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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2021-Q4

from 0
J
Jon Stanton

Good

morning,

everyone

and

welcome

to

Weir's

Full

Year

Results

Presentation.

I'm

joined

today

by

our

CFO,

John

Heasley

and

we'll

follow

our

usual

format.

So,

after

some

opening

remarks

for

me,

I'll

hand

over

to

John

to

take

you

through

the

financial

review

in

detail.

I'll

then

return

with

a

business

review

and

strategy

update

before

we

open

up

for

questions.

Ricardo

Garib,

President

of

our

Minerals

division

and

Andrew

Neilson,

President

of

ESCO

are

also

here

with

us

for

the

Q&A.

Before

I

start

our

presentation,

I

would

like

to

say

a

few

words

on

the

shocking

events

in

Ukraine

which

have

rapidly

escalated

over

the

last

week.

Our

first

priority

has

been

the

safety

of

our

impacted

colleagues

and

their

families,

and

our

thoughts

are very

much

with

them.

We're

doing

all

we

can

to

support

them

through

this

very

difficult

and

dynamic

situation.

I'll

say

a

little

more

on

the

business

context

of

these

events

later

on

in

the

presentation.

But

first,

I'll

move

on

to

reflect

on

2021.

2021

has

been

a

milestone

year

for

Weir

on

many

fronts

not least

because

it

marked

150

years

since

the

company's

foundation.

It

also

saw

us

complete

our

strategic

transformation

into

a

premium

mining

technology

business

and

the emergence

of

the

new

Weir

that's

being

positioned

to

take

advantage

of

highly

attractive

opportunities

that

lie

ahead,

and

which

is

already

demonstrating

the

benefits.

It

was

also

a

year

characterized

by

an

extremely

complex

operating

environment

exacerbated

by

the

cybersecurity

incident

we

had

to

deal

with

in

the

fourth

quarter.

So,

let

me

start

by

giving

you

the

headlines

from

these

results.

In

2021,

we

delivered

very

strong

order

growth

which

accelerated

later

in

the

year,

and

we

expanded

our

operating

margins

despite

the

external

challenges.

We

remain

on

track

to

deliver

our

medium-term

financial

and

sustainability

goals

where

we

see

a

clear

pathway

to

17%

operating

margins

and

have

added

new

operating

cash

conversion

targets

and

are

enhancing

our

CO2

reduction

targets.

2021

has

seen

a

real

strengthening

in

global

commitments

to

take

action

on

climate

change,

adding

impetus

to

the

opportunity

for

Weir

to

enable

the

ongoing

and

transformational

shift

in

the

environmental

performance

of

the

mining

sector.

We

continue

to

deliver

world-beating

technologies

today,

and

we're

upping

our

investment

in

the

next

generation

of

technologies

that

will

make

mining

smarter,

more

efficient

and

sustainable.

And

we're

making

these

investments

because

we

believe

the

structural

growth

opportunities

in

our

markets

are

going to

be

phenomenal

for

many

years

ahead.

Our

performance

reflects

the

fundamental

strength

of

our

business

and

is

testament

to

the

magnificent

efforts

of

everyone

across

the

company.

It's

not

been

an

easy

year,

and

I'd like

to

personally

thank

all

of

our

employees

for

their

commitment

and

hard

work

to

overcome

the

challenges

we

faced.

Speaking

of

challenges,

I

wanted

to

deal

with

the

cyber

incident

up

front.

I'm

pleased

to

say

that

the

attack,

which

we

flagged

in

October,

is

now

behind

us,

and

we

finished

the

year

well.

Internally,

it

has

been

hugely

disruptive,

and

so

I

just

wanted

to

give

you

a

flavor

of

how

we

have

dealt

with

it

and

how

we

emerged

stronger

from

the

experience.

Our

security

operations

team

first

detected

suspicious

activity

in

late

September,

and

it

quickly

became

clear

that

the

initial

breach

was

escalating

into

a

very

sophisticated

human-controlled

ransomware

attack.

We

acted

quickly

to

contain

the

threat

actors

and

took

down

all

of

our

corporate

Internet

activity

and

connected

devices.

Well,

this

meant

a

shift

to

manual

processes

for

a

period

of

time.

It

enabled

us

to

quickly

contain

the

attack,

avoided

a

full

shutdown

of

our

business,

and

we

saw no

evidence

of

any

exfiltration

of

our

data.

It

also allowed

us

to

move

rapidly

on

to

recovery

and

restoration,

according

to

business

priority,

which

continued

through

to

the

end

of

the

year.

The

financial

impact

of

ÂŁ25

million

at

the

lower

end

of

our

guidance

range

was

a

good

outcome

in

the

circumstances,

and

John

will

go

into

more

detail

on

how

that

breaks

down

in

the

financial

review.

But

it

was

transitory.

We

did

not

engage

or

pay

any

ransom.

And

by

the

end

of

January,

we

were

largely

back

to

normal

operations,

having

delivered

an

uninterrupted

level

of

customer

service

throughout.

The

impact

of

the

attack

touched

everyone

in the

business

in

one

way

or

another

and

consumed

a

lot

of

time

and

resources.

But

we've

learned

a

lot

and

emerged

stronger

with

an

even

more

resilient

IT

infrastructure.

The

way

our

teams

responded

and

adapted

to

keep

delivering

for

our

customers

has

been

outstanding,

exemplifying

everything

that

is

so

special

about

the

culture

and

attitude

at

Weir.

The

cyber

incident

was

a

pretty

major

bump

in

the

road

but

we

had

to

deal

with

it

and

it

did

not

stop

us

making

strong

strategic

progress

in

the

year.

Among

the

highlights

in

the

year

were

maintaining

best-in-class

safety

standards

and

staying

focused

on

safety

despite

the

operational

disruptions

caused

by

the

cyber

incident;

winning

large

orders

for

sustainable

solutions,

such

as

high

pressure

grinding

rolls

and

electric

dewatering

pumps;

acquiring

Motion

Metrics,

strengthening

our

ability

to

offer

data-led

insights

and

accelerating

our

broader

digital

strategy

while also

increasing

R&D

spend

to

1.7%

of

revenue,

committing

to

set

science-based

targets

in

2022

to

further

drive

reductions

in

our

Scope

1, Scope

2,

and

Scope

3

emissions,

improving

gender

diversity

at

senior

management

levels

by

4%

to

26%,

and

announcing

the

forthcoming

appointment

of

Barbara

Jeremiah

as

the

first

woman

to

Chair

Weir.

So,

pleasing

progress

across

all

aspects

of

our

strategic

priorities

which

I'll

build

on

shortly.

But

first,

I'll

hand

over

to

John

to

take

you

through

the

numbers.

John?

J
John Heasley

Thank

you, Jon,

and

good

morning,

everyone.

2021

was

characterized

by

excellent

order

growth

with

revenues

and

operating

profits

showing

more

modest

progress

after

being

negatively

impacted

by

the

cyberattack,

albeit

our

actions

ensured

that

the

impact

was

minimized

to

the

low

end

of

the

range

that

we

outlined

in

October.

Orders

at

ÂŁ2.2

billion

increased

22%

with

the

second

half

seeing

our

latest

cycle

aftermarket

really

accelerate

across

both

divisions.

Revenues

at

ÂŁ1.9

billion

or

2%

up

on

last

year

which

combined

with

the

strong

orders

through

the

second

half,

meaning

that

the

book-to-bill

1.14%

and

resulted

in

a

record

order

book

at

the

start

of

2022.

Operating

profit

of

ÂŁ296

million

was

5%

higher

than

last

year,

with

the

impact

of

the

cyber

incident

being

limited

to

the

lower

end

of

the

previously

guided

range

of

ÂŁ25

million

to

ÂŁ40 million,

with

ÂŁ10

million

of

overhead

under-recoveries, ÂŁ10

million

of

lost

profit

on

revenue

slippage,

and

ÂŁ5

million

of

direct

costs

which

have

now

been

treated

as

exceptional.

Operating

margins

improved

by

40

basis

points

to 15.3%

with

the

impact

of

freight

and

raw

material

inflation

being

fully

mitigated.

Profit

before

tax

of

ÂŁ249

million

was

in

line

with

last

year

including

an

FX

translation

headwind

of

ÂŁ15

million with

EPS

at

ÂŁ0.713

per

share.

Operating

cash

flow

was

more

impacted

by

the

cyber

incident,

but

even

so,

net

debt

to

EBITDA

was

1.9

times

and

keeping

with

our

capital

allocation

policy.

I

will

now

turn

to

provide

some

detailed

commentary

on

each

of

the

divisions.

Starting

with

Minerals,

as

expected,

we

saw

strong

market

conditions

reach

our

later

point

in

the

cycle

with

OE

orders

starting

to

convert,

and

aftermarket

demand

build

through

the

year

to

reach

record

levels

in

Q4.

Those

market

conditions

continue

to

be

supported

by

strong

commodity

prices

and

demand

for

energy

and

water-efficient

solutions

for

expansion

and

upgrade

projects.

On

the

project

side,

key

wins

in

the

first

half

included

the

Ferrexpo

HPGR

order

for

ÂŁ36

million

and

the

Indonesian

electric

dewatering

pump

order

for

ÂŁ33

million

supporting

57%

OE

order

growth

in

H1.

The

second

half

was

characterized

by

solid

conversion

of

smaller

brownfield

and

expansion

projects

still

driving

34%

growth

in

H2.

HPGRs

and

associated

comminution

products

continue

to

be

a

key

growth

driver

with

orders

up

60%,

representing

7%

of

the

total

division.

Regionally,

we've

seen

strong

growth

across

the

board

with

standout

performances

in

Asia,

Africa,

and

North

America,

which

all

bounced

back

strongly

from

a

COVID-impacted

2020.

[indiscernible]



(00:09:21) orders

22%

higher

with

OE

up

45%,

and

aftermarket

up

13%.

Q4

aftermarket

orders

were

up

29%

year-on-year,

and

19%

sequentially,

reaching

record

levels

in

absolute

terms.

Revenues

were

1%

lower

than

the

prior

year

with

aftermarket

up

2%,

and

OE

down

8%

with

a

non-repeat

of

ÂŁ80

million of

Iron

Bridge

OE

revenue

from

last

year

and

the

impact

of

the

cyber

incident,

which

net-net

meant

we

saw

a

bit

a

week

of

revenues

slip

into

2022.

Book-to-bill

at

1.16

means

we

enter

2022

with

a

record

order

book.

Operating

profit

increased

by

ÂŁ1

million

in

a

constant

currency

basis

to

ÂŁ251

million

with

margins

up

20

basis

points

to

17.7%

with

the

benefits

of

mix

and

efficiency

gains

being

offset

by

cyber-related

overhead

under-recoveries.

While

inflationary

pressures

across

raw

material

and

freight

were

significant

in the

year,

we

managed

to

maintain

gross

margins

at

a

product

level

through

a

combination

of

focus

on

material

recycling,

robust

supplier

negotiations,

and

aftermarket

price

increases.

