Taylor Wimpey PLC
LSE:TW
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TW stock under the Base Case scenario is 112.24 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 130.8 GBX, Taylor Wimpey PLC is Overvalued by 14%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Taylor Wimpey PLC
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Fundamental Analysis
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Taylor Wimpey PLC, a prominent player in the UK residential development sector, has established a strong reputation for delivering quality homes in sought-after locations. Founded in 1880, the company has grown to become one of the largest homebuilders in the UK, successfully navigating various economic cycles. Its operations are primarily centred on constructing new homes, the majority of which are sold to private buyers. With a focus on sustainability and community-oriented projects, Taylor Wimpey is committed to meeting the growing demand for housing while ensuring that their developments contribute positively to local environments. Investors are drawn to the firm’s robust financial perfo...
Taylor Wimpey PLC, a prominent player in the UK residential development sector, has established a strong reputation for delivering quality homes in sought-after locations. Founded in 1880, the company has grown to become one of the largest homebuilders in the UK, successfully navigating various economic cycles. Its operations are primarily centred on constructing new homes, the majority of which are sold to private buyers. With a focus on sustainability and community-oriented projects, Taylor Wimpey is committed to meeting the growing demand for housing while ensuring that their developments contribute positively to local environments. Investors are drawn to the firm’s robust financial performance, strong land pipeline, and strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing operational efficiency.
In recent years, Taylor Wimpey has demonstrated resilience against market fluctuations, bolstered by a diversified portfolio that spans multiple regions across England, Scotland, and Wales. The company's continued investment in technology and customer service has helped maintain high levels of buyer satisfaction, reinforcing its brand value. With government backing for new housing initiatives and increasing demand driven by urbanization and demographic trends, Taylor Wimpey stands well-positioned for future growth. For investors, the company's solid balance sheet, attractive dividend yield, and commitment to returning capital to shareholders highlight its status as a compelling long-term investment in a sector critical to the UK economy.
Taylor Wimpey PLC is one of the largest residential developers in the United Kingdom, and its core business segments primarily focus on the following areas:
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Residential Development:
- This is the primary segment for Taylor Wimpey, where the company engages in the construction and sale of residential properties. This includes a range of housing types, from single-family homes to apartment complexes, aimed at various market segments, including first-time buyers, families, and luxury buyers.
- The company operates in several regions across the UK and also has a presence in Spain, enhancing its geographical diversification.
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Land Development:
- Taylor Wimpey invests in land acquisition and development, which involves sourcing, obtaining planning permissions, and preparing land for residential building. The success of the residential development segment heavily relies on effective land management strategies.
- This segment is crucial for ensuring a sustainable pipeline of future projects and involves collaboration with local councils and communities.
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Partnerships and Public Sector Development:
- The company engages in partnerships with local authorities, housing associations, and other public sector entities. This segment focuses on delivering affordable housing and community-focused projects, often in line with government housing initiatives.
- These partnerships help Taylor Wimpey diversify its portfolio and contribute to addressing housing shortages in various regions.
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Customer Care and After Sales:
- While not a direct revenue-generating segment, Taylor Wimpey's commitment to customer care includes offering support and services to homeowners after the sale of their properties. This enhances customer satisfaction, encourages repeat business, and bolsters the company's reputation in the market.
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Sustainability and Environmental Management:
- Although not a direct business segment, Taylor Wimpey dedicates significant resources to sustainable building practices and community engagement. This involves incorporating environmentally friendly designs and operations into their business model, which is increasingly important to consumers and stakeholders.
By focusing on these core segments, Taylor Wimpey PLC aims to maintain its position as a leading residential developer while ensuring that it meets market demands and adheres to sustainability goals.
Taylor Wimpey PLC, one of the largest residential developers in the UK, possesses several unique competitive advantages that can distinguish it from its rivals in the housing market:
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Established Brand Reputation: With a history dating back to 1880, Taylor Wimpey has built a strong brand that resonates with customers. Positive brand equity can enhance customer trust and loyalty, making it easier to sell homes.
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Scale and Financial Strength: As one of the largest homebuilders in the UK, Taylor Wimpey benefits from economies of scale. This enables the company to reduce costs, negotiate better deals with suppliers, and execute larger projects more efficiently.
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Diverse Geographic Presence: The company's operations span various regions in the UK, allowing it to mitigate risks associated with regional economic downturns. This geographic diversification helps stabilize revenue streams.
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Strong Land Bank: Taylor Wimpey has a significant portfolio of land with planning permission, which is crucial for future development. A well-managed land bank can provide a competitive edge, ensuring future building opportunities in desirable areas.
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Focus on Sustainability: The company's commitment to sustainability and energy-efficient homes aligns with the growing consumer demand for environmentally friendly living spaces. This focus can attract eco-conscious buyers and comply with increasingly stringent regulatory requirements.
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Robust Supply Chain Management: Taylor Wimpey has developed strong relationships with subcontractors and suppliers, which helps ensure quality, reduce delays, and manage costs effectively.
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Utilization of Technology: The adoption of innovative building techniques and digital tools for project management enhances productivity and reduces construction times, giving Taylor Wimpey an edge over competitors in terms of efficiency and speed to market.
