Airbnb Inc
NASDAQ:ABNB
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ABNB stock under the Base Case scenario is 106.09 USD. Compared to the current market price of 137.34 USD, Airbnb Inc is Overvalued by 23%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Airbnb Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Airbnb Inc
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Airbnb Inc. has transformed the landscape of travel and hospitality since its inception in 2008, evolving from a simple concept of sharing spare spaces into a global platform that connects millions of travelers with hosts around the world. The company’s innovative marketplace allows individuals to monetize their homes and unique living spaces, while providing travelers with accommodations that often offer more character and affordability than traditional hotels. With over 7 million listings spanning more than 220 countries and regions, Airbnb caters to a diverse array of customer preferences, from cozy cottages to luxury villas. The company’s resilience was tested during the COVID-19 pandemi...
Airbnb Inc. has transformed the landscape of travel and hospitality since its inception in 2008, evolving from a simple concept of sharing spare spaces into a global platform that connects millions of travelers with hosts around the world. The company’s innovative marketplace allows individuals to monetize their homes and unique living spaces, while providing travelers with accommodations that often offer more character and affordability than traditional hotels. With over 7 million listings spanning more than 220 countries and regions, Airbnb caters to a diverse array of customer preferences, from cozy cottages to luxury villas. The company’s resilience was tested during the COVID-19 pandemic; however, it emerged stronger than ever, leveraging its brand loyalty and expanding into new areas such as experiences and long-term stays to capitalize on changing consumer behaviors.
Investors should note Airbnb's strong growth trajectory and its capacity to adapt to market conditions, positioning it favorably within the evolving travel sector. The company utilizes advanced technology and data analytics to enhance user experience, streamline operations, and personalize offerings, which translates into higher customer satisfaction and retention. Furthermore, Airbnb's commitment to community safety and regulatory compliance has bolstered its reputation as a trusted platform amidst increasing scrutiny from local governments. As the travel industry recovers, Airbnb continues to harness opportunities in both urban and rural settings, with a strategic focus on sustainability and local experiences that resonate with today’s travelers. For investors, Airbnb represents not just a booking service but a pioneering force in reshaping how people connect and explore the world.
Airbnb Inc. operates in several core business segments that contribute to its overall revenue and market presence. Here are the primary segments:
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Home-sharing (Host Services):
- Short-term Rentals: This is Airbnb's most recognizable segment, where users can list their homes or spare rooms for short stays. The company charges hosts a service fee for each booking.
- Unique Accommodations: In addition to traditional homes, Airbnb offers unique lodging options, such as treehouses, yurts, and castles, which attract niche markets and enhance user experience.
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Experiences:
- Airbnb Experiences allows hosts to offer activities, tours, and classes to guests. This segment enhances the platform's value proposition by providing travelers with local, authentic experiences, thereby deepening their engagement with the destination.
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Airbnb for Work:
- This segment focuses on business travelers and corporate clients. It offers tailored services, such as flexible housing options, to meet the needs of companies booking accommodations for employees, typically emphasizing the ease of work-life integration.
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Online and Offline Services:
- Airbnb has begun expanding its reach with services beyond accommodation, such as transportation and local services. This includes partnerships for airport transfers and tours, aiming to create a more integrated travel experience.
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Luxury Rentals (Airbnb Luxe):
- Airbnb Luxe targets high-end travelers, offering luxury accommodations that meet specific standards. This segment caters to affluent users seeking premium experiences and includes concierge services, ensuring a tailored stay.
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Long-term Rentals:
- While Airbnb is predominantly known for short-term rentals, it has ventured into longer stays, appealing to travelers looking for temporary housing solutions. This segment is particularly relevant as remote work becomes more prevalent.
By diversifying its core segments, Airbnb aims to create a holistic travel platform that not only serves basic accommodation needs but also enhances the overall travel experience. This strategic positioning allows Airbnb to cater to a wide range of customer preferences and capitalize on various market trends.
Airbnb Inc has several unique competitive advantages that contribute to its strong position in the marketplace:
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Strong Brand Recognition: Airbnb has established a strong brand synonymous with unique and diverse accommodations. This recognition fosters trust and loyalty among users.
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Vast and Diverse Inventory: With millions of listings worldwide, Airbnb offers an extensive range of accommodation options, from traditional homes to unique stays like treehouses and castles, catering to a wide audience.
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Robust User Base: Airbnb has an extensive and active user base, which not only drives demand but also enhances the platform’s network effects. More hosts create more listings, which attracts more guests, creating a self-reinforcing cycle.
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Technology and User Experience: Airbnb employs sophisticated technology to improve user experience, from a seamless booking process to personalized recommendations. Their mobile app and website are continuously optimized for ease of use.
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Community and Local Experience: Airbnb promotes a sense of community by encouraging hosts to share local insights and experiences. This focus on authentic experiences differentiates it from traditional hotel offerings.
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Global Presence: Airbnb operates in numerous countries and cities worldwide, giving it a significant first-mover advantage and a global platform that many local competitors cannot replicate.
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Data Analytics and Insights: Airbnb leverages data analytics to optimize pricing, enhance user experience, and inform strategic decisions, providing them with insights that many competitors may not have access to.