The

aftermarket

revenue

mix

increased

in

the

year

to

71%

compared

to

69%

last

year,

providing

a

margin

benefit

of

around

60

basis

points.

As

we

expected,

while

some

of

the

temporary

cost

savings

realized

last

year

such

as

bonus

and

T&E

returned,

these

were

largely

offset

by

lower

levels

of

under-recoveries

as

we

face

fewer

COVID-related

plant

disruptions.

However,

the

division's

operations

and,

therefore,

H2

margins

were

impacted

by

the

cybersecurity

incident,

which

resulted

in

an

estimated

ÂŁ10 million

of

under-recoveries

with

the

slippage

of

around

a

week's

revenues

also

having

about

a

ÂŁ10 million

impact

on

operating

profit.

Moving

briefly

to

the

next

slide,

our

margins

continue

to

be

supported

by

operational

efficiencies.

These

included

a

refresh

of

the

Weir

production

system

that

assesses

every

production

and

service

facility

against

the

standard

set

of

lean

criteria,

as

well

as

further

progressing

our

back

office

shared

services

rollout.

On

the

operational

side,

we

consolidated

two

facilities

in

China,

thereby,

realizing

overhead

savings

while

optimizing

our

foundry

network

with

an

upgrade

in

Australia.

In

the

back

office,

we

continue

to

roll

out

our

finance shared

services

such that

70%

of

the

group

is

now

covered

by

a

common

shared

service

function.

We

expect

that

to

increase

to

90%

over

the

course

of

2022.

And

as

set

out

in

our

strategic

framework,

some

of

the

benefits

of

these

activities

have

been

and

will

continue

to

be

reinvested

in

R&D

as

we

look

to

achieve

our

medium

term

investment

target

of

at

least

2%

of

revenues.

Moving

on

to

ESCO

where

we

experienced

similar

mining

market

conditions

as

the

Minerals

division,

with

mining

orders

running

at

significantly

higher

levels

than

last

year

as

machine

utilization

returned

to

pre-COVID

levels.

Infrastructure

and

construction

markets

in

Europe

and

North

America

recovered

strongly,

supported

by

easing

of

COVID

restrictions

and

government

stimulus,

resulting

in

record

order

levels.

Total

orders

have

now

increased

sequentially

for

six

straight

quarters

with

Q4

orders

37%

higher

than

last

year

and

7%

sequentially,

leaving

the

year

25%

ahead.

Revenues

were

up

11%,

lagging

orders

due

to

phasing

and

lead

times.

This

was

demonstrated

with

H2

revenue

being

up

20%,

compared

to

1%

in

the

first

half.

And

with

book-to-bill

at

1.07,

the

highest

since

we

acquired

the

business

in

2018,

we

carry

a

strong

order

book

into

2022.

Operating

profit

at

ÂŁ83

million

was ÂŁ8

million or

11%

higher

than

last

year,

with

margins

up 10

basis

points

at

16.3%.

The

margin

performance

was

especially

pleasing,

given

the

significant

raw

material

and

freight

inflation,

which

is

more

impactful

than

in

Minerals.

This

is

due

to

exposure

to

North

American

steel

plate

and

ESCO

centralized

manufacturing

model,

which

results

in

more

freight

costs.

Both

those

input

costs

more

than

doubled

in

the

year.

Our

market

leading

position

allows

us

to

be

the

price

setter

unless

pricing

power

is

what

has enabled

us

to

maintain

gross

margins

through

a

series

of

price

increases

and

surcharges

as

appropriate.

As

highlighted

in

July,

H2

margins

were

slightly

lower

than

H1

which

benefited

from

the

phasing

of

sales

price

increases

and

advance

of

input

costs

given

extended

period

purchase

agreements.

You

will remember

that

last

year,

ESCO

profits

benefited

from

COVID-related

temporary

cost

savings,

such

as

bonus

and

T&E

with

no

significant

offsetting

recovery

impact.

As

these

costs

have

largely

returned

this

year,

they've

been

offset

by

the

leverage

benefit

of

higher

revenues

and

ongoing

efficiency

savings.

These

factors

resulted

in

an

operating

margin of

16.3%,

up

10

basis

points

from

last

year,

and

we

remain

on

track

to

achieve

our

medium

term

target

of

17%

set

at

the

time

of

the

acquisition.

Now,

bringing

things

together

to

look

at

the

group

operating

margins.

Overall

group

margins

as

reported

averages

20

basis

points

to

15.3%.

After

restating

the

prior

year

downwards

by

60

basis

points

for

accounting

adjustments

and

FX,

we

delivered

a

40 basis

points

increase

across

three

main

areas as

I

would

describe

shortly.

2020

margins

have

been

restated

from

15.5%

to

14.9%

to

reflect

accounting

changes

and

latest

foreign

exchange

rates.

Accounting

guidance

was

issued

in

the

year

by

the

International

Financial

Reporting

Interpretations

Committee

clarifying

the

treatment

of

accounting

for

Software-as-a-Service.

Essentially,

it

is

ruled

that

any

configuration

cost

should

be

expensed

rather

than capitalized.

With

the

implementation

of

our

global

HR

management

system

and

dollar

cloud

based

software

in

2020 and

2021,

we

incurred

ÂŁ7

million

of

configuration

cost

in

2020

and

ÂŁ4

million

in 2021

which

historically

would

have

been

capitalized.

These

have

now

been

expensed

in

both

years

and

included

largely

within

our

allocated

costs

resulting

in

a

restatement

of

the

2020

results

with

a

30 basis

points

impact

on

margins.

Going

forward,

we

would

expect

the

impact

to

be

modest

as

our

system

transformation

activities

reduce,

thereby,

having

no

significant

impact

on

our

medium-term

targets.

Translational

FX

has

reduced

the

margins

by 30

basis

points,

simply

due

to

the

mix

of

profitability

relative

to

currency

movements

in

the

year.

And

of

course,

that

can

move

positively

or

negatively

as

we

move

forward.

Now

moving

on

to

the

three

drivers

of

underlying

margin

improvement

in

the

year.

Firstly,

as

expected

and

in

line

with

our

three-year

plan,

we

delivered

a

40 basis

points

underlying

improvement

in

margins

driven

by

ESCO

operating

leverage

and

operational

improvements

across

the

group,

including

those

examples

previously

described.

This

amounted

to

around 80

basis

points

with

a

40 basis

points

offset

for

our

increase

in

strategic

R&D

investment.

Secondly,

the

2

percentage

points

movements

in

Minerals

mix

towards

aftermarket

had

a

60 basis

points

favorable

impact.

And

thirdly,

the

net

impact

of

the

cyber

incident

and

residual

COVID

impact

was

a

negative 60

basis

points.

COVID

was

net

neutral

and

Minerals

at

returning

costs

were

offset

by

lower

under-recoveries.

In

ESCO,

COVID

was

a

slight

negative

as

costs

returned,

but

without

the

corresponding

opportunity

to

improve

recoveries,

which

as

we

said

last

year,

were

less

impacted

than

Minerals.

The

main

net

impact,

therefore,

related

to

cyber

and

was

mainly

driven

by

under-recoveries

in

the

Minerals

Division.

These

costs

are

expected

to

reverse

next

year

and

beyond.

Well,

there

have

been

a

number

of

moving

parts

this

year,

we've

been

pleased

with

the

underlying

improvements

and

challenging

circumstances.

It

was

great

to

see

the resilience

of

our

gross

margins

supported

by

robust

sales

price

increases.

With

the

impact

of

cyber

and

COVID

to reverse

and

Software-as-a-Service

to

be

less

significant

going

forward,

we

remain

on

track

to

deliver

a 17%

constant

currency

margin

by

2023.

As

we

said

last

year,

this

improvement

will

be

driven

by

operating

leverage,

continued

operational

efficiencies

and

a

focus

on

maintaining

our

gross

margins

through

this

inflationary

period

and

will

be

spread

broadly

evenly

over

the

next

two

years.

Specifically,

for

2022,

we

will

see

some

headwinds

from

mix

as

revenue

moves

towards

OE

and

from

our

increased

investment

in

R&D.

For

the

avoidance

of

doubt,

we

see

higher

OE

mix

as

a

positive

in

terms

of

value

creation

with

every

OE

seal

setting

the

foundation

for

a

long-term,

highly

profitable

aftermarket

annuity.

These

margin

headwinds

will

be

more

than

offset

by

operating

leverage

as

we

deliver

on

a

strong

order

book

from

within

existing

production

capacity,

and

we

see

a

reversal

of

the

cyber

overhead

recovery

impact

while

continuing

to

mitigate

the

effects

of

raw

material

and

freight

inflation.

H1

margins

are

expected

to

be

lower,

driven

by

a

heavier

weighting

of

OE

shipments

seen

in

the

opening

order

book.

Turning

to

cash

flow,

we've

seen

a

more

significant

impact

from

the

cyber

incident

and

our

growing

order

book.

The

working

capital

outflow

of

ÂŁ103

million

is

reflective

of

an

increase

in

trade

receivables

following

the

back-end

loading

of

revenues

related

to

the

cyber

incident

and

a

buildup

of

inventories

in

both

Minerals

and

ESCO

to

support

a

record

closing

order

book.

As

a

result,

working

capital

as

a

percentage

of

sales

at

27.9%

was

above

normal

levels.

CapEx

was

lower

than

last

year,

and

our

plans

as

overall

spend

was

delayed

during

the

cyber

incident

and

final

permits

for

our

new

China

foundry

for

ESCO

takes

slightly

longer

than

planned.

CapEx

also

includes

the

benefit

from

the

proceeds

from

the

sale

of

a

property

in

China

as

part

of

our

efficiency

program.

We're

also starting

to

report

a

free

operating

cash

flow

conversion

measure,

and

this

will

become

a

KPI

for

the

group.

This

reflects

the

conversion

of

adjusted

operating

profit

to

operating

cash

flow

after

CapEx,

lease

payments,

dividends

from

JVs,

and

purchase

of

shares

for

employee

share

plans.

Over

the

course

of

2019

and

2020,

this

averaged

82%

and

clearly

this

year

at

63%

has

been

impacted

by

the

working

capital

outflow.

I

will talk

about

our

targets

for

operating

cash

flow

conversion

shortly.

Turning

to

the

next

slide,

free

cash

flow

of

ÂŁ62

million

is

ÂŁ70

million

lower

than

last

year,

mainly

due

to

the

operating

cash

flow

just

described.

Net

interest

is

ÂŁ8

million

lower

than

the

prior

year,

reflecting

a

lower

net

debt,

while

cash

tax

is

ÂŁ19

million

adverse

due

to

a

higher

tax

charge

and

some

payment

deferrals

from

last

year.

With

regards

to

net

debt,

we

saw

absolute

levels

reduced

by

ÂŁ279

million.

