International Consolidated Airlines Group SA
LSE:IAG
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one IAG stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 151.56 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 246 GBX, International Consolidated Airlines Group SA is Undervalued by 79%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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International Consolidated Airlines Group SA
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Fundamental Analysis
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International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (IAG) stands as a formidable entity in the airline industry, born from the merger of British Airways and Iberia in 2011. Headquartered in Madrid, Spain, IAG is not just about operating airlines; it's a major player shaping the future of air travel. The group boasts a diverse portfolio that includes renowned brands such as British Airways, Iberia, Aer Lingus, and Vueling. This multi-brand strategy allows IAG to cater to different market segments, from budget travelers to those seeking premium experiences. As an investor, understanding IAG's extensive network across Europe, North America, and beyond reveals an opportunity to tap into the growing glo...
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (IAG) stands as a formidable entity in the airline industry, born from the merger of British Airways and Iberia in 2011. Headquartered in Madrid, Spain, IAG is not just about operating airlines; it's a major player shaping the future of air travel. The group boasts a diverse portfolio that includes renowned brands such as British Airways, Iberia, Aer Lingus, and Vueling. This multi-brand strategy allows IAG to cater to different market segments, from budget travelers to those seeking premium experiences. As an investor, understanding IAG's extensive network across Europe, North America, and beyond reveals an opportunity to tap into the growing global demand for air travel, backed by a solid operational framework and strategic initiatives focused on sustainability and customer satisfaction.
However, like all industries, the airline sector poses its challenges, particularly in a post-pandemic recovery landscape where fluctuating demand and rising fuel costs can impact profitability. IAG has proactively addressed these issues by implementing cost-cutting measures and prioritizing efficient fleet management to enhance operational resilience. The company’s commitment to sustainability has also positioned it favorably with consumers and regulators alike. With emerging trends such as increased digitalization and a renewed focus on customer experience, IAG is poised to navigate the evolving competitive environment. For investors looking to enter the travel industry, IAG presents a compelling proposition—combining a rich heritage, strategic brand diversity, and a forward-looking vision that could yield significant long-term returns.
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (IAG) is a prominent airline holding company based in Europe. The group operates several well-known airlines and is involved in various segments of the aviation industry. The core business segments of IAG can generally be described as follows:
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Passenger Airline Operations:
- This is the primary segment, comprising a network of scheduled air passenger services. IAG owns multiple airlines, including British Airways, Iberia, Aer Lingus, Vueling, and Level. These airlines offer domestic and international flights, catering to various market segments from premium to low-cost travelers.
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Cargo Services:
- IAG also operates cargo services through its airlines, with significant capabilities in freight transport. This segment includes belly hold cargo (using passenger aircraft) and dedicated freighter operations, serving a global customer base.
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Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO):
- The company may also engage in aircraft maintenance services, providing technical support and servicing for its fleet and for third-party airlines, contributing to operational efficiency and revenue diversification.
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Ancillary Services:
- IAG generates revenue through various ancillary services, which include in-flight sales, baggage fees, seat selection fees, and other travel-related offerings, enhancing the overall customer experience.
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Tourism and Leisure Services:
- Some of IAG’s airlines may offer integrated travel packages, incorporating flight, hotel, and other services to cater to leisure travelers.
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Loyalty Programs:
- IAG operates frequent-flyer programs (such as Avios, through British Airways) that contribute to customer retention and additional revenue streams through partnerships and promotions.
These segments reflect IAG's strategy of leveraging its airline brands to capture a diverse range of customer needs in the aviation and travel sector, enhancing its resilience and capacity for growth in various market conditions.
International Consolidated Airlines Group (IAG) holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the airline industry. Here are some key points:
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Diverse Portfolio of Airlines: IAG owns several major airlines, including British Airways, Iberia, Aer Lingus, and Vueling. This diversity allows for a broader market reach, catering to different customer segments and geographical areas.
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Cost Synergies and Economies of Scale: By operating multiple airlines under one umbrella, IAG can achieve significant cost synergies through efficient shared services, joint purchasing, and coordinated scheduling. This scale can lead to better negotiation power with suppliers and lower per-unit costs.
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Global Network and Connectivity: IAG's combined network offers extensive routes and connectivity, particularly between Europe and other key markets, such as North America. This can improve customer convenience and increase passenger loyalty.
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Strong Brand Equity: With established brands like British Airways, IAG benefits from strong brand recognition and loyalty among consumers, which can translate into repeat business and premium pricing capabilities.
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Frequent Flyer Program: IAG’s loyalty program, Avios, promotes customer retention and attracts high-value customers. The program enables cross-airline earning and redemption, increasing stickiness among frequent travelers.
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Operational Efficiency: IAG has been recognized for its focus on operational efficiency, including modernizing fleets, enhancing turnaround times, and improving load factors. This can lead to higher profitability.
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Strategic Alliances and Partnerships: IAG has formed alliances, such as its membership in the Oneworld alliance, which expands its reach through code-sharing agreements and enhances customer experience with improved connectivity on partner flights.
