Associated British Foods PLC
LSE:ABF
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ABF stock under the Base Case scenario is 3 387.27 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 2 197 GBX, Associated British Foods PLC is Undervalued by 35%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Associated British Foods PLC
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Fundamental Analysis
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Associated British Foods PLC (ABF) is a diversified international group with a rich history that stretches back over eight decades. At its core, the company operates through several key segments, with its most renowned division being Primark, a leading fashion retailer known for its affordable and stylish clothing. ABF's portfolio also includes food production, where it engages in various sectors such as sugar, grocery, and ingredients. This dual focus allows the company to leverage economies of scale and mitigate risks across fluctuating markets. With a commitment to quality and sustainability, ABF not only provides essential consumer goods but also plays a role in agricultural and food pro...
Associated British Foods PLC (ABF) is a diversified international group with a rich history that stretches back over eight decades. At its core, the company operates through several key segments, with its most renowned division being Primark, a leading fashion retailer known for its affordable and stylish clothing. ABF's portfolio also includes food production, where it engages in various sectors such as sugar, grocery, and ingredients. This dual focus allows the company to leverage economies of scale and mitigate risks across fluctuating markets. With a commitment to quality and sustainability, ABF not only provides essential consumer goods but also plays a role in agricultural and food production sustainability, making it an attractive investment for those interested in socially responsible companies.
For investors, ABF presents a compelling opportunity, characterized by strong financial performance and consistent dividend payouts. The company benefits from a balanced operational structure that can weather economic fluctuations effectively, whether they're experiencing rapid growth in Primark or stable returns from its food divisions. Furthermore, ABF's strategic investments in innovation and efficiency enhance its competitive advantage, allowing it to adapt to changing consumer trends and preferences. As a company that prioritizes long-term growth over short-term gains, ABF reflects the core investment philosophies of notable figures like Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, making it a noteworthy contender for investors seeking steady growth with a robust market presence.
Associated British Foods PLC (ABF) is a diversified international food, ingredients, and retail group. Its core business segments can be categorized as follows:
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Sugar:
- This segment is involved in the production of sugar and operates primarily in the UK, Africa, and China. It includes the cultivation of sugar beet and sugar cane, processing it into sugar, and selling it to a range of customers.
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Agriculture:
- ABF produces animal feed and operates in the agricultural sector, focusing on the supply of various agricultural products. This segment serves both livestock producers and the wider agricultural market.
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Grocery:
- This segment encompasses a wide range of food products, including brands in baking, cooking, and ready-to-eat meals. Notable brands include Twinings, Ovaltine, and Patak's. The grocery segment is known for its strong brand portfolio and presence in multiple markets.
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Ingredients:
- ABF operates in the ingredients sector, providing products that are used in a variety of food and beverage applications. This segment includes the production of functional ingredients and specialty grains, catering to industrial customers globally.
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Retail:
- This segment is best known for its Primark brand, a leading value fashion retailer in Europe and the United States. Primark focuses on offering clothing, accessories, and home goods at competitive prices, attracting a large customer base.
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Pharmaceuticals:
- ABF has a smaller but significant presence in the pharmaceuticals industry through its subsidiary, which develops and sells a range of products in the healthcare sector.
Each of these segments contributes to ABF's overall revenue and reflects the company's strategy of diversification across various sectors, reducing dependency on any single market and enhancing its resilience.
Associated British Foods PLC (ABF) possesses several unique competitive advantages that help it stand out in the marketplace compared to its rivals. Here are some key factors:
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Diverse Business Portfolio: ABF operates across multiple sectors, including grocery, sugar, agriculture, ingredients, and retail (notably, Primark). This diversification reduces reliance on a single revenue stream and provides stability against market fluctuations.
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Strong Brand Presence: The company owns well-recognized brands, especially in its grocery segment, which enhances customer loyalty and market share. This brand equity can be a significant advantage in competitive markets.
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Vertical Integration: ABF has strong control over its supply chain, especially in sectors like sugar and agriculture. This vertical integration allows for better cost management, quality control, and consistent supply.
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Cost Efficiency and Scale: The company benefits from economies of scale, which allows it to produce goods more cost-effectively than smaller competitors. This can lead to lower prices for consumers and higher margins for ABF.
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Commitment to Sustainability: ABF's focus on sustainability in its operations and sourcing can resonate well with environmentally-conscious consumers and investors, giving it a competitive edge in environmentally-sensitive markets.
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Global Reach with Local Expertise: With operations in various countries, ABF combines global reach with local knowledge, allowing it to effectively cater to diverse markets while leveraging efficiencies from its scale.
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Strong Financial Position: The company typically maintains a solid balance sheet and cash flow, allowing it to invest in growth opportunities, such as acquisitions or expansion into new markets, when competitors may be constrained by financial limitations.
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Innovative Product Development: ABF is committed to research and development, leading to innovation in its product offerings. This can help capture market trends and respond to consumer preferences more quickly than competitors.
