Moncler SpA
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one MONC stock under the Base Case scenario is 52.25 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 46.7 EUR, Moncler SpA is Undervalued by 11%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Moncler SpA
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Fundamental Analysis
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Moncler SpA, founded in 1952 in Monestier-de-Clermont, France, has evolved from a humble manufacturer of down jackets for the French Alpine soldiers into a globally recognized luxury brand synonymous with high-quality outerwear and fashion. Renowned for its innovative designs that blend functionality with elegance, Moncler has carved out a niche in the luxury space, appealing to discerning consumers who prioritize both performance and style. The brand's distinctive aesthetic, characterized by its iconic logo and premium materials, has allowed it to forge a loyal customer base, making it a prominent player in the global fashion market. Furthermore, Moncler's strategic partnerships with renown...
Moncler SpA, founded in 1952 in Monestier-de-Clermont, France, has evolved from a humble manufacturer of down jackets for the French Alpine soldiers into a globally recognized luxury brand synonymous with high-quality outerwear and fashion. Renowned for its innovative designs that blend functionality with elegance, Moncler has carved out a niche in the luxury space, appealing to discerning consumers who prioritize both performance and style. The brand's distinctive aesthetic, characterized by its iconic logo and premium materials, has allowed it to forge a loyal customer base, making it a prominent player in the global fashion market. Furthermore, Moncler's strategic partnerships with renowned designers and participation in fashion events have reinforced its position as a trendsetter within the industry.
As an attractive investment opportunity, Moncler represents a compelling mix of resilience and growth potential. The company has demonstrated robust financial performance, with consistent revenue growth driven by a strong presence in high-margin markets such as Asia and North America. Its commitment to sustainability and innovation, coupled with an omnichannel retail strategy that encompasses both brick-and-mortar and e-commerce, positions it well for future expansion. Investors looking for a business that embodies a blend of heritage and modernity, with a strong management team and a clear vision for leveraging global trends in outdoor luxury wear, will find Moncler a promising contender within their portfolios.
Moncler SpA is a luxury fashion brand known primarily for its high-quality outerwear, particularly its down jackets. The company's core business segments can be categorized as follows:
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Apparel: This is the primary segment for Moncler, comprising a wide range of products beyond its iconic jackets, including coats, jackets, knitwear, and casual wear. The apparel segment is characterized by a combination of functionality and luxury, appealing to both high-end fashion consumers and outdoor enthusiasts.
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Accessories: Moncler offers a variety of accessories that complement its clothing line, such as bags, shoes, and hats. This segment helps enhance the brand's presence in the luxury market and provides customers with a complete lifestyle offering.
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Footwear: Moncler has expanded its offerings to include a line of luxury footwear, catering to the growing demand for high-end lifestyle shoes. This segment further enhances the brand's appeal to consumers looking for stylish and functional footwear.
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Collaborations and Special Collections: Moncler is known for its unique collaborations with designers and artists, which create limited-edition collections that generate buzz and attract a diverse customer base. This segment not only drives sales but also enhances brand visibility and desirability.
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Retail and Distribution: Moncler operates through various channels, including its own boutiques, department stores, and e-commerce platforms. The direct-to-consumer approach allows the brand to maintain control over its image and customer experience.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Although not a traditional segment, sustainability has become increasingly important in Moncler’s business strategy. The company is focusing on ethical sourcing, environmentally friendly practices, and transparency in its supply chain, which resonate with modern consumers.
These core segments are designed to leverage Moncler's strong brand identity and reputation for quality while catering to a diverse range of consumer preferences within the luxury market.
Moncler SpA possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the luxury fashion industry, particularly in the high-end outerwear segment. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Strong Brand Equity: Moncler has cultivated a premium brand image associated with quality, luxury, and a rich heritage. The brand's history, which dates back to 1952, plays a significant role in its prestige, allowing it to command a premium price.
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Innovative Product Offerings: Moncler is known for its emphasis on innovation in design and materials, including the incorporation of high-performance fabrics and technology in its collections. The brand often collaborates with renowned designers and artists, creating unique and limited-edition pieces that attract collectors and fashion enthusiasts.
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Focus on Functionality and Quality: Moncler maintains a reputation for producing high-quality, functional outerwear that performs well in extreme weather conditions, appealing to both luxury consumers and outdoor enthusiasts. This dual functionality enhances its value proposition.
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Effective Marketing and Collaborations: Moncler has successfully engaged in high-profile collaborations (e.g., with brands like Palm Angels and designers such as Matthew Williams) and marketing campaigns that resonate with consumers, further strengthening its brand image and attractiveness.
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Premium Pricing Strategy: The brand’s ability to maintain high price points while increasing demand demonstrates pricing power. This indicates strong consumer loyalty and perceived value in the brand, differentiating it from many competitors in the luxury segment.
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Global Retail Presence: Moncler has established a substantial global retail network, including flagship stores in key luxury markets. This broad reach enhances brand visibility and accessibility, catering to a diverse customer base.
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Sustainable Practices: Moncler has made strides in sustainability, focusing on environmentally friendly practices in its supply chain and product creation. The brand is increasingly aligning with consumer preferences for responsible luxury, which can enhance its appeal over competitors who have not prioritized sustainability.
