Air Transport Services Group Inc
NASDAQ:ATSG
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ATSG stock under the Base Case scenario is 31.12 USD. Compared to the current market price of 21.96 USD, Air Transport Services Group Inc is Undervalued by 29%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Air Transport Services Group Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Air Transport Services Group Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Air Transport Services Group Inc
Current Assets | 311.1m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 44.9m |
Receivables | 185.3m |
Other Current Assets | 80.9m |
Non-Current Assets | 3.6B |
Long-Term Investments | 40.3m |
PP&E | 2.8B |
Intangibles | 473.4m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 227.2m |
Current Liabilities | 381.9m |
Accounts Payable | 248.6m |
Accrued Liabilities | 94.2m |
Other Current Liabilities | 39.1m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 472.3m |
Earnings Waterfall
Air Transport Services Group Inc
Revenue
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2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-942.8m
USD
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Gross Profit
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1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-896.7m
USD
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Operating Income
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122.6m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-124.9m
USD
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Net Income
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-2.3m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Air Transport Services Group Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
During the second quarter of 2024, Air Transport Services Group (ATSG) experienced an 8% drop in revenues, totaling $488 million. This resulted in GAAP pretax earnings of $10.7 million, significantly lower than the $49.7 million from the previous year, and a diluted EPS of $0.11. Despite these declines, the company remains optimistic. They raised their adjusted EBITDA outlook to $526 million for 2024, with a reduction in projected capital expenditures by more than $400 million. They also emphasized progress in leasing additional freighters and their strong partnership with Amazon, expecting improved performance in the fourth quarter and beyond .
What is Earnings Call?
ATSG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Air Transport Services Group Inc's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Air Transport Services Group Inc's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ATSG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Air Transport Services Group Inc's solvency score is 26/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Air Transport Services Group Inc's solvency score is 26/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ATSG Price Targets Summary
Air Transport Services Group Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATSG is 22.95 USD with a low forecast of 22.73 USD and a high forecast of 23.63 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ATSG is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
ATSG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Air Transport Services Group, Inc. engages in the provision of airline operations, aircraft leases, aircraft maintenance, and other support services primarily to the cargo transportation and package delivery industries. The company is headquartered in Wilmington, Ohio and currently employs 5,280 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2003-07-23. The firm is a provider of aircraft leasing and air cargo transportation and related services. The company operates through two segments: Cargo Aircraft Management Inc. (CAM) and ACMI Services. The CAM segment includes the leasing of aircraft and aircraft engines. The ACMI Services segment includes the cargo and passenger aircraft flight operations of its three airlines. ACMI Services consists of the operations of its three airline subsidiaries: ABX Air, Inc. (ABX), Air Transport International, Inc. (ATI), and Omni Air International, LLC (OAI). The firm offers an array of complementary solutions ranging from flight and ground operations to aircraft maintenance and overhaul services. The company has a total in-service fleet comprised of 117 Boeing aircraft. The firm lease converted freighter aircraft to customers throughout North America, Europe, Asia and Africa. The company provides a range of air transportation-related services to its customers.
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ATSG stock under the Base Case scenario is 31.12 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 21.96 USD, Air Transport Services Group Inc is Undervalued by 29%.