Air Transport Services Group Inc
NASDAQ:ATSG

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Air Transport Services Group Inc
NASDAQ:ATSG
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Price: 21.96 USD Market Closed
Market Cap: 1.4B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one ATSG stock under the Base Case scenario is 31.12 USD. Compared to the current market price of 21.96 USD, Air Transport Services Group Inc is Undervalued by 29%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

ATSG Intrinsic Value
31.12 USD
Undervaluation 29%
Intrinsic Value
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Base Case
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Air Transport Services Group Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Air Transport Services Group Inc

Current Assets 311.1m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 44.9m
Receivables 185.3m
Other Current Assets 80.9m
Non-Current Assets 3.6B
Long-Term Investments 40.3m
PP&E 2.8B
Intangibles 473.4m
Other Non-Current Assets 227.2m
Current Liabilities 381.9m
Accounts Payable 248.6m
Accrued Liabilities 94.2m
Other Current Liabilities 39.1m
Non-Current Liabilities 2B
Long-Term Debt 1.6B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 472.3m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Air Transport Services Group Inc

Revenue
2B USD
Cost of Revenue
-942.8m USD
Gross Profit
1B USD
Operating Expenses
-896.7m USD
Operating Income
122.6m USD
Other Expenses
-124.9m USD
Net Income
-2.3m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Air Transport Services Group Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

During the second quarter of 2024, Air Transport Services Group (ATSG) experienced an 8% drop in revenues, totaling $488 million. This resulted in GAAP pretax earnings of $10.7 million, significantly lower than the $49.7 million from the previous year, and a diluted EPS of $0.11. Despite these declines, the company remains optimistic. They raised their adjusted EBITDA outlook to $526 million for 2024, with a reduction in projected capital expenditures by more than $400 million. They also emphasized progress in leasing additional freighters and their strong partnership with Amazon, expecting improved performance in the fourth quarter and beyond .

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

ATSG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Air Transport Services Group Inc's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
47/100
Profitability
Score

Air Transport Services Group Inc's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ATSG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Air Transport Services Group Inc's solvency score is 26/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Long-Term Solvency
Average D/E
Short-Term Solvency
Low Altman Z-Score
26/100
Solvency
Score

Air Transport Services Group Inc's solvency score is 26/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

ATSG Price Targets Summary
Air Transport Services Group Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast ATSG stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATSG is 22.95 USD with a low forecast of 22.73 USD and a high forecast of 23.63 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
22.73 USD
3% Upside
Average
Price Target
22.95 USD
5% Upside
Highest
Price Target
23.63 USD
8% Upside
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Dividends

Air Transport Services Group Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for ATSG is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

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Ownership

ATSG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
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12 Months
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Profile

Air Transport Services Group Inc Logo
Air Transport Services Group Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Logistics & Transportation

Market Cap

1.4B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Air Transport Services Group, Inc. engages in the provision of airline operations, aircraft leases, aircraft maintenance, and other support services primarily to the cargo transportation and package delivery industries. The company is headquartered in Wilmington, Ohio and currently employs 5,280 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2003-07-23. The firm is a provider of aircraft leasing and air cargo transportation and related services. The company operates through two segments: Cargo Aircraft Management Inc. (CAM) and ACMI Services. The CAM segment includes the leasing of aircraft and aircraft engines. The ACMI Services segment includes the cargo and passenger aircraft flight operations of its three airlines. ACMI Services consists of the operations of its three airline subsidiaries: ABX Air, Inc. (ABX), Air Transport International, Inc. (ATI), and Omni Air International, LLC (OAI). The firm offers an array of complementary solutions ranging from flight and ground operations to aircraft maintenance and overhaul services. The company has a total in-service fleet comprised of 117 Boeing aircraft. The firm lease converted freighter aircraft to customers throughout North America, Europe, Asia and Africa. The company provides a range of air transportation-related services to its customers.

Contact

OHIO
Wilmington
145 Hunter Dr
+19373825591.0
www.atsginc.com

IPO

2003-07-23

Employees

5 280

Officers

Executive Chairman
Mr. Joseph C. Hete
President
Mr. Jeffrey A. Dominick
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Quint O. Turner
Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Edward J. Koharik III
Chief Legal Officer & Secretary
Mr. W. Joseph Payne
Vice President of Human Capital
Mr. Ernie Hayes

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one ATSG stock?

The intrinsic value of one ATSG stock under the Base Case scenario is 31.12 USD.

Is ATSG stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 21.96 USD, Air Transport Services Group Inc is Undervalued by 29%.

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