Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS
IST:TUPRS.E

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Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS Logo
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS
IST:TUPRS.E
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Price: 146.4 TRY 1.04% Market Closed
Market Cap: 282.1B TRY
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one TUPRS.E stock under the Base Case scenario is 136.32 TRY. Compared to the current market price of 146.4 TRY, Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS is Overvalued by 7%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

TUPRS.E Intrinsic Value
136.32 TRY
Overvaluation 7%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS, commonly known as Tupras, is Turkey's leading oil refining company, playing a crucial role in the nation's energy sector since its establishment in 1974. With its headquarters in Kocaeli, Tupras operates four refineries strategically located across Turkey, giving it a commanding presence in the Mediterranean region. Serving both domestic and international markets, the company processes crude oil into a wide array of petroleum products, including gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, meeting the ever-growing energy demands of an expanding economy. Tupras is not just a major player in Turkey; it is integral to the country's energy security and independence, positionin...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS

Current Assets 211.8B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 74B
Receivables 47.7B
Other Current Assets 90.2B
Non-Current Assets 206.3B
Long-Term Investments 10.3B
PP&E 167.3B
Intangibles 5.2B
Other Non-Current Assets 23.5B
Current Liabilities 176.4B
Accounts Payable 115.3B
Accrued Liabilities 2.2B
Short-Term Debt 995m
Other Current Liabilities 57.9B
Non-Current Liabilities 9.4B
Long-Term Debt 2.9B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 6.6B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS

Revenue
859.4B TRY
Cost of Revenue
-749.4B TRY
Gross Profit
110B TRY
Operating Expenses
-34.1B TRY
Operating Income
75.9B TRY
Other Expenses
-30.9B TRY
Net Income
45B TRY

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q3 2024, TĂĽpras faced a significant decline in EBITDA, recording TRY 15.1 billion, down from TRY 49.6 billion a year prior, mainly due to weakened crack margins. However, the company showcased resilience with a net profit of TRY 7.7 billion and celebrated its highest capacity utilization since 2019 at 101.4%. Gasoline sales soared by 18%, driven by rising domestic demand. Management reaffirmed its guidance for 2024, maintaining crack margin expectations at $12 per barrel, alongside projected production and sales of approximately 26 million and 30 million tons, respectively. TĂĽpras remains committed to returning value to shareholders, having distributed dividends totaling TRY 43 billion for the year.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

TUPRS.E Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS's profitability score is 78/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional 3-Year Average ROIC
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Exceptional ROIC
78/100
Profitability
Score

Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS's profitability score is 78/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

TUPRS.E Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS's solvency score is 74/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Negative Net Debt
High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
74/100
Solvency
Score

Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS's solvency score is 74/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

TUPRS.E Price Targets Summary
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS

Wall Street analysts forecast TUPRS.E stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TUPRS.E is 202.18 TRY with a low forecast of 85.75 TRY and a high forecast of 267.12 TRY.

Lowest
Price Target
85.75 TRY
41% Downside
Average
Price Target
202.18 TRY
38% Upside
Highest
Price Target
267.12 TRY
82% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for TUPRS.E is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Profile

Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS Logo
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS

Country

Turkey

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

282.1B TRY

Dividend Yield

15.25%

Description

Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS engages in the business of oil refinery. Its refineries produce a full range of refined petroleum products, including diesel, fuel oils, jet fuel, gasoline and asphalt. The Group also imports and sells petroleum products and engages in the distribution, retailing and marine transportation of crude oil and refined products. The company is mainly engaged in the following fields: to provide and refine crude oil, to import and export petroleum products, and to establish and operate domestic and foreign refineries for this purpose; to establish and operate factories and facilities in petrochemical and other related industries; to establish and operate facilities and plants related with energy and energy related industries, as well as to purchase, sell, import, export, store, market and distribute petroleum products, Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) and natural gas, among others.

Contact

Istanbul
Gulbahar Mah. Buyukdere Cad. No: 101/A
+902128789000
www.tupras.com.tr

IPO

1991-05-27

Employees

6 043

Officers

General Manager
Mr. Ibrahim Yelmenoglu
CFO, Secretary & Assistant GM of Financial
Mr. Dogan Korkmaz
Assistant General Manager of Investment & Planning
Mr. Levent Zagra
Assistant General Manager of Technical
Mr. Ihsan Serdar Kemaloglu
Chief Legal & Compliance Counsel
Can Akcaoglu
Corporate Communications Manager
Ms. Ciler Teber
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Sales & Marketing Director
Erol Tolga Turksal
Assistant General Manager of Human resources
Mr. Onder Korkmaz
Strategy & Sustainability Director
R. Cagatay Olken
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one TUPRS.E stock?

The intrinsic value of one TUPRS.E stock under the Base Case scenario is 136.32 TRY.

Is TUPRS.E stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 146.4 TRY, Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS is Overvalued by 7%.

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