ASML Holding NV
NASDAQ:ASML
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ASML stock under the Base Case scenario is 822.96 USD. Compared to the current market price of 787.84 USD, ASML Holding NV is Undervalued by 4%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
ASML Holding NV
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Fundamental Analysis
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ASML Holding NV is a Dutch company that has carved out a pivotal role in the global semiconductor industry as the world's leading supplier of photolithography equipment. Specialized in advanced machines that help manufacturers produce the tiny circuits found in microchips, ASML's technology is crucial for the production of increasingly powerful and efficient electronics. The company's flagship product, Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, represents a leap in precision and allows chipmakers to create more complex chips that drive innovations in everything from smartphones to artificial intelligence. Year after year, ASML has delivered impressive financial returns and shown strong...
ASML Holding NV is a Dutch company that has carved out a pivotal role in the global semiconductor industry as the world's leading supplier of photolithography equipment. Specialized in advanced machines that help manufacturers produce the tiny circuits found in microchips, ASML's technology is crucial for the production of increasingly powerful and efficient electronics. The company's flagship product, Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, represents a leap in precision and allows chipmakers to create more complex chips that drive innovations in everything from smartphones to artificial intelligence. Year after year, ASML has delivered impressive financial returns and shown strong demand for its equipment, thanks primarily to the growing need for semiconductors across various sectors, including automotive, consumer electronics, and cloud computing.
Investing in ASML is not just about buying into another tech company; it's an opportunity to be part of a critical infrastructure that supports the digital age. The company's commitment to research and development has kept it at the forefront of technology, allowing it to maintain a dominant market share and fend off competition. With long-term contracts from major players like Intel, TSMC, and Samsung, ASML holds a unique position that many competitors cannot replicate. As the semiconductor market grows larger and more complex, ASML is poised to benefit from robust trends such as 5G deployment, electric vehicle adoption, and the ongoing surge in data consumption. For investors, ASML represents a compelling opportunity to tap into the backbone of modern technology, ensuring sustained growth and innovation for years to come.
ASML Holding NV is a Dutch company considered one of the leading suppliers to the semiconductor industry. Its core business segments can be categorized as follows:
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Lithography Systems: This is ASML's primary segment, focusing on manufacturing advanced photolithography equipment used in the semiconductor fabrication process. The company is particularly known for its extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems, which are essential for producing smaller transistors and more efficient chips. The advanced technology allows semiconductor manufacturers to achieve higher yields and better performance.
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Memory and Logic Semiconductors: ASML supplies equipment and services to companies in the memory and logic semiconductor sectors. This includes support for DRAM and NAND flash memory as well as logic devices for various applications. ASML's lithography solutions are crucial for scaling down these chips and improving performance metrics.
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Installed Base Management: This segment involves providing service, upgrades, and support for ASML's installed lithography systems. The company generates recurring revenue through maintenance contracts and enhancements, ensuring that existing customers can maximize the performance and longevity of their ASML equipment.
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Research and Development (R&D): ASML invests heavily in R&D to maintain its technological leadership in lithography and semiconductor manufacturing processes. Innovations in this segment ultimately enhance ASML's product offerings and increase the efficiency of semiconductor production.
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Software Solutions: ASML develops software tools that assist semiconductor manufacturers in optimizing their production processes. These software solutions are integrated with their lithography equipment and provide crucial support for improving outcomes in chip fabrication.
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Customer Support and Services: This segment provides comprehensive support to customers throughout the lifecycle of ASML's products, including installation, training, and consulting services. Ensuring customer satisfaction and providing effective service is vital for maintaining long-term relationships with semiconductor manufacturers.
ASML's technological advancements and commitment to innovation allow it to play a pivotal role in the semiconductor supply chain, making it a crucial partner for major players in the industry.
ASML Holding NV possesses several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals in the semiconductor manufacturing equipment industry:
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Exclusive Lithography Technology: ASML is the sole provider of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, which are crucial for producing the most advanced semiconductor chips. This technology allows for smaller, more powerful chips and has become essential for leading manufacturers like TSMC and Samsung.
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High Barriers to Entry: The technical complexity, extensive R&D investment, and long development cycles required for semiconductor lithography equipment create significant barriers to entry for potential competitors. This makes it difficult for new players to enter the market and compete effectively.
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Strong R&D Capabilities: ASML invests heavily in research and development, dedicating a substantial portion of its revenues to innovation. This commitment enables ASML to stay at the forefront of lithography technology and continually advance its offerings.
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Established Customer Relationships: ASML has long-term relationships with major semiconductor manufacturers, which not only secures recurring revenue but also facilitates collaboration on technology development. This network of relationships enhances customer loyalty and makes it difficult for competitors to displace ASML.
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Integrated Supply Chain: ASML has developed a highly efficient and sophisticated supply chain network, ensuring reliable component procurement and machine delivery. A vast array of suppliers and partnerships bolsters ASML’s ability to produce its complex machines at scale.
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Intellectual Property: ASML has a robust portfolio of patents and proprietary technologies that protect its innovations and provide a competitive edge. This intellectual property is critical in maintaining its leadership position in the semiconductor equipment market.
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Global Market Leadership: ASML holds a dominant market share in lithography equipment, particularly in the high-end segment. This leadership position provides economies of scale that allow it to operate more efficiently than smaller competitors.
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Strategic Alliances and Collaborations: ASML engages in strategic partnerships with key industry players, including collaborations with research institutions and technology firms. These alliances help ASML to drive innovation and maintain its technological edge.
