ANI Pharmaceuticals Inc
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Earnings Call Analysis

Q2-2024 Analysis
ANI Pharmaceuticals Inc

ANI Pharmaceuticals Reports Strong Q2 2024 Performance

ANI Pharmaceuticals achieved record revenues of $138 million in Q2 2024, up 18% year-over-year, driven by robust demand for their lead asset, Purified Cortrophin Gel, which generated $49.2 million in revenues, marking a 102% increase. The company also raised its full-year revenue guidance to $540-$560 million. The proposed acquisition of Alimera Sciences is expected to expand their Rare Disease segment with high-growth ophthalmology products. Despite a GAAP net loss of $2.7 million due to acquisition-related expenses, adjusted non-GAAP EPS was $1.02. ANI expects continued momentum, particularly in Q4.

Strong Revenue Growth in the Second Quarter

ANI Pharmaceuticals delivered robust financial results for the second quarter of 2024, with total revenues reaching $138 million, marking an 18% increase compared to the same period last year. This growth was primarily driven by a remarkable performance in the Rare Disease segment, particularly from its lead product, Cortrophin Gel, which generated $49.2 million—an impressive 102% increase year-over-year.

Significant Surge in Cortrophin Gel Demand

Cortrophin Gel's sales growth can be attributed to a record number of new patient starts and unique prescribers, representing the highest launch metrics since its introduction in January 2022. The increasing acceptance and usage across targeted specialties like urology, nephrology, and rheumatology are strong indicators of market penetration, alongside substantial adoption in new therapeutic areas such as ophthalmology and acute gouty arthritis flares.

Solid Full-Year Guidance Adjustments

Due to the strong momentum, ANI has raised its full-year guidance for 2024 significantly. The company now anticipates net revenues between $540 million and $560 million (up from $520 million to $542 million), corresponding to a year-over-year growth of approximately 11% to 15%. Specifically for Cortrophin Gel, expectations have increased to between $185 million and $195 million, up from a prior range of $170 million to $180 million, estimating a year-over-year growth rate of 65% to 74%. Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA guidance has also been raised to a range of $140 million to $150 million, up from previous estimates of $135 million to $145 million.

Increased Operating Costs and Margins

Despite the impressive sales figures, ANI reported a GAAP net loss of $2.7 million in the second quarter, compared to a net income of $5.8 million the previous year. This shift is attributed to a 36% rise in selling, general, and administrative expenses, largely due to heightened investments in the Rare Disease segment and legal expenses associated with the Alimera acquisition. Non-GAAP adjusted earnings per share for this quarter were $1.02, down from $1.28 in the prior year.

Strategic Acquisition of Alimera Sciences

The proposed acquisition of Alimera Sciences is a pivotal strategy for ANI, aimed at expanding its Rare Disease portfolio and enhancing its presence in ophthalmology. This acquisition is expected to add approximately $100 million in durable branded revenue annually and will raise the Rare Disease segment's contribution to about 45% of total revenues by 2024. Furthermore, ANI anticipates the acquisition will enhance adjusted non-GAAP EPS by high single-digit to low double-digit percentages in 2025.

Future Product Innovations and Market Strategies

ANI’s pipeline includes the impending release of a 1 mL prefilled syringe for Cortrophin Gel, which is set to file for FDA approval in 2024, with a launch anticipated in the first half of 2025. This innovation is expected to simplify administration for both patients and healthcare providers. The company aims to continue expanding its generics sector, projecting a growth rate of high single-digit to low double-digit percentages, driven by new product launches and operational improvements.

Overall Market Growth and Positive Outlook

The executives emphasized a clear trajectory for growth not only in the Rare Disease segment but also expected gains in the generics space owing to consistent operational excellence. The company has positioned itself to capitalize on a recovering ACTH market and anticipates sequential revenue growth into the latter half of 2024, with Q4 expected to be the strongest quarter of the year.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q2

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Operator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to today's ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Results Call. Please note this call is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] It is now my pleasure to turn the conference over to Lisa Wilson. Please go ahead, ma'am.

