of the year. Our tax rate was 21% for the quarter, and we expect the tax rate to remain in the range of 20% to 22%. Tangible book value per share was 3% lower compared to the prior quarter due to the unrealized loss on available-for-sale securities. On a year-to-date basis, excluding the impacts of the unrealized losses, we have grown tangible book value per share by 7%. As of quarter end, we are well capitalized under all capital ratios. We continue to advance our goal of building capital this quarter as we saw moderating asset growth, strong earnings and a continued decline in unfunded commitments. We are continuing to work toward our goals of 11% total risk-based capital and 10% CET1 ratios by year-end and intend to continue to focus on building capital from here. On Slide 11, our liquidity remains strong, consistent with the prior quarter at 34% of assets. We have significant liquidity of approximately $2.4 billion from on and off-balance sheet sources. In addition to our cash on the balance sheet, our 100% AFS investment portfolio includes $332 million that can be pledged to the FHLB, and we have an additional $46 million of securities we could sell today at a net gain. We also have multiple sources of additional off-balance sheet liquidity, including FHLB, Federal Reserve, Fed funds and other wholesale funding sources totaling approximately $1.5 billion. We have continued to increase the liquidity in our investment portfolio with an ongoing moderate shift in the ratio of munis. We are evaluating all of our options to improve the yields on our earning assets, including potential restructuring scenarios. As Mike mentioned, we closed the Tucson acquisition in the quarter, resulting in $4.5 million in core deposit intangibles and $5.2 million in day 1 loan marks, both consistent with our diligence modeling. We are on track for a fourth quarter system integration and full realization of our expected cost savings. This acquisition was immediately accretive with very modest dilution and a short earnback of less than 2 years. In summary, for the quarter, we continue to grow profitability, held NIM constant and expanded our client deposits in a very competitive environment. Operator, we are now ready to begin the question-and-answer portion of the call.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question will come from Brady Gailey with KBW.

[Brady Gailey, analyst]

So your net interest margin was 3.19% in the third quarter. If you look at 4Q, you're saying it's going to be $3.20 to $3.25. So are you basically calling a bottom on the margin here with it going up next quarter? And then any thoughts on how you think the margin could trend next year in '24?

[Benjamin Clouse, executive]

Brady, it's Ben. We do think we're at the bottom, just especially given the stability we have seen, as I mentioned in my remarks, Q2 had a pickup of 3 or 4 basis points from accrual changes. Q3 had the headwind of 3 or 4 basis points from accrual changes. But we've really seen very good stability in the margin and expect that through year-end. We're right in the midst of planning for 2024, but thinking ahead a little bit, I think we continue to expect to see that stability and some expansion as our loan portfolio continues to reindex.

[Brady Gailey, analyst]

All right. And then we've heard you guys talk about the 2 capital targets that you'd like to hit at the end of this year, which it looks like you'll be able to do. Will capital continue to build even beyond those 2 thresholds, the 11% and the 10%. I'm just I'm trying to indirectly figure out if the buyback is back on the table next year, just given the stock is still well below tangible book value.

[Benjamin Clouse, executive]

Yes, Brady. I think those were our year-end targets. We expect to hit those. We will continue to build some capital, but I think we will also look to be opportunistic if our stock continues to trade where it's at and look at returning some capital to shareholders.

[Operator]

Our next question will come from Michael Rose with Raymond James.

[Michael Rose, analyst]

I wanted to go back to the margin, Ben, what was the impact of purchase accounting accretion this quarter. I think the total marks ended up being $5.2 million. And just from prior deals, I just wanted to get a sense for what the remaining accretable yield or purchase accounting accretion is at the end of the third quarter, so I can just try back into what core versus reported NIM is?

[Benjamin Clouse, executive]

Sure, Michael. Accretion for particular to Canyon in the quarter was about $80,000. So not a whole lot of an impact. Total accretion contemplating last year's deal as well was about $650,000 in the quarter.

[Michael Rose, analyst]

Okay. And then do you have the total amount of remaining accretion or schedule accretion you expect to kind of come through over time?

