J Sainsbury PLC
LSE:SBRY
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one SBRY stock under the Base Case scenario is 423.21 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 244.6 GBX, J Sainsbury PLC is Undervalued by 42%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
J Sainsbury PLC
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Fundamental Analysis
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J Sainsbury PLC, one of the UK’s leading supermarket chains, has a storied history dating back to 1869 when it was founded by John James Sainsbury and his wife Mary Ann in London. Over the years, it has evolved into a multifaceted retailer, offering a diverse range of products from everyday groceries to clothing and home goods. Sainsbury's is recognized not only for its extensive network of supermarkets but also for its commitment to quality and sustainability. As the company navigates the fiercely competitive landscape of UK retail, it continually adapts to changing consumer preferences, focusing on enhancing the customer experience both in-store and online, which has become increasingly vi...
J Sainsbury PLC, one of the UK’s leading supermarket chains, has a storied history dating back to 1869 when it was founded by John James Sainsbury and his wife Mary Ann in London. Over the years, it has evolved into a multifaceted retailer, offering a diverse range of products from everyday groceries to clothing and home goods. Sainsbury's is recognized not only for its extensive network of supermarkets but also for its commitment to quality and sustainability. As the company navigates the fiercely competitive landscape of UK retail, it continually adapts to changing consumer preferences, focusing on enhancing the customer experience both in-store and online, which has become increasingly vital in the era of e-commerce.
For investors, J Sainsbury presents an intriguing opportunity, reflecting a balanced approach to growth and stability. The company has embraced technological innovation to streamline operations and improve efficiency, positioning itself favorably against rivals like Tesco and Aldi. Sainsbury’s grocery arm is complemented by its financial services, including Argos and Sainsbury's Bank, diversifying its revenue streams. Despite challenges such as inflationary pressures and market volatility, Sainsbury's strategic initiatives, such as expanding their plant-based offerings and investing in sustainability, illustrate a forward-thinking ethos. Investors should see J Sainsbury not just as a grocery retailer, but as a resilient player in the evolving retail landscape, committed to delivering long-term value.
J Sainsbury PLC is one of the leading supermarket chains in the UK and operates through several core business segments. The primary segments include:
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Grocery Retail: This is the largest segment for Sainsbury's, which includes sales from supermarkets, convenience stores, and online grocery shopping. Sainsbury’s supermarkets offer a wide range of products, including fresh food, groceries, household items, and personal care products.
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Sainsbury's Bank: This segment provides a variety of financial services, including personal loans, credit cards, savings, and insurance products. The bank operates through partnerships and leverages the customer base from its grocery operations.
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Sainsbury's Argos: Acquired in 2016, this segment involves the home and general merchandise retailing business. Argos operates both physical stores and an extensive online platform, providing customers with access to a wide range of products such as electronics, toys, and home goods.
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Tu Clothing: This segment includes Sainsbury's clothing range, which is offered both in-store and online under the Tu brand. The clothing line covers various categories including casual wear, workwear, and children’s clothing.
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Fuel: Sainsbury's operates forecourt fuel stations attached to its larger stores, selling petrol and diesel. This segment contributes to additional revenue alongside the core grocery business.
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Wholesale: Sainsbury's has developed wholesale operations, providing products to independent retailers under the Sainsbury's brand. This has allowed Sainsbury's to diversify its customer reach beyond its own store locations.
These core segments collectively contribute to Sainsbury's overall strategy of providing a comprehensive shopping experience, balancing food, clothing, and general merchandise, while also exploring financial services and wholesale opportunities. Each segment is designed to leverage synergies across the business and enhance customer loyalty.
J Sainsbury PLC, one of the largest supermarket chains in the UK, holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals, such as Tesco, Asda, and Morrison's. Here are some key advantages:
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Brand Reputation and Trust: Sainsbury’s has built a strong brand reputation for quality and value over the years. Their emphasis on customer service and ethical sourcing has fostered loyalty among consumers.
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Diverse Product Offering: Sainsbury's offers a wide range of products, including groceries, clothing (through Tu), and home goods. This diversification helps in attracting various customer segments and increasing basket size.
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Loyalty Program: The Nectar card loyalty program is one of the most recognized in the UK. It not only encourages repeat purchases but also provides valuable data on customer preferences, allowing for more targeted marketing and promotions.
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Strategic Locations: Sainsbury's has a strong presence in urban areas with smaller formats (such as Local stores), which cater to customers looking for convenience. This is a significant advantage over competitors that may focus primarily on larger supermarkets.
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Focus on Quality and Sustainability: Sainsbury’s commitment to sourcing products responsibly and improving sustainability practices resonates well with environmentally conscious consumers, allowing them to differentiate from rivals.
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Cost Control and Efficiency: Sainsbury's has invested in technology and supply chain improvements to enhance operational efficiency. This can help maintain healthy margins in an increasingly competitive market.
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Strong Online Presence: The pandemic accelerated the shift to online shopping, and Sainsbury's has adapted through a robust online grocery service and home delivery options. Their combination of physical and digital channels offers a seamless shopping experience.
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Partnerships and Collaborations: Strategic alliances, such as with Argos, enable Sainsbury's to offer non-grocery items, enhancing its in-store experience and broadening its customer base.
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Financial Stability: Being one of the largest grocery retailers in the UK, Sainsbury’s enjoys economies of scale that allow for competitive pricing, better supplier negotiations, and resilience during economic downturns.