L
Lisa Wilson

Thank you, Katie. Welcome to ANI Pharmaceuticals' Q2 2024 Earnings Results Call. This is Lisa Wilson of In-Site Communications, Investor Relations for ANI. With me on today's call are Nikhil Lalwani, President and Chief Executive Officer; Steve Carey, Chief Financial Officer; and Chris Mutz, Senior Vice President and Head of ANI's Rare Disease business. You can also access the webcast of this call through the Investors section of the ANI website at anipharmaceuticals.com.

Before we get started, I would like to invite everyone that any statements made on today's conference call that express a belief, expectation, projection, forecast, anticipation, or intent regarding future events and the company's future performance may be considered forward-looking statements as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. These forward-looking statements are based on information available to ANI Pharmaceuticals' management as of today and involve risks and uncertainties, including those noted in our press release issued this morning and our filings with the SEC.

Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. ANI specifically disclaims any intent or obligation to update these forward-looking statements, except as required by law. The archived webcast will be available for 30 days on our website, anipharmaceuticals.com.

For the benefit of those who may be listening to the replay or archived webcast, this call was held and recorded on August 6, 2024. Since then, ANI may have made announcements related to the topics discussed, so please reference the company's most recent press releases and SEC filings. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Nikhil Lalwani.

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

Thanks to Lisa. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our second quarter earnings call. We are delighted with ANI's accomplishments in the second quarter. We achieved both record revenues and a major milestone in our ongoing efforts to expand the scope and scale of our Rare Disease business with our proposed acquisition of Alimera Sciences. The company continues to rise to each challenge and goal, and I'm proud of the team's ability to drive sustained long-term growth while never losing sight of our purpose of serving patients, improving lives.

During the second quarter, ANI generated revenues of $138 million, an increase of 18% over the second quarter of 2023. Adjusted non-GAAP EBITDA was $33.2 million, and adjusted non-GAAP EPS was $1.02. Based on our strong second quarter results and the continued momentum that we're seeing across the business, we're pleased to raise our full year 2024 guidance, which Steve will discuss later in the call.

Accelerating demand for our lead Rare Disease asset, Purified Cortrophin Gel and solid growth for generics drove our robust top line performance, which more than offset the expected established brands business performance. Cortrophin Gel generated $49.2 million in revenues during the quarter, up 102% over the prior year quarter and 33% over the first quarter of 2024. The second quarter represented the highest number of both new patient starts and unique prescribers since launch in January 2022.

We continue to have momentum in the addition of new prescribers and robust growth from existing prescribers, and volumes increased across all targeted specialties: urology, rheumatology, nephrology, pulmonology, and ophthalmology. We are pleased to report that the areas of strategic investment behind Cortrophin Gel that we announced earlier this year and late last year, including expanding our pulmonology sales team, launching a targeted ophthalmology sales team, and actively promoting the acute gouty arthritis flares indication have been yielding positive results.

Our ophthalmology sales team has a strong start and drove significant growth in prescriptions and new patient starts in the second quarter. We also saw particularly strong year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter growth for acute gouty arthritis flares. Cortrophin Gel is the only ACTH product approved for this indication. As a reminder, we began promotional activities for the acute gouty arthritis flares indication in late 2023. More than 9 million people in the U.S. are affected by gout, and some of these experience acute gouty arthritis flares as a symptom of their underlying disease.

For some of these patients, Cortrophin Gel may be an appropriate additional treatment option for their flares. We have seen increasing momentum in physicians adopting Cortrophin Gel for patients with acute gouty arthritis flares who have not responded adequately to conventional therapies. We continue our efforts to enhance the convenience and remove pain points for patients starting on ACTH and the health care providers who treat them.

In the fourth quarter of 2023, we introduced the 1 mL version of Cortrophin Gel to meet the needs of physicians who desired a smaller configuration of ACTH for certain patients such as those with acute gouty arthritis flares. Today, we are pleased to report for the first time that we are nearing the completion of development of a 1 mL prefilled syringe, offering further benefits to patients and physicians. We plan to file for FDA approval of the prefilled syringe in the second half of 2024 and are excited about the potential of this product. We look forward to launching this product in the first half of 2025.