This

follows

the

completion

of

the

sale

of

oil

and

gas,

partially

offset

by

the

acquisition

of

Motion

Metrics

in

November,

and

leaves

net

debt

to

EBITDA

at

1.9

times

on

a

lender

covenant

basis.

Returning

now

to

operating

cash

conversion

and

our

targets

going

forward.

As

you

can

see,

our

free

operating

cash

conversion

has

averaged

82%

over

the

course

of

2019

and

2020.

Over

the

medium

term,

we

target

this

to

improve

to

between

90%

and

100%.

This

will

be

driven

by

maintaining

working

capital

to

sales

between

20%

and

25%,

and

CapEx

and

lease

costs

being

at

around

1

times

depreciation.

Our

working

capital

will

be

optimized

as

we

continue

to

leverage

the

benefits

of our

global SAP platform

in

Minerals

to

allow

global

inventory

management

and

the

increasing

digitization

of

our

supply

chain

in

ESCO.

For

2022

and

2023,

we

expect

CapEx

and

leases

to

be

elevated

to

around

1.5

times

depreciation

amounting

to

an

incremental

ÂŁ40

million

to ÂŁ50

million

per

year.

This

is

to

support

the

build

of

the

new

ESCO

foundry

in

China,

the

final

SAP

rollout

in

Minerals,

as

well

as

other

digital

initiatives.

This

will

reduce

cash

conversion

to

80%

to

90%

over

the

next

two

years

before

settling

at

a

long-term

through

cycle

target

of

90%

to

100%.

Below

operating

cash

flow,

we

do not

expect

any

unusual

items

going

forward.

Exceptional

cash

costs

will

be

minimized,

legacy-defined

benefit

pension

deficit

repair

costs

are

expected

to

be

ÂŁ10 million

to

ÂŁ15

million

per

annum,

while

interest

on

tax

should

broadly

match

the

income

statement

charge.

These

operational

cash

flow

targets

provide

further

context

and

underpinning

detail

to

our

capital

allocation

policy

as

announced

last

year.

Very

briefly,

this

slide

sets

out

some

financial

guidance

for

this

year.

I

would

just

remind

you

from

a

cash

perspective

that

we

still

have ÂŁ12

million

of

the

initial

Motion

Metrics

consideration

and

some

integration

costs

appear

in

2022.

And

from

an

income

statement

and

cash

perspective,

we

will

see

around

a

ÂŁ6

million

saving

and

interest

this

year.

In

summary,

we

minimized

the

cyber

impact

on

profit

to

the

lower

end

of our

previous

guidance

while

cash

conversion

was

impacted

by

a higher

than

normal

level

of

working

capital.

Even

with

the

cyber

challenges,

net

debt

to

EBITDA

of

1.9

times

shows

our

financial

strength.

We

are

managing

through

the

inflationary

environment

with

scale

as

gross

margins

have

been

maintained

across

both

divisions.

Order

momentum

is

strong

and

we

enter

2022

with

a

record

order

book.

Execution

of

that

order

book

and

associated

operating

leverage

together

with

further

ongoing

efficiency

benefits

means

we

remain

confident

in

our

medium-term

growth,

margin,

and

cash

targets.

Thank

you,

and

I

would

now

hand

back

to

Jon.

J
Jon Stanton

Thank

you,

John.

In

this

next

section,

I'll

update

you

on

the

strategic

progress

we're

making

towards

our

medium-term

goals

and

share

why

we

are

so

excited

and

confident

about

the

future.

First,

let

me

remind

you

of

where

we

play,

what

we

do,

and

why

customers

choose

to

work

with

us.

Weir

has

a

unique

position

in

the

mining

value

chain. No

other business

provides the

same range

of

premium solutions

from

the

pit

to

the

processing

plant.

We

have

leading

market

positions

and

premium

brands

from

extraction,

through

comminution,

to

the

mill

circuit

and

tailings

management.

We're

operating

every

day

at

the

very

heart

of

the

mining

processes.

Our

highly

engineered

technology

is

mission

critical

to

our

customers

who

rely

on

our

solutions

to

avoid

downtime,

downtime

that

can

easily

cost

$10 million

a

day.

We're

very

focused

on

where

we

operate,

concentrating

on

high

abrasion

applications

which

generate

strong

aftermarket

demand,

and

we

support

that

demand

through

our

extensive

service

network.

It's

a

highly

resilient,

razor-razorblade

business

model.

Once

we

sell

the

original

equipment,

we

have

the

opportunity

to

provide

spares

and

service

in

the

aftermarket.

And

for

every

original

equipment

sale

we

make,

we'll,

in

average,

achieve

around

30%

of

the

original

value

in

spare

parts

per

year.

And

that

figure

is

even

higher

for

our

large

warm

and

slurry

pumps.

So

we

have

a

reliable,

sustained

revenue

stream

throughout

the

mining

cycle.

Increasingly,

we

are

extending

digital

connectivity

across

our

portfolio

with

our

proprietary

Synertrex

platform

and

the

recent

addition

of

Motion

Metrics

rugged

camera

and

AI

visualization

technology

is

adding

to

our

leadership

in

mechanical

engineering

and

materials

science.

With

such

a

broad

portfolio

across

the

mine

and

a

trusted

reputation,

customers

look

to

Weir

as

a

key

enabler

of

innovation

and

performance

improvement

in

the

industry.

Strategically,

we're

working

even

more

closely

in

partnership

with

customers

to

develop

new

technologies

that

will

help

make

the

mines

of

the

future

smarter,

more

efficient,

and

sustainable.

Our

deliberate

repositioning

to

focus

on

mining

technology

is

enabling

us

to

take

advantage

of

the

multi-decade

growth

opportunities

that

exist

in

partnership

with

the

industry

we

serve.

Demand

for

metals

will

continue

to

increase

with

demographic

drivers,

but

these

factors

have

now

been

overtaken

by

expected

demand

from

the

clean

energy

transition,

driven

by

ever-increasing

global

action

against

climate

change.

As

the

rise

of

electric

vehicles

and

transition

to

renewable

energy

generation

gathers

pace,

this

is

translating

into

significant

increases

in

demand

for

metals

like

copper,

nickel,

and

lithium.

And

at

the

same

time,

there's

a

technology

shift

underway

in

mining

as

the

industry

grapples

with

the

ongoing

challenge

of

ore

grade

declines,

meaning

more

material

needs

to

be

mined

and

processed,

while

keeping

safety

as

a

top

priority

and

also

while

responding

to

pressure

to

decarbonize

and

reduce

energy

and

water

intensity.

Without

a

reduced

environmental

impact,

our

customers

will

not

have

the

social

license

to

operate.

So

the

challenge

is

twofold.

More

essential

resources

are

needed

to

meet

the

levels

of

electrification

and

renewable

power

generation

required

to

get

to

net

zero,

but

the

way

those

resources

are

produced

must

significantly

change.

And

that's why

mining

needs

to

become

smarter,

more

efficient

and

sustainable,

and

this

presents

Weir

with

tremendous

opportunities

as

we

leverage

our

leading

market

positions

and

global

footprint,

all

of

which

plays

right

to

the

core

of

our

organization's

purpose.

Our

strategic

ambitions

ensure

that

we

focus

on

the

areas

that

will

deliver

against

those

opportunities,

accelerating

sustainable

profitable

growth

in

the

future

for

the

benefit

of

all

our

stakeholders.

They

are

aligned

to

our

We

are

Weir

framework

and

its four

pillars

of

people,

customers,

technology,

and

performance.

First

and

foremost,

we

want

to

be

a

zero

harm

workplace.

We're

determined

to

get

there,

building

on

the

significant

progress

we've

made

in

recent

years,

and

to

help

our

customers

with

their

journey,

too.

We

also

know

the

benefits

of

an

inclusive,

diverse,

and

equitable

workplace

where

people

can

be

themselves

and

feel

like

they

belong.

And

this

helps

reinforce

a

vibrant

and

purpose-driven

culture.

At

the

same

time,

we

continue

to

invest

in

our

people

at

all

levels

across

Weir,

giving

them

the

opportunity

to

do

the

best

work

of

their

lives

and

creating

the

talent

and

capabilities

we

need

to

be

successful

in

the

future.

Turning

to

customers,

our

goal

is

to

grow

ahead

of

our

markets

by

getting

closer

to

customers,

working

in

partnership

to

solve

their

biggest

challenges.

And

more

broadly,

we

will

raise

our

voice

to

show

leadership

in

the

mining

industries'

transformation

to

net

zero.

In

technology,

we

continue

to

invest

to

expand

our

development

pipeline,

marrying

our

engineering

excellence

with

digital

capability

to

create

new,

smarter

ways

of

doing

business

that

are

based

on

data-driven

decisions

and

insights.

And

as

we

grow

profitably,

we

will

continuously

work

to

be

leaner,

cleaner

and

more

efficient,

which

will

support

expanded

margins

and

strong

cash

conversion,

demonstrating

the

quality

inherent

in

our

business.

In

2021,

we

made

good

progress

towards

realizing

these

ambitions.

And

over

the

next

few

slides,

I

want

to

give

more

color

on

the

level

of

our

ambition.

Starting

with

people.

Safety

remains

our

number

one

priority.

And

throughout

Weir,

we

do

everything

we

can

to

ensure

we

all

have

a

safe

start,

safe

finish,

and

safe

journey

home

every

day.

For

the

group

as

a

whole,

in

2021,

our

Total

Incident

Rate

of

0.45

is

broadly

in

line

with

the

prior

year,

which

I

believe

is

very

creditable

given

the

ongoing

challenges

around

COVID

and

other

disruptions.

ESCO

continue

to

significantly

improve

its

safety

performance

and

this

TIR is

now

over

50%

lower

than

when

we

acquired

the

business

in

2018,

a

terrific

achievement.

Overall,

our

TIR continues

to

place us

among

the

leaders

in

our

sector.

Our

absolute

goal

remains

zero

harm.

And

in

2022,

we'll

focus

on

further

embedding

the

right

safety

behaviors

in

order

to

drive

a

breakthrough

in

performance.

2021

has

thrown

a

lot

at

the

organization,

but

we

continue

to

listen

to

our

employees.

I

was

delighted

to

see

participation

reach

90%

in

our

2021

employee

survey

and

our

Employee

Net

Promoter

Score

increased

again,

putting

us

in

the

top

quartile

against

industrial

benchmarks.

Meanwhile,

the

completed

deployment

of

the

Workday

HR

system

has

been

a

major

step

forward

in

streamlining

and

enhancing

our

people

processes

and

gives

us

a

great

platform

from

which

to

drive

further

progress

on

talent

in

2022.

We

saw

our

purpose

come

alive

in

2021,

most

notably

in

celebration

of

our

150th

anniversary,

when

employees

on

every

corner

of

the

globe

took

part

in

our

Day

of

Purpose

program

to

give

something

back

to

their

families

and

communities.

