Ascendis Pharma A/S
NASDAQ:ASND

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Ascendis Pharma A/S
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Earnings Call Analysis

Q1-2024 Analysis
Ascendis Pharma A/S

Strong SKYTROFA Growth and Strategic Expansions

Ascendis Pharma reported solid Q1 2024 results with SKYTROFA revenue soaring 106% year-over-year to EUR 65 million. The company maintains its 2024 guidance of EUR 320-340 million for SKYTROFA. TransCon PTH saw its first contributions, adding EUR 1.5 million from Germany and Austria sales. Total revenues reached EUR 95.9 million. A strategic focus on expanding physician adoption for YORVIPATH and advancing the TransCon CNP and oncology pipelines remains pivotal. Operating expenses decreased by 20%, with the firm well-positioned for sustainable growth and aiming for cash flow breakeven by end-2024.

Strong Financial Progress Amid Market Expansion

In the first quarter of 2024, Ascendis Pharma showed significant financial improvements, with a strategic focus on achieving operating cash flow breakeven on a quarterly basis by the end of 2024. Total revenue for the quarter was EUR 95.9 million, a substantial increase compared to the previous year. This was largely driven by the robust performance of SKYTROFA, which saw a year-over-year revenue increase of 106%, reaching EUR 65 million. The growth was primarily fueled by a significant rise in demand volume, despite experiencing some seasonal and currency-related impacts .

Cost Management and Operating Expenses

Ascendis Pharma made notable progress in reducing its costs. R&D expenses decreased by 33% compared to Q1 2023, totaling EUR 70.7 million, mainly due to lower external development costs and reversal of previous write-downs. SG&A expenses were relatively flat year-over-year, while total operating expenses fell by 20% to EUR 137.5 million compared to the previous year. Despite the reduced costs, the company reported an operating loss of EUR 49.1 million, significantly lower than the previous year's loss of EUR 143.7 million .

Product Performance and Market Dynamics

SKYTROFA continues to cement its market leadership, with the company expecting full-year revenue for the product to reach between EUR 320 million and EUR 340 million. TransCon PTH, branded as YORVIPATH in Europe, contributed EUR 1.5 million in revenue in its first quarter of shipments. In Germany and Austria, YORVIPATH is shipped directly to retail pharmacies, which removes channel inventory buildup, unlike the U.S. launch model. Initial physician feedback has been positive, and there are plans to scale its distribution across Europe and other international markets throughout 2024 and 2025 .

Pipeline and Regulatory Milestones

Ascendis Pharma has several critical milestones lined up for 2024. The company plans to submit a supplemental Biologics License Application (sBLA) for TransCon Growth Hormone for adult Growth Hormone Deficiency to the FDA in Q3 2024. Topline results from the Phase II Turner syndrome trial are expected by Q4 2024. Additionally, the PDUFA date for TransCon PTH in the U.S. is set for May 14, 2024, and, if approved, it is slated for a quick market launch. The company is also targeting the U.S. market with additional pre-launch preparations .

Oncology and Future Development

Within its oncology therapeutic area, Ascendis Pharma expects to provide a clinical update from Phase II trials for TransCon IL-2 beta/gamma and TransCon TLR 7/8 agonist in Q4 2024. The company is optimistic about the results, which could demonstrate best-in-class potential. Future development includes addressing metabolic diseases using their TransCon technology, ensuring a diversified pipeline that supports long-term growth .

Strategic Vision and Long-Term Goals

Ascendis Pharma is committed to its Vision 3x3, aiming to have three independent endocrinology rare disease products approved and continue building a pipeline in other therapeutic areas. By 2030, the company envisions each of its endocrinology products achieving blockbuster status while expanding its pipeline with innovative solutions. The success of SKYTROFA in the U.S. and the positive reception of YORVIPATH in Europe are key indicators of the company's potential for sustained growth and market impact .

Guidance and Financial Outlook

For the full year 2024, Ascendis Pharma expects total operating expenses, including SG&A and R&D, to be around EUR 600 million. The company aims to be operating cash flow breakeven on a quarterly basis by the end of the year. Financial guidance remains robust despite the fluctuations in operating costs and revenue projections. This disciplined financial approach underpins the company's strategic initiatives and supports its ambitious growth targets .

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q1

from 0
Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Q1 2024 Ascendis Pharma Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call may be recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Tim Lee, Senior Director, Investor Relations, Ascendis Pharma. Please go ahead.

