Autodesk Inc
NASDAQ:ADSK
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ADSK stock under the Base Case scenario is 233.42 USD. Compared to the current market price of 287.62 USD, Autodesk Inc is Overvalued by 19%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Autodesk Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Autodesk Inc. is a leading software developer known for its innovative solutions in design, engineering, and construction. Founded in 1982, the company initially gained fame for its AutoCAD software, which revolutionized the way architects and engineers design and visualize their projects. Over the decades, Autodesk has expanded its portfolio, offering a comprehensive suite of tools that cater not only to architects but also to industries such as manufacturing, media, and entertainment. With a strong focus on cloud-based technology and subscriptions, Autodesk has transitioned from its traditional licensing model, increasing its recurring revenue stream and capitalizing on the growing demand...
Autodesk Inc. is a leading software developer known for its innovative solutions in design, engineering, and construction. Founded in 1982, the company initially gained fame for its AutoCAD software, which revolutionized the way architects and engineers design and visualize their projects. Over the decades, Autodesk has expanded its portfolio, offering a comprehensive suite of tools that cater not only to architects but also to industries such as manufacturing, media, and entertainment. With a strong focus on cloud-based technology and subscriptions, Autodesk has transitioned from its traditional licensing model, increasing its recurring revenue stream and capitalizing on the growing demand for collaborative and real-time design capabilities.
For investors, Autodesk represents a compelling opportunity in the realms of industrial digitization and sustainable design. The company has positioned itself at the forefront of the digital transformation trend, enabling businesses to streamline workflows, reduce waste, and optimize resource management. Autodesk's commitment to sustainability is also evident in its initiatives aimed at helping customers design greener buildings and products. With a robust financial performance reflecting consistent revenue growth and solid profit margins, Autodesk is leveraging its substantial market presence to innovate and expand further, making it an attractive prospect for investors looking for exposure to the future of design and construction technologies.
Autodesk Inc. is a design software company that provides a comprehensive suite of products and services tailored primarily for professionals in the architecture, engineering, construction, manufacturing, media, and entertainment industries. The core business segments of Autodesk can be categorized as follows:
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Architecture, Engineering, and Construction (AEC):
- Autodesk offers tools for designing and managing construction projects from inception to completion. Products like Autodesk Revit, AutoCAD, and BIM 360 facilitate Building Information Modeling (BIM), allowing professionals to collaborate effectively and enhance project efficiency.
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Manufacturing:
- This segment focuses on providing software solutions for product design, engineering, and manufacturing processes. Products include AutoCAD, Fusion 360, and Inventor, enabling users to create and simulate designs, improve workflow, and enhance the manufacturing process.
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Media and Entertainment (M&E):
- Autodesk's M&E segment provides software for animation, visual effects, and game development. Key products such as Autodesk Maya and 3ds Max are widely used in the film and gaming industries for creating stunning visuals and engaging content.
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Construction:
- Offering solutions specifically designed for the construction industry, Autodesk provides products that assist with project management, cost estimation, and site engineering. Solutions like Autodesk Constructware and BIM 360 streamline workflows and improve productivity on construction sites.
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Education and Training:
- This segment provides resources, training, and educational licenses for students and educators. Autodesk aims to foster the next generation of designers and engineers by offering affordable access to its software in academic settings.
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Cloud Services and Subscriptions:
- With a shift towards software as a service (SaaS), Autodesk has expanded its cloud-based offerings, allowing users to access tools and collaborate in real-time over the internet. Subscription services have become a significant revenue stream for the company.
By serving these diverse segments, Autodesk is well-positioned to cater to the evolving needs of its users across various industries, ensuring that it remains a leader in the design software market.
Autodesk Inc. holds several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the software industry, particularly in the fields of architecture, engineering, construction, manufacturing, and entertainment. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Established Brand and Reputation:
- Autodesk has built a strong brand that is synonymous with design and engineering software. Its long-standing reputation for reliability and innovation fosters customer loyalty, particularly among professionals.
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Comprehensive Product Suite:
- Autodesk offers a wide range of solutions, including AutoCAD, Revit, Inventor, and Fusion 360, which cater to various industries. This broad suite allows customers to access multiple tools from a single provider, enhancing user experience and integration.
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Focus on Innovation and R&D:
- Autodesk invests significantly in research and development, allowing it to stay at the forefront of technology. This focus on innovation leads to new features and tools that meet the evolving needs of its users, such as advancements in cloud computing and AI.
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Cloud-based Solutions:
- Autodesk has successfully transitioned many of its flagship products to cloud-based platforms, which provide greater flexibility, collaboration, and accessibility for users. This shift positions Autodesk well in the market, especially as remote work becomes more prevalent.
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User Community and Support Ecosystem:
- The company has a vibrant user community and extensive resources for training and support. This fosters customer engagement and helps users maximize the value of Autodesk products, further reinforcing customer loyalty.
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Integration with Emerging Technologies:
- Autodesk actively integrates its software with emerging technologies such as Building Information Modeling (BIM), Internet of Things (IoT), and Virtual/Augmented Reality (VR/AR). This forward-thinking approach allows users to leverage new tools for enhanced productivity and creativity.
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Sustainable Design and Workflows:
- Autodesk emphasizes sustainable design practices through its tools, enabling users to create environmentally friendly designs. This focus resonates with increasing global attention on sustainability, attracting users who prioritize ethical practices.