People

gave

blood,

spent

time

in

schools,

overhauled

community

gardens,

cycled

in

major

charities,

and

much,

much

more.

We

continue

to

support

our

people

and

their

families

with

company-organized

vaccine

clinics

such

as

the

one

at

our

site

in

India

where

over

700

individuals

took

part.

And

it's been

great

to

see

the

expansion

of

our

global

affinity

groups

as

more

and more

colleagues

engaged

in

our

ID&E

activities.

This

caring

and

purposeful

culture

is

an

enormous

asset

to

Weir

and

one

that

requires

continual

investment.

It

is

the

absolute

bedrock

of

our

ongoing

success

as

an

organization

and

will

underpin

our

ability

to

deliver

on

our

strategy

in

the

future.

Turning

to

growth,

we

continue

to

expect

our

markets,

principally

driven

by oil

production,

to

grow

at

around

3%

per

annum

in

line

with

long-term

averages.

In

contrast,

our

goal

is

to

grow

faster

than

our

markets

and

to

deliver

mid-

to

high-single-digit

growth

through

the

cycle.

This

will

be

achieved

through

our

strategic

growth

initiatives

where

we

will

build

further

on

our

existing

momentum.

For

Minerals,

the

largest

growth

driver

will

be

our

further

expansion

in

comminution,

where

we

are

rapidly

growing

our

installed

base

of

HPGRs,

our

market-leading

technology

that

supports

increased

production

while

reducing

energy

consumption

by

around

40%

compared

to

alternatives.

Over

the

last

year,

we

saw

comminution

orders

increase

by

60%

as

miners

recognize

the

benefits

of

this

more

efficient

and

sustainable

solution.

In

2021,

we

won

around

80%

of

the

hard

rock

expansion

projects,

which

specify

high volume,

large

format

HPGRs.

And

with

currently

around

ÂŁ150

million

of

sales

per

annum,

comminution

has

the

potential

to

triple

on

a

sustainable

basis

over

the

next

five

years.

The

focus

for

geographic

expansion

in

Minerals

is

Central

America,

Eastern

Europe,

Central

Africa,

and

Central

and

Southeast

Asia,

where

we

are

rapidly

expanding

our

service

footprint

to

support

new

mines

and

expansion

projects.

We

have a deeply

embedded

philosophy of

having

boots

on

the

ground

with our

customers,

and

this

remains

core

to

our

offer.

During

the

last

year,

we've

opened

seven

new

service

centers

across

these

regions

including

two

joint

mineral

ESCO

centers

as

we

leverage

our

complete

mining

technology

portfolio

into

new

markets.

We

will

continue

to

grow

market

share

of

our

core

products,

particularly

in

territories

where

we

have

been

underrepresented

or

lost some

share

in

the

past,

and

we'll

introduce

new

products,

such

as

hydro-hoisting,

drawing

on

our

traditional

strengths

in

material

science,

mechanical

engineering,

and

hydraulic

technology

to

make

our

customers'

operations

smarter,

more

efficient,

and

sustainable.

Customer

intimacy

is

a

big

differentiator

for

Weir.

Mining

is

a

24/7

need-it-now

industry

and

we

aim

to

have

engineers

on

the

ground

no

more

than

200 kilometers

from

any

customer

so

that we

can

provide

them

with

the

high-quality

products

and

service

they

need

to

keep

production

going.

Our

approach

means

we're

able

to

develop

and

maintain

long-standing

relationships

built

on

trust,

and

with

that

trust,

and

our

unique

viewpoint

at

the

heart

of

the

core

processes

across

the

mine

will

develop

integrated

solutions.

This

activity

ranges

from

basic

problem

solving

and

debottlenecking

to

expand

production

and

productivity

right

through

to

process

transformation

where

we've

been

able

to

combine

our

technical

capabilities

to

offer

novel

approaches

to

customer

challenges.

For

example,

our

customer

at

a

copper

mine

in

the

north

of

Chile

needed

to

increase

plant

capacity

and

equipment

availability.

Our

engineering

team

designed

a

new

solution

comprising

a

larger

capacity,

Synertrex-enabled

Cavex

hydrocyclone

cluster

together

with

a

large Warman

cyclone

feed

pump.

Using

3D

scanning

to

design

the

new

layout

within

the

existing

footprint,

minimize

downtime

for

the

customer

and

the

new

integrated

solution

increased

capacity

by

over 20%

and

service

life

by

more

than

65%.

It's

through

examples

such

as

this

that

we

continue

to

grow

our

integrated

solutions.

Orders

in

2021

increased

by

32%

to

ÂŁ210

million,

representing

some

10%

of

our

total

orders

in

the

year.

In

ESCO,

we

will

continue

to

leverage

the

strong

value

propositions

of

our

core

product

range

to

grow

our

share,

such

as

in

the

case

of

our

Nemisys

GET

system,

which

is

now

established

as

the

market

leader

across

all

mining

systems,

delivering

over

200

net

conversions

in

2021,

and

underpinning

our

leading

market

share

in

mining

GET.

Beyond

the

core

GET

product

range,

we're

extending

the

range

of

parts

we

offer

on

large

mining

machines

to

other

Weir

areas

and

having

more

capital

equipment

such

as

truck trays

to

our

offering.

We're

extending

a

number

of

markets

where

we

offer

bespoke

engineered

bucket

solutions

with

a

target

that

we

become

the

global

number

one

in

aftermarket

mining

machine

attachments.

Geographic

expansion

will

follow

in

similar

regions

to

Minerals

for

mining.

But

in

ESCO,

additionally,

we're

expanding

our

infrastructure

business

for

premium

applications

beyond

our

core

markets

of

North

America

and

Europe

to

create

a

global

business.

And

similar

to

Minerals,

ESCO

has

an

opportunity

to

offer

its

own

version

of

integrated

solutions

in

the

mine,

such

as

load/haul

optimization

solutions

that

enable

our

customers

to

significantly

increase

productivity

and

reduce

energy

consumption.

For

example,

when

a

South

African-based

hard

rock

mining

customer

approached

us

to

bid

for

a

replacement

rope

shovel

bucket,

our

engineers

saw

an

opportunity

for

a

more

innovative

and

impactful

solution.

They

proposed

an

alternative

option

to

the

customer,

which

through

our

superior

engineering

design,

lightweight

construction,

and

development

of

a

custom

lip

system

would

enable

them

to

use

a

larger

shovel

bucket

and,

hence,

transfer

more

material

onto

their

haul

trucks

each

time

the

bucket

was

filled.

To

get

a

sense

of how

much

these

units

move,

each

bucket

scoop

is

over

100

tonnes

and

the

shovel

will

excavate

the

equivalent

of

an

Olympic

swimming

pool

in

less

than

an

hour.

The

customer

accepted

the

proposal

and

we've

now

installed

our

latest

Nemisys

N3

shovel

bucket

and lip

system

at

the

mine,

and the

results

have

been

impressive.

The

average

payload

realized

in

each

bucket

is

exceeding

designed

outcomes.

Whole

trucks

are

now

filled

consistently

in

three

passes,

not

four,

while

realizing

higher

average

target

payloads.

We're

doing

more

with

less.

Each

scoop

saved

reduces

truck

idle

time

under

the

shovel,

directly

reducing

truck

fuel

burn

and,

therefore,

CO2

emissions

per

unit

of

mine

production.

Additionally,

a

25%

increase

in

shovel

capacity

allows

the

client

to

maximize

their

lowest

cost

and

most

efficient

loading

unit

while

deprioritizing

more

expensive

and

less

efficient

loading

units,

an

efficient

and

more

productive

solution

all

round.

Superior

technology

is

a

hallmark

at Weir

and

we're

investing

more

in

R&D

to

support

future

growth.

As

I've

already

said,

a

technology-led

transition

is

gathering

pace

as

the

global

mining

industry

looks

to

achieve

net

zero

and

fulfill

its

ESG

promises

while

producing

more

of

the

essential

natural

resources

needed

for

a

sustainable

future.

This

will

see

accelerated

investment

in

the

development

of

new

breakthrough

technologies,

which,

of

course,

will

provide

tremendous

future

growth

opportunities

for

us.

Our

goal

is

to

play

a

leading

role

in

developing

and

deploying

the

technologies

that

will

support

our customers

on

this

journey.

Our

technology

strategy

is

underpinned

by

our

world-class

core

expertise

in

material

science,

mechanical

engineering,

and

hydraulics

now

augmented

with

digital

capability.

We're

directing

our

technology

towards

smart,

efficient,

sustainable

solutions,

and

allocating

increased

levels

of

R&D

investment

across

three

key

arenas

to

grow

our

technology

pipeline.

Firstly,

we're

investing

to

maintain

the

competitive

advantages

of

our

existing

products

through

advances

in

material

science,

and

the

mechanical

and

hydraulic

properties

of

our

equipment.

For

example,

we

recently

launched

the

new

super

resilient

mill

lining

rubber

compound,

which

is

tear

and

heat-resistant

which

will

support

our

expansion

in

that

market.

Secondly,

we're

investing

more

in

developing

new

sustainable

solutions

to

help

customers

reduce

their

emissions

and

water

consumption,

building

on

the

success

we've

had

with

HPGRs in

comminution,

where

we're

now

the

clear

market

leader.

We'll

also

continue

to

focus

on

integrated

solutions

where

we

can

combine

our

existing

technologies

or

with

those

of

strategic

partners

to

solve

difficult

problems

for

our

customers.

And

thirdly,

we're

increasing

our

investment

in

scouting

and

technology

foresighting

to

identify

new

opportunities

that

have

the

potential

to

deliver

more

from

less

in

mining

processes,

such

as

ore

fragmentation

and

characterization,

coarse

particle

flotation,

and

additive

manufacturing.

We

believe

the

transformation

to

a

net zero

future

can

only

be

achieved

through

partnership

and

system

solutions.

So,

we'll

continue

to

develop

the

right

strategic

alliances

and

technology

partners

to

complement

our

expertise

such

as

those

announced

with

Henkel

and

Andritz in

2021.

Turning

to

the

digital

arena,

of

course,

it's

a

given

as

for

any

industrial

company

that

everything

we

do

today

has

to

be

digitized

to

drive

efficiency,

automation,

and

deliver

an

overall

enhanced

customer

experience.

ESCO,

for

example,

is

digitizing

its

supply

chain

to

deliver

an

Amazon-like

experience

for

customers.

And

in

Minerals,

our

Field

Service

Management

tool

is

shifting

the

end-to-end

management

of

our

installed

base

from

analog

to

digital,

bringing

real-time

performance

data

and

technical

product

information

into

the

hands

of

service

technicians

in

the

field.

But

beyond

this,

we're

seeking

out

new

ways

to

create

data

and

insights

for

our

customers

across

our

touch

points

in

the

mine

and

process

plant.