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Experienced Management Team: The leadership within ABF combines industry expertise with sound strategic judgment, allowing for prudent decision-making and agile responses to market changes.
These competitive advantages help Associated British Foods PLC to sustain its market position, adapt to industry changes, and deliver long-term shareholder value.
Associated British Foods PLC (ABF) operates in a diverse range of sectors, including food production, retail, agriculture, and ingredients. As with any large multinational company, it faces a variety of risks and challenges that could impact its performance in the near future. Here are some key risks and challenges that ABF might face:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted vulnerabilities in global supply chains. Continued disruptions due to geopolitical tensions, trade restrictions, or natural disasters could affect the availability and cost of raw materials.
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Inflationary Pressures: Rising costs for raw materials, labor, and energy can squeeze profit margins. ABF's various business units may face different levels of inflation, impacting their ability to maintain pricing strategies and profitability.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulations concerning food safety, environmental standards, and labor laws can lead to increased compliance costs. Particularly stringent regulations in the UK or EU can impact ABF’s operations and competitiveness.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: Consumers are increasingly seeking healthier, sustainable, and ethically sourced products. If ABF fails to adapt to these trends, it could lose market share to competitors who are better aligned with consumer values.
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Currency Fluctuations: As a multinational company, ABF is exposed to foreign exchange risks. Significant fluctuations in currency exchange rates could impact its revenues and profits from overseas operations.
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Covid-19 Resurgence: Despite advancements in vaccination and treatment, new variants or resurgence of COVID-19 could lead to renewed restrictions affecting retail operations, especially in the Primark brand, which relies heavily on physical store sales.
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Competitive Pressure: The food industry is highly competitive, with many players vying for market share. ABF must constantly innovate and manage its brands effectively to remain competitive against established and emerging competitors.
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Agricultural Risks: Given ABF’s involvement in agriculture, weather events, pests, and diseases can significantly impact crop yields. The risk of climate change also poses long-term challenges for food sourcing.
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International Expansion Risks: While ABF operates in multiple countries, expanding into new markets always carries risks including political instability, different consumer behaviors, and economic fluctuations.
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Technological Disruption: The rapid pace of technological change in the retail and food sectors means that ABF must continually adapt to maintain its competitive edge. Failing to invest in technology could lead to obsolescence.
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Sustainability Challenges: There is an increasing pressure on companies to demonstrate sustainable practices in sourcing and production. ABF may face challenges in meeting sustainability goals and expectations from stakeholders.
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Labor Shortages: Like many organizations, ABF could face challenges in attracting and retaining skilled labor, particularly in the context of a tight labor market.
To navigate these risks effectively, ABF will need to focus on strategic planning, market adaptation, innovation, and maintaining a strong financial position. Each of these challenges presents opportunities for companies willing to adapt and innovate in response.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Associated British Foods PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Associated British Foods PLC
Current Assets | 6.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.3B |
Receivables | 1.7B |
Other Current Assets | 3.3B |
Non-Current Assets | 12.4B |
Long-Term Investments | 396m |
PP&E | 8.3B |
Intangibles | 1.9B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.8B |
Current Liabilities | 3.5B |
Accounts Payable | 2.8B |
Other Current Liabilities | 740m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 3.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 873m |
Earnings Waterfall
Associated British Foods PLC
Revenue
|
19.9B
GBP
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Operating Expenses
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-18.3B
GBP
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Operating Income
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1.6B
GBP
|
Other Expenses
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-429m
GBP
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Net Income
|
1.2B
GBP
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Associated British Foods PLC
GBP | |
Free Cash Flow | GBP |
ABF Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Associated British Foods PLC's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Associated British Foods PLC's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ABF Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Associated British Foods PLC's solvency score is 67/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Associated British Foods PLC's solvency score is 67/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ABF Price Targets Summary
Associated British Foods PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ABF is 2 663.22 GBX with a low forecast of 2 222 GBX and a high forecast of 3 255 GBX.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ABF is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
ABF Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Associated British Foods Plc engages in the business of manufacturing and trading of consumer goods. Its segments include grocery, sugar, agriculture, ingredients and retail. The grocery segment manufactures products, including hot beverages, sugar and sweeteners, vegetable oils, balsamic vinegars, bread and baked goods, cereals, ethnic foods, and meat products, which are sold to retail, wholesale and foodservice businesses. The sugar segment is engaged in growing and processing of sugar beet and sugar cane for sale to industrial users and to Silver Spoon, which is included in the Grocery segment. The agriculture segment manufactures of animal feeds and the provision of other products and services for the agriculture sector. The ingredients segment is manufactures of bakers’ yeast, bakery ingredients, enzymes, lipids, yeast extracts and cereal specialties. The retail segment is engaged in buying and merchandising value clothing and accessories through the Primark and Penney's retail chains.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ABF stock under the Base Case scenario is 3 387.27 GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 2 197 GBX, Associated British Foods PLC is Undervalued by 35%.