CNH Industrial NV
MIL:CNHI
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CNHI stock under the Base Case scenario is 13.802 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 10.855 EUR, CNH Industrial NV is Undervalued by 21%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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CNH Industrial NV
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Fundamental Analysis
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CNH Industrial NV is a global leader in the capital goods sector, known for its innovative engineering and advanced technologies across multiple segments, including agricultural equipment, construction equipment, commercial vehicles, and powertrain solutions. Formed from the merger of Fiat Industrial and CNH Global in 2013, the company has strategically positioned itself to capitalize on the growing global demand for efficient and sustainable equipment and solutions. With a diverse portfolio of well-known brands such as Case IH, New Holland Agriculture, and Iveco, CNH Industrial serves a vast range of customers in both agriculture and construction sectors. The company’s commitment to sustain...
CNH Industrial NV is a global leader in the capital goods sector, known for its innovative engineering and advanced technologies across multiple segments, including agricultural equipment, construction equipment, commercial vehicles, and powertrain solutions. Formed from the merger of Fiat Industrial and CNH Global in 2013, the company has strategically positioned itself to capitalize on the growing global demand for efficient and sustainable equipment and solutions. With a diverse portfolio of well-known brands such as Case IH, New Holland Agriculture, and Iveco, CNH Industrial serves a vast range of customers in both agriculture and construction sectors. The company’s commitment to sustainability and reducing environmental impact is highlighted by its ongoing investment in alternative fuels and electric technologies, making it a compelling prospect for investors who prioritize socially responsible opportunities.
As a publicly traded entity on the New York Stock Exchange and the Milan Stock Exchange, CNH Industrial demonstrates robust financial performance and resilience in a competitive marketplace. With a presence in over 180 countries, the company leverages a vast network of manufacturing facilities and distribution channels to ensure efficiency and responsiveness to market trends. Recent strategic initiatives have focused on digital transformation and automation, enhancing productivity and customer experience. For investors, CNH Industrial presents a blend of stability and growth potential, driven by strong market fundamentals and an agile approach to evolving agricultural and construction needs. As the world pivots toward sustainable practices, CNH Industrial stands at the forefront of this transition, making it a company worthy of consideration for those seeking long-term value in their investment portfolios.
CNH Industrial NV operates in the capital goods sector, focusing primarily on the manufacturing of vehicles and equipment for the agricultural and construction industries, as well as commercial vehicles and powertrain solutions. The company is structured around several core business segments:
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Agriculture:
- This segment includes the production of agricultural equipment under various brands, such as Case IH and New Holland Agriculture. It offers a wide range of products, including tractors, combines, and seeding equipment, catering to the needs of farmers and agricultural enterprises.
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Construction:
- The construction segment manufactures equipment used in construction and mining, including excavators, backhoe loaders, and wheel loaders. Brands include CASE Construction Equipment and New Holland Construction. This segment addresses the infrastructure development and construction markets.
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Commercial Vehicles:
- CNH Industrial's commercial vehicle segment focuses on the production of trucks and buses, primarily under the Iveco brand. This segment serves a diverse range of needs from light to heavy-duty vehicles for transportation and logistics, including specialized vehicles for various industries.
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Powertrain:
- The powertrain segment designs and manufactures diesel engines and other powertrain components, through brands like FPT Industrial. These products cater not only to CNH's agriculture and construction segments but also extend to third-party customers in various industries, including automotive and marine.
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Financial Services:
- This segment offers financial solutions, including leasing, loans, and retail finance services tailored for customers purchasing CNH Industrial equipment. This helps enhance customer accessibility to their products and boosts overall sales.
These segments position CNH Industrial to meet the diverse needs of global customers in key sectors, leveraging its broad product portfolio and established brand reputation. The company's strategic focus on innovation and sustainability within each segment is also noteworthy, aligning with market trends towards efficiency and environmental responsibility.
CNH Industrial NV, a global leader in the capital goods sector, operates primarily in agriculture and construction equipment, commercial vehicles, and powertrains. Its unique competitive advantages over rivals can be analyzed through several key dimensions:
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Diverse Product Portfolio: CNH Industrial offers a wide range of products across various sectors, including agricultural equipment (Case IH, New Holland), construction (Case Construction, New Holland Construction), and commercial vehicles (Iveco). This diversification allows the company to mitigate risks associated with economic fluctuations in any single industry.
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Global Presence: With operations in more than 180 countries, CNH Industrial has a significant global footprint. This international presence enables the company to leverage scale, tap into emerging markets, and cater to a broad customer base.
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Research and Development: CNH Industrial invests substantially in R&D to innovate and improve its product offerings, focusing on sustainability and automation. This commitment to innovation helps the company stay ahead of technological trends and meet the evolving needs of its customers.
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Strong Brand Equity: Established brands such as Case, New Holland, and Iveco enjoy strong recognition and loyalty. This loyalty translated into repeat business, creating a competitive edge in customer retention.
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Supply Chain and Manufacturing Efficiency: CNH Industrial has well-optimized supply chain management and manufacturing processes, which allow it to maintain cost leadership while ensuring product quality and timely delivery. This efficiency contributes to better margins and competitiveness.