T
Timothy Lee
executive

Thank you, operator, and thank you, everyone, for joining our first quarter 2024 financial results conference Call. I'm Tim Lee, Senior Director of Investor Relations at Ascendis Pharma. Joining me on the call today are Jan Mikkelsen, President and Chief Executive Officer; Scott Smith, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Dr. Stina Singel, Executive Vice President of Clinical Development Oncology; and Joe Kelly, U.S. General Manager.

Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that this conference call will contain forward-looking statements that are intended to be covered under the safe harbor provided by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. Examples of such statements may include, but are not limited to: statements regarding our commercialization and continued development of SKYTROFA for the U.S. and European markets as well as certain financial expectations for 2024; our commercialization and development of YORVIPATH in the EU and expected timing of the FDA review and potential launch of TransCon PTH in the U.S.; our pipeline candidates and our expectations with respect to their continued progress and potential commercialization; our strategic plans; our goals regarding our clinical pipeline, including the timing of clinical results; our ongoing and planned regulatory filings; and our expectations regarding the timing and the result of regulatory decisions; our ability to create value in multiple therapeutic areas outside of endocrinology rare disease and our progress towards Vision 2030.

These statements are based on information that is available to us today. Actual results may differ, could differ materially from those in our forward-looking statements, and you should not place undue reliance on these statements. We assume no obligation to update statements as circumstances change, except as required by law. For additional information concerning the factors that can cause actual results to differ materially, please see our forward-looking statements section in today's press release and the Risk Factors section of our most recent annual report on Form 20-F filed with the SEC on February 7, 2024.

TransCon Growth Hormone, or TransCon hGH, is approved in the U.S. by FDA, and the EU has received MAA authorization from the European Commission for the treatment of pediatric growth hormone deficiency. The European Commission and the United Kingdom Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency have granted marketing authorization for TransCon PTH as replacement therapy indicated for the treatment of adults with chronic hypoparathyroidism. Otherwise, please note that our product candidates are investigational and not approved for commercial use. As investigational products, the safety and effectiveness of product candidates have not been reviewed or approved by any regulatory agency. None of the statements during this conference call regarding our product candidates shall be viewed as promotional.

On the call today, we'll discuss our first quarter 2024 financial results and we'll provide further business updates. Following some prepared remarks, we'll open the call up for questions. Note, with our PDUFA date for TransCon PTH coming up in less than 2 weeks, we will not comment on our ongoing discussions with the FDA, and we will not be taking any questions on this topic today. With that, let me turn it over to Jan.

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

Thank you, Tim. Good afternoon, everyone. Ascendis is applying its transport technology platform to build a leading fully integrated biopharma company focused on making a meaningful difference in patients' lives. Two approved TransCon products and solid progress across programs, growing commercial presence and strong partnerships. We believe Ascendis is on the path to sustainable growth and operating cash flow breakeven on a quarterly basis by the end of 2024.

Our long-term commitment in the last 3, 4 years to build up profitable and robust supply chains. And the decision we took in 2023 to streamline the company and [indiscernible] leaner and more efficient organization. You can see the progress towards operating cash flow data this year. Without compromising our development and commercialization process, we believe we are well positioned to successfully deliver on our strategic goals and close out our Vision 3x3 with regulatory approvals for 3 independent endocrinology rare disease product and continue building a pipeline in other therapeutic areas.

Looking to Vision 2030, we believe each of our 3 rare disease endocrinology. Patent to achieve blockbuster status, while we also further expand our pipeline and transport platform for future innovation. We have seen validation of our commercialization approach with the ongoing success of SKYTROFA in the U.S. and are seeing it again with successful launch of YORVIPATH in Germany and Austria. In the U.S., the PDUFA date for TransCon PTH is coming up in less than 2 weeks on May 14. If approved, we expect to be ready to launch in the U.S. soon thereafter in the third quarter.

Now let me give an update on each of our programs. When we launched SKYTROFA in the U.S. about 2 years ago, we had 2 goals: one, to make SKYTROFA the leading product there; the second to drive U.S. market to become a $3 billion market. Our strategy is working. Thousands of patients are now treated with SKYTROFA, the value leader in the U.S. We have a reliable supply chain, ensuring that every patient can benefit from SKYTROFA once they have approval from the insurance company. We estimate that SKYTROFA penetration in the U.S. pediatric growth hormone deficiency patient population grow to about [ 17 ] at the end of the first quarter.