Turning now to our Generics business, which delivered another strong quarter with revenue of $74 million, an increase of 17% over the second quarter of 2023 and 5% over the first quarter of 2024. The solid performance reflected strength in our base business, coupled with contribution from new product launches. We launched 4 new products in the second quarter, each into limited competition markets in generics. We've launched 3 new products so far in the third quarter and have a number of products pending approval that we expect to launch in the second half.

We made substantial progress on bringing online the significant capacity expansion at our New Jersey site and believe all 15 new manufacturing suites and the new QC lab will be fully operational in the second half of 2024. The New Jersey site expansion will support the future of our Generics business.

Revenue for established brands was $14.9 million during the quarter, a decrease of 49% from the prior year period. The performance was anticipated and in line with our expectations and guidance. As a reminder, we noted on the first quarter call in May that we did not expect the tailwinds arising from competitor supply dynamics to persist beyond the first quarter.

In June, we delivered a major milestone in our growth strategy with announcing the proposed acquisition of Alimera Sciences. This highly synergistic transaction will add 2 commercial assets in ophthalmology to our Rare Disease portfolio and more than $100 million in highly-durable branded revenue annually. The acquisition is aligned with the M&A strategy we laid out over the past several quarters.

Specifically, this transaction will expand the scope and scale of our Rare Disease business and strengthen one of our priority therapeutic areas of ophthalmology, which is also a key specialty for our lead Rare Disease asset, Cortrophin Gel and the overall ACTH market. The deal will provide ANI 2 durable assets with double-digit growth. With Alimera, ANI's Rare Disease segment would account for approximately 45% of the total company revenues on a pro forma 2024 basis. And we expect Rare Disease to be the largest driver of the company's future growth.

From a financial perspective, we expect high single-digit to low double-digit accretion in adjusted non-GAAP EPS in 2025 with substantial accretion thereafter. Integration planning is well underway, and the transaction remains on track to close later this quarter. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Chris Mutz, our Head of Rare Disease, to discuss the Alimera products and transaction in more detail. Chris?

C
Christopher Mutz
executive

Thank you, Nikhil. We're excited about what Alimera brings to ANI, starting with 2 high-growth durable commercial products. Alimera's first product, ILUVIEN, is used to treat diabetic macular edema, or DME, the leading cause of vision loss in diabetic patients. The company's second product, YUTIQ, is used to treat patients with chronic noninfectious uveitis affecting the back of the eye.

ILUVIEN and YUTIQ are both double-digit growth assets with high barriers to genericization and significant future upside. With the acquisition of Alimera, ANI will have 3 commercial Rare Disease assets, Cortrophin, ILUVIEN, and YUTIQ, and an expanded Rare Disease commercial team covering the specialties of ophthalmology, neurology, nephrology, rheumatology, and pulmonology. A nationwide sales force of approximately 45 sales representatives will be dedicated to ophthalmology alone, extending our reach and ability to promote all 3 products for difficult-to-treat late-line patients with limited therapeutic options.

Alimera will also increase ANI's geographic diversification with its established ex U.S. footprint, including direct marketing operations in Europe and partnerships in additional key geographical regions. Earlier this morning, Alimera reported second quarter results. ILUVIEN and YUTIQ generated net revenue of $27 million in the second quarter, which represented year-over-year growth of 54%. Alimera's adjusted EBITDA increased to $6.7 million in the second quarter, up from $0.9 million in the prior year quarter and $1.8 million in the first quarter of 2024. ILUVIEN and YUTIQ are both high-growth products, and we are confident in our ability to unlock additional value through commercial synergies and execution. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Steve who will walk through our second quarter financial results and revised 2024 guidance in more detail. Steve?

S
Stephen Carey
executive

Thank you, Chris, and good morning to everyone on the call. ANI generated second quarter revenues of $138 million, up 18% over the prior year period. Revenues from Cortrophin Gel, reported in our Rare Disease segment, were $49.2 million, up 102% from the prior year period, driven primarily by increased volume on record number of new patient starts. Based upon the continued strong execution of the Rare Disease team in driving growth, we are raising our full year Cortrophin Gel revenue guidance range by $15 million to $185 million to $195 million. And similar to last year, we expect fourth quarter to be the strongest revenue quarter of the year.

