Avio SpA
MIL:AVIO

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Avio SpA
MIL:AVIO
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Price: 12.44 EUR -0.16% Market Closed
Market Cap: 314.3m EUR
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one AVIO stock under the Base Case scenario is 24.82 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 12.44 EUR, Avio SpA is Undervalued by 50%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

AVIO Intrinsic Value
24.82 EUR
Undervaluation 50%
Intrinsic Value
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Avio SpA

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Avio SpA

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Avio SpA

Current Assets 511.5m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 35.8m
Receivables 24.2m
Other Current Assets 451.5m
Non-Current Assets 521.3m
Long-Term Investments 19.6m
PP&E 166m
Intangibles 186.7m
Other Non-Current Assets 149m
Current Liabilities 618m
Accounts Payable 114.8m
Accrued Liabilities 28.4m
Short-Term Debt 38.4k
Other Current Liabilities 474.8m
Non-Current Liabilities 119.4m
Long-Term Debt 6.3m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 113.2m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Avio SpA

Revenue
554.3m EUR
Cost of Revenue
-148.6m EUR
Gross Profit
405.7m EUR
Operating Expenses
-401.1m EUR
Operating Income
4.7m EUR
Other Expenses
1.4m EUR
Net Income
6.1m EUR

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Avio SpA

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q1 2024, revenue increased by over 30%, driven mainly by defense propulsion and technology development projects. The defense backlog, which is now at 25% of the total order book, has significantly contributed to the growth, and overall backlog stands at a historical high of €1.4 billion. For the full year 2024, revenue is projected to grow by 10%, reaching between €370 million and €390 million. EBITDA is also expected to increase by 10%, ranging from €21 million to €26 million. The anticipated maiden flight of Ariane 6 and resumed flights of Vega-C are set to further bolster production and financial performance.

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Fundamental Scores

AVIO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Avio SpA's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Exceptional 1-Year Revenue Growth
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
50/100
Profitability
Score

Avio SpA's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

AVIO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Avio SpA's solvency score is 68/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
Negative Net Debt
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
68/100
Solvency
Score

Avio SpA's solvency score is 68/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

AVIO Price Targets Summary
Avio SpA

Wall Street analysts forecast AVIO stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AVIO is 14.43 EUR with a low forecast of 12.42 EUR and a high forecast of 16.8 EUR.

Lowest
Price Target
12.42 EUR
0% Downside
Average
Price Target
14.43 EUR
16% Upside
Highest
Price Target
16.8 EUR
35% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Dividend Per Share
N/A
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Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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0
25
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100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for AVIO is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

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Profile

Avio SpA Logo
Avio SpA

Country

Italy

Industry

Aerospace & Defense

Market Cap

314.3m EUR

Dividend Yield

0.72%

Description

Avio SpA provides aerospace propulsion systems, engine modules and components. The company is headquartered in Colleferro, Roma. The company went IPO on 2015-07-31. The firm focuses on the construction and development of space launchers, and solid and liquid propulsion systems for space travel. The company offers primarily space launchers under the Vega and Ariane names. The firm also provides propulsion components, such as boosters and sustainers, guidance components, including TVC products, as well as aerodynamics components comprising fins. In addition, the Company is involved in the activities of research and development through research collaborations with universities and research centers, as well as through technical and operational collaborations with space agencies, such as the European Space Agency (ESA). The firm has operational sites in Italy, France and French Guiana.

Contact

ROMA
Colleferro
Via Latina, snc (SP 600 Ariana Km 5,2)
+390697285111.0
www.avio.com

IPO

2015-07-31

Employees

944

Officers

CEO, GM & Director
Dr. Giulio Ranzo Ph.D.
Executive Officer for Financial Reporting, Head of Investor Relations & CFO
Alessandro Agosti
Chief Operating Officer
Rosario Esposito
Chief Technology Officer
Mr. Paolo Bellomi
General Counsel & Member of Supervisory Board
Giorgio Martellino
Investors Relations Officer
Fabrizio Spaziani
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M&A and Investor Relations Specialist
Mr. Matteo Picconeri
Investor Relations Manager
Mr. Nevio Quattrin
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See Also

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one AVIO stock?

The intrinsic value of one AVIO stock under the Base Case scenario is 24.82 EUR.

Is AVIO stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 12.44 EUR, Avio SpA is Undervalued by 50%.

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