We are proud to observe SKYTROFA extend its market value leadership as the only growth hormone product to grow in value in the third quarter of '24 based on reported results. And we believe SKYTROFA will expand the U.S. go-to-market with the potential to become a blockbuster in the U.S. alone. SKYTROFA sales this quarter more than doubled compared to the first quarter of 2022, with a steady quarter-to-quarter increase in pace. We expect to continue this trend rest of this year.

With these strong SKYTROFA results, we continue to expect the full year 2024 SKYTROFA revenue will be between EUR 320 million to EUR 340 million, representing year-to-year growth of 80% to 90%.

We expect SKYTROFA sales to continue to grow through further penetration in the pediatric growth. To further solidify growth, we're also pursuing our first-label expansion in adult hormone deficiency for which we plan to submit and supplement BLA to the FDA in the third quarter of this year. In addition, we expect top line data from our Phase II trial [indiscernible] in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Now turning to TransCon PTH. In Europe, YORVIPATH was launched in Germany and Austria at the end of January, with the early launch objective of building physician experience with YORVIPATH. Initial physician feedback for YORVIPATH has been positive. Just 8 weeks in the we estimate prescriptions have been written by 55 doctors, representing around 25% of the target prescribing base with about 100 patients receiving commercial profit. And as physicians begin to get comfort with the treatment benefit of YORVIPATH in the first patient, we expect physicians to take more and more of the patient

As we expand our geographic reach of YORVIPATH to our Europe direct and our international market segment, we are supporting name patient, supply programs, and plan to provide reimbursed form to meet the needs of patients. In the U.S., prelaunch preparation are underway, including the expansion of the U.S. field infrastructure while we are waiting FDA's decision.

Moving now to TransCon CNP. Our value proposition with TransCon CNP is simple. It's to establish a treatment for patients of all ages with achondroplasia. Our ambition is to address the significant comorbidities associated with achondroplasia that impact health and quality of life as well as linear growth. Later this year, in the third quarter, we plan to report top line results for our pivotal APPROVE trial, which is measuring not only linear growth but also physical function, body composition, and quality of life parameters. We are also evaluation TransCon CNP in newborns with less than 2 years of age.

We believe that treatment contemplation with TransCon CNP as early as possible might mitigate associated comorbidities. In addition, to provide catch-up growth to we did not receive early treatment. We are evaluating TransCon CNP in combination with TransCon growth tumor. We expect to enroll all patients in this quarter and provide 26-week top line data for this line into fourth quarter of this year.

This is our integrated approach to address achondroplasia with multiple trials that are all building towards one goal: to treat the disease. And we are optimistic that our highly differentiated product candidate will continue to show best-in-class potential across these multiple studies.

Switching now to oncology. Both TransCon IL-2 beta/gamma and TransCon TLR 7/8 Agonist has showed promising clinical activity as monotherapy and in combination treatment with pembro. In that patient, both disease has progressed after standard of care treatments. Next month at ASCO, we will report updated patient data from the ongoing Phase I/II trial. I believe that has been reported last year at ESMO. We will present updated clinical data, a new biomarker data that further differentiates our clinical program. We will also report promising early data from the ongoing expansion cohort of patients with melanoma, who have progressed from checkpoint EBITDA using the combination of TransCon IL-2 beta/gamma and TransCon TLR Agonist disease patients.

Later this year, in the fourth quarter, we expect data in several well-defined aging population from our TransCon IL-2 beta/gamma and TransCon TLR 7/8 programs. Our achievement this quarter give me further confidence that all the elements are in place to fulfill our strategic goal to deliver 3 independent endocrinology rare disease product, and a strong pipeline industrial oncology, ophthalmology, and metabolic diseases with much more to come. I will now turn it over to Scott.

S
Scott Smith
executive

Thanks, Jan. In Q1, we demonstrated significant financial progress toward our goal of becoming operating cash flow breakeven on a quarterly basis by the end of 2024. I will touch on some key points surrounding our financial results, but for further details, please refer to our 6-K filed today. SKYTROFA revenue for the first quarter of 2024 was EUR 65 million compared to EUR 31.6 million reported in the first quarter of 2023, an increase of 106% year-over-year. This growth was driven by a significant increase in demand volume, more than doubling compared to the prior year period with a slight offset by a combination of slower channel build, coverage mix, and a modest negative currency impact of EUR 0.8 million.

On a sequential basis, first quarter SKYTROFA revenue increased 1% compared to the fourth quarter of 2023. Strong mid-teens percent demand volume growth was offset primarily by seasonal channel inventory, co-pay resets, insurance reauthorizations, and a modest negative currency impact of EUR 0.6 million. Q1 was in line with our high internal expectations and with seasonal headwinds behind and the steady pace of new patient adds expected to persist. We continue to expect full year SKYTROFA revenue to be in the range of EUR 320 million to EUR 340 million at average 2023 exchange rates.