Revenues of our generic established brands and other segment were $88.8 million, a decrease of 4% over the prior year period. Generic revenues for the quarter were $74 million, an increase of 17% over the prior year period, driven by continued strength in the base business and the contributions of new product launches. Net revenues for established brands and other were $14.9 million in the quarter, a decrease of 49% over the prior year period. This performance was expected, as Nikhil noted in his earlier remarks, and second quarter performance is generally indicative of our quarterly expectation for the back half of 2024.

Cost of sales, excluding depreciation and amortization, increased 36% to $57.7 million in the second quarter of 2024 compared to the prior year period, primarily due to net growth in sales volumes of pharmaceutical products and significant growth of royalty-bearing products, including Cortrophin Gel. Non-GAAP gross margin was 58.4%, a decrease of approximately 570 basis points from the prior year period and 600 basis points from the first quarter of 2024, primarily due to product mix, driven by the reduction in established brand revenues as well as expenses related to the capacity expansion at our New Jersey manufacturing site. We expect sequential improvement in gross margin in both the third and fourth quarter of this year.

Research and development expenses decreased 1% to $7.3 million in the second quarter of 2024 compared to the prior year period, and 30% from the first quarter. The sequential decline was related to expense timing and the inherent variability of R&D expenditures on a quarter-to-quarter basis. We expect R&D to increase in the second half of 2024 relative to the first half of the year due to the timing of R&D activities.

Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased 36% to $52.8 million in the second quarter of 2024 due to increased employment-related costs, continued investment in Rare Disease sales and marketing activities, legal expenses, expenses related to the pending acquisition of Alimera, and an overall increase in activities required to support the growth of our business. On a GAAP basis, net loss available to common shareholders for the second quarter of 2024 was $2.7 million as compared to net income of $5.8 million in the prior year period, driven by $3.5 million of expenses related to the pending acquisition of Alimera, and a $2.7 million unrealized mark-to-market loss on the value of our investment in CG Oncology. Both of these items are adjusted for in our non-GAAP metrics this morning.

Second quarter diluted GAAP earnings per share was a loss of $0.14 as compared to income of $0.29 per share in the prior year period. On an adjusted non-GAAP basis, diluted earnings per share was $1.02 for the quarter compared to $1.28 per share in the prior year period. Adjusted non-GAAP EBITDA for the second quarter of 2024 was $33.2 million compared to $34.1 million in the prior year period.

We ended the quarter with $240.1 million in unrestricted cash and have $292.5 million in face value of outstanding debt, which is due in November of 2027. At the end of the second quarter, our gross leverage ratio was 2.1x, and our net leverage ratio was well under 0.5 turn of our trailing 12-month adjusted non-GAAP EBITDA of $137.5 million.

Finally, as Nikhil mentioned and as outlined in this morning's press release, we are pleased to increase our full year 2024 guidance as follows: full year 2024 net revenues of $540 million to $560 million, up from our prior guidance of $520 million to $542 million, representing year-over-year growth of approximately 11% to 15%; Cortrophin Gel net revenues of $185 million to $195 million, up from our prior guidance of $170 million to $180 million, representing year-over-year growth of 65% to 74%; adjusted non-GAAP EBITDA of $140 million to $150 million, up from our prior guidance of $135 million to $145 million, representing year-over-year growth of approximately 5% to 12%; and adjusted non-GAAP earnings per share between $4.38 and $4.82, up from our prior guidance of $4.26 and $4.67.

We are reducing our estimate for total company non-GAAP gross margin by 1 point to be between 61% and 62% from our prior assumption of between 62% and 63% due to a modest change in the timing of when the new manufacturing suite at our New Jersey site becomes fully operational. This factor is short term in nature as we anticipate achieving the full benefit and efficiency of the new suites in the second half of this year and beyond.

Consistent with prior quarters, we will continue to tax effect non-GAAP adjustments for computation of adjusted non-GAAP diluted earnings per share using our estimated statutory rate of 26%. The company now anticipates between 19.4 million and 19.8 million shares outstanding for the purpose of calculating diluted EPS and continues to expect its U.S. GAAP effective tax rate to be between 22% and 25%. Please note that our updated 2024 full year guidance does not include contribution from the pending acquisition of Alimera. With that, I will now turn the call back to Nikhil.