Our

capability

in

this

regard

gained

a

significant

boost

late

last

year

when

we

acquired

Motion

Metrics,

a

market

leading

developer

of

innovative

AI

and

3D

Machine

Vision

Technology.

The

Motion

Metrics

technology

is

already

used

in

several

mines

around

the

world

and

comprises

smart,

rugged

cameras

which

were

initially

developed

to

provide

tooth loss

and

wear

rate

detection

to

shovel

and

loader

operators,

whereby

data

from

the

cameras

is

processed

by

artificial

intelligence

to

provide

real-time

feedback

that

enables

immediate

identification

of

potential

issues

that

could

compromise

safety

or

cause

unplanned

downtime

at

the

mine.

The

market

demand

for

this

technology

has

increased

rapidly

and

will

be

complemented

by

our

sensor-based

technology,

with

growth

significantly

accelerated

through

our

global

distribution

networks.

But

we

believe

there's

a

much

broader

opportunity

to

use

3D

visual

technology

and

AI

to

provide

data

on

the

performance

of

equipment,

faults,

payloads

and

rock

fragmentation

through

comminution

and

across

the

mining

process,

offering

the

possibility

of

end-to-end

process

optimization

as

part

of

our

wider

digital

strategy.

Motion

Metrics

will

report

through

the

ESCO

division,

but

recognizing

this

broader

opportunity

will

serve

as

Weir's

global

center

of

excellence

for

AI

and

Machine

Vision

Technology,

supporting

the

increased

digitalization

of

our

broader

product portfolio

and

with

a

direct

line

into

me.

We

have

already

secured

early

orders

as

we

leverage

our

global

sales

network

and

ESCO's

large

installed

base

to

expand

adoption

and

drive

significant

revenue

growth.

I

am

very

excited

about

the

potential

of

this

acquisition.

As

well

as

supporting

our

customers

with

more

sustainable

and

digitized

solutions,

we're

also

making

progress

on our

own

path

to

net zero

aiming

to

deliver

a

30%

reduction

in

Scope

1

and

2

emissions

relative

to

revenue

by

2024

and

SBTi-aligned

absolute

reduction

by

2030.

We've

made

further

progress

in

2021,

reaching

a

cumulative

15%

reduction

in

CO2

emissions

versus

our

2019

baseline,

focusing

on

targeted

actions

to

reduce

our

overall

energy

intensity

and

increase

the

proportion

of

energy

from

renewables.

For

example,

our

Chinese

foundry

was

named

a

green

foundry

by

a

prestigious

government-certified

scheme

in

2021.

And

in

Chile,

a

power

purchase

agreement

in

our

operations

has

reduced

our

local

carbon

footprint

from

electricity

consumption

by

95%

per

annum.

We're

also pleased

to

retain

our

A-

score

with

CDP,

despite

the

bar

being

raised

once

again.

And

looking

beyond

our

own

operations,

we've

now

completed

our

assessment

of

Scope

3

emissions,

which

confirms

that,

by

far,

the

biggest

overall

impact

we

can

have

as

a

business

is

by

reducing

the

energy

consumption

of

our

products

in

use

on

our customers'

sites.

That's

why

our

business

strategy

is

focused

on

helping

our

customers

meet

their

net-zero

ambitions

both

in

terms

of

the

products

we

have

in

the

field

and

those

we're

developing.

This

includes

Scope

4

offerings

where,

for

example,

emissions

are

avoided

due

to

increased

wear

life

or

energy

efficiency,

which

is

our

sweet

spot.

We

remain

on

track

with

the

strategy

we

set

out

in

2020,

and

accordingly,

we've

now

pledged

our

commitment

to

the

Science Based

Targets

initiative,

which

means

we

will

set

strengthened

emissions

reduction

targets

aligned

with

the

Paris

Agreement

on

climate

change

across

Scopes

1, 2,

and

3.

We

expect

to

publish

these

more

ambitious,

externally

validated

emission

targets

later

this

year.

And

of

course,

we're

providing

both

our

first

full

TCFD

disclosures

and

our

Scope

3

evaluation

in

our

forthcoming

annual

report.

Putting

that

all

together,

I

want

to

reaffirm

our

confidence

in

delivering

the

following

medium-term

goals.

Firstly,

growing

revenue

strongly

ahead

of

our

markets

through

the

strategic

growth

initiatives

that

I

outlined

in

detail

earlier.

Second,

expanding

group

operating

margins

to

17%

in

2023

through

operational

leverage,

the

elimination

of

recent

one-off

effects,

and

driving

back-office

efficiency,

as

John

outlined

earlier.

Third,

achieving

90%

to

100%

operating

cash

conversion

in

2024

and

beyond.

And

finally,

not

only

fulfilling

our

existing

sustainability-linked

targets

but

going

on

to

set

more

ambitious,

externally

validated

ones.

And

we'll

deliver

all

of

this

while

investing

more

in

our

people

and

technology

to

support

our

strategic

ambition.

Let

me

close

with

a

few

words

on

what we're

seeing

in

the

market

and

the

outlook

for

2022.

Current

market

conditions

are

extremely

favorable.

Our

customers

are

focused

on

maximizing

production

to

benefit

from

record

commodity

prices,

supporting

underlying

spares

and

service

demand.

We

have

seen

really

good

activity

in

smaller

brownfield

projects

where

paybacks

are

quick

and

don't

disrupt

ongoing

production.

For

larger

brownfield

and

greenfield

opportunities,

we

have

a

strong

pipeline,

but

conversion

remains

slow

although

customers

are

focusing

more

on

new

supply,

given

expectations

for

future

demand

and

expected

shortages

for

the

key

future-facing

metals.

So,

on to

outlook.

2022

has

started

well,

and

the

impact

of

last

year's

cybersecurity

incident

is

behind

us.

We

have

a

record order

book,

and

our

markets

are

buoyant,

which

is

expected

to

remain

the

case.

We

expect

to

continue

to

have

to

deal

with

ongoing

disruption

from

COVID-19

and

inflationary

and

logistics

challenges

in

the

supply

chain

while

remaining

vigilant

of

a

heightened

geopolitical

risk.

Specifically,

the

rapid

escalation

of

events

in

Ukraine

and

Russia

has

created

significant

uncertainty

about

our

operations

and

trading

in

those

countries.

Our

priority

is

the

safety

of

our

impacted

colleagues,

and

we

continue

to

provide

them

with

all

the

support

we

can.

Our

overall

exposure

is

small

with

combined

Ukraine

and

Russia

net

assets

of

around

2%

of

the

group's

total,

and

combined

revenue

and

profit

being

less

than

5%.

We

are

actively

assessing

the

situation

closely

and

considering

options

as

to

how

best

look

after

our

people

and

protect

our

assets,

and

we'll

update

further

as

required.

Subject

to

the

ongoing

geopolitical

uncertainty,

in

2022,

we

expect

to

deliver

strong

growth

in

constant

currency

revenue

and

profit

consistent

with

our

medium-term

objectives.

Before

we

move

to

questions,

let

me

quickly

summarize

the

key

messages

from

this

presentation.

Today,

Weir

is

a

premium,

highly

resilient

mining

technology

business,

and

we

have

a

major

opportunity

to

make

mining

smarter,

more

efficient,

and

sustainable.

Long-term

trends

from

technology-led

transition

to

net-zero

mining

are in

our

favor.

And

we

have

a

clear

strategy

to

deliver

profitable

growth

ahead

of

our

markets

while

delivering

sustainable

margin

improvement.

That's

why

I

remain

excited

by

the

prospects

for

our

business

in

2022

and

beyond.

Thank

you.

John

and

I,

together

with

Ricardo

and

Andrew,

will

be

pleased

to

take

any

questions

that

you

have.

Operator

Thank

you.

[Operator Instructions]



Our

first

question

comes

from

the

line

of

Max

Yates

from

Credit

Suisse.

Max,

please

go

ahead.

M
Max R. Yates
Analyst, Credit Suisse Securities (Europe) Ltd.

Thank

you.

Good

morning,

everyone.

Just

my

first

question

would

be

on

pricing

in

the

aftermarket.

I

think

we've

previously

been

used

to

mine

production

growing

at

around

3%,

maybe

the

overall

business

growing

at

5%,

but

I

guess

this

is

largely

volume

related.

So,

I

just

wanted

to

understand

sort of

how

much

pricing

would

be

likely

to

contribute

to

order

growth

this

year

for

the

aftermarket

business.

J
Jon Stanton

Good

morning, Max.

How

are

you?

Yeah.

So,

I

think

on

pricing,

as

you've

seen

from

the

release,

we

did

a

great

job

in

2021.

I

think

getting

ahead

of

the

curve,

getting

the

price

increases

out

so

that

we

protected

our

gross

margins.

We

expect

to

continue

to

do

the

same

in

2022.

We

have

already

issued

new

price

increases

beginning

of

this

year

across

both

businesses. And

as

I

look

at

2022,

the

realization

I

would

expect

from

those

price

increases

is

probably

approaching

mid-single-digit

contribution

to

our

growth

as

the

price

increases

kick

in

through

the

course

of

the

year.

M
Max R. Yates
Analyst, Credit Suisse Securities (Europe) Ltd.

Okay.

That's okay.

Just

the

follow-up

question

would

be

around

– I

think

there

was

a

comment

where

you

started

talking

about

the

Lean

manufacturing

and

benchmarking

all

of

your

facilities

to

certain

metrics. And

I

just

wanted

to

understand sort

of

how

long –

how

far

along

we

are

in

that

process.

Is

that

something

that's

been

going

on

for

a

couple

of

years

now,

or

you've

just

started?

And

do

you

have

internally

kind

of as

a

bridge

to

get

to

those sort of

2023

targets,

any

cost

savings,

absolute

numbers

of

cost

savings

that

these

actions

may

yield

over

the

next

couple

of

years?

J
Jon Stanton

Yeah.

Well,

let

me

make

an

overarching

comment.

And

then

maybe

I'll

ask

Ricardo

and

Andrew

to

talk

about

what

they're

doing

on

manufacturing

efficiencies

in

each

of

the

two

businesses.

I

would

say

that

I

think Lean

is

something

that

we've

refocused

on

over

the

course

of

the

last

two

years,

recognizing

as

we

emerged

from

the

portfolio

transformation

as

a

mining

technology

pure

play,

that

the

operational

improvements

and

efficiencies,

maximizing

our

capacity

utilization

is

going

to

be

an

important

factor

in

terms

of

driving

the

operating

leverage

that

will

extend

our

margins

over

the

course

of

the

next

two

or

three

years.

So,

it

has

been

an

area

that

we

have

reprioritized

that

we're

making

really

good

progress

on.

But

maybe

Andrew

and

Ricardo

could

give

a

little

bit

of

color on

each

division.

R
Ricardo Garib
President-Weir Minerals, The Weir Group Plc

Yeah. Thank

you,

Jon.

Yes,

Max, Lean is

a

never-ending

journey.