Shifting to TransCon PTH. YORVIPATH contributed for the first time this quarter with revenue of EUR 1.5 million, representing 2 months of shipments. In Germany and Austria, we ship directly to retail pharmacies for patient pickup. And as a result, there is no channel inventory buildup compared to a typical U.S. launch like we saw with SKYTROFA, where specialty pharmacies hold channel inventory. Closing out the top line, total revenue for the first quarter was EUR 95.9 million, including EUR 24.8 million of noncash license revenue recognized in relation to the formation of and EUR 3 million of service revenue related to Iconas, which is offset in operating expenses.

Turning to expenses. R&D costs in the first quarter totaled EUR 70.7 million compared to EUR 106.1 million during the first quarter of 2023. The 33% decline was largely tied to lower external development costs for TransCon Growth Hormone and TransCon PTH, including a reversal of prior period write-downs of prelaunch inventories as well as oncology programs, partially offset by an increase in TransCon CNP costs. Sequentially, R&D costs declined 22%.

Sorry, SG&A expenses in the quarter totaled EUR 66.8 million, essentially flat compared to EUR 66.5 million during the first quarter of 2023. Higher employee costs, including the impact from commercial expansion, was partially offset by lower external prelaunch and administrative expenses. Sequentially, SG&A expenses increased 4%. Total operating expenses were EUR 137.5 million for the first quarter, a 20% decrease compared to the EUR 172.7 million during the first quarter of 2023.

Sequentially, operating expenses declined 11%. Overall, our operating loss in the first quarter totaled EUR 49.1 million compared to an operating loss of EUR 143.7 million during the first quarter of 2023 as a result of increased revenue and lower operating expenses. Sequentially, operating loss increased 34%. Finance expense in the quarter was EUR 77.2 million compared to EUR 8.4 million expense in the fourth quarter of last year. This higher finance expense was largely driven by a noncash derivative loss tied to our outstanding convertible notes.

Quick comment on the balance sheet. As of March 31, 2024, due to amended IFRS rules, which came into effect on January 1, 2024, you'll notice our convertible notes with face value of USD 575 million are now reported as current liabilities even though they do not mature until April 2028 and would not require cash settlement in case of conversion by holders. IFRS still requires the carrying value of the convertible notes and associated derivative liabilities to be presented separately within current liabilities, which together total EUR 622 million.

As per IFRS rules, comparative amounts have been reclassified to reflect the change in presentation. The applied amendments had no other impact on the financial statements. We ended the first quarter with cash and cash equivalents totaling EUR 320 million. And for the full year 2024, based on current plans, we expect SKYTROFA revenue to be in the range of $320 million to $340 million at average 2023 exchange rates. We expect total operating expenses, SG&A and R&D to be approximately EUR 600 million, and we expect to be operating cash flow breakeven on a quarterly basis by the end of 2024.

Let me now also highlight selected key milestones. For TransCon Growth Hormone, we now plan to submit an SBLA to FDA for adult GHD in the third quarter of 2024 compared to the previous plan of Q2. And we expect to report top line results from our Phase II Turner syndrome trial in the fourth quarter of 2024. For TransCon PTH, in the U.S., our PDUFA date is May 14, 2024. If approved, we plan to launch it as over path as quickly as possible thereafter. Outside the U.S., with the commercial rollout of YORVIPATH underway in Germany and Austria, we plan to roll out YORVIPATH in our Europe direct and international markets segments throughout 2024 and 2025.

For TransCon C&P, we expect to report top line results from the pivotal APPROACH trial as well as submit our NDA for treatment of children with achondroplasia, both in the fourth quarter of 2024, and also report week 26 top line data from the COACH trial in combination with TransCon Growth Hormone, also in the fourth quarter of 2024. Within our oncology therapeutic area, during the fourth quarter of 2024, we plan to provide a clinical update from the Phase II indication-specific dose expansion cohorts from our TransCon IL-2 beta/gamma and TransCon TLR 7/8 agonist clinical trials. With that, operator, we are now ready to take questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Jessica Fye with JPMorgan.

J
Jessica Fye
analyst

I was hoping you could talk about how April looked for YORVIPATH in Europe and maybe elaborate a little more on some of those 1Q dynamics you mentioned for SKYTROFA.

