Amazon.com Inc
NASDAQ:AMZN
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AMZN stock under the Base Case scenario is 125.9 USD. Compared to the current market price of 202.88 USD, Amazon.com Inc is Overvalued by 38%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Amazon.com Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Amazon.com Inc., founded by Jeff Bezos in 1994, has transformed the way consumers shop, moving from a humble online bookstore to the world's largest e-commerce platform. At the core of Amazon's success is its relentless focus on customer satisfaction, offering an extensive range of products that cater to nearly every imaginable need. With innovative services like Amazon Prime, which provides fast shipping and exclusive content, the company has cultivated a loyal customer base that bolsters its impressive revenue streams. Additionally, Amazon is not just a retail giant; its cloud computing division, Amazon Web Services (AWS), has emerged as a leader in the tech industry, providing critical in...
Amazon.com Inc., founded by Jeff Bezos in 1994, has transformed the way consumers shop, moving from a humble online bookstore to the world's largest e-commerce platform. At the core of Amazon's success is its relentless focus on customer satisfaction, offering an extensive range of products that cater to nearly every imaginable need. With innovative services like Amazon Prime, which provides fast shipping and exclusive content, the company has cultivated a loyal customer base that bolsters its impressive revenue streams. Additionally, Amazon is not just a retail giant; its cloud computing division, Amazon Web Services (AWS), has emerged as a leader in the tech industry, providing critical infrastructure for businesses globally and contributing significantly to the company's profitability.
As an investor, understanding Amazon is crucial not just for its impressive financial metrics, but for its visionary approach to technology and innovation. The company continuously invests in new areas such as artificial intelligence, logistics, and streaming services, positioning itself as a diversified powerhouse. While challenges such as rising competition and regulatory scrutiny present risks, Amazon's strong growth trajectory, unmatched scale, and brand equity make it a compelling long-term investment. With its unique blend of e-commerce and cloud solutions, Amazon stands out as a forward-thinking company that is redefining industries and setting the stage for future growth.
Amazon.com Inc. operates through several core business segments, each contributing to its overall revenue and growth strategy. Here’s a breakdown:
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E-commerce: This segment is the backbone of Amazon's business, focusing on the retail of a wide range of products. It includes:
- First-party sales: Where Amazon sells products directly to consumers, often at competitive prices.
- Third-party seller services: Amazon allows third-party sellers to list and sell their products on its platform, earning fees and commissions.
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Amazon Web Services (AWS): AWS is a leading cloud computing platform that offers a wide range of services including computing power, storage, and databases. This segment is a significant contributor to Amazon's profits, leveraging the growing demand for cloud services among enterprises and developers.
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Amazon Prime: Amazon's subscription service that offers members perks such as free shipping, streaming video and music, exclusive deals, and more. The growth of Prime has been pivotal in increasing customer loyalty and driving repeat purchases.
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Advertising Services: Amazon has developed a robust advertising business that allows brands to advertise their products on Amazon’s platform and other websites. This segment has been growing rapidly as brands seek to leverage Amazon’s data analytics and vast consumer reach.
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Amazon Devices: This segment includes the development and sales of consumer electronics, such as Kindle e-readers, Fire tablets, Fire TV, and the Echo smart speaker series with Alexa built-in. It aims to create an ecosystem that encourages customers to use Amazon’s services.
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Amazon Music and Video: These segments include streaming services for music and video content. Amazon offers Amazon Music and Amazon Prime Video as part of its subscription offerings, competing with other major streaming platforms.
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Physical Stores: This includes the Whole Foods Market chain, Amazon Go stores, and Amazon Fresh grocery stores. This segment is part of Amazon's strategy to enhance its physical retail footprint and integrate online and offline shopping experiences.
By diversifying its offerings across these business segments, Amazon not only maximizes its revenue potential but also builds synergies that enhance customer engagement and loyalty. This multifaceted approach is essential for sustaining its competitive advantage in the evolving retail and tech landscape.
Amazon.com Inc. holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals, which have contributed significantly to its position as a leader in the e-commerce and cloud computing sectors. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Ecosystem Integration: Amazon has built a comprehensive ecosystem that integrates e-commerce, cloud computing (AWS), streaming services (Prime Video), and smart devices (Alexa). This interconnectedness enhances customer retention and increases customer lifetime value.
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Brand Loyalty and Trust: The Amazon brand is synonymous with convenience, reliability, and speed. The company’s commitment to customer service (e.g., easy returns, fast shipping, and 24/7 support) fosters strong customer loyalty.
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Logistics and Distribution Network: Amazon has invested heavily in its logistics infrastructure, including fulfillment centers, delivery networks, and technology (such as automation and drones). This allows for faster and more efficient delivery systems compared to competitors.
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Scale and Cost Efficiency: With its vast scale, Amazon can leverage economies of scale to reduce costs and offer competitive pricing. This scale also allows Amazon to negotiate better terms with suppliers, further enhancing its pricing power.
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Data-Driven Decision Making: Amazon utilizes advanced data analytics to understand customer preferences, optimize inventory, and personalize recommendations. This data-driven approach enhances the shopping experience and drives sales.
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Prime Membership: The Amazon Prime membership program creates a strong value proposition with benefits like free shipping, exclusive deals, and access to streaming content. This not only increases revenue through subscription fees but also encourages loyalty and repeat purchases.
