AeroVironment Inc
NASDAQ:AVAV
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AVAV stock under the Base Case scenario is 146.99 USD. Compared to the current market price of 195.91 USD, AeroVironment Inc is Overvalued by 25%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
AeroVironment Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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AeroVironment Inc. is an innovative leader in the field of unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) and electric vehicle (EV) charging solutions, positioned at the intersection of cutting-edge technology and defense applications. Established in 1971, the company has built its reputation by developing advanced drone technology for military clients, most notably with its widely recognized small unmanned aerial vehicles like the Raven and Wasp, which have become essential tools for reconnaissance and intelligence-gathering in various combat scenarios. As global defense spending continues to rise, AeroVironment stands to benefit significantly from increasing demand for sophisticated drone capabilities, w...
AeroVironment Inc. is an innovative leader in the field of unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) and electric vehicle (EV) charging solutions, positioned at the intersection of cutting-edge technology and defense applications. Established in 1971, the company has built its reputation by developing advanced drone technology for military clients, most notably with its widely recognized small unmanned aerial vehicles like the Raven and Wasp, which have become essential tools for reconnaissance and intelligence-gathering in various combat scenarios. As global defense spending continues to rise, AeroVironment stands to benefit significantly from increasing demand for sophisticated drone capabilities, which positions it as a critical player in modern warfare and surveillance.
Beyond its robust military offerings, AeroVironment is expanding into the burgeoning market of sustainable transportation with its innovative EV charging solutions. This dual focus not only enhances its revenue streams but also aligns with global trends toward cleaner energy and eco-friendly transportation options. The company’s strategic investments in research and development underscore its commitment to innovation, while recent partnerships with private companies and government agencies further enhance its competitive edge. For investors, AeroVironment represents a unique opportunity to tap into two high-growth markets—defense technology and renewable energy—providing potential for long-term value creation as both sectors evolve and expand.
AeroVironment Inc. is a technology company primarily known for its development of unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) and electric vehicle (EV) charging solutions. Its business can be segmented into several core areas:
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Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS):
- This segment includes the design, development, and manufacturing of small unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) primarily used for defense and military applications. AeroVironment's UAS offerings include the Raven, Wasp, and Puma systems, providing reconnaissance, surveillance, and target acquisition capabilities.
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Tactical Robotics:
- AeroVironment provides advanced tactical systems that leverage its UAS technologies for battlefield intelligence and support. This includes systems that can be deployed for specific military operations and situational awareness tasks.
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Electric Vehicle Charging Solutions:
- This segment focuses on providing charging infrastructure for electric vehicles. AeroVironment offers a range of EV charging products, including residential and commercial charging stations, helping to promote the adoption of electric vehicles through enhanced charging accessibility.
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Energy and Sustainability:
- AeroVironment is involved in energy solutions beyond EV charging, including energy storage and renewable energy solutions. This aligns with trends in sustainability and the push towards greener technologies.
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Services and Support:
- AeroVironment provides training, maintenance, and support services for its UAS products. This includes operational training for military personnel and technical support to ensure the effective use of their systems.
These core segments demonstrate AeroVironment's commitment to innovation within the aerospace and technology sectors, especially focusing on defense and sustainability. The company’s strategic focus on UAS for military applications, coupled with the growing demand for EV charging solutions, positions it well within its industry.
AeroVironment Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that help it stand out in the defense and aerospace industry, particularly in the unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) and electric vehicle (EV) charging sectors. Here are some key advantages:
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Specialization and Expertise: AeroVironment has a long history and deep expertise in the design and manufacturing of small UAS and tactical drones. Its experience in developing advanced technologies provides a significant edge in product innovation and reliability.
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Proprietary Technology: The company invests heavily in R&D, resulting in proprietary technologies that enhance performance, capabilities, and operational efficiency of its products. Innovations in aerodynamics, payload options, and communication systems afford AeroVironment a strong technological differentiation.
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Strong Government Relationships: AeroVironment has established robust relationships with U.S. government agencies and military organizations. These connections often lead to preferred supplier status and long-term contracts, positioning the company favorably compared to competitors.
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Diverse Product Portfolio: The company offers a range of systems and solutions, from small drones like the Raven and Wasp to ground-based electric vehicle charging solutions. This diversity reduces dependency on any single product line and expands market opportunities.
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Adaptability and Agility: As a relatively smaller player in the sector, AeroVironment can respond quickly to changes in market demand and technology. This agility allows it to pivot and innovate faster than larger, more bureaucratic competitors.
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Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: AeroVironment has pursued strategic partnerships and acquisitions that enhance its capabilities and market reach. Collaborations with tech firms and military contracts expand not only its customer base but also its technological competencies.
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Focus on Sustainability: The company positions itself as a leader in sustainable energy solutions through its EV charging infrastructure business. As environmental concerns continue to rise, this focus attracts customers who prioritize sustainability in their operations.