S
Scott Smith
executive

Yes. So related to the Q1 dynamics, what we -- for SKYTROFA, I'll take the second part first. What we saw would be -- I would describe as a typical seasonality that you would see with other maturing launches, where coverage updates at the beginning of the year led to insurance reauthorizations, co-pay resets and also led to a slightly different mix in the channel. And the -- our channel partners basically updated their inventories as appropriate. And it feels like those basically all cleared out by the end of February.

And then on the first question related to the development of YORVIPATH in April, we continue to -- as we said, we'll come out with an update overall in revenue later this year. But essentially, we're pretty happy with the results of the launch with the primary goals that Jan laid out in his prepared remarks.

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

So yes, just to give you a little bit of flavor from our own expectations. We long structure in the typical way that -- sorry, you're perhaps inside the German market, Austrian market, up from this assumption that we're adapting to the German market. And what we typically will see and what we hope for was to get a broad prescriber base.

The board prescriber base, we expected them to take typical 1 to 2 patients on treatment. Then they get really good feedback, seeing really the unique benefit of this. And as soon as we are really getting over that some comfort period where they really get the comfort, you take more, more on treatment. So when we saw -- when we got 25% of our target position already in 8 weeks to prescription. I believe it was some of the most successful launch I have seen. We have not in ourselves imagine that.

The number of patients we're seeing is around 100, meaning that there is a few physicians that started early in our ERP program or Germany. Some of them are up on 20, 30 patients already now because they already had building up discomfort on how really this product are giving unique benefit to the patients. So this is why we were really feeling this is really the stuff we had hoped for, the start where we're looking on the different KPI, it really turned out to what we wanted to see and what we hope for.

S
Scott Smith
executive

And just to reiterate, the results are essentially sales direct to the patient. They go to the retail pharmacy, the patient picks up. There's no channel inventory with YORVIPATH.

Operator

Our next question comes from David Lebowitz with Citi.

D
David Lebowitz
analyst

If you jump back about a year and when you were in the runup to your YORVIPATH's potential approval or a regulatory setback, could you juxtapose your current -- the current status of your sales preparation, what the market looks like now versus what it looks like then and how you see things similarly or differently?

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

I believe we are in a much, much better place. First of all, the awareness of hypopara has been really been coming to a much better awareness levels where a physician and a patient just in the effort win, if you really want to hear the patient voice was the YouTube that is reflecting how the patient explains the unmet medical need that is in hyperpara to the FDA Advisory Board. And I think that is only one element of it, why I believe we are in a much, much better place.

And I think the realization of the unmet medical need we have already and always seen up from the patient. But I think the awareness is on a much, much better level today. And I think this is why when we see our success with the initial part of our launch in Germany, Austria. We know we can repeat that in all our EU direct as soon as we get fully reimbursed in these countries, mainly end of this year in the beginning of next year and during '25.

We see it already coming in for the international market, mainly to [indiscernible] programs, which are patient-driven program precision drilling program. So the general awareness about the unmet medical need in hypopara, I believe, and has really, really gone to a stage where I hope we really can understand this unmet medical need to a much better way.

One thing that I also have driven is the new guidelines that came up from U.S. and other places, really describing how basic therapy, basic, not providing an optimal treatment, if you can call it a treatment, I was basically saying that is a balance between treatment for short-term symptoms and to avoid long-term complications and you can never get that right. So it basically are in a position that the recommendation of PTH therapy is really the way to treat this disease, which are pretty obvious when you treat insulin diseases with not insulin like diabetes, yes, you will always treat them with insulin.

Operator

Our next question comes from Rosemary Li with Cantor.

L
Li Wang Watsek
analyst

Sorry, I should've put Li Watsek. I'm Li Watsek from Cantor. So just for TransCon PTH, in terms of payer access and formulatory placement, have you had any pushback from payers on joint clinical benefits such as hospitalization rate or kidney benefit?

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

Is that question related to Europe or U.S.?

L
Li Wang Watsek
analyst

Both, if you may.

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

Okay. I think in Europe, when we do make what we call the health economic impact of our treatment, we are integrating all aspects on how we're addressing short-term symptoms, the benefit of the patient to have a normal life again, benefit of having advanced calcium. And more important, the quality of life, this patient's experience immediately after starting treatment.

The other part is what we call the long-term risk. One part of the long-term risk is what we call rent impairment, real damage. That is why long-term complication like cardiovascular impact, that is calcification and a lot of different organs, cataract and other thing you're also achieving and will get with hyperpara just dependent on time. All of this element is being built into our health economic evaluation that we are providing to each single European countries to be quite sure that we're getting the right reimbursement on right prices. So it's basically built on the European way of really being responsible in our pricing, where we have a health economic calculation on how we basically are providing both a benefit to the patient, the benefit to really to the society in helping the patient on a reasonable, accessible cost.

