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Spectra Systems Corp
LSE:SPSY

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Spectra Systems Corp
LSE:SPSY
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Price: 238 GBX 0.85%
Market Cap: 114.8m GBX
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Dec 25, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one SPSY stock is 211.89 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 238 GBX, the stock is Overvalued by 11%.

SPSY DCF Value
Base Case
211.89 GBX
Overvaluation 11%
DCF Value
Price
S
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
211.89
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 211.89 GBX

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 54m USD. The present value of the terminal value is 67.5m USD. The total present value equals 121.5m USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 121.5m USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 13.3m USD
+ Investments 95.5k USD
Firm Value 134.9m USD
- Debt 6.1m USD
- Minority Interest 572.6k USD
Equity Value 128.2m USD
/ Shares Outstanding 48.2m
Value per Share 2.66 USD
USD / GBX Exchange Rate 79.73
SPSY DCF Value 211.89 GBX
Overvalued by 11%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
46.2m 55.2m
Operating Income
12.3m 10.8m
FCFF
11.4m 8.7m

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one SPSY stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one SPSY stock is 211.89 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 238 GBX, the stock is Overvalued by 11%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Spectra Systems Corp's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 121.5m USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 211.89 GBX per share.

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