Elica SpA
MIL:ELC

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Elica SpA
MIL:ELC
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Price: 1.715 EUR Market Closed
Market Cap: 106m EUR
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Dec 2, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one ELC stock is 4.573 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 1.715 EUR, the stock is Undervalued by 62%.

ELC DCF Value
Base Case
4.573 EUR
Undervaluation 62%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
4.573
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 4.573 EUR

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 56.5m EUR. The present value of the terminal value is 226.2m EUR. The total present value equals 282.7m EUR.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 282.7m EUR
Equity Value 282.7m EUR
/ Shares Outstanding 61.8m
ELC DCF Value 4.573 EUR
Undervalued by 62%

You are using the equity valuation model. In this approach, further calculations for converting firm value to equity value are not required. The present value, obtained in the present value calculation block, already represents the equity value.

The DCF value per share is derived by dividing the present value by the number of shares:

Present Value
282.7m EUR
/
Number of Shares
61.8m
=
DCF Value
4.573 EUR

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
476.6m 594.1m
Net Income
3.8m 20.4m

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one ELC stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one ELC stock is 4.573 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 1.715 EUR, the stock is Undervalued by 62%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Elica SpA's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 282.7m EUR.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 4.573 EUR per share.

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