Operator

Our next question comes from Joseph Schwartz with Leerink Partners.

J
Joseph Schwartz
analyst

I was wondering if you could talk about how many physicians in the U.S. have had experience with YORVIPATH in the EAP versus how many you'll be going out to de novo once it's hopefully launched commercially soon? And could you also talk about how many of the physicians who might be targets for using YORVIPATH and their patients have you been interacting with for SKYTROFA already?

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

I think the first question was reflecting YORVIPATH and the U.S. ERP program. And what I can do, I can give you the general aspect of our ERP program. The general aspect of our U.S. ERP program because it's very, very different compared to what we had in Europe, which now have been stopped after we got our approval and got good commercial in Germany. Our ERP program in U.S. is only addressing patients that really are experience, meaning is that it's at 3%, 4%, 5% subset of patients of hyperpara that basically are electable to come into our ERP program.

The ERP program is a very difficult program for basic last academic institution to handle. So because of contracting and the incentive for them is not high because it's not really a big program for the decision. So therefore, you will always find a subset of this site that typical has a lot of patients in hypopar will not really be part of such an program. It will only be more private side, small side. We are extremely enthusiastic about what we have seen with our ERP program, and the treatment benefit that we have observed in our clinical trial, both Phase II and Phase III has been 100% confirmed what we have seen from the ERP program and the patient experience there.

J
Joseph Schwartz
analyst

Okay. And so how many new sites will you have to go to then that are -- that treat hypoparathyroidism patients who have not had experience in the EAP or with using SKYTROFA?

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

SKYTROFA, we don't have any ERP site at all in this way. SKYTROFA didn't ever had any ERP program running. So from that perspective, it's really hard to compare these 2.

J
Joseph Schwartz
analyst

I meant commercial SKYTROFA or the EAP for YORVIPATH. I'm just trying to get a sense of the footprint now, how much overlap there is with -- between the 2 products that you'll have shortly.

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

You will basically say that is not [indiscernible] or lab in directly to the physician prescription phase because it's typical more specialist sites that take care of both sides. One of them is, for example, a pediatric first indication. The other one is an adult indication. So when you look at the overlap for that, that is there is not a large overlap.

And I can -- I'm not seeing any data where I will indicate support and saying there's a big area. Whether it's a great overlap, it's 80%, 90% of the commercial effort that basic are built on taking the same endocrinology product out in the same infrastructure. And what we basically are building, we are building independent sales forces that really made exactly the right decision to have the most prescribing decision being covered as fast as possible.

Operator

Our next question comes from Gavin Clark-Gartner with Evercore ISI.

G
Gavin Clark-Gartner
analyst

Congrats on the progress. I'm just wondering out of the 100 YORVIPATH patients in Germany, how many of these were previously on NATPAR -- and was this in line with your expectations heading in?

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

I will say surprisingly, we see many more naive patients that we actually have solved, we will see. So this is one of the surprises we have seen that the physician basic are looking on the patients and saying is we have so many on patients that not have been in treatment, that we also are focused on taking the new patient into the treatment regime. And I have to say there was one of the surprises, at least for me, where I would believe that it was initially just a change of the par patient, but we have seen many more patients that we actually expected.

Operator

Kelly Shi with Jefferies, your line is open.

D
Dingding Shi
analyst

On SKYTROFA, could you provide your perspective into the competitive landscape, given that to other long-acting gross hormone commercial products out there. And one of them, if we check on the scripts actually approaching schedule for both TRx and Rx. And also, like you curious like whether your launch strategy remains the same.

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

So one of the complications, at least I always have, is to utilizing the different databases you can get to get scripts. In this case, you can use this kind of data sets is to look on trends but never absolute levels because the sampling is really different with different providers. So you're only sampling a small amount of the prescribing base where you get the information from.

So out from that perspective, you cannot really compare the absolute level. You cannot compare it also because when we talk about the unit, the unit is really different between the different products. So some unit is giving -- providing you then. So therefore, if you really want to get a really effective and most solid data, you need to take each single company, go into the line item and look on the revenue basis.

This is where I get the best confirmation about data and how we see they are progressing. And there is no doubt when we look on that. For the market for the growth hormone market, it was a very difficult Q1 and what we saw really have seen how we were the only one of the reported data really have grown where everyone has declined, which is typical we'll see in the first quarter.

