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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2021-Q4

from 0
J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Good

morning,

everyone,

and

thank

you

for

joining

our

2021

Preliminary

Results

Presentation.

It's

great

to

be

with

you

in

person

after

nearly

two

years

of

Zoom

meetings.

As

you

can

see,

Jonathan's

with

me

this

morning

and

he'll

take

you

through

our

financial

performance

shortly.

Slide

3

shows

the

agenda

for

this

morning's

presentation.

I'm

going

to

start

with a

brief

overview

of

key

developments

in

2021.

Then

I'll

take

you

through

our

refreshed

group

strategy

and

our

new

positive

impact

plan,

which

is

designed

to

make

our

business

more

sustainable.

Jonathan

will

then

take

you

through the

financials

before

I

provide

an

operational

update.

Thereafter,

we'll

be

happy

to

take

any

questions

you

may

have.

Starting

on

slide

4,

look,

I've

been

pleased with

the

progress

we've

made

in

2021

from

both

an

operational

and

a

strategic

perspective.

We

continue

to

expand

our

recreational

customer

base

globally

in

a

sustainable

way. It

positions

us

well

for

the

long-term.

In

the

US,

FanDuel

continues

to

lead.

And

we

achieved

an

important

milestone

on

the

path

to

profitability

with

FanDuel's

sportsbook

and

gaming

business

turning

contribution

positive

during

the

year.

In the

UK

and

Ireland,

we

maintained

our

market

share

while

making

significant

strides

to

make

our

business

more

sustainable.

Jonathan and

I

will

share

more

details

on

the progress

we're

making

in

this

area

and

take

you

through

the

material

items

that

drove

our

Q4

performance

in

particular.

In

Australia,

Sportsbet

continued

to

win

share

of

the

online

market,

reaching

an

estimated

50%

in

2021.

And

in

International,

we've

stabilized

the

PokerStars

business.

Jonathan

will

provide

an

overview

of

the

key

moving

parts

within

the

division

over

the

last

two

years

and

I

will

then

share

how

this

equips

us

well

for

delivering

long-term

growth.

In

2018,

we

laid

out

a

four-pillar

strategy

for

the

group,

and

on

slide

5,

we have

summarized

the

progress

we've

achieved.

We

are

the

number

one

operator

in

the

UK,

Ireland,

Australia,

and

the

US,

while

also

now

having

a

series

of

podium

positions

across

international

markets.

We

are

a

diversified

global

player

from

both

a

geographic

and

product

perspective,

and

I'm

sure

I

don't

need

to

remind

you

all

how

important

diversification

has

been

over

the

last

two

years.

Perhaps

most

encouragingly,

our

growth

has

been

recreational

player-led.

Our

customer

base

now

stands

at

over

7.6

million

monthly

players,

having

grown

a

further

23%

in

2021.

And we

have

a

business

where

over

90%

of

revenues

come

from

regulated

markets

today,

a

number

that

we

expect

to

rise

to

95%

in

the

not-too-distant

future,

with

further

markets

regulating

and

as

our

US

business

expands.

The

addition

of

Sisal

will

also

add

additional

regulated

revenue.

Globally,

we

continue

to

see

significant

opportunities

to

grow

our

presence,

both

organically

and

through

acquisition,

and

our

refreshed

strategy

is

designed

to

take

advantage

of

those

opportunities.

On

slide

6,

we

summarize

our

refreshed

four-pillar

strategy.

Pillar

one

focuses

on

our

core

markets

where

we aim

to

extend

our

leadership

positions

by

delivering

great

products

to

our

recreational

player

base,

while

leveraging

our

economies

of

scale

to

drive

efficiencies.

In

the

US, we

will

continue

to

invest

to

win

as

the

market

expands.

Our

goal

is

simple:

to

maintain

our

lead

in

US

sports

betting

while

improving

our

share

of

the

online

gaming

market.

Pillar

three

is

focused

on

international

market

opportunities,

where

we will

combine

local

and

global

scale

to

expand

our

share

in

attractive

regulated

markets.

We

will

find

more

Adjarabets,

Junglees,

and

Sisals,

strong

local

brands

with

competitive

moats

around

their

businesses.

And

finally,

we'll

nurture

an

innovative

and

experimental

mindset

across

the

group

to

take

early

positions

in

future

spaces.

We're

already

developing

some

of

these

ideas

with

VR

or

virtual

reality

poker,

generating

$10 million

in

gross

revenue

during

2021.

This

group

strategy

will

be

enabled

by

scale,

speed,

product,

data,

and

our

Positive

Impact

Plan,

which

I'll

cover

in

more

detail

on

the

next

slide.

Yesterday,

we

launched

our

Positive

Impact

Plan,

a

sustainability

strategy

that

puts

three

key

sets

of

stakeholders

at

the

heart

of

everything

we

do;

our

customers,

colleagues,

and

communities.

The

slide

sets

out

the

global

principles

of the

plan

to

make

a

positive

change

across

these

three

stakeholder

groups.

Importantly, we have

now

set

clear

targets

in

each

of

these

areas

so

we can

hold

ourselves

to

account.

I'll

talk

more

about

our

customer

target

on

the

next

slide.

We

want

to

empower

colleagues

to

work

better

and

to

ensure

that

our teams

are

representative

of

where

we

work

and

live

through

a

comprehensive

diversity,

equity,

and

inclusion

strategy.

We

want

to

work

with

communities

to

do

more

and

aim

to

improve

the

lives

of

10 million

people

by

2030.

We'll

do

so

by

using

expertise

and experience

within

our

business

to

support

our

communities

with

a

focus

on

sport,

health,

and

well-being,

and

tech

for

good.

You'll

find

a

lot

more

information

on

our

Positive

Impact

Plan

when

our

Annual

Report

is

published

in

the

coming

weeks.

Our

Play

Well

safer

gambling

strategy

builds

on

years

of

progress

already

made

in

protecting

our

customers,

such

as

through

the

[ph]



CAT

(00:05:40) model

developed

originally

in PPB. For

a

group

with

over

7.6

million

monthly

customers,

we

know

there

is

no

one-size-fits-all

approach,

though

we

believe

there

are

universal

principles

that

we

can

and

should

apply

to all

we

can to

protect vulnerable

customers.

We

listen

to

our

customers,

industry

experts

and

critics

by

investing

in

research,

innovation

and

collaboration.

We

want

to

empower

players

to

play

positively

by

providing

them

with

platforms

and

products

that

have

protective

tools

in

place.

And

this

would include

having

better

conversations

with

our

players

to encourage

them

to

pause

and

reflect

on

their

play

and

make

positive

choices.

And

we

will

continue

to

support

players

who

need

intervention

by

providing

robust

internal

infrastructures,

external

partnerships

and

fund

new

initiatives.

To

ensure

these

principles

are

embedded

within our

organization,

divisional

safer

gambling

goals

will

be

linked

to

our

team's

remuneration

as

part

of

their

annual

bonus

metrics.

This

will

ensure

each

division

is

focused

on

initiatives

that

will

support

and

promote

local

safer

gambling

strategies

in

individual

markets

and

contexts.

We've

also

established

our

first

global

goal

to

have

75%

of

our

players

using

one

or

more

of

our

Play

Well

tools

by

2030.

We

believe

that

the

use

of

such

tools

empowers

customers

to

appraise

their

own

activity

while

promoting

positive

play.

I

feel

really

proud

of

this

new

strategy

and

look

forward

to

seeing

the

benefits

it will

bring

to

our

customers,

our

people

and

our

communities.

And

with

that,

I'll

hand

you

over to

Jonathan

to

take

you

through

our

financial

results.

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

Thanks,

Peter,

and

good

morning,

everybody.

Again,

it's

great

to

actually

see

people

in

3D.

So,

welcome

all.

Plenty

to

cover,

so

let's

get

started.

Okay. So,

so

starting

on slide

10, on

a

pro

forma

constant

currency

basis,

we

delivered

revenue

growth

of

17%

in

2021.

This

is

obviously

driven

by

the

increase

in

the

ongoing

recreational

player

base

with

AMPs

up,

as

Peter

said,

23%

year-on-year.

Our

sports

revenue

increased

by

27%,

thanks

to

the

continued

growth

in

the

US,

a

strong

performance

in

Australia

and

a

return

to

a

more

normal

sports

calendar

in

2021.

As

we'll

cover

later,

this

growth

was

despite

challenging

sports

margin

comparatives

from 2020.

Gaming

revenue

increased

by

4%

as

the

US

growth

helped

offset

the

uplift

seen

in

our

International

business

from

the

COVID-related

boost

in

poker

during

2020.

These

factors,

combined

with

the

larger

US

loss

and

the

initiatives

that

we

are

taking

to

make

the

business

more

sustainable,

resulted

in

a

group

EBITDA

of

ÂŁ1

billion,

18%

lower

than

2020,

and

excluding

those

US

investment

losses,

down

by

10%.

The

group

continues

to

turn

profit

into

cash

at

a

very

high

rate

and we

ended

the

year

with

net

debt

of

ÂŁ2.6

billion

and a

leverage

of

2.6

times,

or

2.1

times

excluding

those

US

investment

losses.

Turning

to

slide

11

on

the

statutory

income

statement,

clearly,

the

high

year-on-year

growth

reflected

the

benefit

of

a

full

12

months

contribution

from

The

Stars

Group

in

2021's

numbers

versus

eight

months

in

2020.

And

the

statutory

loss

after

tax

of

ÂŁ412

million

included

over

ÂŁ900

million

of

separately

disclosed

items,

which

were

primarily

noncash

items.

This

included

the

amortization

of

acquired

intangibles

of

ÂŁ543

million,

mainly

from

the

TSG

merger.

It

also

includes

ÂŁ163

million

for

the

final

settlement

of

the

historic

PokerStars

case

with

the

state

of

Kentucky.

Slide

12,

we

show

our

AMPs

by

division

since

H1

2019.

Player

volumes

are

a

key

indicator

of

the

underlying

health

of

our

business,

as

they

signal

how

effectively

we

are

delivering

against

our

customer

acquisition

and

retention

strategies.

In

2021,

we

grew

the

total

AMPs

by

23%

to

ÂŁ7.6

million.