[Benjamin Clouse, executive]

I'll give you the quarterly numbers. Our go forward is we expect accretion in the $500,000 to $600,000 per quarter range and deposit intangible amortization in the $800,000 to $900,000 range per quarter based on those 2 deals.

[Michael Rose, analyst]

Okay. That's helpful. And then maybe just switching to credit quality. I appreciate all the color on the moves in NPAs and criticized classified things like that. What -- at the end of the day, what's really driving, are you seeing just general impact of a slowing economy on your customers? Is this indicative of what you expect to see going forward? Or is this just more of you guys trying to be proactive and identify potential issues where there's not a high expectation of loss, you're just being conservative in building the reserve here? Just trying to get an overall sense for how you guys are kind of thinking about credit as we think about a slowing economy into next year.

[W. Rapp, executive]

Michael, this is Randy. Happy to take that. I think, Michael, in general, we are starting to see some slowdown in the economy and that impacts some of the borrowers, where you've seen our movement here lately is probably more related -- is more kind of one-off, not systemic to any one factor. In the CRE book, you are starting to see the impact of higher interest rates on some of those portfolios. And what's interesting is that when you look across sort of multifamily industrial, you're seeing the absorption rates and the rental rates pretty much as underwritten, but you're seeing expenses higher than anticipated. And that can be everything from operating cost to insurance costs and then finally, to interest expense. So that is definitely putting some pressure on the margins on some of the CRE book. But -- so in summary, clients being more cautious, but not really seeing any systemic issues within the portfolio.

[Benjamin Clouse, executive]

Michael, I would just add, we are trying to be conservative, and we are trying to be proactive. And we're not seeing anything systemic in our portfolio. When I'm talking to customers, especially on the C&I side, it's really interesting. They talk a lot about how demand for their products in a lot of industries is slowing, but they still have tremendous pricing power. So their margins are still fairly high, and that's covering up the slowing in demand. So right now, a lot of our customers still are doing pretty well.

[Michael Rose, analyst]

Okay. Great. Maybe just congenially related to that as we kind of think about slowing loan growth into the next couple of quarters. It sounds like some of that's obviously customer driven. Some of that's probably credit-driven decision-making. As we think about next year, I know it's early, but is kind of a low to mid-single-digit growth rate more what you're expecting versus kind of the high single-digit growth rate you're expecting this year?

[Benjamin Clouse, executive]

I think that's fair, Michael. We're going to continue to be prudent and conservative and be fairly selective as it relates to credit. And so as we look to next year, assuming the economy continues to kind of move in the direction that it is, I think, a mid-single-digit number is fair.

[Operator]

Our next question will come from Andrew Liesch with Piper Sandler.

[Andrew Liesch, analyst]

Just on the expense base, really good job your controlling costs and it sounds like you got the conversion here on the Canyon deal coming up this quarter. I guess what's the good expense run rate to look at here for the fourth quarter and then going into the early part of next year?

[Benjamin Clouse, executive]

Andrew, it's Ben. We left our guidance unchanged. So we believe our expense rate -- noninterest expenses will be $34 million to $35 million in Q4. Folding in Canyon will push that toward the upper end of that range, especially if you include the CDI amortization. In regard to next year, I don't think we see a significant change in the expense base. We're obviously in the midst of our planning for that right now, and we will really be focused on continuing to optimize our footprint, as you heard Mike talk about.

[W. Rapp, executive]

Andrew, I continue to believe we have a great operating leverage opportunity as we continue to grow. I mean we've made a lot of investments over the last 24 months. And we can continue to grow the company without a lot more additions to our expense base. And we're in the midst of looking at contracts that we have and other things to try to drive efficiency, Ben is hiring a procurement person to help us drive efficiency through the organization, and we're really committed to keeping our headcount levels stable. So just in this environment, we have to continue to operate more efficiently and continue to drive our efficiency ratio down closer to 50% and get our noninterest expense to average asset ratio down well below 2.

[Andrew Liesch, analyst]

Got it. That's helpful. And then on the noninterest income side, recognizing there could be some volatility on the gain on sale number. But if I look at the other core items like the service charges and interchange. I guess, how should we be looking at fee income from here? Is this $6 million kind of a high watermark? Or you could send a little bit lower. So that was a pretty good fee quarter.

