Ascendis Pharma A/S
NASDAQ:ASND
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ASND stock under the Base Case scenario is 118.13 USD. Compared to the current market price of 127.98 USD, Ascendis Pharma A/S is Overvalued by 8%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Ascendis Pharma A/S
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Fundamental Analysis
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Ascendis Pharma A/S
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Ascendis Pharma A/S is a biopharmaceutical company that is dedicated to transforming the lives of patients through innovative therapies, particularly in the areas of endocrine diseases, oncology, and rare diseases. Founded in 2006 and based in Copenhagen, Denmark, Ascendis has developed a unique platform called TransCon technology, which enables the creation of new medicines that enhance the therapeutic potential of existing drugs. This innovative approach is designed to improve dosing regimens and reduce side effects, positioning Ascendis as a game-changer in the pharmaceutical landscape. With a robust pipeline, including its lead product candidate, TransCon Growth Hormone, currently in lat...
Ascendis Pharma A/S is a biopharmaceutical company that is dedicated to transforming the lives of patients through innovative therapies, particularly in the areas of endocrine diseases, oncology, and rare diseases. Founded in 2006 and based in Copenhagen, Denmark, Ascendis has developed a unique platform called TransCon technology, which enables the creation of new medicines that enhance the therapeutic potential of existing drugs. This innovative approach is designed to improve dosing regimens and reduce side effects, positioning Ascendis as a game-changer in the pharmaceutical landscape. With a robust pipeline, including its lead product candidate, TransCon Growth Hormone, currently in late-stage development for growth hormone deficiency, the company is strategically positioned to capture significant market potential.
For investors, Ascendis Pharma represents an enticing opportunity within the biopharmaceutical sector, particularly as it navigates pivotal clinical trials and potential regulatory approvals. The company boasts a strong financial foundation, having secured substantial funding from partnerships and public offerings to support its clinical programs. With a growing emphasis on long-term value creation derived from its innovative approach to drug development, Ascendis aims to become a key player in addressing unmet medical needs. As it advances its pipeline and explores partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies, beckoning the prospects of lucrative collaborations, investors have a chance to become involved in the journey of a company poised at the intersection of science and patient care.
Ascendis Pharma A/S is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative therapies using its TransCon technology platform. As of my last update, the core business segments of Ascendis Pharma can be outlined as follows:
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TransCon Technology: This platform enables the development of long-acting therapeutics by combining existing drugs with a technology that prolongs their action in the body. This is a foundational aspect of Ascendis’ approach, supporting the development of multiple product candidates across various therapeutic areas.
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Endocrine Disorders: Ascendis Pharma is particularly focused on developing therapies for hormonal and endocrine disorders. Their lead product candidate in this segment is TransCon Growth Hormone (TransCon GH), which is aimed at treating growth hormone deficiency.
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Oncology: Ascendis has initiatives in oncology, utilizing the TransCon platform to develop prodrugs that activate therapeutic agents in a targeted manner. They are exploring treatments for various types of cancers, leveraging their technology to improve efficacy and safety profiles.
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Rare Diseases: The company also has a focus on rare diseases, aiming to address unmet medical needs through targeted therapies that can improve patient outcomes in conditions with limited treatment options.
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Commercial and Development Activities: Ascendis Pharma engages in both the research and commercial phases of drug development, with a strategy to advance products through clinical trials and ultimately bring them to market.
Understanding these core segments is crucial for evaluating Ascendis Pharma's strategic positioning and potential for growth as they continue to innovate in the biopharmaceutical space.
Ascendis Pharma A/S, a biotechnology company focused on developing innovative therapies, has several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals:
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TransCon Technology Platform: Ascendis Pharma has developed its proprietary TransCon drug delivery technology, which allows for better control of pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics. This platform enables the creation of therapies with improved dosing regimens, enhanced efficacy, and reduced side effects, giving it an edge in the development of long-acting therapeutics.
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Focus on Rare Diseases: The company is primarily focused on treating rare diseases, a sector that often receives less attention from larger pharmaceutical firms. This focus can lead to accelerated development pathways, orphan drug designations, and potentially higher reimbursement rates, creating a niche market advantage.
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Strong Pipeline: Ascendis Pharma has a diversified pipeline, including therapies for growth hormone deficiency, hypoparathyroidism, and more. A robust pipeline can mitigate risks associated with dependence on a single product and can attract investment and partnerships.
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Partnerships and Collaborations: The company has established collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies, enabling it to leverage additional expertise, resources, and distribution channels which can enhance its market presence and operational capabilities.
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Strong Intellectual Property Portfolio: A solid IP portfolio can provide competitive barriers to entry, making it difficult for rivals to introduce similar products. Ascendis Pharma’s strong focus on innovation helps secure patents that could protect its technologies and products.
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Expert Management Team: The leadership at Ascendis Pharma comprises seasoned professionals with substantial experience in drug development, commercialization, and biotechnology operations. This expertise can be critical in navigating the complexities of the pharmaceutical landscape successfully.