You're

never

finished

with

that.

There's

always

ways

to

improve.

We

have

absolutely

in our

shops

huge

amount

of

[ph]



casing

walls (00:52:54)

so

we

can

get

from

the

base

of

our

employees

exactly

what

are

the

ideas

to

improve production.

But

structurally,

the

whole

division –

80%

division

now

is

on

SAP,

so

we

have

a

really

good

tool

we

can

really

see

live

what

is

going

on

[ph]



is

the (00:53:11)

inventory,

manufacturing,

production.

We're

rolling out

new

system

like 42Q where

we

can

see

our

job

efficiency,

and

also,

structurally,

we

just

expanded

our

shop

in

Australia,

our

foundry

in

Artarmon

after

we

expand

our

shop

in

Santiago and

Todmorden,

and

now

we're

getting

the

efficiency

of

15%,

16%.

Also,

we

shut

down

our

shop

in

China;

opened a complete

new

modern

facility.

So,

efficiency

is

absolutely

in

our

mindset.

In

the

supply

chain,

we

also

expanded

our

supply

chain

base

in

China,

Mexico,

and

the

Black

Sea,

so

we're

now

getting

access

to

new

sources

of

suppliers

that

are

out

of

the

traditional

ones.

Of

course,

the

supply

chain

is

always

the

case,

but

Lean,

as

I

said

before,

it's

a journey

that never

ends,

and

we

have

a

good

firm

to

go

for

the

base

to

ideas

to

make

things

quicker,

cheaper,

and

faster.

Andrew?

A
Andrew Neilson
President-ESCO division, The Weir Group Plc

Yeah.

I

think

for

ESCO,

Max,

we

really

reinvigorated

this

over

the

last

12, 18

months.

We

do

feel

there's a

lot

more

to

come

over

the

next

three,

four

years.

And it's

really

about,

as

Ricardo

says,

lean

continuous

improvement

journey.

It's

one

big

focus

area

for

us,

also

process

control.

And

around

supporting

that,

we

actually

inputted

last

year

a

new

system

OSI

PI,

which

lets

us

digitally

see

data

far

quicker,

put

actually

some

of

the

visualization

in the

hands

of

the

operator

so

we

can

react

quickly

when

we

see

process

control

moving

away

from

optimal

performance.

So,

for

example,

that

drives

directly

to

lower

scrap,

less

rework,

and

it gives

us

the

benefit

of

also

efficiencies,

but

also

effectively

more

capacity

in

the

system.

We

also

will

see

the

benefits

of

investment

we've made

over

the

last

couple

of

years

and

ongoing,

which

improves

the

quality

of

the

assets

and

makes

us

deliver

better.

And

then,

lastly,

and

as

Ricardo

says,

supply

chain

is

always

an

ongoing

area

where

we're

looking

to

best

co-source

where

we

can

and

optimize

our

cost

across

the

supply

chain,

including

looking at

logistics routes,

for

example,

given

the

stress

we

see

in

that

right

now.

M
Max R. Yates
Analyst, Credit Suisse Securities (Europe) Ltd.

Okay,

very

helpful.

Thanks.

Maybe

just

one

very

quick

final

one

on

ESCO.

I

think

we're

used

to

an

ESCO,

seeing

the

business

have a

sort

of

seasonal

Q1

uptick

in

line

with

activity.

We

obviously

exited

this

year

at

a

pretty

healthy

order

level.

So

I

just

wanted

to

understand,

as

the

year

has

started,

have

you

seen

the

normal

sort

of

Q1

versus

Q4

seasonal

uptick

in

ESCO

or

were

you

already

running

at

very

high

levels

in

Q4?

J
Jon Stanton

Andrew?

A
Andrew Neilson
President-ESCO division, The Weir Group Plc

Yeah.

Yeah.

I

think

so

in

terms

of

Q1,

we're

going

into

the

year

kind

of

underlying

similar

levels,

continued

strong

performance

really.

And

really,

the

driver

of

that

uptick

is

typically

the

start

to the

year,

seeing

some

customers

placing

orders

for

the

year

and

the construction

market

tends

to

be

quite

seasonal and

you

see

more

orders

in

Q1,

which

are

delivered

over

the

course of

the

year.

So

we

are

seeing

a

degree

of

those

patterns

continuing,

albeit

the

construction

industry,

obviously,

[ph]



left

the

year

(00:56:10) a

very

high

rate

and

we don't

really

see

the

tail

off

in

Q4

in

construction

orders

that

you

would

normally

see.

J
Jon Stanton

And

then,

if

you

remember,

Max,

last

year

was

sort of

characterized

by

infrastructure

spending

and

orders

ramping

up

really,

really

quickly

at

the

beginning

of

the

year,

and

that

continued

at

a

high

level

throughout

the

year.

The

mining

GET

lagged

that

as

the

large

mining

machine

sort

of

came

back

on

line

over

the

course

of

the

year.

So

we

saw

the

growth

in

mining

GET

catch

up

over

the

course

of

the

year

and

that

part

of

the

business exits

with

momentum,

whereas

the

infrastructure

piece

is

probably

sort

of

at

high

levels

of

activity

but

not going

to

leg

up

again

from

where

it

is

at the

moment.

M
Max R. Yates
Analyst, Credit Suisse Securities (Europe) Ltd.

Very

clear.

Thanks,

everyone.

Operator

Our

next question

comes

from

the

line

of

Andrew

Douglas

from

Jefferies.

Andrew, please

go

ahead.

A
Andrew Douglas
Analyst, Jefferies International Ltd.

Good

morning,

guys.

I've

got

four

questions,

[ph]



two

I

hope

will be

nice

and

quick,

two

hopefully

a

bit

more

big

picture-y (00:57:05).

Could

we

just

talk about

Russia

and

your

supply

chains?

I

just want

to

make

sure

that

there's

nothing

that

we

need

to

worry

about

[ph]



that. All

we're

hearing

(00:57:15)

is one

or

two

automotive

companies

now

suggest

that

they're

struggling

because

they

would

get

[ph]



their parents

under

Russia,

which

they

can't

get

hold

of (00:57:22).

So,

appreciate

it's

a

small

profit

number

but

just want

to

make

sure

there's

nothing

untoward

there.

I'm

slightly

surprised

by

the

fourth

quarter

order

intake

in

original

equipment

in

Minerals,

plus

9%.

It

was

on

a

weak

comp,

minus

18%,

which

might

be under

strong comp the

prior

year

before

that,

but

just

thought

9% might

have

been

a

bit

better.

So, I

just

want

to

make sure that

I'm not

missing

anything

or

there's

nothing

untoward

there.

And

then

two

slightly

bigger picture

questions,

can

you

just

talk

about

how

you

think

you're

positioned

relative

to

your

peers

from

a

mining

technology

perspective?

I

appreciate

your

recent

acquisition

gives you

another

leg up,

but

I've got

no

idea

how

you

compare

to

your

peer

groups.

So,

it

would

be

just

helpful

to

understand

that

a

bit

more.

And

then

this

is

really

an

unfair

question

but

I'm

going to

ask

it anyway. Your

17%

margin

target,

you're

nice

and

robust

in

terms

of

[indiscernible]



(00:58:09) in

2023.

Is there

any

structural

reason

why

17%

margins for

Weir

as

a

group

can't

be

higher?

J
Jon Stanton

Okay.

Well,

let

me

start

with

the

third

and

fourth

questions,

Andy,

the

bigger

picture

ones.

And

I'll ask

Ricardo

to

talk

because

he's

got

by

far

the

largest

business

in

Russia,

just

talk

about

how

that

business

works

and

were

there

any

supply

chain

concerns,

and

the

fourth

quarter

orders

question.

So,

look,

I

think

it's

difficult for

me

to

talk

about our

peers

on

the

technology

positioning,

but

I

think

when

I

look

at

where

we

are

unique

in

the

positions

with

leading

brands

that

we

have

from

the

pit

right

through

to

the

process

plant

right

through to

tailings,

it

gives

us

unique

touch

points

and

boots

on

the

ground

as

to

what's

going

on.

As

we

said

in

the

prepared

remarks,

customers

are

hugely

focused

at

the

moment

on

trying

to maximize

production

out

of

their

existing

facilities

and

we're

positioned

to

help

them

both

tactically

with

that,

but

also

by

having

bigger

picture

conversations

about

how

all

of

that

run-of-mine

process

is

working,

listening

to

voice

of

customer,

and

then

feeding

that

into

our

technology

and

R&D

pipeline

so

that

we

can

bring

technology

to

bear.

And

that's

our

traditional

technology,

materials

science,

mechanical

skills,

hydraulics

now

supplemented

by

the

digital

touch

points

and

the

data

we're

getting

through

Synertrex

in

Mineral,

now

with

Motion

Metrics

in

ESCO.

So

we've

got

a

great

position

and

we're

really

excited

about

the

combination

of

the

touch

points

that

we

have

in

the

mine.

Our

technology

skills

are

supplemented

by

digital

as

to

how

we

can

then

help

our

mining

customers

in

the

future

on

process

optimization

and

getting

more

from

less,

which

is

really

what

they

need

to

try

to

do.

So

I

think

we're

in

a

great

space.

On

the

margin

point,

of

course,

we

thought

it was

very

important

today

that

we

are

absolutely

clear

on

the

pathway

to

getting

to

17%

margins

and

we've

explained

that

through

the

course of

the

presentation.

We

are

determined

to

get

there

in

2023.

Are

we

going

to

stop

there?

Of

course,

we're

not.

But

we

want

to deliver

over

the

course

of

the

next

two

years,

give

you

the

evidence

of

execution,

and

then we'll

go

on

from

there.

Ricardo,

on

the

two

points

about

the

structure

of

the

Russian

business

and

it's

all

in

there,

isn't

it?

R
Ricardo Garib
President-Weir Minerals, The Weir Group Plc

Yeah.

Well,

of

course,

the

situation

in

Russia

today

is

very

liquid

that

we

still

– but

what

I

can

say

is

that

we

have

invested

in

the last

three

years,

through

Ukrainian

[ph]



invasion

(01:00:45), on

making

sure

that

Russian

customers

understand

that

with

modern

Western

technology,

they

can

improve

efficiency

and

productivity. And

we've

been

very

successful

on

that.

So

everything

is

at

home

now.

But,

of

course,

there

are

big

expansion

that

happened

before

that.

We

were

a

big

player.

So,

we

would

wait

and

see

what

– how

it

develops,

but

I

think

we've

proven

to

our

Russian

customers

that

the

Western

technology –

the Warman pump, HPGRs, our Trio

crushers –

works

pretty

well.

In

terms

of

the

quarter

four

growth,

we'll

talk

about

mining,

but

mining

has

two

really

big

sectors.

There

was

one

on

the

pit

on

the

[ph]



front

end and (01:01:22)

there was

one

on

the

plants.