[Benjamin Clouse, executive]

Andrew, we think it clearly will build from there. This quarter had a little bit of moderation in our gain on loan sales to more of a normalized rate. I expect a fairly similar amount of gain on sale in that $500,000 to $600,000 range for Q4. We continue to focus on expanding that as we leverage our SBA platform across the rest of our markets. And I know Randy's team is very, very focused on continuing growth in treasury and credit card going into '24. I don't know if you have anything else you want to add.

[W. Rapp, executive]

Yes, Andrew, I would just add to that is we've made significant investment in our treasury and credit card platforms in the last 18 months that we really feel like we can scale up as we move forward. And so we think there's good opportunity there.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions]. Our next question will come from Matt Olney with Stephens.

[Matt Olney, analyst]

I want to ask about the securities portfolio and appreciate Slide 11 in the deck, just kind of highlighting some of the updated strategy you guys have undertaken so far this year. Just help us appreciate how much more transition do you see? Or I guess, can I say another way, what inning are we in, in this transition? And what kind of cash flows do you see in the near term? And I guess the second part of that is under a scenario of recognizing some of the unrealized losses and some kind of restructuring, help us appreciate what your tolerance level is for losses that you would recognize.

[Benjamin Clouse, executive]

Sure. Matt. I would start off by saying we're probably somewhere in the fifth or sixth inning out of 9, and we continue to expect to work toward adjusting the mix of munis. The environment has changed so significantly with much more emphasis on liquidity after the events in March and in our case, much more emphasis on capital, and both of those present some challenges with the muni mix that we had previously managed. That portfolio was very, very successful for us in the prior environment. And as you see there on the slide, we're really shifting our focus a little bit. In regard to potential restructuring, we're thinking about two guiding principles really. One, we want to ensure that we are not compromising our capital ratios by taking a significant loss and beyond what we think we can sustain and make up with a short earn back, say, in a 1- to 2-year range. The other thing that -- the other guiding principle we have is we believe we can restructure that portfolio just given the higher risk weight for munis, we can restructure that portfolio in such a way that it's neutral or perhaps even improves our ratio as we will redeploy proceeds from a potential restructuring into something -- into products with a lower risk rate. Underlying all of that, we believe we can continue our trajectory of improving yield there. As I'm sure you can appreciate the interest rate environment, particularly in the 5-plus year portion of the curve has been very volatile. And so we're just going to be prudent about thinking about executing against a restructuring to make sure we do it in the best way we can. But those are kind of the parameters that we're using to think about that.

[Matt Olney, analyst]

Okay. That's helpful, Ben. And just to clarify that, it sounds like it's all within the mix of the securities portfolio. I didn't hear any commentary about just changing the relative size of it. Is that a fair statement?

[Benjamin Clouse, executive]

That is a fair statement. Yes. We continue to expect the size as a percentage of our balance sheet to remain consistent.

[Matt Olney, analyst]

Okay. That's helpful. And then I guess just as a follow-up on the deposit side. I think you mentioned those DDA balances even outside the Tucson deal showed some modest growth. I guess just looking forward, are you comfortable saying now that this has bottomed and over time, we're going to build from here as far as the DDA balance?

[Benjamin Clouse, executive]

That's the goal, Matt. I mean, we're very focused on deposit -- core deposit growth and continuing to change our mix. We want to continue to try and lower our cost of funds and really believe that's important to building franchise value. So I mean everything from goal setting to incentive plans to you name it, is all focused on growing noninterest-bearing deposits and core deposits.

[Operator]

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to [indiscernible] for any closing remarks.

[W. Rapp, executive]

I just want to thank everybody for joining our call today. Again, I'm really proud of the team and the job they have done and the progress we're making as a company in the third quarter. I think we started to see some of the benefits of the cost-cutting measures that we took earlier this year, and we are very focused on continuing to drive market share in our existing markets and really trying to drive operating leverage, which we think is a big opportunity for us. So we will continue to work hard, and thank you all very much again for joining us today.

[Operator]

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.