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Sustainability Initiatives: The company has made significant strides towards sustainability, focusing on reducing emissions and improving energy efficiency in its products. This resonates well with consumers who are increasingly valuing eco-friendly solutions, giving CNH an edge in markets prioritizing sustainability.
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Financial Stability: With a strong balance sheet and consistent cash flow, CNH Industrial enjoys greater financial flexibility, allowing it to invest in new opportunities and weather economic downturns better than some competitors.
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Customer Support and Service Networks: CNH Industrial has a robust dealer and service network, providing customers with excellent post-sale support. This enhances customer satisfaction and creates an additional barrier to entry for competitors.
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Strategic Partnerships and Alliances: Collaborative ventures with technology companies and industry partners allow CNH Industrial to integrate cutting-edge technology into their products, enhancing their competitive advantage in automation and digitization.
Each of these factors contributes to CNH Industrial's ability to differentiate itself in a competitive landscape, positioning the company favorably against its rivals.
CNH Industrial NV, a global leader in the capital goods sector, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are the key areas of concern:
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Economic Uncertainty:
- Global economic fluctuations can impact demand for agricultural and construction equipment. Any downturns in the economy could lead to reduced capital spending by farmers and construction companies.
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Supply Chain Disruptions:
- Ongoing issues related to the global supply chain, such as shortages of semiconductors or raw materials, can hinder production capabilities and delivery timelines, adversely affecting revenues.
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Regulatory and Environmental Concerns:
- Increasing regulations around emissions and sustainability in various markets can lead to higher compliance costs. Adapting to new environmental standards may require significant investment in research and development.
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Geopolitical Risks:
- CNH Industrial operates globally, and political instability, trade tensions, or tariffs, especially in key markets like the U.S. and China, could impact operations and profitability.
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Technological Challenges:
- Rapid advancements in technology demand continuous innovation. Competitors may introduce disruptive technologies that could outpace CNH Industrial’s offerings, particularly in automation and electric equipment.
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Commodity Price Volatility:
- Fluctuations in commodity prices (e.g., agricultural products) can affect farmers' purchasing power, impacting their ability to invest in equipment from CNH Industrial.
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Market Competition:
- Increased competition from both established players and new entrants in the agricultural and construction equipment sectors may lead to pricing pressures and reduced market share.
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Currency Fluctuations:
- As a multinational corporation, CNH Industrial is exposed to foreign exchange risks. Severe fluctuations in currency value can impact profitability, especially in emerging markets.
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Customer Financing Risks:
- Availability of credit and favorable financing conditions are crucial for customers. Economic downturns may tighten credit availability, leading to reduced equipment purchases.
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Labor Market Challenges:
- Finding and retaining skilled labor, particularly in manufacturing and technology roles, is becoming increasingly difficult, which could impact operations and growth.
Each of these factors could significantly influence CNH Industrial's strategic decisions and overall performance. To mitigate these risks, the company may need to adopt flexibility in operations, invest in technology, diversify supply chains, and enhance stakeholder engagement.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
CNH Industrial NV
Balance Sheet Decomposition
CNH Industrial NV
Current Assets | 30.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 4.7B |
Receivables | 20.3B |
Other Current Assets | 5.9B |
Non-Current Assets | 9.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 408m |
PP&E | 3.3B |
Intangibles | 5.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 355m |
Current Liabilities | 15.5B |
Accounts Payable | 3.7B |
Accrued Liabilities | 918m |
Other Current Liabilities | 10.9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 17B |
Long-Term Debt | 13.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 3.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
CNH Industrial NV
Revenue
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24.6B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-18.8B
USD
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Gross Profit
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5.8B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-2.7B
USD
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Operating Income
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3.1B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-849m
USD
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Net Income
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2.2B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
CNH Industrial NV
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In a challenging market with a 2% decrease in Q4 revenues and softened industrial net sales by 8% in agriculture, the company expanded its industrial EBIT margin by nearly 1% and grew adjusted net income by 15%. Full year earnings saw EBIT rise 12% with a margin growth to 12.4% even though sales were up only 3%. The company ended almost net debt-free with a solid full year free cash flow of $1.2 billion. For FY 2024, the company is bracing for lower demand in agriculture and construction, projecting an 8-12% decrease in industrial net sales. To counter these headwinds, they've authorized a $500 million share repurchase program and are focusing on margin resiliency and cost-saving initiatives, targeting an EBIT margin of 14-15% in agriculture and 5-6% in construction. The company's 2024 financial assumptions include net price realizations around 1% and a free cash flow forecast of $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion, with an EPS expectation of $1.50 to $1.60.
What is Earnings Call?
CNHI Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
CNH Industrial NV's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
CNH Industrial NV's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CNHI Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
CNH Industrial NV's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
CNH Industrial NV's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CNHI Price Targets Summary
CNH Industrial NV
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CNHI is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
CNH Industrial NV designs, produces and sells agricultural equipment and commercial vehicles. The firm is engaged in the design, production, marketing, sale and financing of agricultural and construction equipment. Its segments include Agriculture, which designs, produces and sells agricultural equipment; Construction, which designs, produces and sells construction equipment, and related Financial Services, which provides financial services to the customers of the Company's products.
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The intrinsic value of one CNHI stock under the Base Case scenario is 13.802 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 10.855 EUR, CNH Industrial NV is Undervalued by 21%.