Experian PLC
LSE:EXPN
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one EXPN stock under the Base Case scenario is 2 365.21 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 3 809 GBX, Experian PLC is Overvalued by 38%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Experian PLC
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Fundamental Analysis
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Experian PLC is a global leader in data analytics and consumer credit reporting, with a rich history dating back to 1980. Based in Dublin, Ireland, and operating in more than 40 countries, the company helps businesses and consumers make informed decisions through the power of data. Experian provides a diverse suite of services, including credit scoring, fraud detection, identity verification, and marketing solutions. By leveraging its vast databases and advanced analytics, Experian enables organizations across various sectors—from banking and finance to retail and healthcare—to better understand their customers and manage risk. This unique positioning in the data-driven economy makes Experia...
Experian PLC is a global leader in data analytics and consumer credit reporting, with a rich history dating back to 1980. Based in Dublin, Ireland, and operating in more than 40 countries, the company helps businesses and consumers make informed decisions through the power of data. Experian provides a diverse suite of services, including credit scoring, fraud detection, identity verification, and marketing solutions. By leveraging its vast databases and advanced analytics, Experian enables organizations across various sectors—from banking and finance to retail and healthcare—to better understand their customers and manage risk. This unique positioning in the data-driven economy makes Experian an invaluable partner for businesses seeking to enhance their customer engagement and operational efficiency.
For investors, Experian represents a compelling opportunity in the burgeoning fintech landscape, characterized by a growing demand for data intelligence and credit solutions. With a robust business model supported by recurring revenue streams from its subscription-based services, the company has shown impressive financial resilience even in fluctuating market conditions. Experian's commitment to innovation and investment in advanced technologies, such as machine learning and artificial intelligence, positions it well for sustainable growth. Moreover, its strong focus on ethical data practices and consumer privacy resonates with an increasingly aware public, fostering trust and forming the foundation for long-term success. For those looking to invest in a company that not only thrives on data but also prioritizes integrity, Experian offers a promising pathway to capitalize on the future of scalable and responsible finance.
Experian PLC is a global information services company that provides data and analytical tools to businesses and consumers. Its core business segments can be broadly categorized into the following areas:
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Credit Services: This segment focuses on providing credit reporting, credit risk analysis, and related services to businesses. Experian collects and maintains credit data on consumers and businesses, offering insights that can help companies make informed lending decisions. They also provide credit scores and reports directly to consumers.
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Decision Analytics: This segment helps businesses make better decisions through advanced analytical tools and data solutions. It involves creating predictive models, scoring solutions, and decision-making frameworks that leverage Experian’s extensive data resources. Industries such as banking, insurance, and retail rely on these services for risk assessment and marketing strategies.
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Marketing Services: Experian’s marketing services division offers data-driven marketing support, including consumer data analytics, targeted marketing solutions, and campaign management tools. This segment helps businesses enhance customer acquisition and retention strategies by leveraging data insights to reach the right audience effectively.
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Consumer Services: This segment provides services directly to consumers, including credit monitoring, identity theft protection, and personal finance tools. Products in this area help individuals manage their credit scores and personal finances, and provide them with access to their credit reports.
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Business Information: This segment provides businesses with data and insights related to other businesses. Services include business credit reports, risk assessment tools, and fraud prevention solutions that help organizations make informed decisions about partnerships, credit extensions, and other business transactions.
Through these segments, Experian aims to leverage its data assets and analytical capabilities to provide insightful and innovative solutions to its clients, enhancing their decision-making processes across multiple industries.
Experian PLC holds several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals in the credit reporting and information services industry:
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Data Richness and Exclusivity: Experian has access to vast amounts of consumer and business data, which gives it a significant advantage in providing comprehensive credit reports, risk assessments, and marketing data. Its proprietary databases are often more extensive and detailed than those of its competitors.
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Global Footprint: Experian operates in multiple countries, establishing a strong global presence. This international diversification not only allows the company to tap into various markets but also provides it with diversified revenue streams and reduces dependence on any single market.
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Innovative Technology: Experian invests heavily in technology and analytics, developing cutting-edge tools and algorithms for data analysis and risk management. Their advanced analytics capabilities enable clients to make informed decisions and mitigate risks effectively.
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Brand Recognition and Trust: As one of the leading credit reporting agencies, Experian has established strong brand recognition and credibility in the market. Customers often prefer working with a well-known and trusted brand, giving Experian an edge in customer acquisition and retention.
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Diverse Product Offerings: Experian offers a comprehensive suite of services beyond credit reporting, including identity verification, fraud detection, marketing services, and data-driven consulting. This diversification makes it a one-stop-shop for many businesses, enhancing customer retention.
