British American Tobacco PLC
LSE:BATS
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one BATS stock under the Base Case scenario is 4 765.58 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 2 969 GBX, British American Tobacco PLC is Undervalued by 38%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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British American Tobacco PLC
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Fundamental Analysis
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British American Tobacco PLC (BAT) has a rich history dating back to 1902, establishing itself as one of the world's leading multinational companies in the tobacco industry. Headquartered in London, this giant operates in more than 180 countries and boasts a diverse portfolio that includes well-known brands such as Dunhill, Lucky Strike, and Pall Mall. Over the years, BAT has adapted to changing market dynamics, evolving consumer preferences, and increasing regulation, demonstrating a resilient business model. As the global market for traditional tobacco products faces decline, BAT has strategically pivoted towards innovative alternatives, highlighting a robust commitment to sustainability a...
British American Tobacco PLC (BAT) has a rich history dating back to 1902, establishing itself as one of the world's leading multinational companies in the tobacco industry. Headquartered in London, this giant operates in more than 180 countries and boasts a diverse portfolio that includes well-known brands such as Dunhill, Lucky Strike, and Pall Mall. Over the years, BAT has adapted to changing market dynamics, evolving consumer preferences, and increasing regulation, demonstrating a resilient business model. As the global market for traditional tobacco products faces decline, BAT has strategically pivoted towards innovative alternatives, highlighting a robust commitment to sustainability and harm reduction. This forward-thinking trajectory showcases the company’s adeptness in navigating industry challenges while maintaining strong financial performance.
In recent years, BAT has significantly invested in its next-generation products (NGPs), such as e-cigarettes and heated tobacco items, reflecting a broader shift towards a more health-conscious consumer demographic. This strategic shift is not just a response to regulatory pressures but a transformative opportunity for growth in an evolving landscape. As an investor, recognizing BAT’s dual approach—capitalizing on its established tobacco segments while diversifying into NGPs—provides insight into its long-term value potential. With a strong dividend history and ongoing efforts to enhance its sustainability initiatives, BAT presents itself as a compelling investment opportunity, particularly for those seeking exposure to the evolving dynamics of the global tobacco market.
British American Tobacco PLC (BAT) operates primarily in the tobacco industry, but it has diversified its business segments to adapt to changing market conditions and consumer preferences, especially with the increasing focus on reduced-risk products. Here are the core business segments of BAT:
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Tobacco Products:
- Cigarettes: This segment includes traditional combustible cigarettes. BAT's portfolio includes well-known brands like Dunhill, Lucky Strike, and Pall Mall.
- Smokeless Tobacco: This focuses on products such as snus and chewing tobacco, which are growing in popularity and are considered reduced-risk alternatives to smoking.
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Reduced-Risk Products (RRP):
- Vapes and E-cigarettes: This segment encompasses a variety of vaping products and e-cigarettes, such as the Vuse brand. These products are marketed as less harmful alternatives to traditional cigarettes.
- Heated Tobacco Products: BAT has invested in heated tobacco technologies, such as their Glo brand, which heats tobacco rather than burning it, thus reducing the harmful effects associated with smoking.
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Other Nicotine Products:
- This segment includes various non-combustible nicotine products designed to meet consumer demands for options without the harm of traditional smoking.
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Emerging Products:
- This involves investments in innovative products and technologies that align with BAT's sustainability goals and the transition to a more smoke-free future. It includes newer categories like cannabis products in certain markets, reflecting evolving consumer preferences.
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Traditional Markets:
- While BAT continues to focus on emerging markets and new product lines, traditional markets still play a significant role in their overall business strategy. The company aims to maintain and grow its market share in these segments while transitioning toward a more diversified product offering.
BAT's strategy emphasizes a shift toward sustainability and a reduced environmental impact, seeking to meet regulatory requirements and changing consumer expectations in the global marketplace.
British American Tobacco PLC (BAT) holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the tobacco industry. Here are some of the key factors:
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Diverse Product Portfolio: BAT has a broad and diverse product range, including traditional tobacco products, vapor products, and potentially reduced-risk products (RRPs) like e-cigarettes and heated tobacco. This diversification allows them to cater to various consumer preferences and adapt to changing market trends.
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Strong Brand Recognition: BAT owns several well-established and recognizable brands, such as Dunhill, Lucky Strike, and Pall Mall. This brand loyalty provides a significant competitive edge, as consumers are often willing to pay a premium for familiar products.
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Global Reach and Scale: Being one of the largest tobacco companies in the world, BAT benefits from economies of scale in production, marketing, and distribution. This scale allows for cost efficiencies and an ability to negotiate better terms with suppliers and distributors.
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Investment in Innovation: BAT has invested heavily in research and development, particularly in the development of alternative nicotine products. Their commitment to moving towards a smoke-free future sets them apart from some competitors who may be slower to innovate.
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Established Supply Chain: BAT has a robust and well-established supply chain, ensuring consistent product availability and quality. This logistical advantage enables the company to respond quickly to market demands.
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Regulatory and Compliance Expertise: BAT has extensive experience navigating complex regulatory landscapes across different countries. Their ability to adapt to varying regulations and compliance requirements can provide an advantage over smaller competitors.