I

mean,

our

playground

is

mostly

in

the

plants.

And

there

have been

a

delay

on

decisions

on

CapEx

investment

in the

plants

in

the

past

years

and

probably

be

coming in

the

year-end

and

budgets

of

investment

not

been

used.

We

see

a

huge

sprint

on

orders

come

in,

especially

in

the

bottlenecks,

mostly

another

pump,

another

[ph]

HGPR (01:01:44),

another

crusher

here,

there.

More

cycles

to

improve

production.

So,

I'm

glad

to

say

that

that

continues

on

Q1

this

year.

So,

also,

a

very

healthy

OE

growth

on

quarter

four

and

the

thing

will

stay, will

stay

with

us.

J
Jon Stanton

Yeah.

And

it's just –

[indiscernible]



(01:01:58) a point I made earlier around the –

it can be

quite

lumpy

in

terms

of

when

the

big

orders

land.

And

actually,

we

had

a

couple

of quite

large

ones

that

we

were

expecting

in

the

fourth

quarter,

for

various

reasons,

just

slipped

into

Q1.

But

it

is

a

very

positive

environment.

We

have

a

really

strong

pipeline,

lots

of

activity.

I

think

your

point

on

Russia

was

the –

are

we

dependent

on

– from

a

supply

chain

perspective

for

supply

within

Russia?

And

that is

not

the

case.

Everything

that

we

do

in

Russia,

we

have

done

that

until

now,

is

based

on

product

that

is

shipped

into

Russia.

We

have

no

reliance

on

Russia

for

components or

anything,

any

other

part

of the

world,

if

that

was

your question.

A
Andrew Douglas
Analyst, Jefferies International Ltd.

Okay.

That's

loud

and

clear.

Thank

you

very

much.

Well done.

Operator

Our

next

question

comes

from

the

line

of

Robert

Davies

from

Morgan

Stanley.

Robert,

please

proceed.

R
Robert J. Davies
Analyst, Morgan Stanley & Co. International Plc

Yeah.

Morning.

Thanks

for

taking

my

questions.

My

first

one was

just

on,

I

guess,

there's

short-

and

medium-term

cash

targets. Just

kind

of

interested

in

that.

I

know

you

sort

of

guided

to slightly

lower

in the

next

two

years

relative

to

what

you're

seeing

over

the

medium

term.

Just

maybe

if you

could

kind

of

walk

us

though

the

biggest

risks

to

delivering

on

those

cash

targets

and

where

that

extra

CapEx

is

going

over

the

next sort of

24

months.

And

is

it

safe

to

assume that's

going

to

take

a

[indiscernible]



(01:03:25)

or what

are

the

sort

of

relative

sort

of

moving

parts

there? That

was

my

first

question.

Thank

you.

J
Jon Stanton

Can

I

just

start

by

saying

we

know

that

the

subject

of

cash

conversion

has

been

a

topic

of

discussion

in

the

markets?

We

thought

it

was

important that

today

we

came

out

with

a

very

clear

analysis

of

where

our

cash

conversion

has

been

and

where

it

is

going

over

the

next

few

years.

And

we

know

that

it's

important

to

deliver

on

the

targets

that

we've

set

ourselves

through

to

2024

and

beyond.

In

terms

of

the

specific

moving

parts,

John?

J
John Heasley

Yeah.

Morning,

Robert.

So,

I'd

probably

start

by

just

commenting

on

the

2021

cash

conversion,

which

obviously

was

lower

than

we

expect

going

forward.

That

was

really

due

to

the

build

of

working

capital

as

a

result

of,

firstly,

the

cyber

incident,

which

meant

our

revenues

were

very

back end

loaded

this

year.

That

didn't

give

us

time

to

collect

the

amounts

due

from

our

customers,

so

that

will

reverse

as

we

move

into

2022.

Secondly,

with

the

big

build

in

our

order

book,

you

saw

the

difference

between

orders

and

revenue

in

the

year

was

more

than

ÂŁ260

million

and

therefore,

we've

had

to

be

building

that

inventory

to

support

revenue

that

will

be

delivered

next

year.

So

really

clear

reasons

why

working

capital

was

outflow

this

year.

As

we

move

into

next

year,

we

will

grow

into

that

new

level

of

working

capital

and

therefore,

we

will

be

back

in

the

range

of

20%

to

25%

of

revenues.

And

from

a

cash

perspective,

that

effectively

means

we'll

see

a

broadly

neutral

cash

effect

of

working

capital

through

2022.

So

coming

to

the

free

cash

conversion

targets

which

starts

with

clearly

working

capital

being

in

that

normal

range,

so

I

think

as

we

move

into

2022,

we're

confident

of

that.

And

then

beyond

the

operational

improvement

initiatives

that

both

Ricardo

and Andrew

have

already

talked

to,

especially

with SAP

in

Minerals

and

then

the

digital

supply

chain

initiatives

in

ESCO

will

really

ensure

that

we've

got

underlying

internal

improvements

to

keep

that

working

capital

in

the

right

place.

Then

medium

term

CapEx

spend

1

times

depreciation,

we

think

that's

appropriate

for

the

next

two

years.

There

are

some

specific

good

reasons

to

support

future

growth

in

the

business

that

we'll

be

spending

closer

to

1.5

times

which

is

about

an

extra

ÂŁ40 million

to

ÂŁ50

million

a

year,

Robert.

The

big

items

in

there,

the

ESCO

foundry

in

China

to

support

both

operating

efficiency

and

future

growth.

SAP

final

rollout

in

Minerals,

as

well

as,

further

investment

in

some

of

the

technology.

Jon

was

talking

around

the

digital

aspects

of

our

business

especially

on

Motion

Metrics

and

we

are

100%

behind

making

that

investment.

So,

to

your

specific

point

on

risk,

we're

very

comfortable

with

that

90%

to

100%

medium-term

target

and

then

the

80%

to

90%

likewise

is we've

got

a

clear

path

to

it.

R
Robert J. Davies
Analyst, Morgan Stanley & Co. International Plc

Thank

you.

So,

I

guess

partly

picking

up

on

those

comments

and

some

comments

you

made

earlier,

just

in

terms

of

sort

of

the

lean

journey

and

everything

you're

doing

to

sort

of improve

the

underlying

performance of

the

business

itself,

is

there

anything

else

from

a

sort of

manufacturing

footprint

that

needs

addressing?

I

guess,

I'm

just

asking

within

the

sort

of

context

of,

is

there

any

risks

to

sort

of

taking sort

of

one-off

charges

or

restructuring

costs

or

reshaping

the

business,

moving

production

around,

obviously,

kind

of customers'

supply/demand

sort of

moves

around

the

different parts

of the

world,

it's

difficult

sometimes

looking

too

far

out.

But

is

there

anything

on

the

medium-term

horizon

where

you

think

we

need

to

build

a

new

factory, we

need

to

consolidate

these

service

networks,

anything

that

we

should

be

aware

of?

J
Jon Stanton

The

answer

to

that

is

no,

Robert.

I

think

John's

explained

clearly

there the

investments

we

need

to

make

over

the

course

of

the

next

couple

of

years,

which

we

have

actually

flagged

before

and

are

very,

very

important.

And

then

from

there,

it's

about

getting

our

CapEx

down

to

closer

to

1

times

depreciation.

Within

that,

we

will

continue

to

develop

the

capacity

that

we

have

through

investment

in

the

existing

facilities,

as

we've

demonstrated

with

some

of the

examples

we

gave

in

2021.

We've

talked

in

the

past

about

a

new

minerals

Heavy

Bay

Foundry.

A

minerals

Heavy

Bay

Foundry

is

a

much

sort

of

simpler

beast

than

ESCO,

high-volume,

low-mix

sort

of –

products –

sort

of

foundry.

So,

we

would

expect

to

be –

if

we

need

to

do

that,

the

jury

is

still

out.

If

we

need

to

do

that,

that's

the sort

of

investment

that

we

will

be

able

to

cover

over

a

couple

of

years

within

the

1

times

depreciation.

So,

we're

very,

very

focused

on

getting

down

to

that

after

we've

gone

through

this

period

where

we

make

these

investments

that

we

need

to

make

to

set

the

business

up

for

the

growth

that

lies

ahead.

R
Robert J. Davies
Analyst, Morgan Stanley & Co. International Plc

Thank

you. And

then

my

final

one,

if

I

can

squeeze

one

more

in,

it's

just

– I

think

you've

mentioned

you were

stepping

up

R&D

spend

a

little bit.

I'd just

be

curious

to

know,

is

any

of

that

sort

of incremental

R&D

money

going

into

developing,

I

guess,

kind

of

more

ESG-friendly

products?

Is

that

likely

to

sort

of

be

a

bit

of

a

continuing

situation over

the

next few

years? Clearly,

it's

becoming

a

more and

more

important

issue.

You've

flagged

it

in

a

few

of

the

slides.

Just

wondering,

I

guess,

where

that

incremental

money

is

going

into

developing

those

products

and

any

uptake

from

customers

for

those

new

things?

Is it

just

becoming

part

and parcel

of

the

overall

selling

package

or

the

customer

sort

of

look

at

the

traditional

products

and

then

just

sort of

more

ESG

kind

of

leaning

bits

as

two

different

pockets

of

spend?

J
Jon Stanton

Yeah.

No.

I

mean,

it's

a

huge

driver

of

sustainability.

It's

a

huge

driver

of

where

we

are

investing

further

in

R&D

but

it's

not

in

one

specific

bucket.

It's

pervasive

across

all

of

the

categories,

and

that's

the

existing

product

and

making

them

last

longer,

improve

wear

life

and

so

on,

which

inherently

reduce

the

CO2

footprint.

It's

then

creating

the

new sort

of

sustainable

solutions,

integrated

solutions

that

help

our

customers

use

less

energy

and

less

water.

And

then

it's

also

looking

at

some

of

the

longer

horizon

things

that

also

play

to

that

theme,

which

is

around

all

fragmentation,

characterization,

core

particle

flotation

comes

back

to

what

I

said

about

earlier

about

the

touch

points

we

have

across

the

mine

and

where

we

can

see

things

need

to

be

better.

Mine

is –

one

of

the

ways that

you

get

more

from

less

is

by

processing

less.

And

how

can

you use

discrimination

in

terms

of

the

ore

body

that

you're

actually

processing

versus

that

which

is

waste

because

everything

gets

processed

today,

basically.

So

that's

the

question

that

we're

trying

to solve

for

in

the

longer

term.

So,

yeah,

it's

pervasive

across

the

sort

of

technology

and

R&D

investments

that

we're

making

at

the

moment.

R
Robert J. Davies
Analyst, Morgan Stanley & Co. International Plc

Very

interesting.

Thank

you

very

much.

Operator

Our

next question

comes

from

the

line

of

Will

Turner

from

Goldman

Sachs.

Will, please

go

ahead.

W
William Turner
Analyst, Goldman Sachs International

Hi.