I'm

not going

to

go

through

every

number

in

detail,

but

a

few

things

really

stand

out

as

I

consider

what

we're

delivering

in

terms

of

player

growth.

When

compared

to

2019,

we

have

emerged

with

a

much

larger

player

base

than

we

had

pre-COVID,

mostly

driven

by

growth

in

recreational

players,

and

that's

very

encouraging.

In

the

UK&I,

player

numbers

were

25%

higher

year-on-year

in

2021

at

3.2

million.

Player

retention

in

Australia

remained

strong

with

two-year

compound

AMP

growth

of

28%.

And

in International,

AMPs

have

grown

by

10%

since

2019

with

that

growth

coming

from

more

sustainable

markets.

And

in

the

US,

we

had

nearly

2

million

AMPs

in

Q4,

making

it

now

our

second

largest

division

in

terms

of

player

numbers.

On

slide

13,

you

can

see

how

player

growth

translated

into

revenue

growth.

Last

year,

we

delivered

revenue

growth

of

17%,

with

the

majority

of

that

driven

by

the

US.

I'll

talk

about

the

UK

and

Ireland

in

more

detail

on

the

next

slide,

but

I

do

want to

touch

in

the

forms

of

the

other

divisions.

We

grew

revenues

in

Australia

by

20%

last

year,

undoubtedly

helped

by

COVID-related

restrictions.

And

that

growth

of

20%

was

driven

by

AMP

growth

of

27%.

We

have

enjoyed

favorable

sports

results

in

both

2020

and

2021

in

Australia,

but

there

was

no

material

difference

in

margin

year-on-year.

In

International,

as

we

previously

guided,

revenue

declined

due

to

the

uplift

in

poker

activity

in

the

prior

year,

along

with

the

effect

of

regulatory

changes

and

compliance

initiatives.

In

the

US,

our

revenue

more

than

doubled,

up

113%.

The

biggest

drivers

of

this

were

a

full-year

contribution

from

four

sportsbook

states

launched

in

2020

and

a

partial

year

benefit

from

our

four

new

states

launched

in

2021.

We

also

benefited

from

structural

growth

in

our

sportsbook

margin,

which

Peter

is

going

to

cover

later.

We

launched

in

three

new

gaming

states,

bringing

our

total

footprint

to

five,

and

our

US

gaming

business

is

already

half

the

size

of

our

entire

UK&I

gaming

business.

TVG

and

DFS

continue

to

contribute

with

combined

revenue

growth

of

11%

in

2021.

Okay,

on

slide

14,

I

want to

take

you

through

the

year-on-year

performance

of

our

online

business

in

UK&I.

To

keep

this

analysis

straightforward,

we

have

not

tried

to

normalize

the

impact

of

COVID, though

clearly

2020

was

an

unusual

year

with

online

benefiting

from

retail

closures.

Additionally,

we

have

not

tried

to

separate

out

the

estimated

recycling

impacts,

albeit

we

have

seen

less

recycling

in

2021

than

historically

has

been

the

case,

and

Peter

will

talk

a

little

bit more

about

that

later.

Starting

from

the

left,

firstly,

we

had

some

good

underlying

gaming

and

exchange

revenue

growth,

with

gaming

AMPs

up

22%

despite

lapping

some

challenging

COVID

comparatives.

This

is

before

we

account

for

the

impact

of

safer

gambling

measures.

Staking

grew

by

25%,

driving

ÂŁ266

million

in

revenue

growth,

benefiting

from

the

return

of

a

more

normal

sports

calendar.

We

continued

to

benefit

from

improvements

in

structural

margin,

which added in

the

further

ÂŁ46

million.

The

year-on-year

swing

in

sports

results

impacted

our

revenues

by

ÂŁ232

million,

a

large

proportion

of

which

impacted

in

Q4.

We

rolled

out

various

new

safer

gambling

measures

during

the

year,

which

we

estimate

cost

us

approximately

ÂŁ93

million

during

2021.

And

Peter

will

share

progress

that

we've

made

in

this

area

later.

Reported

revenue

growth

of

3%

translated

into

EBITDA

of ÂŁ626

million,

flat

year-on-year,

with

some

higher

cost

of

sales

in

the

areas

of

streaming

costs

and

taxes.

Moving

on

to

slide

15,

given

the

significant

one-off

COVID

impacts

from

PokerStars

in

2020,

we

thought

it

might

be

helpful

to

provide

a

two-year

EBITDA

bridge

for

the

International

division.

Firstly,

we

have

to

adjust

for

foreign

exchange

movements,

which

can

be

material

in

our

International

division.

Being

the

translation

of

the

P&L

from

US

dollars

to

sterling,

firstly;

and

secondly,

exposure

to

local

currencies

which

players

exchange

to

play

in

US

dollars.

Over

two

years, the

EBITDA

impact

has

been

ÂŁ61

million.

Next,

we

have

the

impact

of

initiatives

that

we

have

taken

to

improve

the

sustainability

of

the

division.

First,

you

will recall

that

we

made

the

decision

at

the

end

of

2019

to

switch

off

a

number

of

Betfair

Exchange

partners

whose

compliance

standards

were

not

aligned

to

ours.

The

net

cost

of

these

switch-offs

was

ÂŁ8

million.

Secondly,

we

guided

to

a

ÂŁ65

million investment

to

bring

the

compliance

processes

and

standards

of

TSG

up

to

Flutter's

standards

post-merger.

And

thirdly,

we

have

improved

the

quality

of

the

geographic,

regulated

and

product

mix

within

the

division.

And

as

a

result,

our

cost

of

sales

as

a

percentage

of

revenues

increased

by

around

8

percentage

points.

We've

had

the

negative

regulatory

developments

in

both

Germany

and

Netherlands,

which

have

cost

the

business

ÂŁ85

million

since

2019,

with

a

further

ÂŁ55

million

incremental

costs

to

come

in

2022.

Rebasing

2019

EBITDA

for

these

items

resulted

in

EBITDA

of

ÂŁ304

million.

You

can

then

see

the

underlying

investment

made

in

the

business

and

the

growth

this has

driven

to-date.

Of

the

ÂŁ333

million

of

investment,

ÂŁ52

million

was

in

capabilities.

Some

of

this

was

in

building

required

resource,

for

example,

in

our

regulatory

and

compliance

teams;

and

some

was

invested

in

commercial

skills

and

capabilities

to

enable

us

to

effectively

spend

the

marketing

investment

and

invest

in

product

improvements.

Peter

will

touch

on

where

we

have

focused

this

investment.

We

have

– sorry,

just

go

back.

Thanks.

We

have

delivered

growth

of

ÂŁ121

million,

of

which

we

estimate

2021

benefited

by

around

ÂŁ38

million

from

COVID

impacts.

By

rebuilding

the

foundations

of

the

PokerStars

business

and

investing

in

our

casino

and

marketing

capabilities,

we

have

stabilized

our

poker

share,

driven

significant

growth

in

direct

casino,

and

delivered

good

underlying

growth

in

our

key

markets,

which

Peter

will

talk

about

shortly.

Slide

16

provides

an

EBITDA

and

an

EBITDA

margin

summary

for

2019, 2020,

and

2021.

Standing

back

from

these

results,

we

have

materially

rebalanced

the

group

over

this

period.

In

UK&I

Online,

the

recreational

growth

has

delivered

strong

customer

and

profit

growth

over

two

years,

at

a

time

when

retail

has

been

challenged.

Australia

has

delivered

phenomenal

profit

growth

from

increasing

AMPs,

synergies,

and

operating

leverage.

As

covered

in

the

previous

slide,

we

have

materially

reshaped

and

de-risked

the

International

division.

And

in

Corporate,

we

have

delivered

synergies

from

the

merger.

In

the

US,

while

losses

have

grown

over

the

last

two

years,

we

have

invested

to

build

the

embedded

value

of

the

business

and

now

have

a

clear

path

to

profitability

in

2023.

As

a

reminder,

our

revenues

from

2019

to

2021

grew

from

ÂŁ400

million

to

ÂŁ1.4

billion.

Overall,

we

feel

the

group

is

really

well-positioned

financially

going

forwards.

On

slide

17,

you

will

see

we

generated

adjusted

free

cash

flow

of

ÂŁ625

million.

This

was

lower

than

the

prior

year

due

to

our

EBITDA

reduction,

higher

CapEx spend

and

a

reduced

working capital

benefit compared

to 2020.

Cash

generation

was

still

very

strong.

Comparing

operating

profit

to

pre-tax

adjusted

free

cash

flow,

we

converted

profits

into

cash

at

102%.

I'm

sure

you'll

be

glad

to

hear

that

I

won't

go

through

every

line

item

on

this

slide

and we'll

just

talk

about

some

of

the

more

material

ones.

We

paid

higher

corporate

tax

given

the

changing

geographic

mix

of

our

earnings.

Interest

paid

was

ÂŁ37

million

lower

year-on-year,

thanks

to

lower

borrowing

costs.

We

paid

ÂŁ234

million

to

fully

settle

the

historic

case

with

Kentucky,

including

associated

legal

fees. And

our

Employee

Benefit

Trust

acquired

ÂŁ181

million

worth

of

shares

relating

to

FanDuel

incentive

schemes

put

in

place

at

the

time

of

the

original

acquisition.

M&A

activity

during

the

period

resulted

in

a

net

inflow

of

ÂŁ73

million

from

the

sale

of

Oddschecker,

partially

offset

by

the

acquisitions

of

Junglee

Games and

Singular.

And

as

a

result,

we

finished

the

year

with

net

debt

of

ÂŁ2.6

billion

and

a

leverage

of

2.6

times,

and

this

is

before

the

acquisitions

of

Tombola,

which

completed

in

January,

and

Sisal,

which

is

expected

to

complete

in

Q2

of

this

year.

So,

as

I

said,

the

leverage

at

the

end

of

2021

was

2.6

times,

or

2.1

times

excluding the

US

losses.

To

consider

the

impact

of

Tombola

and

Sisal

in

the

group's

debt

and

leverage

level,

we

have

modeled

the

year-end

2021

position

as

though

we

owned

both

assets

at

that

point.

