Telefonica SA
MAD:TEF
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TEF stock under the Base Case scenario is 11.329 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 4.148 EUR, Telefonica SA is Undervalued by 63%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Telefonica SA
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Fundamental Analysis
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Telefónica SA, one of the world’s leading telecommunications companies, has carved a formidable niche in the global telecom landscape since its inception in 1924. Based in Spain, the company has evolved into a vital player, providing essential communications services across Europe and Latin America. With a customer base exceeding 350 million, Telefónica operates under several well-known brands, including Movistar and O2, delivering a wide range of offerings from mobile and fixed-line services to broadband and digital solutions. Its commitment to innovation has propelled the company into the digital era, investing significantly in technologies like 5G, IoT, and cloud services, thereby positio...
Telefónica SA, one of the world’s leading telecommunications companies, has carved a formidable niche in the global telecom landscape since its inception in 1924. Based in Spain, the company has evolved into a vital player, providing essential communications services across Europe and Latin America. With a customer base exceeding 350 million, Telefónica operates under several well-known brands, including Movistar and O2, delivering a wide range of offerings from mobile and fixed-line services to broadband and digital solutions. Its commitment to innovation has propelled the company into the digital era, investing significantly in technologies like 5G, IoT, and cloud services, thereby positioning itself as not just a telecommunications provider, but a key enabler of the digital economy.
For investors, Telefónica represents an enticing blend of stability and growth potential. The company boasts a robust financial foundation with consistent cash flow generation, primarily driven by its extensive subscriber base and strategic investments in digital services. Despite facing challenges such as market saturation and regulatory pressures, Telefónica's proactive approach to cost management and operational efficiency allows it to maintain a competitive edge. Moreover, the company’s ongoing efforts to reduce debt and optimize its asset portfolio underscore its commitment to shareholder value. As the telecommunications landscape continues to transform, Telefónica is well-positioned to capitalize on trends like digital transformation and increased connectivity, making it an appealing prospect for those looking to invest in the future of communication.
Telefónica S.A., one of the largest telecommunications companies in the world, operates through several core business segments that reflect its diverse portfolio of products and services. As of October 2023, the main business segments include:
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Mobile Services:
- This segment encompasses voice, SMS, and data services delivered over mobile networks. Telefónica offers various plans and packages for individual users, businesses, and institutions. The mobile segment contributes significantly to the company's revenue, especially in the markets of Spain and Latin America.
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Fixed-Line Services:
- Telefónica provides traditional fixed-line telephone services as well as broadband internet services. This segment plays a crucial role in maintaining customer connectivity and offers various broadband plans, including fiber-optic services in different regions.
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Television Services:
- The company also operates in the pay-TV sector, providing a range of audiovisual content through platforms like Movistar+. This segment includes cable television services and streaming options, offering subscribers access to movies, series, sports, and other content.
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Enterprise Solutions:
- Telefónica offers a comprehensive suite of services tailored to businesses. This segment includes managed services, cloud solutions, IoT (Internet of Things) connectivity, cybersecurity services, and other enterprise-focused communication solutions. The B2B market provides a significant growth opportunity for the company.
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Digital Services and Innovations:
- As part of its strategic vision, Telefónica invests in digitalization and innovative technologies. This includes services related to big data, artificial intelligence, and other tech-driven solutions aimed at enhancing customer experiences and operational efficiencies.
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Latin America and Europe:
- Telefónica’s operations are organized into regional segments, primarily focusing on its presence in Latin America and Europe. Each region has its unique market dynamics, regulatory environments, and customer preferences, influencing Telefónica’s service offerings and strategies.
By operating across these diverse segments, Telefónica aims to strengthen its market position, drive revenue growth, and adapt to the rapidly evolving telecommunications landscape.
Telefonica SA, as a major telecommunications provider, possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals. Here are some key factors that contribute to its strong market position:
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Global Presence: Telefonica operates across multiple countries in Europe and Latin America, giving it a diversified revenue stream and reducing dependency on any single market. This geographic diversity allows for strategic advantages in sourcing, cost management, and leveraging experiences across regions.
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Strong Brand Recognition: The Telefonica brand, along with its subsidiaries (like Movistar and O2), enjoys significant brand loyalty and recognition. This can help lead to higher customer retention and the ability to attract new customers.
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Extensive Infrastructure: Telefonica has invested heavily in its network infrastructure, including advanced fiber-optic and 5G networks. This extensive and modern infrastructure enables the company to offer reliable and high-speed services, which can be a significant differentiator in a competitive market.
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Vertically Integrated Services: Telefonica offers a comprehensive range of services including mobile, fixed-line, broadband, and digital solutions. This ability to provide bundled services can enhance customer retention through integrated packages that cater to various customer needs.
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Innovation and Digital Transformation: The company focuses on digital transformation initiatives, including IoT (Internet of Things), cloud services, and AI-driven solutions. This innovation positions Telefonica as a forward-thinking player, capable of meeting the evolving demands for digital connectivity and services.
