Applovin Corp
NASDAQ:APP

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Applovin Corp
NASDAQ:APP
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Price: 291.09 USD 2.32% Market Closed
Market Cap: 97.7B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one APP stock under the Base Case scenario is 110.62 USD. Compared to the current market price of 291.09 USD, Applovin Corp is Overvalued by 62%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

APP Intrinsic Value
110.62 USD
Overvaluation 62%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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Applovin Corp

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Business Breakdown

Applovin Corp. is a dynamic player in the mobile advertising and app development space, strategically poised at the intersection of technology and entertainment. Founded in 2012, the company has rapidly cultivated a robust platform that empowers developers to maximize their monetization efforts while connecting advertisers with engaged audiences across millions of mobile applications. Applovin’s unique blend of software tools not only helps app creators enhance user experience but also optimizes advertising campaigns, ultimately driving revenue growth for both parties. As the mobile app ecosystem continues to soar, fueled by increasing smartphone usage and a shift toward digital consumption,...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Applovin Corp

Current Assets 1.9B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 567.6m
Receivables 1.2B
Other Current Assets 120.4m
Non-Current Assets 3.6B
PP&E 177.1m
Intangibles 2.9B
Other Non-Current Assets 514.1m
Current Liabilities 779.5m
Accounts Payable 427.8m
Accrued Liabilities 240.3m
Other Current Liabilities 111.4m
Non-Current Liabilities 3.7B
Long-Term Debt 3.5B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 250.3m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Applovin Corp

Revenue
4.3B USD
Cost of Revenue
-1.1B USD
Gross Profit
3.2B USD
Operating Expenses
-1.6B USD
Operating Income
1.5B USD
Other Expenses
-384.9m USD
Net Income
1.2B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Applovin Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In the third quarter, AppLovin achieved $1.2 billion in revenue, marking a 39% increase year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA rose 72% to $722 million. Their software platform, mainly driven by AXON technology, contributed $835 million in revenue with a 78% margin. Looking ahead, the company anticipates Q4 revenue between $1.24 and $1.26 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $740-$760 million, maintaining a 60% margin. The early stages of their e-commerce initiative show promise, with confidence in scaling it significantly by 2025, potentially adding materially to future earnings【4:1†source】【4:3†source】【4:4†source】.

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Fundamental Scores

APP Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Applovin Corp's profitability score is 72/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Exceptional ROE
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
72/100
Profitability
Score

Applovin Corp's profitability score is 72/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

APP Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Applovin Corp's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
44/100
Solvency
Score

Applovin Corp's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

APP Price Targets Summary
Applovin Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast APP stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for APP is 128.3 USD with a low forecast of 66.66 USD and a high forecast of 220.5 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
66.66 USD
77% Downside
Average
Price Target
128.3 USD
56% Downside
Highest
Price Target
220.5 USD
24% Downside
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Dividends

Applovin Corp
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for APP is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
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Average
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Profile

Applovin Corp Logo
Applovin Corp

Country

United States of America

Industry

Technology

Market Cap

97.7B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

AppLovin Corp. engages in the development and operation of a mobile marketing platform. The company is headquartered in Palo Alto, California and currently employs 1,594 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-04-15. The Company’s software solutions provide advanced tools for mobile application (app) developers to develop their businesses by automating and optimizing the marketing and monetization of their apps. Its key elements of its solutions are delivered through the AppLovin Core Technologies and AppLovin Software Platform. AppLovin Core Technologies is foundational technology infrastructure which powers its Software Platform and, in turn, its Apps. Its Core Technologies consist of AXON machine-learning recommendation engine, App Graph, and elastic cloud infrastructure. AppLovin Software Platform is comprehensive suite of tools for developers to get their mobile apps discovered and downloaded by the right users, optimize return on marketing spend, and maximize monetization of engagement. Its Software Platform is comprised of three solutions: AppDiscovery, Adjust and MAX.

Contact

CALIFORNIA
Palo Alto
1100 Page Mill Rd
+18008399646.0
www.applovin.com

IPO

2021-04-15

Employees

1 594

Officers

Co-Founder, CEO & Chairperson
Mr. Adam Arash Foroughi
Chief Technology Officer
Mr. Vasily Shikin
Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Victoria Valenzuela
Chief Marketing Officer
Ms. Kihorany P. Jansen
Advisor to the CEO & Director
Mr. Herald Y. Chen
Co-Founder & VP of New Initiatives
Mr. Andrew Karam
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Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Matt Stumpf
Vice President of Operations
Mr. Omer Hasan
Vice President Controller & Principal Accounting Officer
Mr. Dmitriy Dorosh
Head of Investor Relations
Mr. David Hsiao
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one APP stock?

The intrinsic value of one APP stock under the Base Case scenario is 110.62 USD.

Is APP stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 291.09 USD, Applovin Corp is Overvalued by 62%.

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