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Extensive Educational Resources:
- Autodesk invests in educational initiatives and partnerships with educational institutions, providing students and professionals with access to their software. This not only develops a future customer base but also ensures that users are well-trained in Autodesk tools.
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Subscription Model and Recurring Revenue:
- Autodesk's shift to a subscription-based pricing model has created a stable and predictable revenue stream. This model encourages customer retention and allows for regular updates and improvements to software.
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Global Reach and Diverse Customer Base:
- With a presence in numerous countries and industries, Autodesk benefits from a diverse customer base, which helps mitigate risks related to market fluctuations and economic downturns in specific regions or sectors.
These competitive advantages collectively enable Autodesk to maintain its leadership position in the design software market, continuously adapt to industry changes, and cater to the unique needs of its users.
Autodesk Inc., a leader in software design and engineering solutions, faces several risks and challenges that may impact its operations and growth prospects in the near future:
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Market Competition: Autodesk operates in a highly competitive environment, facing rivals such as Dassault Systèmes, Siemens, and several emerging software companies. Increased competition can lead to pricing pressure and may impact market share.
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Economic Slowdown: Economic fluctuations, including downturns in construction, manufacturing, and infrastructure sectors, can substantially affect Autodesk's customer base. Reduced capital spending by these industries may impact software sales.
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Transition to Subscription Model: Autodesk has shifted its business model to a subscription basis, which brings risks including customer retention challenges and potential revenue volatility in the transition phase as users adapt to new pricing structures.
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Technological Disruption: Rapid technological advancements in areas such as cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and machine learning mean Autodesk must continually innovate and adapt. Failure to keep pace with technological change could lead to obsolescence.
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Intellectual Property Risks: As a software company, Autodesk's intellectual property is critical. Increased cybersecurity threats and potential infringement issues pose risks to its innovations and proprietary software.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulations, especially those related to data privacy, environmental standards, or international trade policies, could impact Autodesk’s operations and compliance costs.
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Global Market Risks: Autodesk operates internationally and is exposed to fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, geopolitical tensions, and varying economic conditions across different regions.
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Customer Concentration: A significant portion of Autodesk’s revenue may come from a limited number of large customers or sectors. Economic or operational issues affecting these customers could have a disproportionate impact on Autodesk.
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Workforce Challenges: Attracting and retaining skilled talent, particularly in technology and engineering fields, is critical. Any challenges in this area can hinder innovation and productivity.
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Sustainability Pressures: As environmental concerns grow, Autodesk faces pressure to demonstrate sustainability in its operations and products. Failure to meet these expectations could affect its reputation and market position.
To navigate these risks, Autodesk will need to maintain a focus on innovation, customer engagement, and strategic positioning in its core markets.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Autodesk Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Autodesk Inc
Current Assets | 2.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.9B |
Receivables | 402m |
Other Current Assets | 478m |
Non-Current Assets | 7.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 231m |
PP&E | 321m |
Intangibles | 4.9B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.8B |
Current Liabilities | 4.3B |
Accounts Payable | 174m |
Accrued Liabilities | 587m |
Other Current Liabilities | 3.6B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 3.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
Autodesk Inc
Revenue
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5.8B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-534m
USD
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Gross Profit
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5.3B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-4B
USD
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Operating Income
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1.3B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-234m
USD
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Net Income
|
1.1B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Autodesk Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Autodesk ended the second quarter with 13% revenue growth and raised its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to between $6.08 billion and $6.13 billion, reflecting an 11% growth at midpoint. The new transaction model launch in North America and anticipated launch in Western Europe are key drivers. Free cash flow guidance was also raised to a range of $1.45 billion to $1.5 billion. Non-GAAP operating margins are expected between 35% and 36%. The company is confident in achieving a $2.05 billion free cash flow for fiscal 2026, supported by multiyear contract renewals and continued operational efficiencies.
What is Earnings Call?
ADSK Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Autodesk Inc's profitability score is 70/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Autodesk Inc's profitability score is 70/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ADSK Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Autodesk Inc's solvency score is 58/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Autodesk Inc's solvency score is 58/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ADSK Price Targets Summary
Autodesk Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ADSK is 305.92 USD with a low forecast of 259.57 USD and a high forecast of 357 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ADSK is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
ADSK Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Autodesk, Inc. engages in the design of software and services. The company is headquartered in San Rafael California, California and currently employs 12,600 full-time employees. The firm's product offerings are focused in four primary product families: architecture, engineering and construction (AEC), AutoCAD and AutoCAD LT, manufacturing (MFG), and media and entertainment (M&E). Its products include AutoCAD Civil 3D, AutoCAD Civil 3D, architecture, engineering and construction collection, Autodesk Build, Revit, AutoCAD, AutoCAD LT, computer-aided manufacturing (CAM) Solutions, Fusion 360, product design and manufacturing collection, Inventor, Vault, media and entertainment collection, Maya, ShotGrid and 3ds Max. The company serves customers in architecture, engineering, and construction; product design and manufacturing, and digital media and entertainment industries. The Company’s product development and manufacturing software provide manufacturers in automotive, transportation, industrial machinery, consumer products and building product industries.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ADSK stock under the Base Case scenario is 233.42 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 287.62 USD, Autodesk Inc is Overvalued by 19%.