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Sustainability Initiatives: A growing emphasis on sustainability in the airline industry positions IAG favorably as it invests in more fuel-efficient aircraft and aims for net-zero emissions commitments. This can help attract environmentally conscious travelers.
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Financial Resilience: IAG’s extensive experience and robust financial management elicit confidence among investors and stakeholders, enabling resource allocation for growth and recovery, particularly in volatile market conditions.
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Regulatory Advantages: Operating under a European Union flag provides IAG certain regulatory advantages within Europe, allowing for easier access and reduced regulatory barriers in key markets.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, IAG can differentiate itself in a highly competitive industry and create long-term value for its stakeholders.
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (IAG) operates in a dynamic and complex environment, which exposes it to various risks and challenges. Here are some of the key considerations the company may face in the near future:
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Economic Uncertainty: Global economic fluctuations can significantly impact travel demand. Economic downturns can lead to decreased consumer spending on air travel, affecting revenue.
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Fuel Price Volatility: Aviation fuel costs are a substantial portion of an airline's operating expenses. Fluctuations in fuel prices can substantially impact profitability.
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Competition: The airline industry is highly competitive. IAG faces competition from low-cost carriers, traditional airlines, and emerging market players, which can pressure pricing and market share.
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Regulatory Challenges: Changes in aviation regulations, such as emissions requirements and passenger rights, can impose additional costs and operational challenges.
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Geopolitical Risks: Political instability, terrorism, and conflicts can disrupt operations and affect demand for air travel, especially in certain regions.
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Pandemic and Health Risks: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the vulnerability of the airline industry to health crises. Future outbreaks or health-related concerns could lead to decreased travel demand and operational disruptions.
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Labor Relations: Ongoing negotiations with labor unions and potential strike actions can impact operations and labor costs. Ensuring employee satisfaction while managing costs is crucial.
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Technological Changes: Rapid advancements in technology require continuous investment in infrastructure and services. IAG must adapt to new technologies to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.
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Environmental Concerns: Increasing pressure to reduce carbon emissions and environmental footprints could lead to stricter regulations, requiring investment in sustainable practices and technologies.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Challenges in the supply chain for aircraft parts, maintenance services, and other operational necessities can impact flight schedules and cost management.
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Currency Risk: As an international operator, IAG is exposed to fluctuations in exchange rates, which can affect profitability and financial performance.
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Customer Preferences: Changing consumer preferences, especially post-pandemic, need to be monitored closely. Shifts toward remote work and virtual meetings can affect business travel demand.
Navigating these risks requires a robust risk management strategy, strategic planning, and flexibility to adapt to changing circumstances in the global aviation market.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA
Current Assets | 14.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 9.7B |
Receivables | 2.3B |
Other Current Assets | 2.8B |
Non-Current Assets | 27.7B |
Long-Term Investments | 225m |
PP&E | 20.5B |
Intangibles | 3.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 3.5B |
Current Liabilities | 21B |
Accounts Payable | 6.3B |
Other Current Liabilities | 14.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 16.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 12.9B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 3.8B |
Earnings Waterfall
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA
Revenue
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37B
EUR
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Cost of Revenue
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-12.8B
EUR
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Gross Profit
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24.2B
EUR
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Operating Expenses
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-20.6B
EUR
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Operating Income
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3.7B
EUR
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Other Expenses
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-1.1B
EUR
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Net Income
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2.6B
EUR
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
International Airlines Group (IAG) showcased robust earnings in Q3 2024, with revenues up 7.9% and operating profit increasing by 15.4% to over EUR 2 billion, enhancing the operating margin to 21.6%. Strong travel demand, especially in North America and Europe, allowed passenger unit revenue to rise by 1.2%. The company announced a share buyback plan of EUR 350 million, reflecting confidence in its strategy. Looking ahead, IAG expects continued strong performance, projecting a revenue growth of about 6% for the full year while keeping non-fuel unit costs up by roughly 2%. Overall, IAG continues to generate significant free cash flow and strengthen its balance sheet.
What is Earnings Call?
IAG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
IAG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA's solvency score is 30/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA's solvency score is 30/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
IAG Price Targets Summary
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IAG is 279 GBX with a low forecast of 171.7 GBX and a high forecast of 472.5 GBX.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for IAG is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA is a holding company, which engages in the provision of passenger and freight air transportation services. The company is headquartered in Harmondsworth, West Drayton and currently employs 56,658 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2011-01-10. Its segments include British Airways, Iberia, Vueling, Aer Lingus and Other Group companies. The company combines the airlines in the United Kingdom, Spain and Ireland. The company has approximately 529 aircrafts to over 268 destinations. The firm operates various aircraft fleet services, including Boeing 747 aircraft, Airbus A340 aircraft, Airbus A320 aircraft, Airbus A330-200 aircraft, Boeing 777-200 aircraft and Embraer E170 aircraft. The Company, through its subsidiaries, is engaged in providing airline marketing, airline operations, insurance, aircraft maintenance, storage and custody services, air freight operations and cargo transport services. The firm offers its services in cities, including London, Madrid, Barcelona, Rome and Dublin.
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The intrinsic value of one IAG stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 151.56 GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 246 GBX, International Consolidated Airlines Group SA is Undervalued by 79%.