AeroVironment Inc
NASDAQ:AVAV

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AeroVironment Inc
NASDAQ:AVAV
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Price: 195.91 USD 0.85% Market Closed
Market Cap: 5.5B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one AVAV stock under the Base Case scenario is 146.99 USD. Compared to the current market price of 195.91 USD, AeroVironment Inc is Overvalued by 25%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

AVAV Intrinsic Value
146.99 USD
Overvaluation 25%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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AeroVironment Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

AeroVironment Inc. is an innovative leader in the field of unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) and electric vehicle (EV) charging solutions, positioned at the intersection of cutting-edge technology and defense applications. Established in 1971, the company has built its reputation by developing advanced drone technology for military clients, most notably with its widely recognized small unmanned aerial vehicles like the Raven and Wasp, which have become essential tools for reconnaissance and intelligence-gathering in various combat scenarios. As global defense spending continues to rise, AeroVironment stands to benefit significantly from increasing demand for sophisticated drone capabilities, w...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
AeroVironment Inc

Current Assets 500.3m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 81.2m
Receivables 255.6m
Other Current Assets 163.6m
Non-Current Assets 498.8m
Long-Term Investments 22m
PP&E 76.4m
Intangibles 343.5m
Other Non-Current Assets 57m
Current Liabilities 117.4m
Accounts Payable 43.6m
Accrued Liabilities 29.8m
Other Current Liabilities 43.9m
Non-Current Liabilities 36.3m
Long-Term Debt 6.8m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 29.5m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
AeroVironment Inc

Revenue
753.9m USD
Cost of Revenue
-454.1m USD
Gross Profit
299.7m USD
Operating Expenses
-231.2m USD
Operating Income
68.5m USD
Other Expenses
-9.6m USD
Net Income
58.9m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
AeroVironment Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

AeroVironment reported a record first quarter revenue of $189.5 million for fiscal year 2025, a 24% increase from last year. Strong demand in the Loitering Munition Systems segment, with revenues rising 68% to $52 million, contributed significantly. The company also secured a $1 billion U.S. Army contract for Switchblade drones and anticipates funded backlog growth. Adjusted gross margins remain at 45%, with overall margins expected to be around 40% for the year. AeroVironment reaffirmed its fiscal year 2025 guidance, with expectations of sustained growth driven by expanding production capacities and robust international demand.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

AVAV Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

AeroVironment Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
ROIC is Increasing
48/100
Profitability
Score

AeroVironment Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

AVAV Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

AeroVironment Inc's solvency score is 90/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Negative Net Debt
90/100
Solvency
Score

AeroVironment Inc's solvency score is 90/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

AVAV Price Targets Summary
AeroVironment Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast AVAV stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AVAV is 218.54 USD with a low forecast of 163.62 USD and a high forecast of 257.25 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
163.62 USD
16% Downside
Average
Price Target
218.54 USD
12% Upside
Highest
Price Target
257.25 USD
31% Upside
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Dividends

AeroVironment Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for AVAV is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

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Dividend Yield
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Ownership

AVAV Insider Trading
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Profile

AeroVironment Inc Logo
AeroVironment Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Aerospace & Defense

Market Cap

5.5B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

AeroVironment, Inc. engages in the design, development, production, support and operation of unmanned aircraft systems and electric transportation solutions. The company is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia and currently employs 1,165 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2007-01-23. The firm operates through the Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) segment, which focuses primarily on the design, development, production, support and operation of UAS and tactical missile systems that provide situational awareness, multi-band communications, force protection and other mission effects. The firm supplies UAS, tactical missile systems and related services primarily to organizations within the United States Department of Defense (DoD). The firm's small UAS products include Raven, Wasp AE, Puma AE and Shrike. The firm also offers the Qube, an UAS for law enforcement, search and rescue and fire department personnel. The firm provides intelligent, multi-domain robotic systems, from small and medium unmanned aircraft systems to tactical missile systems.

Contact

VIRGINIA
Arlington
241 18Th Street South, Suite 415
+18055208350.0
www.avinc.com

IPO

2007-01-23

Employees

1 165

Officers

Chairman of the Board, President & CEO
Mr. Wahid Nawabi
Senior VP & CFO
Mr. Kevin Patrick McDonnell
Senior VP, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Melissa Ann Brown J.D.
Senior VP & GM of Unmanned Systems
Mr. Trace E. Stevenson
Senior VP & GM of Loitering Munition Systems
Mr. Brett P. Hush
VP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Brian Charles Shackley
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VP & Chief Technology Officer
Scott Newbern
Senior Director of Corporate Development & Investor Relations
Jonah Teeter-Balin
Chief People Officer
Ms. Archana Nirwan
Senior VP of MacCready Works & GM of Advanced Systems Group
Mr. Jeff E. Rodrian
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one AVAV stock?

The intrinsic value of one AVAV stock under the Base Case scenario is 146.99 USD.

Is AVAV stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 195.91 USD, AeroVironment Inc is Overvalued by 25%.

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