Caseys General Stores Inc
NASDAQ:CASY

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Caseys General Stores Inc
NASDAQ:CASY
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Price: 427.88 USD 2.76% Market Closed
Market Cap: 15.9B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one CASY stock under the Base Case scenario is 265.15 USD. Compared to the current market price of 427.88 USD, Caseys General Stores Inc is Overvalued by 38%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

CASY Intrinsic Value
265.15 USD
Overvaluation 38%
Intrinsic Value
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Caseys General Stores Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Casey’s General Stores Inc. is a prominent player in the convenience retail industry, primarily operating in the Midwest and down into parts of the Southern United States. Founded in 1959 in Boone, Iowa, the company has grown from a single store to over 2,400 locations, serving millions of customers each year. Known for its signature brand of pizzas and other fresh food offerings, Casey’s distinguishes itself from traditional convenience stores by emphasizing quality food options alongside essential grocery items, fuel, and household essentials. This unique approach has positioned Casey’s as a community cornerstone, attracting both local residents and travelers alike, which boosts its consis...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Caseys General Stores Inc

Current Assets 955m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 305m
Receivables 164.9m
Other Current Assets 485.1m
Non-Current Assets 5.5B
PP&E 4.7B
Intangibles 652.8m
Other Non-Current Assets 193.3m
Current Liabilities 1.1B
Accounts Payable 597.1m
Accrued Liabilities 294.2m
Other Current Liabilities 240.8m
Non-Current Liabilities 2.2B
Long-Term Debt 1.4B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 802.7m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Caseys General Stores Inc

Revenue
15.1B USD
Cost of Revenue
-11.7B USD
Gross Profit
3.4B USD
Operating Expenses
-2.7B USD
Operating Income
727m USD
Other Expenses
-214m USD
Net Income
512.9m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Caseys General Stores Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Casey’s achieved a 7% increase in diluted EPS to $4.83, driven by a 6% rise in net income to $180 million and a 9% rise in EBITDA to $346 million. Revenue grew by 5.9% to $4.1 billion, with inside sales up by 7.6%. The Grocery and General Merchandise segments saw sales increase by 7.2%, while Prepared Food and Dispensed Beverage sales grew by 8.7%. Fuel margins remained robust at $0.407 per gallon. Regarding future growth, the company expects to increase its store base by 270 units this fiscal year following the $1.145 billion acquisition of Fikes, which includes 198 convenience stores.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

CASY Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Caseys General Stores Inc's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Gross Profit
Positive ROE
53/100
Profitability
Score

Caseys General Stores Inc's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CASY Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Caseys General Stores Inc's solvency score is 61/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
High Interest Coverage
61/100
Solvency
Score

Caseys General Stores Inc's solvency score is 61/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CASY Price Targets Summary
Caseys General Stores Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast CASY stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CASY is 424.73 USD with a low forecast of 341.38 USD and a high forecast of 493.5 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
341.38 USD
20% Downside
Average
Price Target
424.73 USD
1% Downside
Highest
Price Target
493.5 USD
15% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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0
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CASY is .

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Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Ownership

CASY Insider Trading
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Caseys General Stores Inc Logo
Caseys General Stores Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Retail

Market Cap

15.9B USD

Dividend Yield

0.43%

Description

Casey's General Stores, Inc. engages in the management and operation of convenience stores and gasoline stations. The company is headquartered in Ankeny, Iowa and currently employs 17,960 full-time employees. Its convenience stores carry a range of food including freshly prepared foods such as pizza, donuts, and sandwiches, beverages, tobacco and nicotine products, health and beauty aids, automotive products, and other nonfood items. In addition, all but three offer fuel for sale on a self-service basis. The firm also operates two stores selling primarily tobacco products, one grocery store, and one liquor store. Its store the GoodStop offers fuel for sale on a self-serve basis, and a broad selection of snacks, drinks, tobacco products, and other essentials. The firm operates approximately 2,431 stores. The company operates three distribution centers, through which the Company supply grocery, general merchandise and prepared food and dispensed beverage items to its stores.

Contact

IOWA
Ankeny
PO Box 3001
+15159656100.0
www.caseys.com

IPO

1983-10-21

Employees

17 960

Officers

President, CEO & Board Chair
Mr. Darren M. Rebelez
Senior VP & CFO
Mr. Stephen P. Bramlage Jr.
Chief Operating Officer
Ms. Ena Williams Koschel
Chief Human Resources Officer
Mr. Chad Michael Frazell
Senior VP & Chief Merchandising Officer
Mr. Thomas P. Brennan Jr.
Vice President of Accounting
Kory Ross
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Senior VP & Chief Information Officer
Sanjeev Satturu
Senior Vice President of Investor Relations & Business Development
Mr. Brian Joseph Johnson
Chief Legal Officer
Ms. Katrina S. Lindsey
Senior Vice President of Operational Excellence
Mr. John C. Soupene
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What is the Intrinsic Value of one CASY stock?

The intrinsic value of one CASY stock under the Base Case scenario is 265.15 USD.

Is CASY stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 427.88 USD, Caseys General Stores Inc is Overvalued by 38%.

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