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Regulatory Expertise: With a clear understanding of regulatory pathways and an established history of navigating clinical trials and approvals, Ascendis can expedite its product launches and reduce time-to-market, enhancing its competitive position.
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Market Accessibility: The company is adept at identifying and accessing underserved markets, which can facilitate quicker adoption of its therapies compared to competitors who may focus on more saturated or highly competitive markets.
These competitive advantages, when combined, create a favorable environment for Ascendis Pharma A/S to thrive in the biotechnology sector while mitigating risks associated with competition and market volatility.
Ascendis Pharma A/S, like many biotechnology companies, faces a range of risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance. Some of the key risks and challenges specific to Ascendis Pharma include:
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Regulatory Risks: As a biopharmaceutical company, Ascendis Pharma must navigate complex regulatory environments. Approval processes for new drugs can be lengthy, costly, and uncertain. Regulatory setbacks or rejections could significantly delay product launches.
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Clinical Trial Risks: The success of Ascendis Pharma depends on the results of clinical trials. The outcomes are inherently uncertain, and the company may face challenges in meeting clinical endpoints, leading to delays or failures in drug development.
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Market Competition: The biotechnology sector is highly competitive, with numerous companies working on similar therapeutic areas. Ascendis Pharma must contend with existing and new entrants that may offer similar or superior products.
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Funding and Financial Viability: Developing new drugs requires substantial capital. If Ascendis Pharma is unable to secure adequate funding through partnerships, equity offerings, or revenue from successful products, it may face financial difficulties.
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Intellectual Property Risks: Protecting intellectual property is crucial for sustaining competitive advantage. Any challenges to patents or failure to obtain patents could erode market exclusivity and impact future revenues.
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Manufacturing Challenges: The transition from development to manufacturing can be fraught with challenges, including quality control and scaling up production. Issues in manufacturing can lead to delays in product availability.
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Market Acceptance: Even if a drug receives regulatory approval, there is no guarantee that it will gain acceptance from healthcare professionals, patients, or payers. Reimbursement issues can also pose significant hurdles.
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Economic Factors: Economic downturns or changes in healthcare policies could affect funding, market dynamics, and overall demand for biopharmaceuticals.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The global supply chain can be vulnerable to various disruptions, including geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or pandemics, which could impact the production and distribution of products.
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Leadership and Talent Retention: Maintaining a skilled workforce and strong leadership is critical in the fast-paced biotech industry. High turnover or loss of key personnel could disrupt operations and strategy.
Addressing these risks effectively is crucial for Ascendis Pharma’s future growth and sustainability. A proactive risk management strategy, along with ongoing evaluation of market conditions and competitive dynamics, can help mitigate these challenges.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Ascendis Pharma A/S
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ascendis Pharma A/S
Current Assets | 627.3m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 258.7m |
Receivables | 80.7m |
Other Current Assets | 287.9m |
Non-Current Assets | 131m |
Long-Term Investments | 20.6m |
PP&E | 104m |
Intangibles | 4.2m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.2m |
Current Liabilities | 851.4m |
Accounts Payable | 99.5m |
Short-Term Debt | 432.2m |
Other Current Liabilities | 319.7m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 228m |
Long-Term Debt | 219.1m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 8.9m |
Earnings Waterfall
Ascendis Pharma A/S
Revenue
|
317.6m
EUR
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Cost of Revenue
|
-45.9m
EUR
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Gross Profit
|
271.7m
EUR
|
Operating Expenses
|
-625.2m
EUR
|
Operating Income
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-353.4m
EUR
|
Other Expenses
|
-136.1m
EUR
|
Net Income
|
-489.5m
EUR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ascendis Pharma A/S
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
In the third quarter of 2024, Ascendis Pharma's SKYTROFA sales rose marginally to EUR 47.2 million, despite a 60% increase in volume. Total revenue was EUR 57.8 million, bolstered by successful product demand. Looking ahead, SKYTROFA is projected to generate EUR 200 million to EUR 220 million in 2024. The imminent U.S. launch of YORVIPATH, approved for hypoparathyroidism, is expected in January 2025. Ascendis aims to build market share in both existing and new demographic segments, with a particular focus on adult growth hormone deficiency. The company also possesses strong financial health, ending the quarter with EUR 626 million in cash.
What is Earnings Call?
ASND Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Ascendis Pharma A/S's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Ascendis Pharma A/S's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ASND Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Ascendis Pharma A/S's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Ascendis Pharma A/S's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ASND Price Targets Summary
Ascendis Pharma A/S
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ASND is 196.93 USD with a low forecast of 154.53 USD and a high forecast of 303.45 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ASND is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Ascendis Pharma A/S is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development of drug candidates. The firm utilizes its TransCon technologies for treatment, which can be applied to existing drug therapies, including proteins, peptides and small molecules, to create prodrugs. The firm is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark with offices in Heidelberg, Germany and Palo Alto, California.
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ASND stock under the Base Case scenario is 118.13 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 127.98 USD, Ascendis Pharma A/S is Overvalued by 8%.