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

Thank you, Steve. We're extremely pleased with our performance in the second quarter and the continued momentum that has allowed us to increase our full year expectation. It's an exciting time at ANI with a strong first half and the anticipated Q3 closing of acquisition of Alimera. By the end of this year, ANI will have 3 growing and durable commercial assets in Rare Disease, an expanded commercial team covering the specialties of ophthalmology, neurology, nephrology, rheumatology, and pulmonology, and a highly [indiscernible] over 20 countries. We are thrilled to unite the 2 companies with a shared culture built around similar missions of serving patients, improving lives. Thank you for your interest in ANI, and we look forward to keeping you updated throughout the rest of the year. Operator, please open the line for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question will come from Les Sulewski with Truist Securities.

J
Jeremy Jacoby
analyst

This is Jeremy on for Les. First for me is, what other drivers do you have for the guidance range aside from Cortrophin? And then also on the prefilled syringe, can you give us any more color and explain if there's anything similar to this in the marketplace?

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

Thank you, Jeremy. Thank you for joining. I'll take your second question first, which is on the prefilled syringe. Look, we continue our efforts to enhance the convenience and remove pain points for patients starting on ACTH and the health care providers who treat them. You'll remember that in the fourth quarter of '23, we introduced the 1 mL version of Cortrophin Gel to meet the needs of physicians who desire the smaller configuration of ACTH for certain patients. Now we've completed or we're nearing the completion of development of a 1 mL prefilled syringe offering further benefits, right, specifically helping patients with the preparation and admission of the Cortrophin Gel product.

And as I said before, we are planning to file for approval of the prefilled syringe in the second half of 2024 and launch this in the first half of 2025. Then your -- going back to your question on guidance and what's driving the guidance increase, look overall, we have continued to see strong momentum across our Rare Disease and Generics business lines. Both were a touch better than we had expected and hence, we're raising the full year guidance and established brands, royalties, and others were largely in line with our expectations.

Operator

Our next question will come from Gary Nachman with Raymond James.

G
Gary Nachman
analyst

Nice quarter. So regarding some of the key drivers of the strong Cortrophin growth, just elaborate how many new prescribers are you getting. Where are you seeing that mostly in what therapeutic areas? And how much of the volume growth is share gain versus overall market growth? And you called out gouty flares in ophtho, but those are still relatively small, right? So which areas are driving most of the upside in absolute dollars? And how much upside potential is there with the gouty flares indication and the 1 mL vial that you were just talking about?

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

Thank you for your questions, Gary. I will try and answer all of them. I think number 1 is on the overall ACTH category and the question around share growth versus category growth, look, and our competitor reported their results earlier this year -- earlier today, and what you'll see is, as we've been saying even in the prior quarters, that overall the number of patients that are being treated on -- with ACTH today are significantly lower than patients that were being treated many years ago.

And with the -- with our efforts and the efforts of the competitor, you're seeing for the first time the category after many years of decline are seeing category growth. So the decline slowed and now the category is seeing growth. And in fact, if you add the revised guidance that they shared earlier today and our raised guidance, so we raised guidance, our competitor raised guidance, you'll see that the -- what it implies for the ACTH category is a high-teens growth.

And there is a significant runway for the category, right? So again, we believe that the efforts of ourselves and the competitor will increase the awareness of the ACTH market or ACTH category and result in overall ACTH market growth. So for us, it's not a share capture -- it's not about share capture, it's about getting Cortrophin to the appropriate patients in need. So that was one of your questions.

The next was where did the growth come from? Look, we saw growth across therapeutic areas, both the ones we focused on at launch, neurology, nephrology, and rheumatology, and the newer areas of ophthalmology, gout and pulmonology. And I would highlight the -- so to your question on where did the majority of the growth on an absolute basis did come from the core indication that we launched with, which is neurology, nephrology, and rheumatology.