On

this

basis,

our

leverage

ratio

would

have been

3.7

times,

or

3.1

times

excluding

US

losses.

Given

the

highly

cash

generative

nature

of

our

business

and

our

expectation

that

we'll

be

EBITDA

positive

in

the

US

in

2023,

we

are

comfortable

running

with

a

temporary

elevated

leverage

ratio.

As

you

will

see

on

the

slide,

since

these

announcements,

all

of

our

credit

ratings

have

a

stable

outlook.

And

we

remain

committed

to

our

medium-term

target

of

1

to

2

times

leverage.

And

the

board

will

review

the

group's

dividend

policy

once

leverage

is

within

the

targeted

range.

Slide

19

provides

a

trading

update

and

additionally

some

memo

items

for

those

wishing

to

update

trading

models.

Current

trading

for

the

seven

weeks

to

– the

first

seven

weeks

in

2022

have

been

in

line

with

our

expectations

and

2%

higher

year-on-year.

The

prior

year

included

some

very

positive

sports

results

in

the

UK&I.

Given

the

evolving

situation

in

Russia

and

Ukraine,

we

wanted

to

provide

a

summary

of

our

exposure

to

both

markets.

Since

completion

of

our

merger

with

TSG,

we

have

materially

reduced

our

exposure

to

the

Russian

online

market.

And

in

2021,

Russia

accounted

for

ÂŁ41

million

in

contribution.

In

addition,

Ukraine

represented

contribution

of

ÂŁ19

million.

We

are

monitoring

the

situation

closely

with

our

working

assumption

being

that

revenues

from

both

jurisdictions

will

fall

to

zero

in

the

not

too

distant

future.

As

we

consider

the

shape

of

2022

revenues

compared

to

2021,

we

benefited

from

favorable

sports

results

in

the

first

half

of

last

year,

with

gross

win

margins

120

basis

points

above

expected

levels,

whereas

they

were

in

line

overall

in

H2.

We,

therefore,

expect

that

the

phasing

of

our

growth

this

year

will

see

us

grow

more

in

the

second

half,

assuming

a

normal

run

of

sports

results.

And

with that, I'll hand back to Peter.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Thanks,

Jonathan.

I'll

now

provide

an update

on

key

developments

across

the

group,

starting

with

the

US

on

slide

21.

Back

in

August,

when

we

provided

a

deep

dive

in

our

US

business,

I

described

how

the

flywheel

effect

is

fueling

FanDuel's

growth.

And

over

the

last

12

months,

Amy

and

the

team

have

done

a

great

job

in

continuing

to

scale

our

US

business.

The

chart

on

the

right

demonstrates

how

quickly

the

business

is

growing.

Our

monthly

sportsbook

customers

grew

by

180%

in

2021,

with

our

gaming

customer

base

more

than

doubling

also.

Our

best-in-class

sports

betting

product

is

continuing

to

deliver

improvements

to

our

structural

win

margins.

We're

continuing

to

invest

heavily

in

product,

brand

and

generosity,

but

believe

the

efficiency

of

our

spend

stands

out

in

the

US

sector

today.

Critically,

our

revenue

growth

is

continuing

to

exceed our

operating

cost

growth,

bringing

ongoing

improvements

on

our

path

to

profitability.

We

believe

strongly

that

the

long

term-winners

in

this

sector

are

determined

by

the

quality

of

their

product.

On

slide

22,

the

migration

of

FanDuel

into

the

group's

betting

platform

was

completed

in

July

and

provided

significant

improvements

in

speed

and reliability

across

the

NFL

season.

Our

proprietary

Same

Game

Parlay

product,

which

is

seamlessly

integrated

into

the

user

experience,

continues

to

be

a

key

differentiator

for

us

and we'll

continue

to

expand

our

product

offering

in

this

area.

Over

76%

of

our

NFL

customers

placed

a

Same

Game

Parlay

bet

during

the

NFL

season. And

as

we

have

highlighted

before,

this

brings

big

benefits

to

us

in

the

form

of

structurally

higher

win

margins.

In

Q4

of

this

year,

we

generated

50%

more

gross

revenue

from

our

handle

than

the

average

of

the

rest

of

the

market.

We

also

continue

to

leverage

our

scale to

invest in

the

FanDuel

brand.

In

the

second

half,

we

signed multiyear

extensions

with

key

partners

such

as

the

NFL, the

NBA,

Pat

McAfee,

The

Ringer,

and

the

PGA.

Given

the attractive

customer

economics

we're

seeing,

our

US

business

spent

over

$1

billion

on

customer

promotions

and

marketing

in

2021.

This

allowed

us

to have

the

highest

TV

media

share

of

voice

in

the

market

throughout

the

second

half,

25%

higher than

our

nearest

competitor.

The

levels

of

required

investment

to

be

a

winner

in

this

market

are

high,

which

we

ultimately

feel

may

act

as

a

helpful

barrier

to

entry

in

the

industry.

On

slide

23,

you'll

see

the

results these

advantages

are

delivering.

We're

continuing

to

lead

with

a

40%

share

of

the

online

sports

betting

market

in

Q4.

I'll

share

the

overall

online

sports

and

gaming

market

was

31%

in

Q4

when

combined

with

our

20%

gaming

share.

Our

market

share

remains

remarkably

resilient

as

we've

added

gold

medals

in

new

2021

states

such

as

Arizona,

Michigan

and

Virginia

to

our ongoing

leads

in

earlier

states

such

as

New

Jersey

and

Pennsylvania.

When

states

launch,

our

early

share

can

be

depressed

by

both

our

own

investments

in

promotional

activity

and

the

early

giveaways

from

competitors.

But

once

markets

settle

down,

we're

encouraged

to

see

that

customers

are

migrating

to

where

the

product

is

best.

In

Q1

of

2022,

we've

invested

significantly doing

launches

in

New

York,

Louisiana,

and

in

another

generous

Super

Bowl

offer.

We

expect

these

investments

to

deliver

strong

market

shares

as

the

year

progresses.

Our

New

York

launch has

been

particularly

successful,

with

over 400,000

new

sportsbook

customers

acquired

to-date.

In

addition,

we're

already

seeing

signs

that

competitors

are

pulling

back

from

their

initial

customer

offers.

There's

an

important

point

to

note

in

terms

of

long-term

profitability

in

New

York

and

tax

take

for

the

state.

We

hope

policymakers

in

New

York recognize

that

while

the

state

benefited

from

an

initial

period

of

heavy

investment

amongst

operators,

such

investment

is

not

sustainable

beyond

a

few

weeks. Absent

different

treatments

of

bonusing

and/or

lower

tax

rate,

the

period

of

aggressive

initial

spending

is

almost

over.

On

the

right-hand

chart,

you'll

see

that

we're

delivering

our

leading

share

while

operating

more

efficiently

than

our

largest

online

competitors.

We

generated

47%

more

revenue

than

our

nearest

competitor

in

2021

and

we

achieved

this

whilst

accruing

$400

million

less

in

losses

on

a

comparable

reporting

basis.

One

key

factor

in

this

efficiency

is

that

on

a

like-for-like

basis,

we

estimate

that

in

2021

we

spent

$0.25

less

on

sales

and

marketing

for

each

dollar

of

revenue

generated

than

our

nearest

competitor.

On

slide

24, I

want

to

update

you

on

our

latest

thinking

around

state-by-state

profitability.

At

our

2019

US

Investor

Day,

we

estimated

that

our

New

Jersey

sportsbook

would

be

structurally

contribution

positive

within

18

to

30

months

of

launch.

I'm

pleased

to

report

that we're

now

seeing

an

acceleration

in

that

time

line

to

just

12

to

24

months.

What's

driving

this?

Firstly,

we

are

acquiring

customers

far

faster

when

a

state

launches

than

used

to

be

the

case.

Arizona

is

a

good

example

of

this,

has

a

population

that is

three-quarter

the

size

of

New

Jersey.

It

took

us

about

five

months

to

acquire

our

first

100,000

sportsbook

customers

in

New

Jersey.

In

Arizona,

it

took

us

less

than

a

month.

These

faster

sign-up

rates

better

reflect

the

awareness

of

the

sports

betting

generally,

but

also

the

changes

we've

made

to

our

own

state-launched

playbook

where

our

integrated

account

and

wallet

means

we

are

converting

DFS

customers

to

sports

betting

faster

than

before.

Once

acquired,

the

quality

of

our

products

are

driving

better

retention

rates

and

generating

the structurally

higher

sports

margins

I

spoke

about.

The

chart

shows

what

this

means

for

investment

and returns.

Because we

are

acquiring

more

customers

initially,

the

initial

investment

losses

are

deeper

in

the

first

months

post-launch.

But

we

end

up

with

a

much

bigger

base

of

customers

in

a

shorter

timeframe,

leading

to

a

higher

level

of

contribution

in

the

subsequent

months.

On

slide

25,

we

show

what

this

means

for

our path

to

profitability.

In

2021,

our

combined

sportsbook

and

gaming

businesses

generated

a

positive

contribution

of

$14

million.

As

you

can

see,

the

early

cohorts

of

customers

generated

a

positive

contribution

that

we

then

used

to

invest

in

the

next

wave

of

new

customers.

Just

38%

of

our

2021

total

customer

base

were

with

us

before

January

last

year,

yet

they

generated

enough

contribution

to

offset

the

material

net

investment

made

to

acquire

the

remaining

62%

of

our

customer

base.

Going

forward,

as

our

existing

customer

base

expands,

their

contribution

will

far

outstrip

our

ongoing

customer

acquisition

investment.

We

can

see this

being

played

out

at

an

individual

state

level

where

large

early

states

like

New

Jersey,

Pennsylvania,

Illinois

and

Indiana

were

already

contribution

positive

in

2021.

FanDuel's

cost

base,

excluding

marketing,

was

ÂŁ458

million

in

2021,

which

is

a

significant

level

investment

for

those

choosing

to

compete

with

us.

Even

with

ongoing

investment

and

the

potential

for

ongoing

losses

in

FOX

Bet,

we

expect

that

by

2023

we'll

be

EBITDA

positive

in

the

US.