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Reputation and Brand Recognition: AeroVironment has built a strong brand recognized for quality and reliability in the drone market. This reputation can create customer loyalty and a preference over lesser-known competitors.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, AeroVironment can not only maintain its market leadership but also continue to grow in a technology-driven and rapidly evolving industry.
AeroVironment Inc, as a company involved in the development of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and other advanced technologies, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and market position in the near future. Some of these include:
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Regulatory Challenges: The UAV industry is subject to stringent regulations from aviation authorities. Changes in regulations or delays in obtaining necessary approvals can hinder product development and deployment.
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Technological Evolution: Rapid advancements in technology mean that AeroVironment must continually innovate to stay competitive. Failing to keep up with industry trends or emerging technologies could result in loss of market share.
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Market Competition: The UAV market is becoming increasingly crowded, with both established defense contractors and new startups emerging. Intense competition could lead to pricing pressures and reduced margins.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Like many tech companies, AeroVironment relies on a complex supply chain. Disruptions due to geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or global events (like pandemics) could impact production schedules and costs.
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Financial Stability: As a company that engages in research and development, AeroVironment faces risks related to funding and cash flow. Adequate financing is crucial for sustaining operations, particularly during periods of high investment in new technologies.
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Customer Dependence: A significant portion of AeroVironment's revenue is derived from government contracts, particularly within the defense sector. Over-reliance on a few key customers can pose risks if contracts are not renewed or funding decreases.
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Public Perception: As UAVs and drones are often associated with military applications, public perception and acceptance can be a challenge. Negative sentiments regarding privacy invasion or military use of UAVs may influence consumer demand and regulatory scrutiny.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As AeroVironment’s products become increasingly reliant on software and connectivity, the risk of cyberattacks or data breaches grows. Protecting its technologies and customer data is vital for maintaining trust and compliance.
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International Market Risks: Expansion into international markets can present challenges related to differing regulations, local competition, and geopolitical tensions that may affect operations or access to markets.
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Economic Factors: Economic downturns can lead government and military budgets to shrink, affecting AeroVironment’s primary customer base. Additionally, inflation or fluctuating currency exchange rates could impact costs and pricing.
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Environmental and Sustainability Concerns: With increasing focus on sustainability, AeroVironment could face pressure to develop environmentally friendly technologies and practices. Failing to do so might affect its reputation and market acceptance.
By addressing these risks through strategic planning and proactive management, AeroVironment can navigate challenges and maintain its competitive edge in the UAV market.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
AeroVironment Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
AeroVironment Inc
Current Assets | 500.3m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 81.2m |
Receivables | 255.6m |
Other Current Assets | 163.6m |
Non-Current Assets | 498.8m |
Long-Term Investments | 22m |
PP&E | 76.4m |
Intangibles | 343.5m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 57m |
Current Liabilities | 117.4m |
Accounts Payable | 43.6m |
Accrued Liabilities | 29.8m |
Other Current Liabilities | 43.9m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 36.3m |
Long-Term Debt | 6.8m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 29.5m |
Earnings Waterfall
AeroVironment Inc
Revenue
|
753.9m
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-454.1m
USD
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Gross Profit
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299.7m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-231.2m
USD
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Operating Income
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68.5m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-9.6m
USD
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Net Income
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58.9m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
AeroVironment Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
AeroVironment reported a record first quarter revenue of $189.5 million for fiscal year 2025, a 24% increase from last year. Strong demand in the Loitering Munition Systems segment, with revenues rising 68% to $52 million, contributed significantly. The company also secured a $1 billion U.S. Army contract for Switchblade drones and anticipates funded backlog growth. Adjusted gross margins remain at 45%, with overall margins expected to be around 40% for the year. AeroVironment reaffirmed its fiscal year 2025 guidance, with expectations of sustained growth driven by expanding production capacities and robust international demand.
What is Earnings Call?
AVAV Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
AeroVironment Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
AeroVironment Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AVAV Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
AeroVironment Inc's solvency score is 90/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
AeroVironment Inc's solvency score is 90/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AVAV Price Targets Summary
AeroVironment Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AVAV is 218.54 USD with a low forecast of 163.62 USD and a high forecast of 257.25 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for AVAV is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
AVAV Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
AeroVironment, Inc. engages in the design, development, production, support and operation of unmanned aircraft systems and electric transportation solutions. The company is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia and currently employs 1,165 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2007-01-23. The firm operates through the Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) segment, which focuses primarily on the design, development, production, support and operation of UAS and tactical missile systems that provide situational awareness, multi-band communications, force protection and other mission effects. The firm supplies UAS, tactical missile systems and related services primarily to organizations within the United States Department of Defense (DoD). The firm's small UAS products include Raven, Wasp AE, Puma AE and Shrike. The firm also offers the Qube, an UAS for law enforcement, search and rescue and fire department personnel. The firm provides intelligent, multi-domain robotic systems, from small and medium unmanned aircraft systems to tactical missile systems.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one AVAV stock under the Base Case scenario is 146.99 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 195.91 USD, AeroVironment Inc is Overvalued by 25%.