Of course, as you're aware that the number of resources that we have out there talking about our -- detailing these different -- to these different specialties is lower than what we have for the newer indications. But there is very strong growth, and I would highlight particularly strong growth, both on a quarter-on-quarter and year-over-year basis that we've seen in gout, which is proprietary to Cortrophin Gel as the only ACTH product approved for this indication.

And in addition, our ophthalmology sales team is off to a very strong start and drove significant growth in prescriptions and new patient starts in the second quarter, right? And obviously, we will build on that as we expand the ophthalmology franchise with the integration of the Alimera Sciences acquisition.

And then your last question, I think, was around how much upside is there. I think you're aware of how large the ACTH market was. Even when you add our raised guidance and the competitors' raised guidance, that's still a touch over 50% of what peak sales of the category was a few years ago. So yes, hopefully, I covered all your questions, Gary.

G
Gary Nachman
analyst

Most of it. Just that last question was really more on the gouty flare indication and the 1 mL vial and having that presentation. And I think in the prepared remarks, you just talked about how many of these patients are out there and how many could be candidates. And I'm also curious if that 1 mL vial could be used for other indications, not just for gouty flares, just having a smaller vial size.

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

Thank you for your question. Look, the addition of the 1 mL vial has been additive. It has helped us to expand usage to HCPs who are new to prescribing Cortrophin. And their first experience of Cortrophin has been -- would be an 1 mL vial, and the volume in the 1 mL vial has grown significantly quarter-over-quarter.

And look, it just goes back to our approach towards enhancing the convenience as well as addressing the pain points and needs of both the appropriate patients as well as the health care providers who treat them. So the 1 mL vial was one step in that direction. And now as we -- I was pleased to report earlier today that we are nearing the completion of our prefilled syringe to help appropriate patients. And that brings another option for enhancing the convenience and addressing the pain points of the patients as well as the health care providers who treat them.

G
Gary Nachman
analyst

Okay, that's helpful. And then just one more on Alimera. So first, I just want to confirm that you're not factoring any benefit from the deal in the raised Cortrophin guidance for the ophthalmology segment. And then just talk about the planning for the closing integration. And are there any issues or hurdles you're expecting? And anything that you need to build out beforehand just to make sure that you have a successful transition from day one?

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

Yes, thank you. So your first question, there is no benefit from increased Cortrophin sales from an expanded ophthalmology sales force baked into the guidance. As you know, we are yet to close the deal so this is for stand-alone ANI.

And then your second question around integration planning. Look, we're making very good progress on planning for the integration. First part of it is on working towards the close of the deal. And as I said, we look forward to closing the deal later this quarter. And then from a planning perspective, I think that we're making, again, good progress interacting appropriately with the Alimera leadership and team to understand what the organization, systems, and processes will look like after deal closure.

And as you would expect, thinking about, at the heart of this integration is the combined ophthalmology 45-plus sales team and how they are going to carry all 3 durable commercial assets that Chris spoke about. And so thinking about how we will organize with them, what does the training program look like for the folks that have been selling ILUVIEN and YUTIQ, for them to sell Cortrophin and our team who's been selling Cortrophin, for them to sell ILUVIEN and YUTIQ.

And obviously, with the other sort of IC plan and other support that they need to be able to in the hub distribution, all of those, integrating all of those, I think those are all the steps that we're working towards, and we're making good progress in that area.

Operator

Our next question will come from Vamil Divan with Guggenheim Securities.

V
Vamil Divan
analyst

Maybe just a couple of things I just want to clarify here. One, on the Cortrophin side, you mentioned fourth quarter, you expect to be the largest quarter of the year. Again, I'm just curious. I assume you're expecting still sequential growth from 2Q to 3Q and then 3Q to 4Q, but if you could just confirm that, that would be helpful.

And then on the established brand side, you mentioned the second quarter is sort of a good base to look at for the remainder of this year. I'm just curious if you can comment any further than that in terms of 2025. Is this sort of a nice sort of steady state or do you expect any sort of meaningful changes next year?

And then last question, just with Alimera, you mentioned now you have the ex U.S. presence that they provide. I'm curious how you're thinking about that as you think about some future business development priorities? Is expanding ex-U.S. maybe turning into a little bit more focus, given what Alimera provides you?

