Ascendis Pharma A/S
NASDAQ:ASND

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Ascendis Pharma A/S
NASDAQ:ASND
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Price: 127.98 USD 4.35% Market Closed
Market Cap: 7.3B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one ASND stock under the Base Case scenario is 118.13 USD. Compared to the current market price of 127.98 USD, Ascendis Pharma A/S is Overvalued by 8%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

ASND Intrinsic Value
118.13 USD
Overvaluation 8%
Intrinsic Value
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Ascendis Pharma A/S

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Ascendis Pharma A/S

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Business Breakdown

Ascendis Pharma A/S is a biopharmaceutical company that is dedicated to transforming the lives of patients through innovative therapies, particularly in the areas of endocrine diseases, oncology, and rare diseases. Founded in 2006 and based in Copenhagen, Denmark, Ascendis has developed a unique platform called TransCon technology, which enables the creation of new medicines that enhance the therapeutic potential of existing drugs. This innovative approach is designed to improve dosing regimens and reduce side effects, positioning Ascendis as a game-changer in the pharmaceutical landscape. With a robust pipeline, including its lead product candidate, TransCon Growth Hormone, currently in lat...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ascendis Pharma A/S

Current Assets 627.3m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 258.7m
Receivables 80.7m
Other Current Assets 287.9m
Non-Current Assets 131m
Long-Term Investments 20.6m
PP&E 104m
Intangibles 4.2m
Other Non-Current Assets 2.2m
Current Liabilities 851.4m
Accounts Payable 99.5m
Short-Term Debt 432.2m
Other Current Liabilities 319.7m
Non-Current Liabilities 228m
Long-Term Debt 219.1m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 8.9m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Ascendis Pharma A/S

Revenue
317.6m EUR
Cost of Revenue
-45.9m EUR
Gross Profit
271.7m EUR
Operating Expenses
-625.2m EUR
Operating Income
-353.4m EUR
Other Expenses
-136.1m EUR
Net Income
-489.5m EUR

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ascendis Pharma A/S

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In the third quarter of 2024, Ascendis Pharma's SKYTROFA sales rose marginally to EUR 47.2 million, despite a 60% increase in volume. Total revenue was EUR 57.8 million, bolstered by successful product demand. Looking ahead, SKYTROFA is projected to generate EUR 200 million to EUR 220 million in 2024. The imminent U.S. launch of YORVIPATH, approved for hypoparathyroidism, is expected in January 2025. Ascendis aims to build market share in both existing and new demographic segments, with a particular focus on adult growth hormone deficiency. The company also possesses strong financial health, ending the quarter with EUR 626 million in cash.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

ASND Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Ascendis Pharma A/S's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional Revenue Growth Forecast
Exceptional ROE
47/100
Profitability
Score

Ascendis Pharma A/S's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ASND Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Ascendis Pharma A/S's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
High Altman Z-Score
Positive Net Debt
Short-Term Solvency
43/100
Solvency
Score

Ascendis Pharma A/S's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

ASND Price Targets Summary
Ascendis Pharma A/S

Wall Street analysts forecast ASND stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ASND is 196.93 USD with a low forecast of 154.53 USD and a high forecast of 303.45 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
154.53 USD
21% Upside
Average
Price Target
196.93 USD
54% Upside
Highest
Price Target
303.45 USD
137% Upside
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Dividends

Ascendis Pharma A/S
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for ASND is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Profile

Ascendis Pharma A/S Logo
Ascendis Pharma A/S

Country

Denmark

Industry

Biotechnology

Market Cap

7.5B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Ascendis Pharma A/S is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development of drug candidates. The firm utilizes its TransCon technologies for treatment, which can be applied to existing drug therapies, including proteins, peptides and small molecules, to create prodrugs. The firm is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark with offices in Heidelberg, Germany and Palo Alto, California.

Contact

Hellerup
Tuborg Boulevard 12
+4570222244.0
ascendispharma.dk

IPO

2015-01-28

Employees

639

Officers

President, CEO, Member of Executive Board & Executive Director
Mr. Jan Moller Mikkelsen
CFO, Executive VP & Member of Executive Board
Mr. Scott T. Smith
Executive VP, Chief Administrative Officer & Member of the Executive Board
Ms. Lotte Sonderbjerg
Executive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Member of the Executive Board
Mr. Michael Wolff Jensen L.L.M.
Senior VP of Finance & Principal Accounting Officer
Mr. Mads Bodenhoff
Senior Director of Investor Relations
Mr. Timothy J. Lee
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Executive Vice President of Product Supply & Quality
Mr. Flemming Steen Jensen
Executive VP and Head of Research & Product Development
Dr. Kennett Sprogoe Ph.D.
Executive VP & Head of Clinical Development for Oncology
Dr. Stina Singel M.D., Ph.D.
Head of U.S. Commercial of Endocrinology
Mr. Joseph Kelly
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What is the Intrinsic Value of one ASND stock?

The intrinsic value of one ASND stock under the Base Case scenario is 118.13 USD.

Is ASND stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 127.98 USD, Ascendis Pharma A/S is Overvalued by 8%.

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