Operator

Our next question comes from Derek Archila with Wells Fargo.

D
Derek Archila
analyst

Congrats on the progress. We have a question on the OpEx progression this year. I guess based on the 1Q OpEx, it seems like you might come in a fair bit below the EUR 600 million guidance. So just any color there on how we should be thinking about that?

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

I think Scott is so happy today because he's really getting a good question.

S
Scott Smith
executive

Yes, Derek, thanks for the question. We've been pretty -- yes. No, we're pretty proud of our ability to basically reduce OpEx pretty significantly while growing -- doubling revenue. It's not a bad thought, but as of now, our guidance remains EUR 600 million OpEx for the full year based on current plans.

Operator

Our next question comes from Paul Choi with Goldman Sachs.

K
Kyuwon Choi
analyst

Let me offer my congratulations on the progress. I want to turn maybe to CNP for a moment. And if you could maybe sort of comment on what your market research ahead of your top line results later this year suggest in terms of how endocrinologists might be thinking about using TransCon CNP either as mutation starts? Or do you possibly anticipate switches from just given the different dosing frequency and how you're thinking about what those kind of shares might look like in terms of the launch? And then could you maybe comment on what your sort of approval requirements might potentially look like for TransCon CNP pending an approval down the road from the FDA?

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

It's a really extremely interesting question from the perspective on when we're looking on all the reserves we have done. Because the key topic and the key feedback we're getting in all interactions with physicians, care viewers, patient is addressing comorbidities. Being short is not a disease. But really to have this sign of comorbidities is really providing really the impact on having achondroplasia. And this is why we have somewhat strong focus really to address the comorbidity and also to address also linear growth, but the key objectives of our program is to address the comorbidities.

We cannot avoid a primary efficacy endpoint is linear growth because it has been established from regulatory agencies, both in U.S. and Europe. And it's really, really difficult to change that. If we have been the first, we will not have been [indiscernible], it will be addressing comorbidity as the fundamental of the disease. And this is how our integrated program has really been built up to show that in our program. And I think where we both address the linear growth but also must weakness and other things like that.

And when I see how we can already get the feeling about what it means for the patient is when we look on the quality of life questions that we have given to both patients and caregivers, how they really are adjusting the benefit of our treatment. And we also see that in our retentions. When we see the retention and our recruitment, we reviewed our pivotal trial in less than 4 months.

On site, which I access to have accept to other treatment. It got in 4 months. I've never seen that before. And this is because the physician could talk to the parents about the benefits they have seen basic on providing our TransCon CNP product today. Related to commitment afterwards, we have no comments or anything we have received from regulatory agencies in all the different places we have bring and discussed the pathway for regulatory approval to any kind of commitment.

Operator

Our next question comes from Vikram Purohit with Morgan Stanley.

V
Vikram Purohit
analyst

We just had one on the pipeline. So a few months ago, you discussed with us a novel TransCon carrier platform, and you're cited your work here with semaglutide through a case study. I just wanted to see how your internal work with this novel platform and the GLP-1 program is progressing and what the next milestones could be here that we could learn about?

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

We are extremely excited about this lead candidate that we were for when we came out. There's no doubt that once the treatment regime is the way to go, and we're building up the same fundamentals that we built up all our pipeline, I call it a pipeline because we basically are not taking the target engagement risk that you typically have when you make highly differentiated product because we're building to the TransCon technology on and cynical type molecule that basically had the broadest way to show clinical benefit everywhere.

We are progressing with that. At the same time, we also have an intense discussion about how we basically are doing the best value proposition of this compound and this era of metabolic diseases because we talk about metabolic diseases. And we will keep you updated as soon as we someday have made a decision what way are we going.

Operator

Our next question comes from Yaron Werber with TD Cowen.

J
Joyce Zhou
analyst

This is Joyce on for Yaron. In the U.S., can you talk about your planned launch strategy for TransCon PTH in terms of the initial target population and prescriber base? And how much of it will mirror your strategy in Germany where you're initially targeting roughly 1/3 of the total population?

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

I think what we're doing now is to really integrating the learning from the first country where you're launching program. And the first contributor loans is in Germany, Austria, and we're getting a lot of good learn. I have to say, we basically got confirmation about how we should do it because we basically have seen everything what we have hoped for in this launch.

