ASML Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - ASML Holding NV - Alpha Spread
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ASML Holding NV
NASDAQ:ASML

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ASML Holding NV
NASDAQ:ASML
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Price: 787.84 USD -2.22% Market Closed
Market Cap: 310.9B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one ASML stock under the Base Case scenario is 822.96 USD. Compared to the current market price of 787.84 USD, ASML Holding NV is Undervalued by 4%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

ASML Intrinsic Value
822.96 USD
Undervaluation 4%
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ASML Holding NV

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

ASML Holding NV is a Dutch company that has carved out a pivotal role in the global semiconductor industry as the world's leading supplier of photolithography equipment. Specialized in advanced machines that help manufacturers produce the tiny circuits found in microchips, ASML's technology is crucial for the production of increasingly powerful and efficient electronics. The company's flagship product, Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, represents a leap in precision and allows chipmakers to create more complex chips that drive innovations in everything from smartphones to artificial intelligence. Year after year, ASML has delivered impressive financial returns and shown strong...

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Financials
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Balance Sheet Decomposition
ASML Holding NV

Current Assets 24.1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 5B
Receivables 6.6B
Other Current Assets 12.5B
Non-Current Assets 20.1B
Long-Term Investments 1B
PP&E 6.4B
Intangibles 8.9B
Other Non-Current Assets 3.8B
Current Liabilities 16.1B
Accounts Payable 3.2B
Accrued Liabilities 1.9B
Other Current Liabilities 11.1B
Non-Current Liabilities 10.3B
Long-Term Debt 4.6B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 5.7B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
ASML Holding NV

Revenue
25.4B EUR
Cost of Revenue
-12.6B EUR
Gross Profit
12.9B EUR
Operating Expenses
-4.2B EUR
Operating Income
8.7B EUR
Other Expenses
-1.2B EUR
Net Income
7.4B EUR

Free Cash Flow Analysis
ASML Holding NV

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q2 2024, the company delivered strong results with sales exceeding EUR 6.2 billion and a net income of EUR 1.6 billion, driven by immersion system sales. The backlog stands at EUR 39 billion, indicating robust future demand. For Q3, expected net sales are between EUR 6.7 billion and EUR 7.3 billion with a gross margin between 50% and 51%. The company anticipates that the latter half of 2024 will outperform the first half. Long-term, the outlook is positive, with burgeoning demand in sectors like artificial intelligence and planned new fabs fueling growth through 2025 and beyond.

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Fundamental Scores

ASML Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

ASML Holding NV's profitability score is 79/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional ROE
79/100
Profitability
Score

ASML Holding NV's profitability score is 79/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ASML Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

ASML Holding NV's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
81/100
Solvency
Score

ASML Holding NV's solvency score is 81/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

ASML Price Targets Summary
ASML Holding NV

Wall Street analysts forecast ASML stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ASML is 1 200.57 USD with a low forecast of 856.12 USD and a high forecast of 1 514.8 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
856.12 USD
9% Upside
Average
Price Target
1 200.57 USD
52% Upside
Highest
Price Target
1 514.8 USD
92% Upside
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for ASML is .

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ASML Price
ASML Holding NV

1M 1M
-16%
6M 6M
-17%
1Y 1Y
+33%
3Y 3Y
-4%
5Y 5Y
+227%
10Y 10Y
+746%
Annual Price Range
787.84
52w Low
570.6
52w High
1 098.95
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 29.63%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 44.58%
Max Drawdown -38%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 309.8B USD
Shares Outstanding 394 590 016
Percentage of Shares Shorted 0.44%

Competitive Landscape

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Profile

ASML Holding NV

Country

Netherlands

Industry

Semiconductors

Market Cap

309.8B USD

Dividend Yield

0.84%

Description

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company is headquartered in Veldhoven, Noord-Brabant and currently employs 29,861 full-time employees. The firm operates through its subsidiaries in the Netherlands, the United States, Italy, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Belgium, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia and Israel. The firm operates through one business segment which is engage in development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems, consisting of lithography, metrology and inspection systems. The firm offers TWINSCAN systems, equipped with lithography system with a mercury lamp as light source (i-line), Krypton Fluoride (KrF) and Argon Fluoride (ArF) light sources for processing wafers for manufacturing environments for which imaging at a small resolution is required. TWINSCAN systems also include immersion lithography systems (TWINSCAN immersion systems).

Contact

NOORD-BRABANT
VELDHOVEN
De Run 6501
+31402683000.0
www.asml.com

IPO

1995-02-01

Employees

29 861

Officers

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one ASML stock?

The intrinsic value of one ASML stock under the Base Case scenario is 822.96 USD.

Is ASML stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 787.84 USD, ASML Holding NV is Undervalued by 4%.

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