Alliance Resource Partners LP
NASDAQ:ARLP

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Alliance Resource Partners LP Logo
Alliance Resource Partners LP
NASDAQ:ARLP
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Price: 28.49 USD 2.19% Market Closed
Market Cap: 3.6B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one ARLP stock under the Base Case scenario is 32.16 USD. Compared to the current market price of 28.49 USD, Alliance Resource Partners LP is Undervalued by 11%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

ARLP Intrinsic Value
32.16 USD
Undervaluation 11%
Intrinsic Value
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Base Case
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Alliance Resource Partners LP

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Alliance Resource Partners LP

Current Assets 626.5m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 195.4m
Receivables 208.7m
Other Current Assets 222.4m
Non-Current Assets 2.4B
Long-Term Investments 129.4m
PP&E 2.2B
Other Non-Current Assets 98.5m
Current Liabilities 265.2m
Accounts Payable 115.7m
Accrued Liabilities 80.5m
Other Current Liabilities 68.9m
Non-Current Liabilities 863.7m
Long-Term Debt 456.3m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 407.4m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Alliance Resource Partners LP

Revenue
3.1B USD
Cost of Revenue
-216.8m USD
Gross Profit
2.9B USD
Operating Expenses
-2.3B USD
Operating Income
654.8m USD
Other Expenses
-49.2m USD
Net Income
605.6m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Alliance Resource Partners LP

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In the third quarter of 2024, Alliance Resource Partners faced challenges due to low natural gas prices and difficult mining conditions, resulting in a revenue decline to $613.6 million, down 3.6% year-over-year. Net income fell to $86.3 million, or $0.66 per unit. However, coal sales volumes increased 6.7% during the quarter, showing resilience. For 2025, the company aims to maintain coal sales at around 35 million tons domestically and 5 million tons for export, targeting a 30% margin. Their capital improvements should start driving cost efficiencies in early 2025, signaling long-term growth potential amid immediate market volatility.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

ARLP Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Alliance Resource Partners LP's profitability score is 73/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
73/100
Profitability
Score

Alliance Resource Partners LP's profitability score is 73/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ARLP Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Alliance Resource Partners LP's solvency score is 73/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
Low D/E
High Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
73/100
Solvency
Score

Alliance Resource Partners LP's solvency score is 73/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

ARLP Price Targets Summary
Alliance Resource Partners LP

Wall Street analysts forecast ARLP stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARLP is 27.88 USD with a low forecast of 27.27 USD and a high forecast of 29.4 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
27.27 USD
4% Downside
Average
Price Target
27.88 USD
2% Downside
Highest
Price Target
29.4 USD
3% Upside
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Dividends

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Dividend Per Share
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for ARLP is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
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Ownership

ARLP Insider Trading
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Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
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Profile

Alliance Resource Partners LP Logo
Alliance Resource Partners LP

Country

United States of America

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

3.6B USD

Dividend Yield

9.83%

Description

Alliance Resource Partners LP is a natural resource company, which produces and markets coal to United States utilities and industrial users. The company is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma and currently employs 2,990 full-time employees. The firm operates through three segments: Illinois Basin, Appalachia, and Minerals. The Illinois Basin segment includes its operating mining complexes. The Appalachia segment includes its operating mining complexes. The Minerals segment includes the Company’s oil & gas mineral interests. The firm is a producer and marketer of coal primarily to the United States utilities and industrial users. The firm owns both mineral and royalty interests in approximately 1.5 million gross acres in oil & gas producing regions in the United States, primarily the Permian, Anadarko, and Williston Basins. In addition, it develops and markets industrial and mining technology products and services.

Contact

OKLAHOMA
Tulsa
1717 S Boulder Ave
+19182957600.0
www.arlp.com

IPO

1999-08-17

Employees

2 990

Officers

Chairman, President & CEO of Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC
Mr. Joseph W. Craft III
Senior VP, CFO, VP of Corporate Finance & Treasurer of Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC
Mr. Cary P. Marshall
Senior VP & COO of Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC
Mr. Thomas M. Wynne
Senior VP & President of Alliance Minerals, LLC
Mr. Kirk D. Tholen
VP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer of Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC
Ms. Megan J. Cordle
Senior Vice President of Operations & Technology
Mark Allen Watson
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Senior VP, General Counsel & Secretary
Mr. Steven C. Schnitzer
Vice President of Public Affairs - Alliance Resource Management GP LLC
Mr. Heath A. Lovell
Senior Vice President of Sales & Marketing - Alliance Coal, LLC
Mr. Timothy J. Whelan
Senior Vice President of New Ventures - Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC
Mr. D. Andrew Woodward
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one ARLP stock?

The intrinsic value of one ARLP stock under the Base Case scenario is 32.16 USD.

Is ARLP stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 28.49 USD, Alliance Resource Partners LP is Undervalued by 11%.

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