AstraZeneca PLC
LSE:AZN

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AstraZeneca PLC Logo
AstraZeneca PLC
LSE:AZN
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Price: 11 351.4805 GBX 1.39%
Market Cap: 176B GBX

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Mar 28, 2025.

Estimated DCF Value of one AZN stock is 10 632.5985 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 11 351.4805 GBX, the stock is Overvalued by 6%.

AZN DCF Value
Base Case
10 632.5985 GBX
Overvaluation 6%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value: 10 632.5985 GBX

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 73.2B USD. The present value of the terminal value is 160.7B USD. The total present value equals 234B USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 234B USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 5.5B USD
+ Investments 2.1B USD
Firm Value 241.5B USD
- Debt 27.9B USD
- Minority Interest 85m USD
Equity Value 213.5B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 1.6B
Value per Share 137.6745 USD
USD / GBX Exchange Rate 77.23
AZN DCF Value 10 632.5985 GBX
Overvalued by 6%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
58.7B 73.9B
Operating Income
18.4B 24.7B
FCFF
16.8B 18.3B

What is the DCF value of one AZN stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one AZN stock is 10 632.5985 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 11 351.4805 GBX, the stock is Overvalued by 6%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, AstraZeneca PLC's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 234B USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 10 632.5985 GBX per share.

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