Maplebear Inc
NASDAQ:CART
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CART stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.71 USD. Compared to the current market price of 43.22 USD, Maplebear Inc is Overvalued by 50%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Maplebear Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Maplebear Inc., more commonly known as Instacart, has positioned itself at the forefront of the burgeoning grocery delivery and e-commerce landscape. Founded in 2012, the company emerged from the desire to simplify the shopping experience by allowing consumers to order their groceries online for same-day delivery, effectively bridging the gap between traditional supermarkets and the digital world. With partnerships with major retailers and local stores, Maplebear has developed a robust logistics network that ensures efficient delivery and a broad selection of products. The platform thrives on its user-friendly interface, which not only attracts busy urban dwellers but also caters to those se...
Maplebear Inc., more commonly known as Instacart, has positioned itself at the forefront of the burgeoning grocery delivery and e-commerce landscape. Founded in 2012, the company emerged from the desire to simplify the shopping experience by allowing consumers to order their groceries online for same-day delivery, effectively bridging the gap between traditional supermarkets and the digital world. With partnerships with major retailers and local stores, Maplebear has developed a robust logistics network that ensures efficient delivery and a broad selection of products. The platform thrives on its user-friendly interface, which not only attracts busy urban dwellers but also caters to those seeking convenience in their shopping routines.
As the pandemic accelerated the shift towards online shopping, Maplebear capitalized on this trend and saw substantial growth in both its customer base and revenue streams. The company's innovative use of technology, coupled with its expansive grocery catalog and tailored delivery options, has made it a go-to service for millions. For investors, Maplebear represents a compelling opportunity, as its market position is supported by strong consumer demand and an increasing push towards online grocery shopping. Furthermore, with ongoing improvements in fulfillment technology and potential expansions into new markets, the company is well-positioned to remain a leader in the fast-evolving e-commerce ecosystem. As grocery shopping continues to adapt to modern consumer preferences, Maplebear's forward-thinking strategies and operational excellence make it a company to watch in the coming years.
Maplebear Inc., often known as instacart, operates primarily in the online grocery delivery and e-commerce sector. Here are its core business segments:
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Grocery Delivery Services: This is the main segment of Maplebear Inc., where they partner with grocery stores and retailers to offer customers home delivery services. Users can browse and purchase groceries via their app or website, which are then delivered to their doorstep by personal shoppers.
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Inventory and Catalog Management: Maplebear maintains an extensive database of grocery items, including availability, pricing, and promotions. This segment is crucial for ensuring that customers have access to real-time inventory and can make informed purchasing decisions.
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Subscription Services: Maplebear may offer subscription models that allow customers to pay a flat fee for perks, such as free delivery or discounts on certain items. This can help drive loyalty and repeat purchases.
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Partnerships with Retailers: The company collaborates with various retail grocery chains and local stores to expand its offerings and reach. These partnerships allow Maplebear to leverage existing supply chains and customer bases.
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Technology and Logistics: Maplebear invests in technology to optimize its logistics, including route optimization algorithms and inventory management systems, which enhance efficiency in delivery processes.
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Customer Experience and Support: A significant focus for the company is on providing a seamless user experience, which includes customer support for inquiries, feedback, and issues related to orders.
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Promotions and Marketing: Maplebear engages in marketing initiatives to attract new customers and retain existing ones. This includes digital marketing, social media campaigns, and promotions.
These segments collectively help Maplebear Inc. establish its position in the competitive online grocery delivery market, wherein it strives to offer convenience, efficiency, and a wide range of products to its customers.
Maplebear Inc., operating through its brand Instacart, possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the online grocery delivery sector:
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Strong Partnerships with Retailers: Maplebear has established strong relationships with numerous local and national grocery chains, allowing it to offer a wide selection of products. This collaboration enhances inventory availability and enables better pricing for consumers.
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Customer Data Analytics: The company leverages advanced data analytics to understand consumer preferences and shopping behaviors. This allows for personalized marketing, targeted promotions, and optimized inventory management, enhancing the overall customer experience.
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User-Friendly Platform: Instacart offers a user-friendly interface and seamless shopping experience, making it easy for customers to navigate and place orders. Its mobile app is well-optimized for on-the-go shopping.
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Efficiency and Speed: Maplebear invests in its logistics and fulfillment strategies, allowing it to provide faster delivery times compared to many competitors. Its network of personal shoppers and partnerships with retailers helps streamline the delivery process.
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Diverse Service Offering: Instead of focusing solely on grocery delivery, Maplebear offers a wide array of services, including delivery from convenience stores, liquor stores, and even pharmacy deliveries, catering to various consumer needs.
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Focus on Local Markets: By emphasizing local grocery stores and markets, Maplebear can better serve communities while differentiating itself from larger competitors who may focus on national chains.