This

does

assume,

though,

that

the

timing

of

new

state

regulation

matches

our

expectations

and

that

a

big

state

like

California

doesn't

go

live

next

year.

And

should

California

go

live,

reaching

EBITDA

positive

would

likely

be

delayed,

but

that

would

be a

nice

problem

to

have.

Now,

let

me

talk

about

our

UK

and

Irish

businesses.

In

our

UK&I

division,

2021

was

something

of

a

tale

of

two

halves.

Jonathan

has

already

talked

you

through

how

our

performance

compared

with

2020,

but I'd

like

to

spend

a

couple

of minutes

sharing

some

insights

around

the

fourth

quarter

and

the

moving

parts

that influenced

the

outcome.

First,

we

saw

a

very

material

swing

in

sports

results

year-on-year.

The

swing

from

good

luck

to

bad

in

the

fourth

quarters

of

2020

and

2021

resulted

in

a

revenue

swing

of

almost

ÂŁ150

million.

There's

nothing

structurally

going

on

with

margin.

It is

simply

down

to

results

and the

fact

that

we

generally

over-index

in

Betbuilder

products.

Secondly, you

can

see

how

the

cost

of

the

safer

gambling

changes

we

have

made

impacted

revenues

across

the

year,

with

costs

totaling

ÂŁ93

million

by

the

end

of

Q4.

Setting

these

two

factors

aside,

though,

it's

fair

to

say

that

underlying

demand

in

Q4

was

below

our

expectations.

The

normal

relationship

between

staking

and

margin

was

weaker

in

Q4

when

compared

with

historic

norms, and

we

think

there are

a

couple

of

reasons

for

this.

Firstly,

we

think

that

the

COVID

unwind

has

led

to

reduced

levels

of

customer

engagement with

gambling

products

generally,

and

the Gambling

Commission

data

published

last

week

would

back

that

up.

It

showed

that

online

sports

betting

GGR

was

down

43%

in

the

UK

in

Q4.

Secondly,

we

feel that

some

of

our

products

lacked

a

sharpness

towards

the end

of

last

year,

and

we're

making

changes

to

address

that.

In

contrast,

our

gaming

business

outperformed the

market.

Flutter

brands

maintained

good

customer

volumes,

driven

by

leading

daily

price

mechanics

such

as

the

Sky

Vegas

Prize

Machine

and

Paddy's Wonder

Wheel. It's

[ph]



nice

although (00:31:37)

that

the

market

generally

experienced

the

fewest

number

of

Q4

online

casino

downloads

for

three

years.

And

rest

assured,

we

are

responding

to

what

we're

seeing

in

the

market

and we're

very

focused

on

improving

our

product

proposition,

and

we're also

examining

the

cost

base

of

the

business.

While

we

don't

know

what

specific

recommendations

will

be

made

in

the

white

paper,

we

know

that

customer

economics

in

the

UK

are

going

to

continue

to

evolve.

And

so

we're

doing

work

now

to

make

sure

our

structures

and

cost

base

optimize

the

future

shape

of

the

sector.

On

slide

27, now

let's

talk

about

the

progress

we've

made

in

improving

the

sustainability

of

our

business

in

the

UK

and

Ireland.

As

you

can

see

in

the

chart

on

the

left,

since

H2 2019, our AMP

growth

has

exceeded

our

revenue

growth,

with

reductions

in

revenue

from

higher

value

tiers

being

largely

offset

by

growth

in

lower

spending

cohorts.

While

this

effectively

means

that

we've

reduced

the

proportion

of

revenue

coming

from

our

top

value

tier

by

over

55%

since

2019,

we

have

grown

our

overall

AMP

base

by

27%

at

the

same

time.

ARPUs

across

all

our

customer

cohorts

have

reduced,

and

we

believe

we

have

increased

our

share

within

the

recreational

space

in

that

time.

Businesses

such

as

ours

will

always

have

a

concentration

of revenues

coming

from

higher

income

customers.

Having

examined

this,

we

see

that

our

revenue

concentration

coming

from

higher

value

tier

customers

aligns

closely

with

overall

wealth

distribution

in

the

UK.

Now,

just

6.7%

of

our

revenue

comes

from

the

highest

value

tier,

and

this

is

considerably

lower

for

both

our

recreational

brands

and

Tombola.

The

safer

gambling

framework

we

already

put

in

place

and

our

new

Play

Well

strategy

gives

us

confidence

in

the

protections

we

have

for

our

higher

spending

customers.

On

slide

28,

we

set

out

how

we

protect

our

customers

throughout

all

stages

of

their

journey

from

registration

to

continued

play.

I'm

not going

to

go

through

all

of

the

detail

here,

but

I

want

to

share

it

as

I

think

it's

really

important

that

people

understand

just

how

much

we're

doing

in

this

area

at

the

moment.

From

robust

checks

and

monitoring

for

our

newest

customers

to

always-on

protections, we

want

to

ensure

that

all

our

customers

are

equally

empowered

and

protected

where

needed.

I

recognize

that

the

changes

we are

making

are

having

a

financial

impact

on

our

business,

but

I

passionately

believe

that

what we're

doing

is

right

for

our

customers

and

right

for

our

business

in

the

long

run.

I

would

encourage

our

peers

to

be

proactive

in

this

area

too.

And

ultimately,

this

means

that

the

UK

sector

experiences

a

year

or

two

of

low

growth,

then

it'll

be

a

price

worth

paying

in

the

interest

of

all

stakeholders.

Turning

to

Australia

on

slide

29.

Back

in

September, Barni

and

the

team

brought

you

through

why

we're

winning

the

market

by

delivering

on

product,

marketing

and

value.

We

now

have

a

50%

share

of

the

Australian

online

market,

7

percentage

points

higher

than

in

2019.

But

we

aren't

resting

on

our

laurels.

In

the

second

half,

the

team

combined

the

best

of

our

product

in

Same

Game

Multis

with

our

leading

value

proposition

by

offering

personalized

bet

return

tokens

to

Same

Game

Multi

bettors.

By

combining

our

top

line

growth

with

the

operational

efficiency

scale

can

deliver

and

the

synergy

benefit

from

the

TSG

merger,

our

EBITDA

margin

has

expanded

by 10

percentage

points

in

just

two

years.

This

is

an

EBITDA

growth

compound

rate

of

64%

over

that

time.

Sportsbet

provides

the

perfect

template

of

what

we're

trying

to

achieve

in

other

international

markets

and

showcases

their

financial

benefits

and

market

leadership.

Now

moving

on

to

International.

We're

really

pleased to

see

those

key

areas

of investment

that

Jonathan

talked

you

through

are

starting

to

pay

off.

On

the left,

you

can

see

how

we

successfully

stabilized

our

market

share

in

poker

with

a

steady

decline

from

the beginning

of

2019 flattening

as

we

began

to

invest

in

the

poker

proposition

and

in

particular

since

Q4,

since

we

launched

our

new

reward

scheme

which

has

really

resonated

with

customers.

Stabilizing

this

player

base

is

crucial

to

our

casino

and

sports

cross-sell

business.

We've

also

improved

the

sustainability

of

our

business,

with

78%

of

revenues

now

coming

from

regulated

or

regulating

markets,

a

number

that

will

continue

to

rise.

We

are

very

pleased

with the

growth

we're

seeing

in our

casino

business through

both

cross-sell

and

direct

casino.

We

saw

an

all-time

record

from

casino-first

customers

during

Q4.

Having

improved

the

sustainability of

the

business,

we're

now

very

focused

on

the

opportunities

ahead

for

this

division.

On

slide

31,

we've

selected

a

number

of

markets

where

we

see

excellent

potential

for

further

growth.

These

markets

are

at

varying

degrees

of

regulation,

with

Italy

and

Georgia

regulated,

and

Canada

and

Brazil

regulating.

The

projected

TAM

of

these

markets

is

approximately

ÂŁ26

billion

by

2026,

with

a

projected

online

compound

annual

growth

rate

of

10%

over

the

next

five

years.

The

real

growth

for

Flutter

in

these

markets

there

will

hopefully

come

from

growing

our

market

share.

Today

we

have

an

8%

online

market

share

in

these

markets,

which,

given

our

extensive

capabilities,

feels

low

to

me.

We

have

a

big

opportunity

to

grow

this

share. And

our

International

team

are

focused

on

replicating

the

success

we

have

in

other

markets

where

we

achieved

local

scale.

Finally,

slide

32

just

provides

an

updated

view

on what

the

shape

of

the

division

will look

like

once

we

complete

the

Sisal

acquisition.

In

addition,

the Sisal

will help

us

to

further

diversify

the

business

and

provide

us

with

access

to

the attractive

Italian

market

where

our

share

will

then

exceed

over

20%

and

also

bring

an

omni-channel

advantage that

we hope

will unlock

further

benefits

across

our

other

brands.

And

we

look

forward

to

welcoming

Francesco

and

his

team

to

the

division.

In

conclusion,

I'm

happy

with

the

progress

we've

made

across

the

group

in

2021.

We're

very

focused

on

the

future.

With

a

refreshed

strategy

[ph]



that's

put

sustainability

is

heart, (00:37:36)

I

believe

we

are

very

well

positioned

to

continue

to

grow

our

presence

globally.

We

must

be

relentless

in

making

sure

that

our

product

remains

industry-leading

and

that we

drive

efficiencies

within

the

group

as

we

do

so.

And with it

now,

we'll

now

open it

up

to

any

questions

you

may

have.

We'll

take

questions

from

the

room

first

and then,

if

we

have

time,

we'll

go

to

the

phone

lines.

For

those

of

you who are

on

the

phone,

please

press

star

one

if

you'd

like

to

ask

a

question.

As

I

said,

we'll

take

them

from

the

room

first.

And

can

I

ask,

as

usual,

that

you

limit yourselves

to

two

questions

and

not

too

many

subparts

in

the

first

instance,

so

we

can give

everybody

a

chance.

[ph]



Michael? (00:38:20)

U

Great.

Good

morning,

Peter. Good

morning,

Jonathan.

Thanks

for

taking

the

questions.

Two,

if

I

can.

The

first

on

the

US

and quite

a few

references

to

superior

cost

economics

through

the

presentation.

