Tenaga Nasional Bhd
KLSE:TENAGA
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TENAGA stock under the Base Case scenario is 18.53 MYR. Compared to the current market price of 14 MYR, Tenaga Nasional Bhd is Undervalued by 24%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Tenaga Nasional Bhd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Tenaga Nasional Bhd (TNB) stands as Malaysia's largest electricity utility company, playing a pivotal role in the nation’s energy landscape. Founded in 1949, TNB has evolved from its modest beginnings into a key pillar of Malaysia’s economic infrastructure, serving millions of customers across the nation. The company is primarily engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electrical energy, with an impressive portfolio of power plants that utilize various energy sources, including coal, natural gas, hydro, and renewables. With its strategic efforts toward sustainability and transitioning to cleaner energy, TNB is not just committed to powering homes and industries but is al...
Tenaga Nasional Bhd (TNB) stands as Malaysia's largest electricity utility company, playing a pivotal role in the nation’s energy landscape. Founded in 1949, TNB has evolved from its modest beginnings into a key pillar of Malaysia’s economic infrastructure, serving millions of customers across the nation. The company is primarily engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electrical energy, with an impressive portfolio of power plants that utilize various energy sources, including coal, natural gas, hydro, and renewables. With its strategic efforts toward sustainability and transitioning to cleaner energy, TNB is not just committed to powering homes and industries but is also positioning itself for future growth in an era increasingly defined by environmental consciousness.
For investors, TNB represents both stability and opportunity. As a publicly traded entity on the Bursa Malaysia, the company regularly offers dividends, making it an appealing option for those seeking steady income alongside capital appreciation. TNB's strong financial performance is underpinned by its regulated pricing model, which provides reliable revenue streams, complemented by ongoing investments in innovative technologies and infrastructure improvements. Furthermore, with Malaysia's growing economy and increasing energy demands, TNB is poised to not only meet current needs but emerge as a leader in the regional energy transition. By investing in TNB, investors are not just purchasing shares of a utility company; they are engaging with a forward-thinking enterprise that is integral to Malaysia's development and sustainability goals.
Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNB) is Malaysia's leading electricity utility company, primarily engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. The company's core business segments can be categorized as follows:
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Electricity Generation: This segment involves the production of electricity from various sources, including thermal, hydro, and renewable energy resources. TNB operates a mix of power plants, including gas-fired, coal-fired, hydroelectric, and renewable energy facilities, contributing to the national grid's energy supply.
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Transmission: TNB operates the high-voltage transmission network that transports electricity from its generation plants to substations across the country. This segment ensures the efficient and reliable transmission of electric power, maintaining grid stability and meeting the demand for electricity in Malaysia.
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Distribution: In this segment, TNB is responsible for distributing electricity to end-users, which includes residential, commercial, and industrial customers. This involves operating the low-voltage distribution network and maintaining customer service operations, including billing and outage management.
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Retail: The retail segment focuses on selling electricity to consumers. TNB provides various pricing plans and tariff structures tailored to different customer segments, ensuring accessibility and affordability of electricity for all Malaysians.
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Renewable Energy and Sustainability Initiatives: TNB is increasingly prioritizing sustainability and renewable energy diversification. This includes investments in solar, wind, and other renewable energy projects, aligning with global and national goals for reducing carbon emissions and transitioning to cleaner energy sources.
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International Operations: TNB also has ventures outside Malaysia, engaging in power generation and utility services in other countries. This international segment aims to expand TNB's market presence and diversify its revenue sources.
Through these core segments, Tenaga Nasional Berhad plays a crucial role in Malaysia's energy landscape, aiming for growth while embracing sustainable and renewable energy practices.
Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNB), as the largest electricity utility company in Malaysia, possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals. Here are some key factors:
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Market Position and Scale: TNB has a dominant market share in Malaysia's electricity supply sector, providing a significant portion of the nation's electricity. This scale leads to economies of scale, allowing TNB to operate more efficiently than smaller competitors.
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Infrastructure and Network: TNB has an extensive and well-established infrastructure network, including power generation plants, transmission lines, and distribution facilities. This comprehensive network enhances reliability and allows TNB to manage supply-demand dynamics effectively.
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Diverse Generation Portfolio: TNB operates a diverse mix of power generation assets, including coal, gas, hydro, and renewable energy sources. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with fuel price volatility and regulatory changes, giving TNB a more stable revenue stream.
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Regulatory Backing: As a government-linked corporation, TNB benefits from strong regulatory support and favorable policies from the Malaysian government. This relationship can provide competitive advantages in terms of access to financing, procurement, and project approvals.
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Research and Development: TNB invests in research and innovation to improve operational efficiency and explore new technologies, such as renewable energy and smart grid solutions. This commitment to R&D can lead to cost reductions and improvements in service delivery.
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Strong Financial Position: TNB’s strong financial position, characterized by consistent revenue and cash flow, provides it with the financial muscle to invest in new technologies, expand its operations, and weather economic uncertainties better than smaller competitors.