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Strong Brand Recognition: Over the years, Instacart has built a strong brand associated with convenience and reliability in grocery delivery, fostering customer loyalty and trust.
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Investment in Technology: Continuous investment in technology, such as AI for route optimization and inventory tracking, enhances operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.
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Flexibility and Adaptation: Maplebear has shown resilience and adaptability in response to market changes and consumer demands, allowing it to pivot strategies effectively when necessary.
These competitive advantages help Maplebear Inc maintain a strong position in the grocery delivery market, distinguishing it from other players in the industry.
As a business analyst, assessing the risks and challenges faced by a company like Maplebear Inc., which operates in the competitive online grocery and delivery market, would involve considering several factors:
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Intense Competition: The online grocery delivery sector is highly competitive, with established players like Amazon, Walmart, and various regional services. Maplebear may struggle to differentiate itself and capture market share.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues can lead to product shortages, increased costs, and delays in delivery. Any disruption in sourcing quality products can directly affect customer satisfaction and loyalty.
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Market Saturation: As more companies enter the online grocery space, the market could become saturated, leading to price wars and reduced margins. This could strain profitability.
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Consumer Behavior Changes: Trends in consumer preferences can shift quickly. If Maplebear does not adapt to changes in buying habits (e.g., preferences for local sourcing, sustainability, or health-oriented products), it could lose its customer base.
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Regulatory Challenges: Compliance with local, state, and federal regulations regarding food safety, labor laws, and data protection can be complex and costly. Changes in these regulations may also impact operational costs.
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Technology Dependence: A significant reliance on technology for order processing, customer service, and delivery logistics means that any technical failures or cybersecurity threats could severely disrupt operations and erode customer trust.
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Delivery Logistics: Efficient logistics are crucial for a grocery delivery service. Rising fuel costs, labor shortages, and challenges with last-mile delivery can hinder service efficiency and lead to increased costs.
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Financial Sustainability: If the company is investing heavily in growth without a clear path to profitability, it may face financial challenges. Raising capital might become more difficult if investor sentiment shifts.
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Customer Retention: Retaining customers in a market with low switching costs can be challenging. If the company fails to provide a superior customer experience, customers may easily switch to competitors.
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Economic Factors: Macroeconomic conditions such as inflation, recession, or changes in disposable income can affect consumer spending on groceries. Price sensitivity could lead customers to shift towards lower-cost alternatives.
By proactively addressing these risks and challenges through strategic planning and adaptability, Maplebear Inc. can position itself for sustainable growth in the evolving marketplace.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Maplebear Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Maplebear Inc
Current Assets | 2.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.3B |
Receivables | 949m |
Other Current Assets | 252m |
Non-Current Assets | 1.4B |
PP&E | 215m |
Intangibles | 376m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 826m |
Current Liabilities | 820m |
Accounts Payable | 69m |
Accrued Liabilities | 542m |
Other Current Liabilities | 209m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 50m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 50m |
Earnings Waterfall
Maplebear Inc
Revenue
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3.3B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-1.1B
USD
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Gross Profit
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2.2B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.8B
USD
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Operating Income
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380m
USD
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Other Expenses
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59m
USD
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Net Income
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439m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Maplebear Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Instacart's Q3 results demonstrate robust performance, with gross transaction value (GTV) rising 11% year-over-year, outpacing expectations. The company anticipates Q4 GTV between $8.5 billion and $8.65 billion, reflecting an 8-10% growth rate. Adjusted EBITDA is projected at $230-$240 million, showcasing strong profitability as operating cash flow surged 67%. Ongoing investments in technology and advertising powered the revenue increase, even as some larger clients reduced spending. Management highlights emerging brands driving faster growth, reinforcing their commitment to building customer loyalty and increasing affordability. Forward-looking initiatives aim to enhance service offerings as Instacart solidifies its market position.
What is Earnings Call?
CART Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Maplebear Inc's profitability score is 36/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Maplebear Inc's profitability score is 36/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CART Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Maplebear Inc's solvency score is 78/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Maplebear Inc's solvency score is 78/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CART Price Targets Summary
Maplebear Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CART is 51.66 USD with a low forecast of 38.7 USD and a high forecast of 63 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CART is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
CART Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
Maplebear Inc., doing business as Instacart, is an American delivery company based in San Francisco that operates a grocery delivery and pick-up service in the United States and Canada. The company offers its services via a website and mobile app, allowing customers to order groceries from participating retailers with the shopping being done by a personal shopper. Orders are fulfilled and delivered by a personal shopper, who picks, packs, and delivers the order within the customer's designated time frame within one hour or up to five days in advance. Customers pay with personal debit or credit cards, Google Pay, Apple Pay and EBT cards. The company went IPO on September 19th 2023.
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IPO
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Officers
The intrinsic value of one CART stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.71 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 43.22 USD, Maplebear Inc is Overvalued by 50%.