And

if I

picked

up

the

statistic

correctly,

I

think

you

said

your

spend

was

about

25%

lower

than

key

competitors.

I

just

wonder

what

that

efficiency

is

when

you

look

at

it

kind

of on a

customer

acquisition

and/or

customer

retention

basis. So,

just

interested

in

some

further

color

in

terms

of

where

you

think

you're

outperforming.

And

then secondly,

on

the

UK

market, if I can, and

again

an

interesting

detail

in

terms

of

the

concentration

of

your

revenue

base

in

terms

of

higher

value

customers.

When

you

think

about

that

7%

from

that

higher

value

cohort,

how

do

you

think

about

that

number

going

forward,

particularly

given

the

changes

we

could

get or

we

will

get,

should

I

say,

from

the

Gambling Act

in

the

coming

months? Thanks.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Thank

you,

[ph]



Michael (00:39:13).

Look,

taking

the

question

around

the

US,

I

think

there

are

two

very

important

factors

that

are

going

on

around

efficiency.

And

I

always

go

back

to

looking

at

the

sort

of

CAC

to

LTV dynamics

that

we're

seeing

in

the

market,

which

is,

for

us,

the

most

important

dynamic. And

I

think

from a

sort of

acquisition

cost

perspective,

we

undoubtedly

have

always

had

a

benefit

in

the

market

in

terms

of

our

ability

to

cross-sell

customers

from

DFS

into

sports.

And

that's

something

that

we've

made

sure

we

really

benefit

from.

But

the

team

have also

been

very

disciplined

when

it

comes

to

our

marketing

spend.

It's

very

easy

to

get

sucked

into

signing

deals

and

partnerships

and

you

can

spend

a

lot

of

money

very

needlessly.

And there

are

some

quotes

and

opportunities

that

we've

passed on,

which

proved

to

be

the

right

decision.

So

I

think

the

team

have

done

a

great

job

for

us

in

being

very

diligent

around

our

marketing

investment.

And

whilst

we

have –

we

do

spend

more

money

than

other

people,

we

think

we

also

spend

it

very

wisely when

we

do. And

when

we

look

and

track

our

acquisition

costs,

we

can

see

that

and

it gives

us

real

confidence

in

the

team's

performance.

I

think

at

the

back

side

of

that sort

of

equation,

looking

at

the

LTVs, we

obviously

have

a

structural

margin

advantage

because

of

the

Same

Game

Parlay, right?

And

we've

seen

very

substantial

use

of

that

product

amongst

our

customers,

which

gives

us

a

margin

advantage.

But,

ultimately,

the

fact

that

our

retention

levels

are

so

high

also

helps

with

the

lifetime

values.

And

the

reason

that

we're

getting

such

good

use

of

the

Parlay

product,

the

reason

we

get

such

good

retention

is because

we

have

the

best

product

in

the

market.

And

the

great

thing

about

the

US

is

you

can

look

at

this –

a

lot

of

market

data

comes

out

in

a

state-by-state

and,

often,

almost

as

a

weekly

basis.

And

New

York,

for

me,

is

a

great

example.

I

mean, you

can

look

at

– people

have got

big

market

shares

of

handle

because

they're

handing

out

free

dollars.

But

you now

look

at

where

the

market

shares

have

gone

when

people

are

actually

reverting

back

to

using

the

best

products.

And

FanDuel

is

kind of

born

in

that

market.

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

I

think

it's

worth

looking

back

at

the

last

six

months.

I

mean,

we've

had,

undoubtedly,

the

most

aggressive

start

to

NFL

that

we've

ever

had.

And

we'll

probably

[ph]



sell (00:41:29)

again

next

year,

by

the

way.

Well,

hopefully,

we

won't,

but

maybe

we

will.

And

we've

seen

some

people

coming

in

with

very,

very

aggressive

offers.

And

we

have

seen

our

economics

through

that

period

hold

up

and

we

maintained

discipline

at

times

when

people

were

buying

handle

share.

And

it

was

– there

were

some

crazy

offers

out

there.

But,

actually,

what

we've

seen

is

we've

seen

announcements

from

competitors

around

their

levels

of

spend

ongoing

and

pullbacks.

We

have

seen

our

returns

looking

fantastic

and

we're

leaning

in,

not

leaning

out

at

this

point

because

of

the

returns

that

we're

seeing

from

investment

at

this

point

and

have

seen

through

the

whole

of

the season

because

we've

maintained

our

discipline,

but

now

we're

seeing

some

really

attractive

investment

opportunities

in

terms

of CAC to LTVs

in

that

market

and

we

feel

very

positive

about

where

we

are

today.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Yeah.

I

think that's

an

important

point.

We're

seeing

competitors

pull

back.

We're

actually

leaning

in

because

we're

seeing

the

CAC to LTV

dynamics

are

improving

for

us.

In

terms

of

the

UK,

when

we

look

at

the

shape

of

the

market,

and

I've

talked

about it

a

little

bit

and

we

compare

that

with

wealth

distribution

or

income

tax

distribution

in

the

UK.

We

think

our

business

is

more

favorably

skewed,

right?

So

we

think

we're

in

a

very

good

starting

point.

We've

got

a

very –

we've

got

the

best

recreational

base

of

customers

and

brands

in

the

market.

And

so

we

think

that

– look,

there

are

going

to

be

changes

that

occur.

We

have

made

some

significant

investments

and

we

talked

about

it

in

terms

of

our

Positive

Impact

Plan.

Yes,

I've

shown

you

the

revenue

that

we've

taken

out

of

the

business

over

the

course

of

last

year. But

we

think

it's

the

right

thing

to

do

to

get

ahead

of

these

changes.

And

we

believe

that

the

Gambling

Act

will

introduce

a

sort of more

level

playing

field.

So

it

could

be

that

competitors

can

claim

the

delivery

market

great

but

I'm

not sure

how

sustainable

that

will

be

in

the

long

run.

We

think

we've got

the

right

shape

and

distribution

of

business

today.

And

we

think

we've

got

the

right

focus

on

the

recreational

base

for

whatever

the

changes

are

that the

Gambling

Act

review

introduces.

And

I'm

relatively

buoyed

by

the

fact

that

they

seem

to

be

taking

quite

an

evidence-led

approach

to

it.

And

we

think

we've

got

some

good

data

and

insights

to

share

with

them

with

the

things

that

we've

been

doing.

U

Thank

you.

R
Richard Stuber
Analyst, Numis Securities Ltd.

Hi.

Morning.

Richard

Stuber

from

Numis.

A

couple of

questions,

actually.

Just

the

first

one,

just

following

on

for

the

last

question

about

the

highest

value

tier.

Could

you

say

how

you

define

that?

Is

that

how

much

the

spend

per

month

from

those

customers?

Because

clearly,

if

the

cap

goes,

say,

from

ÂŁ500 maximum

deposit

to

ÂŁ300,

that

can

make

a

huge

difference.

And

the

definition

of

that

7%

could

be

a

lot

higher.

So,

any

sort of

numbers

around

what

you

define

that?

And

then

the

second question

on

the

US.

Obviously,

incredibly

good

market

share.

But

do you

have

any

sense

of

how

the

black

market

is

going

on

in

the

US?

Whether

you're

taking

–

whether

you're

– a

lot

of

these

of

black

market

operators,

you're

taking

share

from

them

as

well?

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

So,

look,

in

terms

of

the

UK

market,

we

have

taken

a

lot

of

steps

to

address

what

we

think

is

some

of

the

challenges

in

the

sector,

whether

it's

looking

at customers

when

they

come

and

they

join

us,

the

monitoring

that

we

have

and

then

the

sort

of the

backstop

we

have

in

terms

of

looking

at

people's

expenditure.

And

we

now

started

just

to

distinguish

that

with

difference

of

age

categories

as

well.

So,

ultimately,

we

think

that

our

business

is

very

well

set

up

for

whatever

changes

that

come.

And

we've

heard

lots

of

noise

around

how

affordability

checks

can

be

introduced.

We

think

that

the

approach

that

we're

taking,

whether

there's

granular

set

of

different

approaches

in

different

segments

is

the

right

answer

rather

than

some

sort

of

simplified

figure

for

the

whole

market.

But

we'll

wait

and

see

whether

the

review

of

the

Gambling

Act

ends

up

in

a

similar

position.

But

I

think

if

I go

back

to

the

point

that

I

made

before,

you're

right,

you

can

sort of

define

the

high-value

tiers

in

all

sorts

of

different

ways.

But

ultimately,

if

we

look

at

things

like

the

income

tax

distribution

and

you'll

be

well

aware

that

the

top

1%

of

income

taxpayers

generate

30%

of

the

income

tax

base,

our

business

is

nowhere

near

skewed

like

that, right?

So,

yeah,

it

gives

us

real

reassurance

that

our

business

is

very

well

set

up

for

the

market

distribution

dynamics

that

we

see.

In

terms of

the

US, I'm

afraid

we

are –

we've

never

been

focused

on

sort of

market

share

targets,

right?

We

always

talk

about

the

fact

we've

been

focused

on

our sort of CAC

to LTV

dynamics.

As

Jonathan

mentioned

earlier,

we're

actually

seeing

them

really

favorably

at

the moment.

We're

delighted with

how

the

business

is

performing.

We're

pushing

really

hard

to

take

advantage

of

the fact

that we've

got

the

best

product

in

the

market.

We

just

had

a

fantastic

Super

Bowl.

We're

delighted

with

the

market

share

that

we've

taken.

We're

winning

in

so

many

key

states

and

the

business

has

got

terrific

momentum

in

it.

And

of

course,

we're

seeing

that

we

also have

operating

leverage

come

through

into

the

business.

So

we're

taking

advantage

and

pushing

as

hard

as

we

can.

I

have

no

doubt

we're

taking

business

from

some

of

the

black

market

operators,

but

they'll

still

be

doing

very

well

in

states

like

California,

Florida,

and

Texas,

which

have

yet

to

regulate.

Jonathan,

if

there's

anything to

add?

S
Simon Davies
Analyst, Deutsche Bank AG

Morning.

Simon

Davies

from

Deutsche

Bank.