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Focus on Sustainability: ASML is committed to sustainable practices in its manufacturing processes, which resonates with customers increasingly concerned about environmental impact. This can differentiate ASML in the eyes of environmentally conscious clients and investors.
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Adaptability and Long-term Vision: ASML’s management has demonstrated adaptability to market changes and a long-term vision for the semiconductor industry. This strategic foresight helps position the company favorably against potential market fluctuations and disruptions.
These competitive advantages enable ASML to maintain its position as a critical player in the semiconductor manufacturing landscape and give it substantial leverage in negotiations with customers and suppliers alike.
ASML Holding NV, as a leading supplier of photolithography equipment used in the semiconductor manufacturing industry, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Geopolitical Tensions: Heightened tensions, particularly between the U.S. and China, could impact ASML's operations and supply chain. Restrictions on technology exports, such as advanced lithography systems, could limit ASML's market opportunities and customer base.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The semiconductor industry has faced significant supply chain challenges, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Ongoing disruptions, including shortages of raw materials or transportation issues, could hinder ASML's production capabilities and timely deliveries.
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Technological Advancements: The rapid pace of technological innovation in semiconductor manufacturing requires ASML to consistently invest in research and development. Keeping up with emerging technologies like extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography and ensuring they remain competitive against potential new entrants is a key challenge.
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Market Fluctuations: Demand for semiconductor manufacturing equipment can be cyclical. Economic downturns or shifts in demand for consumer electronics may lead to reduced capital expenditures from semiconductor manufacturers, directly impacting ASML’s revenue.
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Regulatory Compliance: ASML operates in a highly regulated environment. Changes in trade policies, export controls, or environmental regulations could impose additional operational challenges or costs.
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Competition: While ASML holds a dominant position in the lithography equipment market, it still faces competition from other suppliers. Any advancements by competitors could undermine ASML's market share and pricing power.
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Customer Concentration: ASML’s business is highly dependent on a few large customers, including major semiconductor manufacturers. Any downturn in their operations or strategic shifts could significantly impact ASML's revenue.
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Technological Dependency: The company is heavily reliant on highly specialized technology and intellectual property. Any failure in these technologies or evidence of IP infringement could result in legal issues or loss of competitive advantage.
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Environmental Sustainability: Increasing pressure to adopt sustainable practices could lead to the need for ASML to invest in new technologies or change existing processes, potentially increasing operational costs.
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Human Resource Challenges: The semiconductor industry requires a highly skilled workforce. Attracting and retaining talent in a competitive labor market is crucial for ASML’s innovation and operational effectiveness.
Understanding these risks is essential for stakeholders, including investors, to evaluate ASML's potential for sustained growth in the competitive and rapidly evolving semiconductor landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
ASML Holding NV
Balance Sheet Decomposition
ASML Holding NV
Current Assets | 24.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 5B |
Receivables | 6.6B |
Other Current Assets | 12.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 20.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 1B |
PP&E | 6.4B |
Intangibles | 8.9B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 3.8B |
Current Liabilities | 16.1B |
Accounts Payable | 3.2B |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 11.1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 10.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 4.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 5.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
ASML Holding NV
Revenue
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25.4B
EUR
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Cost of Revenue
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-12.6B
EUR
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Gross Profit
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12.9B
EUR
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Operating Expenses
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-4.2B
EUR
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Operating Income
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8.7B
EUR
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Other Expenses
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-1.2B
EUR
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Net Income
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7.4B
EUR
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
ASML Holding NV
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
In Q2 2024, the company delivered strong results with sales exceeding EUR 6.2 billion and a net income of EUR 1.6 billion, driven by immersion system sales. The backlog stands at EUR 39 billion, indicating robust future demand. For Q3, expected net sales are between EUR 6.7 billion and EUR 7.3 billion with a gross margin between 50% and 51%. The company anticipates that the latter half of 2024 will outperform the first half. Long-term, the outlook is positive, with burgeoning demand in sectors like artificial intelligence and planned new fabs fueling growth through 2025 and beyond.
What is Earnings Call?
ASML Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
ASML Holding NV's profitability score is 79/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
ASML Holding NV's profitability score is 79/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ASML Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
ASML Holding NV's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
ASML Holding NV's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ASML Price Targets Summary
ASML Holding NV
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ASML is 1 200.57 USD with a low forecast of 856.12 USD and a high forecast of 1 514.8 USD.
Shareholder Yield
Current shareholder yield for ASML is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
ASML Price
ASML Holding NV
Average Annual Return | 29.63% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 44.58% |
Max Drawdown | -38% |
Market Capitalization | 309.8B USD |
Shares Outstanding | 394 590 016 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted | 0.44% |
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company is headquartered in Veldhoven, Noord-Brabant and currently employs 29,861 full-time employees. The firm operates through its subsidiaries in the Netherlands, the United States, Italy, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Belgium, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia and Israel. The firm operates through one business segment which is engage in development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems, consisting of lithography, metrology and inspection systems. The firm offers TWINSCAN systems, equipped with lithography system with a mercury lamp as light source (i-line), Krypton Fluoride (KrF) and Argon Fluoride (ArF) light sources for processing wafers for manufacturing environments for which imaging at a small resolution is required. TWINSCAN systems also include immersion lithography systems (TWINSCAN immersion systems).
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ASML stock under the Base Case scenario is 822.96 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 787.84 USD, ASML Holding NV is Undervalued by 4%.