Good morning,

everyone.

It

would

be

great

if

we

could

just

go

in

a

bit

more

detail

on

how

you

see

the

order

intake

outlook

in

2022.

Clearly,

as

you've

emphasized

throughout

the

conversation,

you're

very

optimistic

on

your

end

market

and

your market

demand

and

some

of

the

new

products

that

you've

launched.

But

is there

any

more

color

you

can

give

in

terms

of

like

order

intake?

For

example,

how

has

the

order

intake

performed

year-on-year

in

the

first

two

months?

And

also,

anything

that

we

need

to

be

aware

of

in

terms

of

orders?

Obviously,

we

got

the

Iron

Bridge

aftermarket

orders.

Should

they

start

to

impact

the

business

this

year?

And,

yeah,

any

type

of

color

on

order

intake

outlook?

That

would

be great.

Thanks.

J
Jon Stanton

Okay.

I

mean,

I

sort

of stand

by

the

comments

I

made

earlier

about

how

we

expect

the

profile

to

come

through,

2022

has

started

really

well.

So,

we're

sort

of

halfway

through

the

quarter.

So

but

I –

my

sort

of expectation

at

this

point

is

that

we

will

probably

be

up

year-on-year.

Q4

2021

was

a

massive

quarter

particularly

on

the aftermarket

side.

So,

whether

we

achieve

that

sequentially

remains

to

be

seen.

But

I

come

back

to

the

–

our

markets

are

very,

very

buoyant

around

the

world.

Customers

are

very,

very

focused

on

maximizing

production

activity.

That

plays

to

our

sweet

spot

in

terms

of

the

spare

parts

and

service

that

we

can

provide.

So,

we're

not

seeing

anything

that

sort

of

changes

the

dynamic

at

this

point

in

time

at

all.

Specifically,

you

asked

about

Iron

Bridge,

I

think

that's

[ph]



the

best

start

(01:12:09) right

at

the

end

of

this

year

or

2023. Yeah.

R
Ricardo Garib
President-Weir Minerals, The Weir Group Plc

Maybe

2023 because

[indiscernible]



(01:12:13).

J
Jon Stanton

Yeah. Because

it was

six

months,

yeah,

six

months

behind.

So,

I

think

that's

all

I

can

say

at

this

point,

Will,

to

be

honest.

W
William Turner
Analyst, Goldman Sachs International

Okay.

Sure.

It

was

great.

And

then

now,

if

we

break

down

the

kind

of

aftermarket

order

intake

growth

that

you

had

in

the

fourth

quarter, like

you said,

it

was

very

strong.

But

when

we

look

at

like

mine

production

rates,

they'd

certainly

won't

grow

that

fast.

There's

obviously

an

element of

pricing

which

you

said

is

mid-single

digits.

What

were

the

other

reasons

for

the

aftermarket

growing

so

strongly?

And

yeah,

could

you

break

that

down

a

little

bit

more?

Has

there

been

any

kind

of pre-buying

orders

just

kind

of

a

pent-up

demand

because

you

didn't

see

a

strong

aftermarket

growth

earlier

out

in

2021

and

in

2020?

J
Jon Stanton

Yeah.

I

mean,

let

me

make

some

comments

and

if

Andrew, if you

kind

of have

anything

to

add,

please

do

so.

But,

I

think

it's a

combination

of

momentum

building

through

the

course

of

the

year.

So,

as

I

said

in

ESCO,

the

large

mining

machines,

utilization

was

lower

at

the

end

of

the

year

– at

the

beginning

of the

year,

and

it

gradually

built

up

through

the

course

of

the

year,

so

you've

got

activity

ramping

up

and

momentum

going

on

as

we

went

through

the

year.

There

were

specific

parts

of

the

regions

around

the

world

that we

supply

which

were

quieter

earlier

in

the

year.

So,

Canadian

Oil

Sands

for

example

when

oil

prices

were

lower

early

in

the

year,

they

were

slow

to

spend

on

the

OpEx

side.

And

that

really

sort

of ramped

up,

I

think,

in

the

third

and

fourth

quarter,

but

getting

back

to

sort

of

normal

levels.

So,

I

think

those

are

a

couple

of

features

that

I

would

call

out.

Yeah.

And

I

think

you

probably

did

see

the

effect

that

you

mentioned

of

some

deferred

maintenance

earlier

in

the

year,

catching

up

on

people,

and

customers

wanting

to

be

ready

going

into

2022

in

order

to

sort

of

continue

the

journey

of

maximizing

production.

But

in

terms

of

restocking,

destocking,

I

don't think

we

really

saw

any

of

that

in

terms

of

across the

two

businesses.

Andrew or

Ricardo?

R
Ricardo Garib
President-Weir Minerals, The Weir Group Plc

I

would

say,

Jon,

that

in

general

terms

what

we

see

on

quarter

four

was

an

accelerating

of

the

uses

of

our

equipment.

When

you

speed

up

a

pump

at

10%,

that

doesn't

mean

10% more

uses,

go

to

20%,

30%

more

because

there

were

increases

a

lot.

So,

we

see

the

production

improvements

given

us

much

more

uses

of

equipment

and

spares.

Also,

we

see

that

as

we –

as

COVID

is

not

out

but

is

still

we're going to

have

to live with

COVID

might

have

seen

more

service

coming

from

– request

of

service

from

our

companies

to

come

and

do

some

service

works.

So,

we

see

a

lot demand comes with that. So, it's

basically accelerating

[ph]

for (01:15:04).

A
Andrew Neilson
President-ESCO division, The Weir Group Plc

And I

think ESCO very

much

followed

a

similar

trends

in

terms

of,

as

Jon

said,

we

saw

recovery

really

coming

fully

in

the

mining

side

into

Q4

as

the

mines

are now

fully

adjusted

to

COVID

operating

environment.

They're

getting

far

better

utilization

of

machines

as

that

area

normalizes.

So,

there's

no

real

restocking,

destocking,

no other

features

for

me

in

the

fourth

quarter

for

ESCO

where

the

construction

site

that

we

talked

about

earlier,

we

didn't

see

a

seasonal

tail

off.

That

can

remain

strong

through

the

quarter.

And

then,

as

Jon

touched

on

oil

sands,

we

saw

some

delayed

maintenance

orders

starting

to

come

through

as

that

sector

really

started

to

face

up

to

some

of

the

issues

they

had

delayed.

And

again,

the

reason

they

were

delaying

that

was

in

terms

of

COVID

operations

and

having

to

keep

people

in

the

site

safe.

So,

really

just

a full

return

to

normalization

for

me

in

the

fourth

quarter.

W
William Turner
Analyst, Goldman Sachs International

Okay.

Great.

Thank

you.

J
Jon Stanton

Thanks,

Will.

Operator,

I

think

we've

got time

for

one

more

question.

Operator

Perfect.

So

our

next

question

comes

from

the

line

of

Mark

Davies

Jones

from

Stifel.

Mark,

please

go

ahead.

M
Mark Davies Jones
Analyst, Stifel Financial Corp.

Just

snuck

in.

Thank

you

very much,

Jon.

Hello,

all.

Firstly,

can

I

go

back

to

the

grim

situation

in

Ukraine?

You've

been

clear

on

your

relatively

limited

direct

exposure,

but

two

things.

Firstly,

is

there

anything

you can

say

on

the

current

status

of

that

important

Ferrexpo HPGR

order

given

that

backdrop?

And

secondly,

perhaps

to

broaden

on

Andy's

question

earlier,

what

do

you

think

the

risks

in

terms

of

indirect

impact

on

your

end

markets

might

be? Obviously,

we've

seen

massive

increases

in

energy

prices.

We've

seen

disruption

to

some

supply

chains,

if

not

yours.

Do

you

think

that

could

actually

have

a

material

impact

on

end

demand

elsewhere

in

the

world

this

year?

J
Jon Stanton

Yeah. Okay.

Hi, Mark.

So, yeah,

on

the

Ferrexpo

contract,

you'll

recall

that

was

actually

a

multiyear

contract

in

terms

of

delivery.

So,

the

first

phase

was

actually

built

and

shipped,

and

we

have

the

cash

in

2021.

I

think

it

was

about

ÂŁ10

million in

the

round.

The

rest

of

that

is

in – there's

no

deliveries

in

2022. The

rest

is

in

2023

and

beyond.

So,

that's

how

that

phase

is.

So,

we've

got

no

sort

of

net

exposure

on

that

contract

as

we

sit

here

today,

and

obviously,

we'll

wait

and

see

what

the

future

holds.

Yeah.

So,

that's

a

really

big

question

to

end

on

the

risks.

So,

I

think,

I

would

say

a

couple of

things.

First

of

all,

we're

a

totally

global

business.

So,

if

production

of

commodities

in

Russia

is

essentially

isolated

and

cut

off,

that

is

probably

going

to

create

more

commodity

inflation

where

we

are

today.

But

I

would

expect

that

supply

will

expand

where

it

can

elsewhere

to

try

and

cover

that

off.

Obviously,

the

big

macro

thing

that

we

should

all

worry

about, not

that

we

can

–

sitting

here,

it's

above

my

pay

grade,

but

if

we

see

commodity

prices

rise

to

such

an

extent

that

there

is

demand

destruction

and

stagflation,

then

that's

a

different

world

that

we're

in

today.

So,

I

mean,

I

hope that's

low

risk,

but

it

clearly

is

a

possibility

that's

out

there

at

the

moment.

So,

we

think

about

that.

But

as

we

sit

here

today

in

terms

of

other

indirect

effects,

I

think

the

global

nature

of

our

business,

the

fact

that

we

have

regional

manufacturing

and

supply

chain

in

large

parts

of the

world,

and

as

demonstrated

in

2021,

means

that

we

are

perhaps

more

insulated

than

others,

actually.

The

vertically

integrated

operating

model

that

we

have

is

highly,

highly

resilient.

And

so,

I

would

– whatever

happens

I

would

expect

us

to

fair

reasonably

well

and

probably

better

than

most

because

of

the

footprint

that

we

have.

M
Mark Davies Jones
Analyst, Stifel Financial Corp.

Thank

you

very

much.

J
Jon Stanton

Thanks, Mark.

J
Jon Stanton

Okay.

Well,

thank

you,

everybody, for

your...

Operator

This concludes

the

Q&A

session.

So

I'll

hand

back to

you

for

any

closing

remarks.

J
Jon Stanton

Well,

thank

you

very

much,

everybody,

for

your

questions.

Great

to have

the

opportunity

to

talk

to

you

in

what

is

a

very,

very

challenging

time

around

the

world.

But

as I

said,

I

think

Weir

is

very

well

set

for

the

long-term

and

excited

about

what

we

can

deliver.

So

– and,

of

course,

if

there

are

any

further

questions,

then

our

IR

team

will

be

ready

today

to

help

you

with

those.

So

thanks

again

and

have

a

good

day.

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