Two

from

me,

please.

You

talked

about

ÂŁ93

million

of

safer

gambling

costs

last

year.

Can

you

give

us

a

feel

for

where

those

were

incurred

and,

in

particular,

what

the

cost

was

of

the

introduction

of

max

stakes

and

deposit

limits?

And

secondly,

can

you

give

some

guidance

in

terms

of

revenues

coming

from

Eastern

Europe?

And

are

you

seeing

any

impact

given

the

recent

invasion

of

Ukraine

on

some

of

the

neighboring

markets,

in

particular

Georgia?

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Look...

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

I'll take

the first.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Yeah,

Jonathan will take the first one.

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

Yeah. So,

I

mean,

look, there's

a

whole

range

of

things

that

add

up

to

the

ÂŁ93 million

and

obviously

we've

been

putting

in

lower

thresholds as

we

gone

through

the

year.

We've

undertaken

daily

deposit

limits

for

all

customers.

Actually,

the

[ph]



temp on (00:48:02)

staking

limit

on

slots

has

been

a

very,

very

small

proportion

of

that,

so

well

less

than

10%.

So,

that's

not

been

a

big

driver

of

it.

It's

been

the

general

multitude

of

actions

that

we've

undertaken

across

a

whole

range

of

areas.

So

I

wouldn't

put

it

on

certainly

to

that

[ph]



temp on (00:48:21) slot

limit

or so.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

In

terms

of

the

impact

across sort of

the

broader

region

of

Eastern

Europe

first

in

terms

of

the

changes

we're seeing,

we

haven't

– we've

obviously seen

impacts

in

the

countries

which have

been

directly

impacted. And

of

course,

the

most

important

thing

from

our

perspective

is

from

our

colleagues

who

are

based

in

and

around

the

region.

We

have

a

large

number

of

contractors,

nearly

80

contractors or

subcontractors

based

in

Ukraine,

and

we're

doing

everything

we

can

to

support

them

and

their

families,

including

relocation

for

their

families,

if

that's

appropriate,

to

some of

the

country's

neighboring

where

we

may

have

locations. And

we

have

two

direct

employees

in

Russia.

As

it

relates

to

the

performance

of the

business

in

Georgia

and

Armenia,

we

haven't

seen

any

significant

impact

as

a

result

of

the

conflict.

D
David Brohan
Analyst, Goodbody Stockbrokers ULC

Morning,

guys. David

Brohan, Goodbody's.

Just

two

questions

from

me.

So,

firstly,

as

part

of

the

sustainability

plans

that

you

announced

yesterday,

you

talked

about

the

50%

and

75%

targets

in

2026

and 2030.

Can

you give

any

color

in

terms

of

where

that

currently

sits?

And

then

just

also

on

retail,

so

in

terms

of

the

Irish

retail

business

versus

the

UK,

there's

quite

a

divergence

in

terms

of

the

recovery

versus

2019.

So,

how

should

we

kind

of be

thinking

about

Irish

retail

going

forward

versus

2019

levels?

Thanks.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Okay.

Yeah.

Look,

in

terms

of

the

Play

Well

metrics,

we're

currently

at

around

35%

against

that

metric.

There

are

different

– we're at different

stages

in

different

parts

of

the

globe.

And

I

think

if

I

look

at

a

market

like

the

US,

we're

taking

–

we're

trying

to take

a

relative

leadership

position

around

that.

So

we'll be

doing

some

safer

gambling

advertising

in

Q2.

We've

been

the

first

operator

to

sign

up

to

offer Gamban

software

to

customers.

There's

a

variety of

things

we're

doing.

We're

building

our

own

AI

models

for

the

US

market,

recognizing the

differences

in

the

US

market

compared

with

what

we're

seeing

overseas.

And as an

example,

we'll

be

tracking

to

400

metrics

across

our

consumers

in

the

UK

to

try

and identify

any

examples

of

people

who

are

exhibiting

behaviors

that

we're

uncomfortable

with.

So

there's a

lot

we're

going

to be

doing

in

the

US

in

recognizing

our

leadership

position

we

have

in

that

market

and

a

very

substantial

growth

in

the

business.

I

think

it's

also

important

that

we

show

leadership

in

that

area,

too.

Jonathan,

I

don't know

whether you

want

to

reference

where

we

are

on

Irish

retail.

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

Look, I

think

what

we're

seeing

behaviorally

in

Ireland

is

just

is

different

than

what we've

seen

in

the

UK.

I

think

the

UK

has

gone

sort

of

post-COVID

at

a

much

earlier

stage,

with

people

feeling

much

more

confident

about

going

into

retail

outlets, etcetera,

etcetera. And

obviously

we've

been

more

fully

open

for

a

longer

period

in

the

UK

than

we

have

had.

Look,

we'll

see

how

behaviors

change

over

the

next

three

to

six

months.

We're

still

confident

that

Irish

retail

is

a

very

key

place

in

the

market.

We

know

we

get

benefits

from

having

that

iconic

brand

on

the

high

street

and

that

will

continue.

But

we

have

no

doubt

that

the

Irish

retail

will

bounce

back

in

time.

It's

just

a

case

of

how

long

that's

going

to

take.

D
David Brohan
Analyst, Goodbody Stockbrokers ULC

Thanks, guys.

K
Kiranjot Grewal
Analyst, BofA Securities

Hi.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Hi.

K
Kiranjot Grewal
Analyst, BofA Securities

This

is

Kiranjot

Grewal

from

Bank

of

America.

Just

two

questions

from

me.

Firstly,

on

stickiness,

your

product

seems

to

be

better

and

bigger

in

terms

of

range and

that

seems

to

be

driving

a

lot

of

the

demand.

But

is

there

a

risk

there

could

be

catch-up

from

competitors?

Or

is

there

some

kind

of

element

within

the

product

that

would

drive

loyalty?

And

then

the

second

one

is

on

US

IPO.

We

spoke

in

detail

about

it,

I

think,

six or

seven

months

ago.

And

there

were,

I

think,

three

reasons

you

outlined

why

you

wanted

to

do

it.

Given

where

the

share

prices

have

headed

or the

market

is headed in

the

last

six

months,

is

that

still

on

the

cards for,

say,

this

year

or

could

that

be

delayed?

Thank

you.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

And

I

presume

your

reference

to

stickiness

of

product

is

in

the

US.

I

mean, because

I

could

talk

about

any

one

of

our

products, right?

K
Kiranjot Grewal
Analyst, BofA Securities

Sorry, yes.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

They're

great

in

all

the

markets

we

operate.

Look,

I

mean

there's

a

hundred

things

you

have

to

do. Yeah,

well,

many

more

actually

and

the

product

team

would

kick

me

for

saying

any

hundred.

There's

many

things

you

have to

do

to

get

the

product

right

for

customers.

The

speed

and

ease

of

use

is

a

really

important

aspect.

If

you

think

about

the

way

in

which

the

variety

of

markets

that

we

have

available

to

better

surface

the

markets

that

people

want

to

find

quickly

and

enable

them

to

get

on –

get

their

bets

on

in

a

way

that

works

them

really

efficiently

is

important.

Actually

the

Same

Game

Parlay

product

and

the

integration

of

that

and

the

ability

to

evolve

that,

as

we

have

done,

and

I

mentioned

what

we've

done

in

Australia

in

terms

of

building

tokenization

and

generosity

into

it

and

there's

other

ways

in

which

we

will,

those

things

are

really

important.

So

we're

not

standing

still.

We've

got

the

benefits

of

operating

a

global

platform.

So

the

platform

that

sits

behind

our

team

in

America

is

the

same

one

that

sits

behind

our

Paddy

Power

and

Betfair

businesses.

And

we

can

actually

share

and

take

ideas

and

concepts

from

one

business

to

another.

So,

we

have

a

very

big

development

team

to

support

our

American

business,

but

they

also

have

the

benefits

to be able

to

steal

ideas

and

products

and

services

that

they

see

from

other

divisions

as

well.

So

the

way

I

think

about

it

is they've

got

thousands

of

cheerleaders

who

are

– they're

helping

build

products

in

America,

and

we're

certainly

not

standing

still.

And

I

think

if

you

look

at

the

Super

Bowl

this

year,

there

were

no

issues

from

a

customer

service

perspective

or

stability

perspective.

A

lot

of

– I mean, there

have

been

challenges

in the

past,

but

the

massive

volumes

we're

putting

through

that

platform,

the

business

and the

platform,

all

stood

up

really

well. And

I

think

that

shouldn't

be

underestimated.

So

I

think

when

we

look

at

the

retention

levels

in

the

business,

it's

very

much

driven

by

the

quality

of

the

products.

And

there's

lots

of

aspects

to

that.

And

you

can

look

at

[indiscernible]



(00:54:45) for

example,

undertake

a

review

and

assess

the

quality

of

our

product

and

have

us

ranked

number

one.

And

our

customers

are

voting

with

their

feet.

They

may

take

other

people's

free

money,

but

they

come

and

continue

to

use

FanDuel.

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

But

at

the

end

of the

day,

we

have

to

be

paranoid

because everybody

else

is

going to

be

trying to

catch

up.

So

we've got

to

stay

ahead

and

keep

investing,

and

that's

why

you

can

see

our

cost

base

growing.

We're

putting

in

more

tech

folk

in

both

the

sports

betting

side.

We've

also

got

a

big

opportunity

on

the

gaming

side

that

we

haven't

monetized

properly

yet,

and

that's

why

we

put

another 100

heads

into

that

business.

We've

just

moved

one

of

our

most

experienced

casino

guys

across

the

US,

and

he'll

be

going

over

there

very

shortly

to

help

really

try

and

get

some

growth –

more

growth

into

that

side

of

the

business

and

really

make

sure

that our

product

does

everything

it

needs

to

do

on

the

gaming

side

as

well

as

the

sports

side.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Yeah. And look,

as

it

relates

to

the

IPO

of

a

small

stake

in

FanDuel,

the

reasons

that

we

talked

about

it in

the

past were

the

fact

that you

get

this

with

the

marketing

benefits

of

having

a

listed

vehicle

in

the

US.

