Diageo PLC
LSE:DGE
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one DGE stock under the Base Case scenario is 3 213.07 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 2 398.5 GBX, Diageo PLC is Undervalued by 25%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Diageo PLC
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Fundamental Analysis
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Diageo PLC
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Diageo PLC is a global leader in alcoholic beverages, renowned for its iconic brands and commitment to quality. Founded in 1997 through the merger of Guinness PLC and Grand Metropolitan PLC, Diageo has grown to own a diverse portfolio that includes premium spirits and beers such as Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, Guinness, and Baileys. With operations in over 180 countries, Diageo has established a strong presence in both emerging and mature markets, capitalizing on the growing demand for premium products. The company's strategic focus on brand innovation and sustainable practices has positioned it well for long-term growth, appealing to a new generation of consumers who prioritize authenticity an...
Diageo PLC is a global leader in alcoholic beverages, renowned for its iconic brands and commitment to quality. Founded in 1997 through the merger of Guinness PLC and Grand Metropolitan PLC, Diageo has grown to own a diverse portfolio that includes premium spirits and beers such as Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, Guinness, and Baileys. With operations in over 180 countries, Diageo has established a strong presence in both emerging and mature markets, capitalizing on the growing demand for premium products. The company's strategic focus on brand innovation and sustainable practices has positioned it well for long-term growth, appealing to a new generation of consumers who prioritize authenticity and responsibility in their purchasing decisions.
For investors, Diageo presents a compelling opportunity, combining a solid track record of financial performance with a robust strategy for future expansion. The company has consistently delivered strong revenue and profit growth, bolstered by its ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences and increase its market share. Moreover, Diageo's commitment to sustainability, including initiatives aimed at reducing its environmental footprint and promoting responsible drinking, aligns with the growing trend towards ethical investing. With a strong balance sheet and a dividend history that delights income-focused investors, Diageo not only exemplifies resilience in the face of economic fluctuations but also serves as a beacon of stability within the beverage industry.
Diageo PLC is a global leader in the alcoholic beverages industry, primarily recognized for its extensive portfolio of spirits and beers. The core business segments of Diageo can be broadly categorized as follows:
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Spirits: This is the largest segment for Diageo, which includes well-known brands in various categories such as:
- Whiskey: Brands like Johnnie Walker, Crown Royal, and Buchanan's.
- Vodka: Including Smirnoff and Ciroc.
- Gin: Notable brands include Tanqueray and Gordon's.
- Rum: Such as Captain Morgan.
- Liqueurs: Including brands like Bailey's and Ciroc.
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Beer: Diageo also has a significant presence in the beer market. Its beer brands include:
- Guinness: One of the most recognizable stout beers worldwide.
- Other local brands and lagers in different markets.
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Wine: While not as prominent as its spirits and beer segments, Diageo has a portfolio that includes various wine brands, which contribute to its overall beverage offerings.
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Ready-to-Drink (RTD): This segment includes pre-mixed cocktails and other RTD beverages, catering to consumer preferences for convenience and portability.
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Geographical Segments: Diageo also organizes its operations geographically, focusing on regions such as North America, Europe, Africa, Latin America, and Asia, which allows the company to tailor its product offerings and marketing strategies to local tastes and consumption patterns.
Diageo's strategy involves premiumization, targeting higher-value brands, and leveraging its strong market presence to capture growth opportunities in emerging markets and consumer trends. This multifaceted approach enables Diageo to maintain a robust brand portfolio and drive sustainable growth.
Diageo PLC, a leading global alcoholic beverages company, possesses several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals. Here are some key advantages:
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Strong Brand Portfolio: Diageo owns a diverse and prestigious portfolio of brands, including Johnnie Walker, Guinness, Smirnoff, Baileys, and Tanqueray. This broad spectrum of recognized brands allows Diageo to cater to various consumer preferences and market segments, enhancing customer loyalty.
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Global Distribution Network: Diageo has a widespread and well-established distribution network, which enables it to efficiently reach consumers across various geographies. This global presence helps the company maintain a competitive edge in entering new markets and responding to changing consumer demands.
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Focus on Premiumization: Diageo has strategically focused on premium and super-premium products, leveraging consumer trends that favor higher-quality brands. This positioning allows the company to command higher prices and improve profit margins, unlike some competitors that may focus on volume.
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Innovation and Product Development: Diageo invests significantly in research and development, leading to innovative product offerings, such as new flavors, low-alcohol products, and ready-to-drink cocktails. This adaptability helps the company stay relevant and meet evolving consumer preferences.
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Sustainability and Responsibility Initiatives: Diageo is committed to sustainability and responsible drinking, which is increasingly important to consumers. Its efforts in environmental sustainability and social responsibility enhance the company's reputation and appeal to socially conscious buyers.
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Strong Financial Performance: Diageo demonstrates robust financial health, characterized by strong revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow generation. This financial stability enables the company to invest in marketing, acquisitions, and other growth strategies that can further strengthen its competitive position.
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Scale Economies: As one of the largest players in the industry, Diageo benefits from economies of scale in production and distribution, leading to lower costs per unit. This efficiency can offer a competitive pricing advantage over smaller rivals.