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Limited Product Availability: By carefully controlling inventory and offering limited-edition products, Moncler creates a sense of exclusivity that drives demand and enhances brand desirability.
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Strong Digital Presence: Moncler has effectively leveraged digital marketing and e-commerce, allowing it to connect with younger consumers and adapt to changing shopping behaviors. This strong online presence complements its brick-and-mortar strategy.
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Loyal Customer Base: The brand's ability to foster loyalty through quality, unique offerings, and a compelling brand narrative creates a dedicated following that often translates to repeat purchases and advocacy.
These competitive advantages position Moncler favorably against rivals in the luxury fashion sector, enabling it to retain market share, attract new customers, and justify premium pricing.
Moncler SpA, known for its luxury outerwear and apparel, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Economic Uncertainty: Inflation and economic downturns can impact consumer spending, particularly in the luxury goods segment. Economic slowdowns in key markets could reduce demand for high-end products.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing challenges related to global supply chains, including disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical tensions, and trade barriers, can affect production timelines and costs.
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Climate Change and Sustainability Issues: As a luxury brand, Moncler faces pressure to adopt sustainable practices. Failing to meet consumer expectations regarding environmental responsibility could damage its brand image.
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Intensifying Competition: The luxury apparel market is highly competitive, with established brands and new entrants vying for market share. Moncler must differentiate itself and maintain brand loyalty amidst increasing competition.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: Shifts in consumer preferences towards more casual wear or sustainable and ethical fashion could challenge Moncler's traditional luxury positioning.
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Digital Transformation: The rapid shift towards online retail and digital marketing requires continuous investment in technology and e-commerce capabilities. Moncler must enhance its digital presence to remain competitive.
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Geopolitical Tensions: Political instability, tariffs, and trade policies can affect the brand’s ability to operate in certain markets, impacting sales and supply chain logistics.
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Counterfeit Products: The luxury sector is particularly vulnerable to counterfeiting, which can harm brand reputation and sales. Moncler must invest in anti-counterfeiting measures to protect its brand.
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Dependency on Key Markets: Moncler's reliance on specific geographic markets, such as Europe and Asia, makes it vulnerable to regional economic conditions and consumer behaviors.
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Pandemic-Related Risks: Although the immediate impact of the pandemic may have lessened, ongoing risks related to potential new variants or renewed restrictions could still affect retail operations and consumer behavior.
Addressing these challenges will require strategic planning, innovation, and adaptability to changing market conditions.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Moncler SpA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Moncler SpA
Current Assets | 1.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.1B |
Receivables | 360.9m |
Other Current Assets | 469.1m |
Non-Current Assets | 3.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 46.9m |
PP&E | 1.1B |
Intangibles | 1.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 255.7m |
Current Liabilities | 1B |
Accounts Payable | 538.6m |
Accrued Liabilities | 213.1m |
Short-Term Debt | 15.2m |
Other Current Liabilities | 243.5m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 767.3m |
Long-Term Debt | 664.2m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 103.1m |
Earnings Waterfall
Moncler SpA
Revenue
|
3.1B
EUR
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-684.9m
EUR
|
Gross Profit
|
2.4B
EUR
|
Operating Expenses
|
-1.5B
EUR
|
Operating Income
|
934.7m
EUR
|
Other Expenses
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-287.4m
EUR
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Net Income
|
647.3m
EUR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Moncler SpA
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
In 2023, Moncler's revenue soared to EUR 2.573 billion, marking a 19% uptick. The Moncler brand's Q4 growth accelerated to 17%, while Stone Island's full-year revenues reached EUR 411 million, up 4%. The company's Direct-to-Consumer (D2C) channel, representing 84% of total sales, was a significant growth driver with a 25% year-over-year increase. Gross margin stood strong at 77.1%, selling expenses remained consistent as a percentage of revenues despite D2C expansion, and net profit reached 20.5%, down from the previous year's 23.3%, influenced by a one-time tax benefit in 2022. The firm plans a dividend of EUR 1.15 per share, resulting in a EUR 311 million payout.
What is Earnings Call?
MONC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Moncler SpA's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Moncler SpA's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
MONC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Moncler SpA's solvency score is 73/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Moncler SpA's solvency score is 73/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
MONC Price Targets Summary
Moncler SpA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MONC is 61.13 EUR with a low forecast of 46.46 EUR and a high forecast of 78.75 EUR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for MONC is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Moncler SpA designs, produces and distributes clothing for men, women and children under the Moncler brand name. The company is headquartered in Trebaseleghe, Padova and currently employs 5,290 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2013-12-16. The firm designs, produces and distributes clothing and accessories through Moncler brand. Moncler SpA manufactures collections for women, men and children. The firm offers mainly sportswear, outerwear, knitwear and skiwear, including jackets, shoes, sweaters, trousers, bags, shirts, tops, gloves, hats and sunglasses, among others. Moncler SpA trades its products through approximately 122 stores, as well as through the wholesale distribution channel. Moncler SpA operates in approximately 66 countries, including Austria, France, Germany, Switzerland, Turkey, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Taiwan and the United States, among others.
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The intrinsic value of one MONC stock under the Base Case scenario is 52.25 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 46.7 EUR, Moncler SpA is Undervalued by 11%.