And

we

know

that

DraftKings

get

a

lot

of

publicity off

the

back

of

their listing

with

their

customers

buying

So it's

something

that

we

would

like

to

get

the

benefits

of.

We

often

talk

about

the

levels

of

the

partnerships

that

we

have,

whether

that's

with

marketing

channels

or

personalities

or

different

media

businesses.

And

to

be

able

to pay

for

some

of

those

in

equity

as

well

as

cash

is

important,

although

I

suspect

that

some of

the

people

who took

equity

a

while

ago

are

wishing

they had

now

taken

cash.

Yeah.

And

then

finally,

there's

also

the ability

to be

able

to

remunerate

your

colleagues

with

local

equity,

which

is

important.

So those

factors

are

all

important

for

us.

It's

not

something

that

we

need

to

do.

And

clearly,

we're

monitoring

the

markets

at

the

moment

and

it's

something

which

the

board

will

keep

under

evaluation.

James?

J
James Wheatcroft
Analyst, Jefferies International Ltd.

Morning.

James

Wheatcroft

from

Jefferies.

Path

to profitability

has

been

a

sort of key

discussion

topic,

I

think,

with

the

market

over

the

last

few

months.

Historically,

you've

talked

about

having

a

25%

EBITDA

margin in

the

mature

US

states. I

was

wondering

whether

you

could

give

us

a

feel

for

how

maybe New

Jersey

is

developing

along

that

path

and

how

long

before

it

might

be

we

see

other

states

in

that

sort

of same

category,

please?

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Jonathan?

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

It

obviously –

what

we've

outlined

this

morning

is

this

12

to

24

months

of

getting

into

that

profitable

state

on

a

state-by-state

basis.

We

obviously

only

have

a

short

period

of

history

for

the

states

that

came

after

New

Jersey. In

New

Jersey,

we are

very

comfortable

with

the

level of

contribution

percentage

that

we're

seeing

from

that

state,

and

a

gaming

state

and

a

sports

betting

state

where

we

have

a

very

strong

market

share

and

a

good

tax

rate.

And

we're

very

happy

with

where

we

are

in

the

state.

We

haven't

got

enough

track

record

to

start

talking

about

the

state-by-state

contribution

percentages

for

those

states

that

came

in

2019.

But

I

think,

over

time,

we

will

look

at

how

we

try

and

bring

to

life

in

more

for

you

guys

where

those

2019

states

and

hopefully

the

trajectory

of

those

2020

states

and

we

can

start

building

those

J-curves

for

you.

At

the

minute,

we're

a

little

bit

early

in

those

2019

states

to

really

start

seeing

where

they're

getting

to

in

terms

of

that contribution

percentage.

But

I

can

assure

you,

we

feel

very

confident

in

the

direction

of

travel

on

these

dates

and

even

more

so

after

the

last

six

months

we've

seen.

E
Ed Young
Analyst, Morgan Stanley & Co. International Plc

Thank

you.

Ed

Young

from

Morgan

Stanley.

My

first

question

was

on

the

UK.

The

regulatory

impacts

you

outlined

started

at

ÂŁ7

million

in

Q1

with

ÂŁ37

million by

Q4.

You're

expecting

incrementally

more

measures

to

be

introduced

because

that

would

suggest

a

run

rate

of

ÂŁ150

million,

ÂŁ160

million or

so,

and

obviously

ÂŁ37

million in

Q4,

ÂŁ7 million

Q1.

It seems

like

a ÂŁ50

million

or ÂŁ60

million

headwind

to

revenue

potentially,

if

it

stays

at

the

current

level or

maybe

higher

than

that,

if

it

goes

through.

So,

could

you

maybe

talk

about

what

we

expect

going

into

next

year?

The

short

question

there

is,

should

US

– should

UK

online

profitability

grow and

next

year

what

should

we

expect?

That's

really

where

I'm driving

at.

And

the

second

question

is

on

international.

You

gave

the

very

helpful

pitch

there.

I

think

the

H2

run

rate

was

just

– that's

run

rating

about

ÂŁ240

million. I think

you

called

out,

Jonathan,

another

ÂŁ55

million for

Germany

and

the

Netherlands.

You

obviously

mentioned

the Ukraine

and

Russia

as

well.

Is

there

any

sense, do

you

think,

that

there's

a

case

to be

made

to

pull

back

on

some

of

the

investment

you've

made

by

choice

there

to

stabilize

profitability,

or

do

you

see

that

as

essential

to

drive

the

revenue

to

get

back

to

growth?

Is

there

any

kind

of

cost

action

you're

considering

in that

division,

given

how

much

it's

come

down

in

EBITDA

terms

from

2019

and

2020 levels?

Thanks.

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

On

the

UK&I,

I

think

there's

three

moving

parts

to

consider

as

we

look

at

2021

into

2022.

There's,

first,

I

think

the

recreational

market

will

still remain

a

bit

of

the

market

that

will

be

a

better

part

of

the

market

to

be

in,

and

I

still

think

on

that

recreation

element, there'll

probably

still

be

growth.

But

the

overall

market,

as

we

said

in

Q3,

we

think

will

probably

be

flat.

So,

if

we

want

to

be

in

one

part

of

the

market,

I

think

we're

in

the

right

place.

I

think

what

we're

effectively

doing

is

bringing

into

our

business

what

we

expect

to

have

to

bring

into

the

business

anyway.

So,

in

my

view,

we're

just

building

sustainability

now

rather

than

building

it

a

little

bit later,

and

I

think

it's

the

right

thing

to

do

for

the

business.

As

we

see

the

customer

economics

evolve,

so

on

the

cost

side,

there's

two

things

that

will

affect

the

business

and

the

customer

on

the

cost

side.

One

is

just

the general

customer

economics.

If

we

see

lower

values,

therefore,

what does

that

mean

for

promotional

and marketing

spend

as

go

forwards

and

what

can

we

actually

afford

to

invest

in

that

CAC to

TV

equation

to

ensure

that

we're

driving

the

right

value.

And

the

second

thing

will

be

on

the

cost

base

and

the

integration.

The

UK&I

integration

was

always

more

–

the

Australia

and

the

corporate

stuff

was

very

short-term

because

in

Australia

we

were

obviously bringing

two

businesses

together

and

it

was

two

people

for

one

job

and

two

car

spaces

into

one.

So

it

was

very

quick

and

it

was

done

incredibly

effectively

by

the

team.

The

same

in

group,

it

was

cost

to

contract,

etcetera.

In

UK&I,

it

was

always

going

to

be

more

complex.

It's

about

major

changes

in

the

tech,

which,

as

you

know,

in

our

sector

don't

happen

overnight.

It's

complex. So

it's

a

multiyear

process.

And

there'll

be

some

structural

change

that'll

happen

in

that

business

over

time.

So you've

got three

sort

of

moving

parts

in

terms

of

the

market,

the

[ph]



SGE (01:01:58)

stuff

coming

in,

plus

the

cost base.

We

feel

that

we

should

see

profitability

going

forwards

in

that

business

from

the

mix

of

those

three

things

year-on-year

from

2021 into

2022 in

terms

of

the

UK&I

online

profitability.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

And then

regarding

your

question

around

International and the

investment we

put

into

the

business,

I

mean,

I

think

you

need

to

look

at

it

in

different

buckets.

I

mean,

half

of

the

money

we

put

into

investment

was

stuff

that

we

absolutely

had

to

do.

And

I

would describe

it as

sort of rebuilding

the

foundations,

keeping

the

lights

on type

of stuff

for

the

business,

which

there's

no

choice

around.

In

terms

of

the

growth-orientated levels

of

investment,

around half

of

that went into

the

casino

business.

And

we're

seeing

a

really

good

performance

in

our

directly

acquired

casino

business

now.

The

revenue is

four

times

than

it

was

pre-merger

and

now

that

we've

built

the

capabilities,

we're

just

being

able

to

sort of

replicate

that

into

a

number

of

its

incremental

markets.

And

we're

really

pleased

with

how

that's

doing,

the

returns

it's

generating.

We

have

put

some

money

behind

the

PokerStars

brand.

It

is

important

for

us

in

markets

like

Brazil

and

Canada,

which

we

just

referenced

as

being

two

important

components,

when

you

look

at

how

big

that

TAM

could

get.

But

there's

also

places

we're

investing,

things

like

into

the

Betfair brand

in

LatAm,

Junglee.

So

it

is

important

to

remember that

when

we

talk

about

International, it

isn't

just

PokerStars, and

there's

some

really

important

businesses there

that

we're

investing and

getting

good

growth

from.

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

I

mean,

one

of

the

benefits

of

having

the

portfolio

is

we

– just

because

the

International

profitability

is

pulled

back,

if

we

still

see

great

paybacks

in

markets,

we

don't

have

to

say,

well,

we

can't

do

that because

we've

got

to

keep that

bit

of

the

business

growing

at

a

certain

rate

or

taking

profit

today

rather

than

growing

the

business.

We've

got

to

do

the

right

thing

across

the

portfolio.

And

to

Peter's

point, I

mean,

half

of

our

year-on-year

sales

and

marketing

uplift

in

International

is

actually

because

we've

got Junglee

in

for

the

full

– for

the

2021

year.

And

actually

the

paybacks

we're

seeing

in

that

market,

for

instance,

are

fantastic.

So

we're

going

to do

the

right

thing

for

the

medium

term

of

the

business

and

not

do

something

just

to

try

and

shore

up

short-term

profitability

because that

would

be

– that

would

not

be

driving

shareholder

value

in

this

case.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Are there any

more

questions?

Maybe

should we

go

to

the

– were

there

any

questions

coming

on

the

phone?

Don't

quite

know

how

we

managed

the

–

I've

forgotten

how

we

do

these

hybrid

events.

Operator

So

the

first question

is

coming

from

Joe

Stauff

from Susquehanna.

Please

go ahead.

Your

line

is

open

now.

J
Joseph Stauff
Analyst, Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP

Thank

you.

Good

morning,

everyone.

Peter,

I

was

wondering

if

you

can

give

us

maybe

an

updated

view

on

the

timing

you'd

expect

for

the

arbitration

process

with

FOX.

And

then,

I

wanted

to

ask

about

how

do

you

think

about

the

casino

strategy

in

the

US?