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Strong Financial Position: BAT holds a solid financial position with strong cash flows, which allows for continuous investment in marketing, R&D, and acquisitions to strengthen their market position.
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Sustainability and CSR: BAT has been increasingly focusing on sustainability initiatives and corporate social responsibility (CSR), which aligns with growing consumer expectations. This commitment can enhance the company's reputation and build customer loyalty.
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Strategic Mergers and Acquisitions: BAT has a history of acquiring companies to enhance its market position and product offerings, allowing it to quickly enter new markets and gain technological advancements.
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Experienced Management Team: The experience and expertise of BAT's management team in the global tobacco industry provide strategic advantages in navigating challenges and maximizing opportunities.
These competitive advantages position British American Tobacco favorably in the tobacco industry, enabling it to sustain its market position and adapt to the evolving landscape.
British American Tobacco PLC (BAT) faces several risks and challenges in the near future, largely driven by changes in consumer preferences, regulatory environments, and market dynamics. Here are some key challenges:
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Regulatory Pressure: Governments are increasingly implementing stringent regulations on tobacco branding, packaging, marketing, and sales. This includes plain packaging laws, bans on flavored products, and increased taxes. Such regulations can significantly impact sales and profitability.
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Health Concerns and Public Perception: There is growing awareness of the health risks associated with tobacco use. The continuing anti-tobacco campaigns and changing public attitudes towards smoking can lead to declining demand for traditional tobacco products.
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Shift Towards Reduced Risk Products (RRPs): While BAT is investing in RRPs, including e-cigarettes and heated tobacco products, the competition in this segment is fierce. Failing to capture significant market share or to keep pace with innovation could hinder growth.
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Litigation Risks: The tobacco industry has historically faced legal challenges, and despite BAT's efforts to manage risks, ongoing litigation related to health claims and other issues can pose financial and reputational threats.
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Market Saturation: In many developed markets, tobacco consumption is declining, leading to saturation. The company needs to explore opportunities in emerging markets while being cautious of local regulations and cultural attitudes towards smoking.
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Economic Factors: Economic downturns and fluctuations can impact consumer spending power, potentially affecting premium product sales and overall demand for both traditional and new tobacco products.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The global supply chain has been under pressure due to various factors, including the pandemic and geopolitical tensions. Any disruptions in sourcing raw materials or distribution could affect product availability.
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Competition: The industry is characterized by intense competition, both from existing players and new entrants. Innovative products, pricing strategies, and brand loyalty are critical for maintaining market share.
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Sustainability Concerns: Increasing focus on environmental sustainability may pose challenges in sourcing and manufacturing processes. BAT will need to adapt to sustainable practices to meet regulatory and consumer expectations.
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Technological Change: Rapid advancements in technology could disrupt the traditional tobacco market. BAT must continue investing in research and development to stay relevant in a rapidly evolving landscape.
In summary, BAT must navigate a complex environment that includes regulatory challenges, changing consumer preferences, and competitive pressures while adapting to sustainability trends and technological innovations. Careful strategic planning and execution will be essential for mitigating these risks.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
British American Tobacco PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
British American Tobacco PLC
Current Assets | 15.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 6.6B |
Receivables | 3.7B |
Other Current Assets | 5.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 103.5B |
Long-Term Investments | 2.1B |
PP&E | 4.4B |
Intangibles | 94.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.3B |
Current Liabilities | 18B |
Accounts Payable | 9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 47.2B |
Long-Term Debt | 32.9B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 14.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
British American Tobacco PLC
Revenue
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26.2B
GBP
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Cost of Revenue
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-4.6B
GBP
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Gross Profit
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21.6B
GBP
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Operating Expenses
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-10.7B
GBP
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Operating Income
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10.9B
GBP
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Other Expenses
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-24.8B
GBP
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Net Income
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-13.8B
GBP
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
British American Tobacco PLC
GBP | |
Free Cash Flow | GBP |
BATS Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
British American Tobacco PLC's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
British American Tobacco PLC's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
BATS Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
British American Tobacco PLC's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
British American Tobacco PLC's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
BATS Price Targets Summary
British American Tobacco PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BATS is 3 181.89 GBX with a low forecast of 2 525 GBX and a high forecast of 4 620 GBX.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for BATS is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
British American Tobacco plc is a holding company, which engages in the manufacture and distribution of tobacco products. is a holding company. The firm is a multi-category consumer goods company that provides tobacco and nicotine products. The company invests in building a portfolio of tobacco and nicotine products alongside its traditional tobacco business including vapour products, tobacco heating products (THPs) and modern oral products. The company manages a globally-integrated supply chain, and its products are distributed to retail outlets across the world. The Company’s segments include United States of America, Americas and Sub-Saharan Africa, Europe and North Africa, and Asia-Pacific and Middle East. The Company’s products as sold in the United States, including Vuse, Velo, Grizzly, Kodiak, and Camel Snus. Its vapour products are a hand-held battery powered electronic devices. Its THP products are hand-held devices which heat tobacco. Its modern oral products are available both with and without tobacco.
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Officers
The intrinsic value of one BATS stock under the Base Case scenario is 4 765.58 GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 2 969 GBX, British American Tobacco PLC is Undervalued by 38%.