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

Thank you, Vamil. So your question on Cortrophin, yes, we expect to see sequential growth and that the fourth quarter, as Steve mentioned in his prepared remarks, we do expect the fourth quarter to be the highest. Therefore, there will be sequential growth in 3Q and 4Q.

The second question was around -- actually, your third question was around the ex-U.S. Alimera business and what opportunities that gives us. We're working through these and we will share updates as they're meaningful and as they develop, nothing specific to report at this time. Obviously, we're currently focused on closing the deal, integrating the asset -- the company, and continuing the great work that Rick and team have been doing. So that's on the Alimera ex-U.S. business and what opportunities that gives us.

And then the third question on established brands. Look, on established brands, we are continuing. This is an important component of our portfolio of businesses in that it is low working capital, high gross margin, and strong cash flow generation part of the business. So we are working on a number of different things.

Historically, as you know for established brands, we expand the portfolio by doing business development deals for established brands. We haven't done one since 2021 as we've found different pathways to growth, whether it's capturing the benefits of the supply tailwinds or trying innovative commercial strategies. And so we'll deploy some combination of these 3 to work through the plans for established brands, and we'll share more as we go along. But going back to your core question, the current portfolio year-on-year, you'll see some marginal decline in the absence of one of these moves being made.

Operator

Our next question will come from Oren Livnat with H.C. Wainwright.

O
Oren Livnat
analyst

I have a few questions. I guess coincidentally this morning, along with your announcement of the prefilled syringe development work, Mallinckrodt also announced the availability of their single-use auto-injector, I guess that was approved months back. Can you just tell us if you think that will have any material impact on the competitive ACTH landscape? Like are there certain indications where patient self-administration and auto-injector would be most relevant? And do you think that will have any different market access or coverage than the current relative coverage of your 2 products now? And I have a follow-up to that.

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

Sure. And thank you for your question. Look, the competitor's device, from what we can tell, is in that -- the competitor's efforts as well as ANI's efforts are aimed at enhancing the convenience and addressing pain points that a subset of patients have. So for example, our prefilled syringe is used to address patients that have -- that can be helpful for patients in preparing and administering the Cortrophin Gel product, right, in the 1 ml prefilled syringe.

And I think the way I would think about it is both the competitor and us are working or investing to increase the awareness and bring new options to patients and therefore increase awareness of the category and drive growth in the category, right? We launched the 1 ml vial, which was also appreciated by, as I mentioned earlier, by health care providers, some of whom initiated their -- who were naive to ACTH and initiated their usage of ACTH by trying with the 1 ml vial.

So again, different options for patients as well as the health care providers who treat them. And again, I reiterate that overall, this is great for the category, given that there is a significant runway for the ACTH category with the number of patients being treated today being significantly lower than the number of patients being treated many years ago.

O
Oren Livnat
analyst

Okay. And I appreciate different strokes, different folks on products and needs across the landscape. I'm just curious if you think, I don't know what dose their auto-injector is for, if it's adjustable. Do you think there are any particular areas where that will have any impact? Or do you think it's just steady as she goes with your growth trajectory?

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

Yes. I think there are probably a subset of indications where a 1 ml or a 0.5 ml dose may be more convenient to have than taking a 5 ml vial. And with this understanding itself that we invested to bring the 1 ml vial many months ago, right, and now are going to bring a prefilled syringe. And you would expect that the options from a dosing perspective, you can expect that, that will not create sort of meaningful differentiation between the 2 for now.

O
Oren Livnat
analyst

Okay. And regarding Alimera, I know it hasn't closed yet so I guess, feel free to say no comments, but since you're clearly in the planning stages, can you give us any color on potential synergies there? Maybe what sort of EBITDA margins do you hope the business can contribute versus what, I guess, they are just reporting now?

And I guess another question I have is you talk about Rare Disease. Obviously, DME is a much larger indication but you're targeting in Asia where NIU is a rare disease. Is there any opportunity to revisit pricing of these products? It seems to me that the value is quite high there and particularly in an orphan indication, the differentiation of the product, it's not super expensive in my view. Do you have freedom to make changes there or are you limited by the sort of IRA framework?