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Diverse Revenue Streams: Beyond just lodging, Airbnb has expanded into experiences and travel services, allowing it to diversify its revenue and reduce dependence on one segment.
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Adaptive Business Model: Airbnb’s business model allows it to quickly adapt to market needs and consumer preferences, such as responding to travel restrictions during the COVID-19 pandemic by promoting long-term stays.
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Strong Host Relationships: Airbnb invests in foster host relationships through support, resources, and community-building initiatives, which can lead to higher host satisfaction and loyalty.
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Regulatory Navigation: While facing regulatory challenges is common in the short-term rental space, Airbnb has developed strategies and advocacy efforts to navigate local laws effectively, giving it a competitive edge over smaller rivals.
These advantages collectively enable Airbnb to maintain its leading market position and fend off competition effectively.
Airbnb Inc faces a variety of risks and challenges in the near future, including:
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Regulatory Challenges: Increasing regulations in various cities and countries could restrict short-term rentals. Local governments may impose stricter rules on property rentals, including licensing, zoning, and taxation, which could limit Airbnb's host pool and offerings.
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Competition: The rise of alternative accommodation services, including traditional hotels and emerging platforms, poses a continuing threat. As competitors innovate and improve their offerings, Airbnb must continuously differentiate itself.
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Sustainability and Corporate Responsibility: Growing concerns over the environmental impact of short-term rentals and issues like gentrification can lead to public backlash. Airbnb may face pressure to implement more sustainable practices and contribute positively to communities.
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Economic Downturns: Economic instability or recessions can lead to reduced travel and discretionary spending, affecting demand for short-term rental services. High inflation may affect consumers' travel budgets.
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Legal Liabilities: Incidents occurring at rental properties may result in legal actions against Airbnb. Issues related to liability, insurance, and guest safety are potential risks that could impact the company's reputation and financial stability.
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Market Saturation: In key markets, especially popular tourist destinations, the abundance of rental options may lead to price wars and reduced profit margins for hosts, potentially discouraging new hosts from joining the platform.
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Safety and Trust: Ensuring safety for both hosts and guests is critical. Incidents of property damage or guest misconduct can harm Airbnb's reputation. Trust issues could lead to increased scrutiny from consumers and regulators.
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Technological Risks: As a technology-based platform, Airbnb must continually evolve its technology to enhance user experience and manage data security. Any breaches of customer data or technology failures could harm the brand's reputation and user trust.
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International Market Risks: Operating globally exposes Airbnb to geopolitical risks, currency fluctuations, and differing consumer behaviors. Any instability in key international markets could adversely affect growth.
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Changing Travel Trends: Shifts in travel preferences, such as the move towards sustainable tourism or remote working trends leading to longer-term stays, may force Airbnb to adapt its business model more rapidly than anticipated.
Addressing these challenges will require strategic planning, agile responses, and a focus on stakeholder relationships to maintain growth and profitability.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Airbnb Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Airbnb Inc
Current Assets | 18.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 11.3B |
Receivables | 6.8B |
Other Current Assets | 283m |
Non-Current Assets | 3.9B |
PP&E | 262m |
Intangibles | 783m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.8B |
Current Liabilities | 11.3B |
Accounts Payable | 6.8B |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.5B |
Other Current Liabilities | 3.1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 354m |
Earnings Waterfall
Airbnb Inc
Revenue
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10.8B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-3.1B
USD
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Gross Profit
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7.7B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-6.1B
USD
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Operating Income
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1.6B
USD
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Other Expenses
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211m
USD
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Net Income
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1.8B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Airbnb Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3, Airbnb reported a 10% increase in revenue to $3.7 billion, alongside a net income of $1.4 billion and a 37% margin. Nights and Experiences Booked advanced to 123 million, returning to double-digit growth by quarter’s end. They generated $1.1 billion in free cash flow, with $4.2 billion remaining for share repurchases. The company continues to innovate, having launched significant upgrades in customer service, host quality, and strategic initiatives. Guidance for Q4 indicates an EBITDA margin of approximately 27-28%, reflecting increased marketing investments as they expand into emerging markets.
What is Earnings Call?
ABNB Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Airbnb Inc's profitability score is 80/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Airbnb Inc's profitability score is 80/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ABNB Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Airbnb Inc's solvency score is 70/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Airbnb Inc's solvency score is 70/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ABNB Price Targets Summary
Airbnb Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ABNB is 141.02 USD with a low forecast of 85.85 USD and a high forecast of 204.75 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ABNB is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
ABNB Insider Trading
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Airbnb, Inc. engages in the management and operation of an online marketplace. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California and currently employs 6,132 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2020-12-10. The Company’s marketplace model connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces and experiences around the world. Its listings include homes, cabins, treehouses, boats, castles, and luxury villas. Airbnb’s Website and mobile applications provide its guests with an engaging way to explore a variety of homes and experiences and an easy way to book them. Its hosts generally fall into two categories: individual and professional. Individual hosts are those who activate their listings directly on Airbnb through its Website or mobile applications. Professional hosts are often those who run property management or hospitality businesses and generally use application programming interfaces to list their properties on its platform.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ABNB stock under the Base Case scenario is 106.09 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 137.34 USD, Airbnb Inc is Overvalued by 23%.