So it's not like we're coming on with a completely different strategy. We are more proud about the commercial execution from our people in this region, how we basically made it exactly after the what I call the playbook. So when I come to the playbook of U.S., that is always heading up committee as our Head of our Global Commercial Operations. She's coordinating everything from U.S. coordinating into international market called leading into EU direct. Any place to be sure that we're building up the right strategic approach for basic have optimal commercial bonds on a global base. We will be here and we basically have seen really the huge interest.

I can say we have the first commercial U.S. product or person on commercial product for Europe is a person living in U.S. that took the consequence on the delay in the U.S. to basically fly to Germany and get the product out there. So we know it, we see it. We know our path, making really choose different for the patient, really get them their life back. And we really have seen how patients also see this benefit.

Operator

Our next question comes from Leland Gershell with Oppenheimer.

L
Leland Gershell
analyst

Two from us. First, again, if you could just comment on the plan for rolling out YORVIPATH in Great Britain, following the approval. Is that something you're doing immediately or will there be any delay? And secondly, in the past, you had mentioned hypochondroplasia is an indication that you were -- you've decided to not pursue. Just wondering if the -- looks like change following the data from the Phase III that you'll be seeing later this year and/or any information that may be coming up from the companies that are pursuing hyperparathyroidism.

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

Yes, U.K. is part of our Europe direct line. And we have a rollout on all our countries that is in our EU direct and U.K. is integrated in this rollout. So after we basically had the U.K. approval, which are now separated from an EU approval like other countries that we are also getting approval in now. We continue filing everywhere from the different countries. And for example, Australia, everywhere where we also need an independent approval. We will then come in and go in and do what we call typical and filing of that really are describing the health economic impact as we have done in many EU direct countries, but we're also doing in other countries.

And when we have reached an agreement with the agencies in the specific country about reimbursing price, typical will come into what we call full commercial launch. What we're doing in the meantime until we have this good commercial launch, we're building up the infrastructure, and we have done that in most of the EU direct countries, where we have a general, we have medical affairs, we have market assess teams. All that is basically already been established, and they are ready to be coming out and doing a full commercial launch that, for example, which we have done in Germany and Austria.

In the meantime a physician patient can go to a main patient program, where we can get fully reimbursed patients are built on a nametag program or similar structures in a lot of different countries. In this time frame, until you will be fully commercial, you basically can provide commercial reimbursed product to the patient to all these specific programs. So this is what we call the dual strategy we are utilizing in the Europe direct, which we also will someday implement in the international market but we will not be the M&A holder in the international market. It will typically be handed to our sales and distribution agents.

For the other thing about hypochondroplasia, it's really, really is an interesting aspect for us because we are the only company that have 2 store in growth disorders. Growth disorder is about 30, 40 different diseases. We are the only company that have a once-weekly growth hormone, a once-weekly CMP molecule with really the best-in-class properties for both of these 2 mode of actions.

So what we are doing, and that is part of our Vision 2030, making an integrated strategy, how we are going to be the leading company in growth disorder. And that is not only to address hypochondroplasia but address the other -- including the other 30 other diseases that is in growth disorder. And we believe some of them will be best treated with growth hormone. Some of them will be best treated with CNP, but also many of them will potentially be integrated in a combination therapy.

And this is why we believe why we can be positioned to be the leader in growth disorder because we have the 2 cornerstone for basic to handle all the 30 disease. So much more to come when we come up next year where we will come with our integrated strategy, how we're building up to be the leading company in growth orders.

Operator

And our last question comes from Sushila Hernandez with Kempen.

S
Sushila Hernandez
analyst

Could you elaborate on SKYTROFA becoming a blockbuster in the U.S. alone? What needs to happen? What are the key drivers?

J
Jan Mikkelsen
executive

The key driver is to continue what we're doing. This is exactly what we're doing. We are doing a continued showing, get the physician, the patient to really getting the treatment benefit of SKYTROFA, has the best-in-class product opportunity inside the group disorder. We will be helped by a lot of different things. The consolidation of the daily growth hormone market. We saw one of the major player is not stopping. We see all of the major payers with daily growth hormone stopping.

So the consolidation of the daily growth hormone, where potentially 1 or 2 players will be left in more or less in a cash segment, it's really, really, really only the beginning of it. We're still in a small part of it. We believe we have less than 20% of the growth hormone deficiency, pediatric growth hormone deficiency. We can also grow it now in adult growth hormone efficiency. We have our trial coming in now. And then we also see the more and more experienced people get up the long-acting, they realize there's only one choice. And I don't need to say that name because there's only guy that really some give the limit for this product.

Operator

There are no further questions. Thank you for your participation. This does conclude the program, and you may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.