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Innovative Technology: Amazon continuously invests in technology and innovation, such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, and automation. These advancements improve operational efficiency and enhance the customer experience.
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Diverse Revenue Streams: Beyond e-commerce, Amazon generates significant revenue through AWS, advertising services, and third-party seller services. This diversification reduces reliance on any single revenue source and enhances financial stability.
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Global Reach: Amazon operates in multiple countries, providing a large international customer base and the ability to leverage insights from different markets. This global presence enables the company to scale its operations efficiently.
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Marketplace Model: Amazon's third-party marketplace allows sellers to reach a broad audience without the overhead of maintaining inventory. This model expands product selection and enhances customer experience while generating additional revenue through seller fees.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Amazon can maintain and strengthen its market position against rivals in various sectors.
As of 2023, Amazon.com Inc faces a number of risks and challenges that could impact its business operations and market performance. Here are some key considerations:
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Regulatory Scrutiny: Amazon is facing increased scrutiny from antitrust regulators in the U.S. and Europe, which could lead to legal challenges and potential fines. New regulations could affect how Amazon operates its marketplace and cloud services.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The global supply chain remains vulnerable to disruptions caused by geopolitical tensions, trade wars, and the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. These disruptions can lead to increased costs and delays in product delivery.
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Competition: Amazon faces intense competition across various segments, including e-commerce, cloud computing (AWS), and entertainment (Prime Video). Competitors like Walmart, Alibaba, and Microsoft pose significant threats, each with strong market positions and innovative capabilities.
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Consumer Behavior Changes: Economic conditions can alter consumer spending patterns. A potential recession, inflation, or shifts in discretionary spending could impact Amazon's sales, especially in high-margin categories.
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Labor Relations: Amazon has faced criticism regarding labor practices in its warehouses, leading to increased activism among workers. Strikes or unionization efforts could disrupt operations and affect public perception.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a major online retailer and cloud service provider, Amazon is a significant target for cyberattacks. Any breach could lead to loss of customer trust, legal penalties, and financial losses.
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Rising Costs: Increased operational costs, whether related to logistics, wages, or technology investments, can affect profitability. This challenge is compounded by the need for continued investment in infrastructure and technology to stay competitive.
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Market Saturation in E-commerce: Growth in e-commerce may begin to plateau, particularly in more mature markets. This saturation could lead to increased customer acquisition costs and pressure on profit margins.
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Innovation Pressure: With its focus on technology and innovation, Amazon must consistently deliver new services and features to maintain its competitive edge. Failing to innovate could lead to a loss of market share.
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Environmental and Social Governance (ESG) Expectations: As consumer and investor interest in sustainability grows, Amazon may face pressure to meet ESG standards, which could require significant changes in its business practices and supply chain management.
Navigating these risks will require Amazon to adapt its strategies, invest in new technologies, and maintain a strong focus on customer satisfaction and operational efficiency.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Amazon.com Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Amazon.com Inc
Current Assets | 175.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 88.1B |
Receivables | 45.5B |
Other Current Assets | 42.2B |
Non-Current Assets | 408.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 3.9B |
PP&E | 314.4B |
Intangibles | 23.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 67.4B |
Current Liabilities | 161.5B |
Accounts Payable | 84.6B |
Accrued Liabilities | 53.6B |
Short-Term Debt | 88m |
Other Current Liabilities | 23.3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 164B |
Long-Term Debt | 71.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 92.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
Amazon.com Inc
Revenue
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620.1B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-319.9B
USD
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Gross Profit
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300.2B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-239.6B
USD
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Operating Income
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60.6B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-10.7B
USD
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Net Income
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49.9B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Amazon.com Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3 2024, Amazon's revenue reached $158.9 billion, marking an 11% year-over-year increase, with operating income soaring 56% to $17.4 billion. North America sales grew by 9% while international sales rose 12%. The company's investment in fulfillment and robotics is driving efficiency, reflected in a 25% improvement in inventory distribution. Free cash flow surged 128%, reaching $46.1 billion. Looking ahead, Amazon aims for capital expenditures around $75 billion in 2024, focusing on expanding AI capabilities and its infrastructure amid growing competitive pressures in the retail space.
What is Earnings Call?
AMZN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Amazon.com Inc's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Amazon.com Inc's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AMZN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Amazon.com Inc's solvency score is 80/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Amazon.com Inc's solvency score is 80/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AMZN Price Targets Summary
Amazon.com Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMZN is 237.08 USD with a low forecast of 181.8 USD and a high forecast of 299.25 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for AMZN is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
AMZN Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Amazon.com, Inc. is a multinational technology company, which engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. The company is headquartered in Seattle, Washington and currently employs 1,608,000 full-time employees. The products offered through its stores include merchandise and content that it purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. The company also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablet, Fire TV, Echo, and Ring, and it develops and produces media content. The company operates through three segments: North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The AWS segment consists of global sales of compute, storage, database, and other services for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company provides advertising services to sellers, vendors, publishers, authors, and others, through programs, such as sponsored advertisements, display, and video advertising. The company serves consumers through its online and physical stores. Customers access its offerings through websites, mobile applications, Alexa, devices, streaming, and physically visiting its stores.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one AMZN stock under the Base Case scenario is 125.9 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 202.88 USD, Amazon.com Inc is Overvalued by 38%.