Smart Metering Systems PLC
LSE:SMS

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Smart Metering Systems PLC
LSE:SMS
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Price: 952 GBX Market Closed
Market Cap: 1.3B GBX
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Dec 25, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one SMS stock is 488.14 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 952 GBX, the stock is Overvalued by 49%.

SMS DCF Value
Base Case
488.14 GBX
Overvaluation 49%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
488.14
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 488.14 GBX

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 210m GBP. The present value of the terminal value is 503.7m GBP. The total present value equals 713.7m GBP.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 713.7m GBP
+ Cash & Equivalents 32.8m GBP
+ Investments 2m GBP
Firm Value 748.4m GBP
- Debt 74.8m GBP
Equity Value 673.6m GBP
/ Shares Outstanding 138m
Value per Share 4.88 GBP
GBP / GBX Exchange Rate 100
SMS DCF Value 488.14 GBX
Overvalued by 49%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
176.6m 243.2m
Operating Income
41m 75.5m
FCFF
38.6m 59.5m

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one SMS stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one SMS stock is 488.14 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 952 GBX, the stock is Overvalued by 49%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Smart Metering Systems PLC's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 713.7m GBP.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 488.14 GBX per share.

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