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

Thank you for your question, Oren. I think that the sort of financial outlook for the deal remains what we shared at -- when we announced the deal in that from a synergies perspective, like we had announced in 2025, we expect to see about $10 million worth of synergies. And as we're doing the integration plan and we're seeing a runway into that, or I guess there was no information that suggests that we couldn't capture that.

And then again, from an EBITDA addition, we also gave guidance on how much adjusted EBITDA we expect to add. Steve, you can jump in but I think it was in the $30 million-plus range that we talked about. You can help me with that, Steve. So that's in terms of EBITDA addition in pro forma -- in 2025. And that obviously is net of any additional Cortrophin sales and revenue synergies. It's just the additional EBITDA that we would get from the Alimera acquisition.

And then the third part regarding pricing. Again, we try to strike a balance between sharing information that is helpful as well as competitively sensitive. And we're in the integration planning stage, so allow us to come back to you with further information on that topic. Steve, can you just answer Oren's clarification regarding what we had said about additional EBITDA in 2025?

S
Stephen Carey
executive

Yes. And I think importantly, I would note in terms of our gross margin profile, right, it's going to be accretive to our gross margins. The Alimera products are in the -- at the low 80%. And in terms of EBITDA, we would expect in the kind of the mid-30s as Nikhil mentioned.

O
Oren Livnat
analyst

Okay. And just lastly, I noticed in your GAAP SG&A, you had some litigation expense in there. I'm just wondering if you're able to give us any color. Is that just on the disclosed CG Oncology dispute that we've known about? Or is there a potential Paragraph IV or 505(b)(2) IP-related stuff there? And I guess, should we hope to hear any news on the 505(b)(2) front in the foreseeable future?

S
Stephen Carey
executive

Yes. I mean, in terms of the incremental litigation, as you would expect, we're vigorously pursuing the defense of our rights in CG Oncology. And so that is an element in terms of the increased spend that we have in litigation year-over-year on a GAAP basis. That's -- I think that's the only one that we would highlight today to you. And then what was the second part of your question? I'm sorry.

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

I can take that. Yes. So Oren, on the 505(b)(2), we will share more when we have meaningful updates to give. But to your -- there's no linkage between the litigation spend and the launch of 505(b)(2) products, but we will share updates on that when they're material.

O
Oren Livnat
analyst

Congrats on another upside quarter.

Operator

Our next question will come from Tim Chiang with Capital One.

T
Timothy Chiang
analyst

Nikhil, it seems like your Generics segment revenues are actually exceeding your original targets. Can you just sort of comment on where you see expectations for growth from the Generics segment in the back half of the year? Obviously, you've increased your guidance for Rare Disease in your total revenues. But so how do you sort of see your Generics segment playing out in the back half?

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

Yes, thank you for your questions. Tim. Look, for our Generics business, the performance is really coming on the back of 3 things, right? Number one is our new product -- the cadence of new product launches, right? We've launched, as we talked about, 4 new products in the second quarter, 2 new already in the third quarter, so about 12 since the start of the year.

That, combined with our operational excellence and being a reliable supplier with strong GMP status and U.S.-based manufacturing enables us to deliver, as we have shared before, on a full year basis, high single-digit to low double-digit growth. And then you can expect towards, to your question, I think, sequential growth as we move to the subsequent quarters in 2025.

T
Timothy Chiang
analyst

And maybe just a follow-up. I mean, you cited this new facility in New Jersey. How much capacity are you actually going to be able to increase with that new facility?

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

Yes. We are adding about 15 new manufacturing suites and a new QC lab so that's a substantial increase in capacity. We've also upgraded the equipment and added higher back size equipment in there. So I don't have a specific percentage, but it's a meaningful addition to the volume that we can service out of the New Jersey site. And it will serve the growth of our Generics business for multiple years.

T
Timothy Chiang
analyst

Okay, great. Nice quarter.

Operator

It appears we have no further questions at this time. I'll now turn the program back over to Nikhil Lalwani for closing remarks.

N
Nikhil Lalwani
executive

Thank you again for your interest in ANI and for joining our call this morning. We really appreciate it, and we look forward to updating you on our progress as we move forward. Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's event. You may now disconnect.

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