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Cost Efficiency: Through various initiatives and economies of scale achieved from its large size, Telefonica can maintain competitive pricing while managing operational costs. This cost efficiency can enhance its pricing strategies compared to smaller rivals.
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Regulatory Relationships: As a major player in the telecommunications sector, Telefonica has established relationships with regulators, which can be advantageous in navigating the complex regulatory environments in various countries.
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Customer-Centric Approaches: Telefonica's emphasis on customer experience and satisfaction through targeted marketing and responsive service structures can lead to higher customer loyalty and lower churn rates.
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Sustainability Initiatives: The company has made commitments towards sustainability and social responsibility. This resonates with modern consumers and can enhance brand reputation, especially among environmentally conscious customers.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Telefonica can maintain its market presence and effectively compete against its rivals in the highly competitive telecommunications industry.
As of October 2023, Telefonica SA, a major telecommunications company, faces several risks and challenges that may impact its operations and financial performance in the near future:
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Intense Competition: The telecommunications industry is highly competitive, with numerous players in various regions. Competitors may offer better pricing, services, or technologies, which could erode Telefonica's market share and pressure profit margins.
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Regulatory Challenges: The telecommunications sector is heavily regulated. Changes in regulatory frameworks, such as new laws governing data privacy, net neutrality, or market competition, could affect operational flexibility and increase compliance costs.
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Economic Uncertainty: Economic fluctuations in regions where Telefonica operates can impact consumer spending on telecom services. Economic downturns can lead to reduced revenues from both consumer and enterprise segments.
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Technological Disruption: Rapid advancements in technology mean that companies must continuously innovate to keep up. Failure to adapt to new technologies, such as 5G, IoT, and cloud services, can lead to losing competitive advantage.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a telecommunications provider, Telefonica is a potential target for cyberattacks. A significant breach could damage reputation, lead to regulatory fines, and result in customer attrition.
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High Debt Levels: Telefonica has historically maintained a considerable amount of debt. This can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, particularly if interest rates rise.
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Market Saturation: In many of Telefonica's mature markets, such as Spain and parts of Latin America, growth opportunities are limited due to market saturation. This necessitates a focus on enhancing customer retention and monetizing existing customer bases.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: The shift towards mobile and digital services changes how consumers interact with telecom services. Adapting to these preferences and investing in digital transformation is essential but can be resource-intensive.
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Impact of Global Supply Chain Issues: The lingering effects of global supply chain disruptions can affect network equipment procurement and installation, delaying infrastructure upgrades and impacting service quality.
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Geopolitical Issues: Political instability, trade tensions, or economic sanctions in the various markets where Telefonica operates can impact operations and profitability.
To navigate these challenges, Telefonica will need to focus on strategic planning, technological investments, and fostering customer loyalty while maintaining financial health.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Telefonica SA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Telefonica SA
Current Assets | 20.7B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 5.8B |
Receivables | 9.7B |
Other Current Assets | 5.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 81.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 9.6B |
PP&E | 30B |
Intangibles | 28.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 13.1B |
Current Liabilities | 24.2B |
Accounts Payable | 7.6B |
Other Current Liabilities | 16.6B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 56.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 39.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 17B |
Earnings Waterfall
Telefonica SA
Revenue
|
40.9B
EUR
|
Operating Expenses
|
-38.1B
EUR
|
Operating Income
|
2.7B
EUR
|
Other Expenses
|
-3.7B
EUR
|
Net Income
|
-933m
EUR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Telefonica SA
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
TEF Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Telefonica SA's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Telefonica SA's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TEF Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Telefonica SA's solvency score is 24/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Telefonica SA's solvency score is 24/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TEF Price Targets Summary
Telefonica SA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TEF is 4.266 EUR with a low forecast of 3.232 EUR and a high forecast of 5.25 EUR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TEF is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Telefónica SA engages in the provision of communication, information and entertainment solutions. The company is headquartered in Madrid, Madrid and currently employs 104,150 full-time employees. The firm's services and products include Mobile business, Fixed-line telephony business and Digital services. Its segments include Telefonica Spain, Telefonica Brazil, Telefonica Germany, Telefonica United Kingdom and Telefonica Hispanoamerica (formed by the Company's operators in Argentina, Chile, Peru, Colombia, Mexico, Venezuela, Ecuador and Uruguay). These segments are engaged in activities relating to wireline, wireless, cable, data, Internet and television (TV) businesses and other digital services in accordance with each location. The company offers a range of mobile and related services and products to personal and business customers. The company offers traditional fixed telecommunication services, Internet and broadband multimedia services and data and business-solutions services. The company offers a range of digital services, such as Internet of Things (IoT).
Officers
The intrinsic value of one TEF stock under the Base Case scenario is 11.329 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 4.148 EUR, Telefonica SA is Undervalued by 63%.