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Community Engagement: The company’s approach to engaging with local communities and incorporating their feedback into planning can lead to better relationships and smoother project approvals, as well as higher-quality developments that meet local needs.
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Experienced Management Team: An experienced leadership team with a deep understanding of the housing market can better navigate challenges and seize opportunities, contributing to overall strategic success.
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Financial Flexibility: The company’s strong cash flow and balance sheet allow it to invest in new development opportunities, absorb market fluctuations, and maintain a competitive pricing strategy.
These competitive advantages collectively enhance Taylor Wimpey’s ability to withstand market pressures, adapt to changing consumer preferences, and maintain a leadership position in the UK residential property market.
Taylor Wimpey PLC, as one of the UK's largest homebuilders, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Some of these include:
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Economic Uncertainty: The housing market is significantly influenced by the overall economic environment. Uncertainties surrounding inflation, interest rates, and economic growth can impact consumer confidence and housing demand.
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Interest Rates: Rising interest rates can lead to higher mortgage costs, making home purchases less affordable for buyers. This can slow down sales and negatively impact the company's financial performance.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain issues, exacerbated by events like the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions, may increase material costs and delay construction timelines.
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Regulatory Changes: The UK government is continually assessing housing policies, zoning laws, and building regulations. Changes to these regulations can impact development costs, timelines, and profitability.
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Labor Shortages: The construction industry is facing significant labor shortages, which can lead to increased labor costs and project delays.
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Environmental Concerns: Increasing regulatory pressure regarding sustainability and environmental impact can create additional costs related to compliance and potentially limit land use.
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Market Competition: The property development market is competitive, with both large and small players. Increased competition can lead to price wars and affect profit margins.
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Changing Buyer Preferences: Shifts in demographics and buyer preferences (e.g., demand for more sustainable living options) can necessitate adjustments in marketing strategies and product offerings.
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Geopolitical Factors: Events such as Brexit and ongoing geopolitical conflicts can affect market stability and investor confidence, impacting property values and demand.
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Legal Risks: The possibility of legal challenges related to construction defects, planning permissions, and land acquisitions can impose additional costs and operational challenges.
Addressing these challenges will require strategic planning, adaptability, and close monitoring of market conditions by Taylor Wimpey PLC to mitigate risks and seize opportunities effectively.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Taylor Wimpey PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Taylor Wimpey PLC
Current Assets | 6.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 668.7m |
Receivables | 167m |
Other Current Assets | 5.3B |
Non-Current Assets | 191.2m |
Long-Term Investments | 72.4m |
PP&E | 58.2m |
Intangibles | 2m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 58.6m |
Current Liabilities | 1.2B |
Accounts Payable | 1B |
Other Current Liabilities | 157.7m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 652.1m |
Long-Term Debt | 113.6m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 538.5m |
Earnings Waterfall
Taylor Wimpey PLC
Revenue
|
3.4B
GBP
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-2.7B
GBP
|
Gross Profit
|
654.8m
GBP
|
Operating Expenses
|
-241.4m
GBP
|
Operating Income
|
413.4m
GBP
|
Other Expenses
|
-167.1m
GBP
|
Net Income
|
246.3m
GBP
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Taylor Wimpey PLC
GBP | |
Free Cash Flow | GBP |
In a mixed market with rising interest rates, the company completed 5,120 units, slightly above expectations, emphasizing operational excellence and controlled costs. With strong land assets and selective land acquisitions, they maintained robust growth prospects. An interim dividend of 4.79 pence per share totaling ÂŁ169 million was announced, reinforcing the commitment to shareholder returns. Profits fell over 40% year-on-year due to lower volumes and margins, but the strong balance sheet and careful cost management allowed for maintenance of tangible net assets per share. Concerning cost pressures and market conditions, there's confidence in the dividend policy's resilience even if volumes drop 30% and prices fall 20% from their peak.
What is Earnings Call?
TW Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Taylor Wimpey PLC's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Taylor Wimpey PLC's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TW Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Taylor Wimpey PLC's solvency score is 94/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Taylor Wimpey PLC's solvency score is 94/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TW Price Targets Summary
Taylor Wimpey PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TW is 169 GBX with a low forecast of 131.3 GBX and a high forecast of 208.95 GBX.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TW is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Taylor Wimpey Plc operates as a residential developer. The company is headquartered in High Wycombe, Buckinghamshire and currently employs 5,358 full-time employees. The firm builds and delivers various homes and communities, including apartments to six-bedroom houses. The company operates at a local level from 24 regional businesses across the United Kingdom, and it has operations in Spain. Its segments include Housing United Kingdom and Housing Spain. The Housing United Kingdom segment includes North, Central and South West, and London and South East (including Central London) divisions. The North division covers its East and West Scotland, North East, North Yorkshire, Yorkshire, North West, Manchester, North Midlands, Midlands and West Midlands regional businesses. The Central and South West Division covers its East Midlands, South Midlands, East Anglia, Oxfordshire, South Wales, Bristol, Southern Counties and Exeter regional businesses. The London and South East Division includes Central London and covers its East London, North Thames, and South East.
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The intrinsic value of one TW stock under the Base Case scenario is 112.24 GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 130.8 GBX, Taylor Wimpey PLC is Overvalued by 14%.