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Community Engagement: Active involvement in local communities and charitable initiatives helps reinforce brand loyalty and establishes Sainsbury's as a caring and responsible corporate citizen.
These competitive advantages provide Sainsbury’s with a solid foundation to sustain and grow its market position in the retail grocery sector.
As a major UK grocery retailer, J Sainsbury PLC faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and performance in the near future. These can be categorized into various areas:
1. Economic Risks
- Inflation and Cost Pressures: Rising inflation could increase the cost of goods and services, squeezing profit margins. Increased operational costs (e.g., wages, utilities) may also affect pricing strategies.
- Consumer Spending: Economic uncertainty can lead to reduced consumer spending, particularly in non-essential categories. Shopping habits may shift towards discount retailers.
2. Competitive Landscape
- Increased Competition: The rise of discount grocery chains (e.g., Aldi, Lidl) and online retailers (e.g., Amazon) intensifies competition, potentially eroding market share.
- Market Saturation: The UK grocery market is highly saturated, making it challenging to grow sales without cannibalizing existing stores.
3. Supply Chain Issues
- Disruptions: Further supply chain disruptions, whether due to geopolitical tensions or post-Brexit challenges, could lead to stock shortages or higher costs.
- Sourcing Issues: Fluctuating commodity prices and availability can impact product lines.
4. Regulatory Environment
- Food Safety and Standards: Adhering to up-to-date food safety regulations is critical, with non-compliance leading to financial penalties and reputational damage.
- Sustainability Regulations: Increasing pressure to meet sustainability targets and reduce carbon emissions presents challenges for operations and strategic planning.
5. Technological Disruption
- E-commerce Challenges: As online grocery shopping continues to grow, Sainsbury's must enhance its digital offerings and logistics to compete effectively.
- Cybersecurity Risks: An increase in digital sales exposes the company to potential cybersecurity threats, which could affect customer data and trust.
6. Market Trends
- Health and Wellness Trends: The shift towards health-conscious consumer behavior might necessitate changes in product offerings, requiring adaptations to supply chains and marketing strategies.
- Changing Consumer Preferences: The demand for sustainable and ethically sourced products is increasing, requiring Sainsbury’s to adapt its supply chain and product sourcing.
7. Strategic Execution
- Merger/Acquisition Integration: If involved in any strategic mergers or acquisitions, successful integration and realization of synergies can be challenging.
- Operational Efficiency: Maintaining operational efficiency while investing in digital transformation and sustainability initiatives poses a significant challenge.
8. Reputation Risks
- Customer Satisfaction: Negative customer experiences, whether from product quality, service complaints, or labor disputes, can quickly harm brand reputation.
- Environmental and Social Governance (ESG): Failing to meet ESG benchmarks can attract negative public attention and reduce consumer loyalty.
Conclusion
To navigate these challenges successfully, J Sainsbury PLC will need to be proactive in its strategic planning, focusing on innovation, efficiency, and customer engagement while maintaining robust risk management practices. Balancing short-term pressures with long-term strategic objectives will be crucial for sustainable growth.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
J Sainsbury PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
J Sainsbury PLC
Current Assets | 8.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 2.1B |
Receivables | 4B |
Other Current Assets | 2.3B |
Non-Current Assets | 17.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 668m |
PP&E | 13.4B |
Intangibles | 1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.7B |
Current Liabilities | 11.6B |
Accounts Payable | 5.3B |
Short-Term Debt | 2m |
Other Current Liabilities | 6.3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 7.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 6.1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.3B |
Earnings Waterfall
J Sainsbury PLC
Revenue
|
32.7B
GBP
|
Cost of Revenue
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-30.2B
GBP
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Gross Profit
|
2.5B
GBP
|
Operating Expenses
|
-1.5B
GBP
|
Operating Income
|
1B
GBP
|
Other Expenses
|
-910m
GBP
|
Net Income
|
137m
GBP
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
J Sainsbury PLC
GBP | |
Free Cash Flow | GBP |
SBRY Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
J Sainsbury PLC's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
J Sainsbury PLC's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
SBRY Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
J Sainsbury PLC's solvency score is 35/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
J Sainsbury PLC's solvency score is 35/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
SBRY Price Targets Summary
J Sainsbury PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SBRY is 328.16 GBX with a low forecast of 262.6 GBX and a high forecast of 378 GBX.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for SBRY is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
J Sainsbury Plc engages in the retailing, financial services, and property investment businesses. The firm operates through two segments includes: Retail, is engaged in retailing of food, general merchandise and clothing; and Financial Services. The Retail segment operates supermarkets and convenience. The Financial services segment includes the operations of Sainsbury's Bank plc (Sainsbury's Bank). The Company’s brands include Argos, Habitat, Tu, Nectar and Sainsbury’s Bank. The firm offers a range of locally tailored products and services across food, beauty, clothing, seasonal and general merchandise. The company also offers groceries under various categories, such as fruit and veg, meat and fish, dairy, chilled, bakery, frozen, food cupboard, drinks, health and beauty, baby, household, pet, and home. The firm has approximately 1,409 stores, which includes 598 supermarkets and over 811 convenience stores.
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The intrinsic value of one SBRY stock under the Base Case scenario is 423.21 GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 244.6 GBX, J Sainsbury PLC is Undervalued by 42%.