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Strategic Acquisitions: Diageo has a history of strategic acquisitions that enhance its brand portfolio and market share. By integrating acquired brands effectively, Diageo can leverage existing distribution channels and marketing efficiencies.
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Cultural Resonance: Diageo’s products often have cultural significance in various countries, such as Guinness in Ireland and Johnnie Walker in Scotland. This deep-rooted cultural connection can lead to strong brand loyalty.
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Investment in Digital and E-commerce: Diageo has made significant strides in digital marketing and e-commerce platforms, adapting to industry trends and consumer behavior, enabling it to reach customers more directly and efficiently.
These competitive advantages contribute to Diageo’s strong market position and ability to outperform its rivals in the global alcoholic beverages market.
Diageo PLC, a leading global beverage alcohol company, faces several risks and challenges as it navigates the changing market landscape. Here are some key factors that could impact its operations:
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Regulatory Risks: The beverage alcohol industry is heavily regulated, with laws varying by country. Changes in taxation, advertising restrictions, minimum pricing laws, and changes in the legal drinking age could all affect Diageo's ability to operate profitably.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The COVID-19 pandemic has shown the potential vulnerabilities in global supply chains. Ongoing logistical challenges, including transportation delays and fluctuations in raw material prices (such as grains and glass), could impact production and costs.
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Consumer Preferences: Shifts in consumer behavior, especially towards healthier lifestyles or reduced alcohol consumption (notably among younger generations), may affect demand for traditional alcoholic beverages. Furthermore, the trend toward premium products may require Diageo to adapt quickly.
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Competitive Landscape: The beverage industry is highly competitive, with both established brands and new entrants vying for market share. Diageo must continuously innovate and market its brands effectively to retain its competitive edge.
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Economic Uncertainty: Economic downturns can affect consumer spending habits, leading to potential declines in premium product sales. Inflation and currency fluctuations in various markets may also impact profitability.
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Sustainability and Environmental Impact: Increasing consumer and regulatory focus on sustainability means Diageo will need to invest in environmentally friendly practices, which could increase operational costs. Additionally, failing to meet sustainability expectations could damage the brand's reputation.
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Digital Transformation: The shift toward online sales and digital marketing presents both opportunities and challenges. Diageo must invest in technology to optimize e-commerce and improve customer engagement while addressing cybersecurity risks.
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Geopolitical Risks: Political instability, trade disputes, and tariffs can impact international operations. Changes in global trade agreements may also affect sourcing and distribution.
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Brand Management: With a diverse portfolio of brands, maintaining the quality and reputation of each product in various markets is crucial. Any negative incidents or controversies (such as issues related to alcohol consumption) could harm the entire brand portfolio.
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Health and Social Issues: There is a growing social consciousness regarding alcohol consumption and its effects on health, leading to potential regulatory changes and shifts in consumer sentiment. Diageo will need to navigate this landscape carefully.
In summary, while Diageo PLC has a strong market position, it must remain vigilant and adaptable to face these potential risks and challenges in the near future. Continuous innovation, strategic planning, and a focus on sustainability will be essential for maintaining its competitive advantage.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Diageo PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Diageo PLC
Current Assets | 15.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.5B |
Receivables | 3.8B |
Other Current Assets | 9.9B |
Non-Current Assets | 30.3B |
Long-Term Investments | 5.5B |
PP&E | 8.7B |
Intangibles | 14.8B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.3B |
Current Liabilities | 9.9B |
Accounts Payable | 6.4B |
Short-Term Debt | 500m |
Other Current Liabilities | 3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 25.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 18.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 7B |
Earnings Waterfall
Diageo PLC
Revenue
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20.3B
GBP
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Cost of Revenue
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-8.1B
GBP
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Gross Profit
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12.2B
GBP
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Operating Expenses
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-6.3B
GBP
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Operating Income
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5.9B
GBP
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Other Expenses
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-2.1B
GBP
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Net Income
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3.9B
GBP
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Diageo PLC
GBP | |
Free Cash Flow | GBP |
DGE Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Diageo PLC's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Diageo PLC's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
DGE Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Diageo PLC's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Diageo PLC's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
DGE Price Targets Summary
Diageo PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DGE is 2 716 GBX with a low forecast of 2 020 GBX and a high forecast of 3 307.5 GBX.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for DGE is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Diageo Plc engages in the production and distribution of alcoholic beverages. The firm operates in various categories, including spirits and beer. Its geographic segments include North America; Europe and Turkey; Africa; Latin America and Caribbean; Asia Pacific; Supply Chain and Procurement (SC&P); and Corporate. Its principal products include Scotch whisky, Gin, Vodka, Rum, Beer, Irish Cream Liqueur, Wine, Raki, Tequila, Canadian Whisky, American Whiskey, Progressive Adult Beverages, Cachaca, Brandy and Ready to Drink. Its brands include Johnnie Walker, Crown Royal, J&B, Buchanan’s and Windsor whiskies, Smirnoff, Ciroc and Ketel One vodkas, Captain Morgan, Baileys, Don Julio, Tanqueray and Guinness. The company also produces a range of ready to drink products mainly in the United Kingdom, Italy, South Africa, Australia, the United States and Canada.
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The intrinsic value of one DGE stock under the Base Case scenario is 3 213.07 GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 2 398.5 GBX, Diageo PLC is Undervalued by 25%.