So do you have – are

you

thinking

of

consolidating

brands

or

going

with

one

particular

brand?

If

you

can

comment

on

that,

please.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Okay.

Look, Joe,

you'll

have noticed

from

our

release

this

morning

that

we

mentioned

that

there's

been

a

delay

to

the

timing

of

the

arbitration

FOX

because

we've

been

in

dialogue

with

them.

But

we

now

have

a

date

set

for

June,

and

that's

what

we'll

be

working

towards.

And

look, we're

very

comfortable

going

into

arbitration.

We

think we've

got

a

very

robust

position.

And

ultimately

that's

the

new

timeframe.

It

was

the

right

thing

to

do

to

have

a

dialogue

with

FOX,

push

back

the

original

dates.

Ultimately,

we'll

run

to

that

arbitration

timetable.

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

And

look,

I

mean,

you

all

know

this,

but

we

recognize

absolutely

the

value

of

the

FanDuel

asset

and

therefore

any

deal

that

might

be

done

with

FOX,

we'll

have

to

recognize

that.

And

if

we

can't

get

the

deal

is

right

for

our

shareholders,

we're

very

comfortable

going

to

arbitration.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Yeah,

absolutely

right.

And then,

look,

in

terms

of

what

we

do

in

the

US

from

a

casino

perspective,

we

know

that

there's

more

for

us

to

do.

But

fortunately, we

know

what

we

need

to do

because

we're

very

good

at

growing

direct

casino

businesses

really

all

around

the

world.

So,

as

Jonathan

mentioned

earlier,

we're

bringing

over

one

of

our

top

casino

managers

into

the

US to

help

support

our

business.

And

there's

a

heap

of

things

that

we've

got

planned

to

do

for

that

business

over

the

course

of

this

year.

I

don't

necessarily

tell

our

competitors

all

of

our

plans,

but

you

can

rest

assured

that

we're

very

good

at

growing

direct

casino

businesses

and we

intend

to

continue

to

do

that

in

the

US.

But,

of

course,

we

have

the

best

set of

customers

to

cross-sell

into,

which

is the

sportsbook

we

have

in

the

US

market

where

we're

the

leaders. And,

of

course, it's

also

worth

remembering

that

sportsbook

is

where

the

action

is

really

at at

the

moment

in

America,

it's

where

the

next

few

states

will

come

on

stream,

and

that's

our

strong

hand.

So

we'll

continue

to

make

sure

we

really

exploit

that.

But

there

is

more

work

to

do

in

casino.

We've

actually

held

our

market

share,

which

I

think

is

quite

remarkable.

When we

look

at

the sort of

the

quality

of

our

products,

there's

lots

we

know

we're

going

to

do

to

improve

it

and

we

will

do

so.

Operator

And the

next

question

is

coming

from

James

Rowland

Clark

from

Barclays.

Please

go

ahead.

Your

line

is

open

now.

J
James Rowland Clark
Analyst, Barclays Capital Securities Ltd.

Hi.

Good

morning,

everyone.

A

couple

of

questions,

please,

on

the

US

and

on

the

UK.

Just

on

the

US,

are

you

able

to

provide

a

revenue

target

and

EBITDA

loss

guidance for

2022? Just

wondering whether

you

can

hit

ÂŁ1

billion

worth

of

revenue

this

year.

And then

on

the

UK,

I just had

to clear,

the

review

ends

up

producing legislation

that's

a little

bit

better

than

you've

planned

with

your

safer

gambling

measures.

Are

you

in

a

position

where

you

can

switch

the

business

back

on

to

higher

value

customers

or

reacquire

or

retain

these

customers?

Thank

you.

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

Shall

I

take

the

first

one?

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Yes,

please.

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

Okay.

So

we

won't

be

providing

revenue

guidance

at

this

point

on

the

US.

And

it

will

definitely,

I

would

expect,

be

higher

than

the

ÂŁ1.4

billion,

$1.9

billion

we

did

in

2021.

But

I'm

not

giving

a

number

for

that.

In

terms

of

EBITDA

and

the

loss,

I

think

we

are

not

giving

specific

guidance

at

this

point, but as a starting point, considering our losses in 2021

at

a

comparable sort

of

level for

2022 is

a

very good

starting

point.

We're

not

here

to

discuss a

significant

increase

in

EBITDA loss

at

all. Unlike

some

of

our

competitors, we

would

think

a

reasonable

starting

point

is

where

we

got

to

in

2021

with

a

clear route to where

we're going

in 2023,

which

I

think

we've flagged

pretty

clearly,

hopefully.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Thank you,

Jonathan.

Look,

in

terms

of

the

potentials

of

outcome

in

the UK

environment,

look,

we

think

it's

very

important

to build

a

business

that's sustainable.

I

think

what the

regulators are

certainly

going

to

do

is

introduce

a

level-playing

field. You

could

say

that

we have

moved

ahead of

the

regulators in

trying

to

do

the

right

thing

for

the

business.

And

if

that

is

the

case, I

think

it'll be

good

when

the

regulators can

introduce

a

level-playing

field.

People

who are

posting

big

growth numbers,

you've

got

to ask

how

they're doing

that

and

how sustainable

it

is.

I

think

we're

all

desperate

for

some clarity

and

we'll

get

that

with the

introduction

of

the

Gambling

Act

review,

and

we'll

make

sure

that

we

shape

our

business

appropriately once

we

know

how

the

UK

government

wants

to

introduce

that

legislation.

Operator

And the

next

question

is

coming

from Monique

Pollard from

Citi.

Please

go

ahead. Your

line

is

open.

M
Monique Pollard
Analyst, Citigroup Global Markets Ltd.

Hi.

Good

morning,

everyone.

A

couple

of

questions

from

me,

if

I

can;

one

on

Australia,

one

on

the

US.

So, just

on

Australia,

obviously,

you've

seen

huge

scale

benefits

coming

through

with

marketing cost – sales and marketing cost just 9%

of

revenues

in

2021. I

just

wondered

if there

was potential for that

marketing

cost

as

a percent

of

revenue on an

absolute

basis

to continue

to

scale

into 2022

or

if

we

sort of maxed

at

that level

here.

And

then

secondly,

on

the

US,

obviously,

fantastic win

margin

of

[ph]



25% (01:11:00)

in

the

fourth

quarter.

I should

say

in

a

slightly

different

[indiscernible]



(01:11:05) Same

Game Parlay.

Obviously,

you

mentioned

76%

of

total

customers were using the Same Game Parlay

during

the

season.

But

I

just wondered

if

you

could

give

any

color

on

how that proportion of

[indiscernible]



(01:11:21) could

increase

to

reach

2022

[indiscernible]

(01:11:25) on

the

improvement

in the

win

margin

this

year

in

the

US.

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

Monique,

thanks

for

the

question.

A

couple

of

comments

on

Australia.

The

first

is

that

we

actually

saw

the

net

win

margin

above

where

we

would

have

expected

it

by

about

70

basis

points

and

roughly

the

same

year-on-year.

So,

therefore,

what

you're

sort

of

seeing

is

a

slightly

artificially

low,

marginally

lower

level

of

marketing

spend

than

we

probably

would

have thought.

I

think

the

second

and

more

important

thing

in

Australia

is,

as

we

put

more

and

more

of

the

value

that

we

give

to

customers

directly

to

them

through

bespoke

promotional

benefits

to

individuals

through

pricing

and

promotions

or

whatever

that

is

directly

on

a

customer-by-customer

basis,

that's

going

through

our

kind

of

promotion

line.

And

the

more

of

that

we

can

make

the

direct

to

the

individuals,

the

less

we

put

through

the

sales

and

marketing

line.

So,

actually,

what

you'll

see

is

as

we

get

more

and

more

adept

at

making

sure

we

can

be

rifle

shot

rather

than

scatter

gun,

we

will

put

more

value

to

the

individual

customer

and

you

will

see

sales

and

marketing

coming

down.

Where

that

ends

up,

we

need

to

see.

I

think

we're

at

a

very

efficient

point

at

this

stage

and

I

don't

necessarily

see

that

scaling

further.

And

we'll

have

to

just

make

sure

we've

got

the

right

balance

between

the

above

the

line

and

below

the

line

sort

of

offers,

because they

obviously

go

through

different

lines

which

makes

it

slightly

confusing,

to

make

sure

that

we've

got

enough

brand

visibility,

brand

presence,

being

seen

to

have

a

high

value

proposition

in

the

market,

as

well

as

individual

customers

getting

that

through

personalized

bespoke

generosity.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Yeah. And

look,

as

it

relates

to sort

of

win

margins

in

the

US,

I

think

one

thing

I'd

just

remind

you

of

is

the

sort

of

the

impact

of

some

of

our

promotional

activity

on

win

margins

across

the

course

of

the

year.

So,

things

like

our

very

successful

Super

Bowl

campaign

where

we

make

offers

like

56

to

1

available

to

customers

can

artificially

depress

win

margins

in

the

period,

but

ultimately

those

things

bounce

back.

And

I

think

the

performance

of

the

Same

Game

Parlay

product

for

football

is

important,

but

it's

also

really

important for

things

like

the

NBA

as

well.

So

we're

comfortable

with the

levels

of

margin

we

see

in

the

US.

And I

think

we

have

some also

structural

advantages.

I think we'll turn that to Jonathan.

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

And look, the

more

the

market

moves

into

the

fast

followers

and

then

into

a

more

recreational

base,

we

see

that

naturally,

as

we've

seen

in

other

markets,

driving

the

sort

of

the

multi-stroke

parlay

mix

higher

over

time.

So

we're

hoping

that

over

time

we

could

see

that

penetration

of

parlays

grow

further

as

the

mix

of

the

customer

base

changes.

And

therefore,

we're

hoping

that

we'll

end

up

with

increasing

structural

margins

over

time.

J
Jeremy Peter Jackson

Okay.

I

don't think

there

are

any

more

questions

on

the

phone.

So,

thank

you

very

much,

everybody,

for

coming.

It's

nice

to

see

you

all

in

3D.

Thank

you

for

your

ongoing

support.

J
Jonathan Stanley Hill

Thanks very much.

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