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Brand Recognition and Customer Trust: TNB has built a strong brand presence and reputation over the years, instilling a sense of trust among consumers. This customer loyalty can be a significant barrier for new entrants seeking to compete in the market.
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Government Programs and Incentives: As part of a national strategy to encourage renewable energy and sustainability, TNB has been involved in various government initiatives. This alignment with national interests can provide TNB with additional advantages in accessing projects and funding opportunities.
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Long-Term Supply Agreements: TNB often engages in long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with various generators, ensuring a stable and predictable supply of energy, which is critical in managing operational risks and ensuring service reliability.
These competitive advantages allow TNB to maintain its market leadership in a rapidly evolving energy landscape while effectively responding to challenges and opportunities, including the global shift towards renewable energy.
Tenaga Nasional Bhd (TNB), as Malaysia's largest electricity utility company, faces several risks and challenges in the near future, which include:
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Regulatory Risks: Changes in government policies, energy regulations, and tariffs can impact TNB's profitability. Regulatory uncertainty may arise from potential reforms in the electricity market, particularly with the push towards more sustainable energy sources.
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Transition to Renewable Energy: TNB is under pressure to increase its share of renewable energy in response to climate change and government initiatives. This transition could lead to significant investment requirements and operational adjustments, which are challenging to manage.
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Market Competition: The liberalization of the electricity market in Malaysia, which allows for competition, could threaten TNB's market share. New entrants in the energy market and the potential for decentralized energy solutions pose challenges to traditional utility models.
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Financial Performance and Debt Levels: TNB has considerable debt that could become a risk factor if interest rates rise or if its revenue generation is adversely affected. Maintaining a strong balance sheet while investing in growth areas is crucial.
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Technological Disruption: Advances in energy technology, such as battery storage and smart grid technology, may impact TNB's operations. The adoption of these technologies requires investment but is essential to remain competitive.
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Economic Fluctuations: Economic slowdowns can impact electricity demand, affecting revenue. Economic challenges in Malaysia or globally could lead to reduced industrial activity, thereby impacting TNB's customer base.
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Environmental and Social Governance (ESG) Issues: Increasing focus on ESG factors means TNB must address its environmental impact and sustainability practices. Failing to meet ESG expectations could lead to reputational damage and loss of investor confidence.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As TNB integrates more technology into its operations, it becomes increasingly susceptible to cyber-attacks. Protecting sensitive data and ensuring operational continuity in the event of a cyber breach is crucial.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues can affect the availability of key components for energy infrastructure projects, delaying investments and leading to increased costs.
Addressing these risks will require TNB to adopt a proactive strategy focused on innovation, sustainability, and regulatory compliance, backed by sound financial management.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Tenaga Nasional Bhd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Tenaga Nasional Bhd
Current Assets | 39.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 18.3B |
Receivables | 18.4B |
Other Current Assets | 2.6B |
Non-Current Assets | 163.4B |
Long-Term Investments | 2.1B |
PP&E | 155.3B |
Intangibles | 1.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 4.9B |
Current Liabilities | 30.6B |
Accounts Payable | 14.3B |
Other Current Liabilities | 16.3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 112.9B |
Long-Term Debt | 81.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 31.5B |
Earnings Waterfall
Tenaga Nasional Bhd
Revenue
|
55.1B
MYR
|
Operating Expenses
|
-49.5B
MYR
|
Operating Income
|
5.7B
MYR
|
Other Expenses
|
-2.1B
MYR
|
Net Income
|
3.6B
MYR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Tenaga Nasional Bhd
MYR | |
Free Cash Flow | MYR |
TENAGA Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Tenaga Nasional Bhd's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Tenaga Nasional Bhd's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TENAGA Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Tenaga Nasional Bhd's solvency score is 41/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Tenaga Nasional Bhd's solvency score is 41/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TENAGA Price Targets Summary
Tenaga Nasional Bhd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TENAGA is 16.4 MYR with a low forecast of 11.62 MYR and a high forecast of 21.63 MYR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TENAGA is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Tenaga Nasional Bhd.engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity. The company is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan. The firm is engaged in the generation, transmission, distribution and sales of electricity, and the provision of other related services. Its divisions include Generation, Grid, Distribution Network and Retail. The Generation Division operates and maintains its portfolio of power generating assets, consisting of thermal generation facilities and hydro-generation schemes in Peninsular Malaysia and one independent power production (IPP) operating in Pakistan. Its Grid Division manages and operates transmission network. Its Distribution Network division plans, constructs, operates, performs repairs & maintenance as well as manages the assets of Peninsula Malaysia’s distribution network. Its Retail Division is focused on delivering customer-centric experiences across all customer channels.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one TENAGA stock under the Base Case scenario is 18.53 MYR.
Compared to the current market price of 14 MYR, Tenaga Nasional Bhd is Undervalued by 24%.