Avon Protection PLC
LSE:AVON

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Avon Protection PLC
LSE:AVON
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Price: 1 392 GBX -0.29% Market Closed
Market Cap: 416.5m GBX
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Nov 23, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one AVON stock is 433.32 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 1 392 GBX, the stock is Overvalued by 69%.

AVON DCF Value
Base Case
433.32 GBX
Overvaluation 69%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
433.32
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 433.32 GBX

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 68m USD. The present value of the terminal value is 166.8m USD. The total present value equals 234.7m USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 234.7m USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 11.2m USD
Firm Value 245.9m USD
- Debt 83.4m USD
Equity Value 162.5m USD
/ Shares Outstanding 29.9m
Value per Share 5.43 USD
USD / GBX Exchange Rate 79.77
AVON DCF Value 433.32 GBX
Overvalued by 69%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
293.1m 411.5m
Operating Income
33m 57.9m
FCFF
11.9m 20.6m

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one AVON stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one AVON stock is 433.32 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 1 392 GBX, the stock is Overvalued by 69%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Avon Protection PLC's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 234.7m USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 433.32 GBX per share.

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