RYAOF Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Ryanair Holdings PLC - Alpha Spread
R

Ryanair Holdings PLC
OTC:RYAOF

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Ryanair Holdings PLC
OTC:RYAOF
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Price: 14 USD Market Closed
Market Cap: 15.8B USD
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Intrinsic Value

RYAOF's intrinsic value estimate is unreliable because it is based only on its DCF value and doesn't use a relative valuation using multiples.

The intrinsic value of one RYAOF stock under the Base Case scenario is 34.98 USD. Compared to the current market price of 14 USD, Ryanair Holdings PLC is Undervalued by 60%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

RYAOF Intrinsic Value
34.98 USD
Undervaluation 60%
Intrinsic Value
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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Ryanair Holdings PLC is a leading low-cost airline headquartered in Dublin, Ireland, that has revolutionized the way people travel across Europe. Founded in 1984, Ryanair has built its brand on the promise of affordability and efficiency, operating a fleet of over 450 aircraft and serving more than 200 destinations in 40 countries. The airline's business model focuses on the no-frills concept, providing travelers with an attractive option that strips away unnecessary services to deliver low base fares. This strategy, combined with a relentless pursuit of operational efficiency and a commitment to transparency in pricing, has solidified Ryanair’s position as one of the largest and most profit...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ryanair Holdings PLC

Current Assets 5.8B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 4.1B
Receivables 76.4m
Other Current Assets 1.6B
Non-Current Assets 11.3B
PP&E 11B
Intangibles 146.4m
Other Non-Current Assets 188.6m
Current Liabilities 6.4B
Accounts Payable 792.2m
Accrued Liabilities 5.2B
Other Current Liabilities 380.8m
Non-Current Liabilities 3.2B
Long-Term Debt 2.7B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 503.4m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Ryanair Holdings PLC

Revenue
13.4B EUR
Cost of Revenue
-8.1B EUR
Gross Profit
5.4B EUR
Operating Expenses
-3.3B EUR
Operating Income
2.1B EUR
Other Expenses
-143.6m EUR
Net Income
1.9B EUR

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ryanair Holdings PLC

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Ryanair's nine-month profit soared by 39% to EUR 2.19 billion despite encountering headwinds. Passenger traffic increased by 7% while average fares rose 13%, signaling recovering post-pandemic demand. Ancillaries grew modestly at 2% per passenger. Sustainable practices gained recognition as their ESG rating improved. However, the quarter faced a spike in the fuel bill by EUR 320 million, and aircraft delivery delays from Boeing, which may contribute to higher airfares in the coming summer. The airline's fleet totaled 574 aircraft by the end of the quarter. On the positive side, substantial fuel savings for FY25 have been secured through hedging. The company expressed confidence in operational developments and announced partnerships to improve direct customer access while maintaining low prices. They anticipate a year-end profit of EUR 1.85 billion to EUR 1.95 billion.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

RYAOF Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Ryanair Holdings PLC's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

53/100
Profitability
Score

Ryanair Holdings PLC's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

RYAOF Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Ryanair Holdings PLC's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
Low D/E
Negative Net Debt
Long-Term Solvency
69/100
Solvency
Score

Ryanair Holdings PLC's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

RYAOF Price Targets Summary
Ryanair Holdings PLC

There are no price targets for RYAOF.
Lowest
Price Target
Not Available
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Price Target
Not Available
Highest
Price Target
Not Available
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for RYA is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
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RYA Price
Ryanair Holdings PLC

1M 1M
-
6M 6M
-
1Y 1Y
-
3Y 3Y
-15%
5Y 5Y
+39%
10Y 10Y
+86%
Annual Price Range
13.5
52w Low
N/A
52w High
N/A
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 54.08%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns
N/A
Max Drawdown -49%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 15.4B EUR
Shares Outstanding 1 139 500 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted
N/A

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Profile

Ryanair Holdings PLC

Country

Ireland

Industry

Airlines

Market Cap

15.4B EUR

Dividend Yield

2.75%

Description

Ryanair Holdings Plc engages in the provision of low fares airline-related services. The company is headquartered in Dublin, Dublin and currently employs 19,116 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2007-02-26. The firm operates through its subsidiaries, Buzz (Ryanair Sun S.A.), Lauda Europe Limited, Malta Air Limited, Ryanair DAC and Ryanair U.K. Limited. The company has a fleet of approximately 483 Boeing 737 aircraft, which is operated by Buzz, Malta Air, Ryanair DAC and Ryanair U.K. The fleet includes 73 Boeing 737-8200 aircraft, each having 197 seats, and Boeing 737-800 aircraft, each having 189 seats. The company has a fleet of 29 leased Airbus A320 aircraft. These aircrafts are operated by Lauda and have 180 seats. The company provides various ancillary services and engages in other activities connected with its core air passenger service, including non-flight scheduled services, Internet-related services and the in-flight sale of beverages, food, duty-free and merchandise. The firm provides its own aircraft and passenger handling and ticketing services at Dublin Airport. Third parties provide these services to Ryanair at other airports it serves.

Contact

DUBLIN
DUBLIN
C/O Ryanair Ltd Corporate Head Office, Dublin Airport
+3538444440.0
www.ryanair.com

IPO

2007-02-26

Employees

19 116

Officers

Group CEO & Executive Director
Mr. Michael O'Leary
Group Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Neil Sorahan
Chief Technology Officer
Mr. John Hurley
Head of Investor Relations
Mr. Peter Larkin
Group Chief Legal & Regulatory Officer and Company Secretary
Mr. Juliusz Komorek
Chief Pilot
Captain Ray Conway
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Head of Digital Experience
Mr. Dara Brady
Chief Risk Officer
Ms. Carol Sharkey
Chief Financial Officer of Ryanair DAC
Ms. Tracey McCann
Chief Executive Officer of Buzz
Mr. Michal Kaczmarzyk
Show Less

See Also

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one RYAOF stock?

The intrinsic value of one RYAOF stock under the Base Case scenario is 34.98 USD.

Is RYAOF stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 14 USD, Ryanair Holdings PLC is Undervalued by 60%.

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