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Regulatory Expertise: The company has significant experience navigating regulatory environments in various jurisdictions, which is crucial in the data, credit, and finance sectors. This expertise can be a decisive advantage over competitors who may struggle with compliance or face legal challenges.
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Strong Partnerships: Experian has forged strategic partnerships with financial institutions, businesses, and governmental entities, enhancing its market position and providing access to additional customer bases and data sources.
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Focus on Consumer Services: Experian has been proactive in offering consumer credit services, such as free credit scores and monitoring tools. This focus caters to the growing consumer demand for greater transparency and control over personal credit information.
These advantages, combined with a strong management team and a commitment to innovation, position Experian favorably against its competitors in the rapidly evolving landscape of financial services and information management.
Experian PLC, as a leading global information services company, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some of the key considerations:
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Data Privacy Regulations: With increasing regulations around data protection, such as GDPR in Europe and CCPA in California, Experian may need to invest significantly in compliance measures. Non-compliance can result in hefty fines and damage to reputation.
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Cybersecurity Threats: The nature of Experian's business involves handling sensitive personal information, which makes it a prime target for cyberattacks. A significant breach could lead to loss of customer trust and potential legal consequences.
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Economic Conditions: Fluctuations in the global economy can impact demand for credit services. Economic downturns often lead to lower credit uptake, which may affect revenue streams for Experian.
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Competition: The data services industry is highly competitive, with numerous startups and tech companies entering the space. Experian needs to continuously innovate to maintain its market position.
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Technological Advancements: Keeping up with rapid technological changes, such as artificial intelligence and machine learning, is crucial for Experian to enhance its products and services. Failure to adapt could result in falling behind competitors.
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Reputation Management: As a company dealing with sensitive consumer data, any negative publicity, whether from data breaches or regulatory issues, can significantly harm Experian’s reputation. Public perception is crucial.
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Changes in Consumer Behavior: Shifts in consumer attitudes toward data sharing and privacy can affect the volume of data Experian is able to collect and analyze, directly impacting its business model.
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International Expansion Challenges: Operating globally comes with risks such as political instability, currency fluctuations, and different regulatory environments that Experian needs to navigate.
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Debt Levels: Depending on its capital structure and debt levels, Experian may face challenges related to managing its liabilities, especially in a rising interest rate environment.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Like many companies, Experian could be affected by global supply chain issues that impact operational efficiencies and service delivery.
To mitigate these risks, Experian will need to employ robust risk management strategies, invest in technology, prioritize cybersecurity, and maintain a strong focus on customer trust and compliance with regulations.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Experian PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Experian PLC
Current Assets | 2.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 321m |
Receivables | 1.8B |
Non-Current Assets | 9.6B |
Long-Term Investments | 419m |
PP&E | 379m |
Intangibles | 8.4B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 437m |
Current Liabilities | 3B |
Accounts Payable | 2B |
Other Current Liabilities | 927m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 3.5B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 621m |
Earnings Waterfall
Experian PLC
Revenue
|
7.1B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-1.2B
USD
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Gross Profit
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5.9B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-4.2B
USD
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Operating Income
|
1.7B
USD
|
Other Expenses
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-532m
USD
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Net Income
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1.2B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Experian PLC
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
EXPN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Experian PLC's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Experian PLC's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
EXPN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Experian PLC's solvency score is 51/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Experian PLC's solvency score is 51/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
EXPN Price Targets Summary
Experian PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EXPN is 4 447.32 GBX with a low forecast of 3 822.85 GBX and a high forecast of 5 460 GBX.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for EXPN is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Experian Plc is a global information services company, which engages in the provision of data and analytical tools that are used to manage credit risk, prevent fraud, target marketing offers, and automate decision making. The company is headquartered in Dublin, Dublin and currently employs 20,394 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2006-10-11. Its business segments include Business-to-Business and Consumer Services. The company builds and manages large and comprehensive databases containing the credit activity and repayment histories of millions of consumers and businesses. The company collects, sorts, aggregates, and transforms data from tens of thousands of sources, to provide a range of information services. Organizations analyze and use this information to make decisions about lending and the terms on which to lend. The company creates credit information databases and other information, including clients own data, to create and develop predictive tools, software, and platforms. The company provides credit education, identity monitoring and fraud prevention services directly to consumers in the United States, Brazil, the United Kingdom, South Africa, Peru, Colombia, and India. Its services for consumers include free access to their Experian credit report and score, and online educational tools.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one EXPN stock under the Base Case scenario is 2 365.21 GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 3 809 GBX, Experian PLC is Overvalued by 38%.