Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT
IDX:TLKM
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TLKM stock under the Base Case scenario is 4 734.22 IDR. Compared to the current market price of 2 750 IDR, Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT is Undervalued by 42%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT
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Fundamental Analysis
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Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT
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In the heart of Southeast Asia, Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT stands as a leading telecommunications and digital services provider, carving its niche in the rapidly evolving tech landscape. Established in 1961, the company has transformed from a traditional telecom operator into a comprehensive digital ecosystem, offering a range of services from fixed-line and mobile telecom to broadband internet and digital solutions. With a strong commitment to innovation, Telkom embraces cutting-edge technologies like 5G, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things (IoT), setting itself apart in a competitive market. As a state-owned enterprise, it enjoys a robust market position, buoyed by Indonesia...
In the heart of Southeast Asia, Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT stands as a leading telecommunications and digital services provider, carving its niche in the rapidly evolving tech landscape. Established in 1961, the company has transformed from a traditional telecom operator into a comprehensive digital ecosystem, offering a range of services from fixed-line and mobile telecom to broadband internet and digital solutions. With a strong commitment to innovation, Telkom embraces cutting-edge technologies like 5G, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things (IoT), setting itself apart in a competitive market. As a state-owned enterprise, it enjoys a robust market position, buoyed by Indonesia’s growing demand for connectivity and digital services, which remains a catalyst for the company's long-term growth.
For investors, Telkom Indonesia presents an appealing opportunity, driven by its strategic investments and initiatives to expand its service portfolio. The company has consistently demonstrated resilience and profitability, backed by a healthy balance sheet and sound financial performance. With a solid customer base that spans urban and rural areas across the archipelago, Telkom is well-positioned to capitalize on Indonesia's digital economy, which is projected to soar in the coming years. As the country continues to embrace digital transformation, Telkom Indonesia aims to enhance its infrastructure and services, ensuring sustainable growth and solid returns for shareholders. Thus, it emerges not only as a vital player in Indonesia’s tech scene but also as a potentially lucrative investment opportunity for those looking to tap into the expansive growth of digital connectivity in Southeast Asia.
Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT is the largest telecommunications services company in Indonesia, and it operates through several core business segments. Here’s an overview of those segments:
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Fixed-Line Telecommunication Services:
- This segment includes telephone services provided through fixed-line infrastructure. It primarily caters to residential and business customers, offering various packages and services for voice communication.
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Mobile Telecommunications Services:
- Telkomsel, a subsidiary of Telkom Indonesia, dominates this segment. It provides cellular services including voice, SMS, and mobile data plans. The growth of mobile services has been significant, driven by increasing smartphone penetration and demand for data services.
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Data and Internet Services:
- This segment encompasses broadband internet services (fixed and mobile), including fiber-optic and DSL services. Telkom Indonesia offers high-speed internet through its network infrastructure, targeting both residential and enterprise customers.
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Digital Services:
- Telkom Indonesia has been increasingly investing in digital services, focusing on platforms for entertainment (such as video streaming), cloud computing, and various digital solutions for businesses. This segment aims to tap into the growing demand for digital transformation across industries.
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Corporate and Enterprise Solutions:
- This includes services tailored for businesses, such as managed networks, data center services, and cloud solutions. Telkom Indonesia aims to support the digitalization efforts of enterprises, providing them with ICT (Information and Communication Technology) solutions.
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Wholesale and International Services:
- This segment involves providing telecommunications services to other operators and international carriers, including bandwidth leasing, international telephony, and interconnection services.
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Financial Technology:
- Telkom Indonesia is venturing into fintech solutions, offering services such as digital payments and mobile banking, leveraging its extensive customer base and digital infrastructure.
Through these segments, Telkom Indonesia seeks to enhance connectivity, expand its market reach, and innovate to meet the evolving needs of consumers and businesses in Indonesia. The company continues to explore growth opportunities in the digital landscape, leveraging technology to offer comprehensive communication solutions.
Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT, as the largest telecommunications company in Indonesia, possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Market Dominance and Scale: Telkom holds a significant market share in both the fixed-line and mobile telecommunications sectors, giving it economies of scale. This position allows the company to reduce costs and improve pricing strategies that smaller competitors may find challenging to match.
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Extensive Infrastructure: Telkom has a robust and extensive network infrastructure, including a well-developed fiber optic network and a strong presence in both urban and rural areas. This infrastructure enables the company to provide a wide range of services, including high-speed internet, mobile connectivity, and digital services, which lesser competitors often struggle to deliver reliably.
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Diverse Service Offerings: In addition to traditional telecommunications services, Telkom offers various digital services, including cloud computing, IoT, and other value-added services that diversify its revenue streams. This diversification can help the company mitigate risks associated with a single revenue source.
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Strong Brand and Customer Loyalty: As a well-established brand with a long history in Indonesia, Telkom enjoys strong customer loyalty. This brand recognition contributes to customer retention and can lower customer acquisition costs compared to smaller or newer market entrants.
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Government Backing: Being a state-owned enterprise, Telkom benefits from the backing of the Indonesian government, which can provide stability and support in regulatory matters. This relationship may offer advantages in terms of access to resources and strategic initiatives aligned with national goals.
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Innovation and Investments in Technology: Telkom invests heavily in technology advancements, such as the rollout of 5G and the development of smart city solutions. This commitment to innovation allows the company to stay ahead of competitors by offering cutting-edge services that meet the evolving needs of consumers and businesses.
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Bulk Purchasing Power: Due to its size, Telkom can negotiate better terms with suppliers, achieving lower costs for equipment and services. This advantage allows Telkom to maintain healthier margins compared to smaller rivals.
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Focus on Digital Transformation: The company actively engages in digital transformation strategies that align with global trends, enhancing its operational efficiencies and customer experience. This focus on digital services ensures that it remains competitive against emerging tech-savvy startups.
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Strategic Partnerships and Ecosystem Development: Telkom often collaborates with various partners, including technology firms, content providers, and local governments, to create an ecosystem that enhances its service offerings. These partnerships enable innovative solutions that can be difficult for competitors to replicate quickly.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Telkom Indonesia can maintain its leadership position in the rapidly evolving telecommunications landscape, even as competition increases.
Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and growth in the near future:
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Intense Competition: The telecommunications industry in Indonesia is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for market share. This could lead to price wars and reduced margins.
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Regulatory Changes: The telecommunications sector is subject to strict regulations. Changes in government policies or regulatory frameworks can impact operations, pricing, and profitability.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid technological changes can render existing technologies obsolete. Telkom must continually innovate and invest in new technologies to stay relevant, such as 5G and fiber-optic expansion.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As reliance on digital platforms increases, so does the risk of cyberattacks and data breaches. Ensuring robust cybersecurity measures is crucial to maintaining customer trust and compliance with regulations.
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Economic Instability: Fluctuations in economic conditions, including inflation and exchange rate volatility, can affect consumer spending and investment in telecommunications infrastructure.
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Customer Expectations and Behavior: The changing preferences of consumers towards more personalized and on-demand services means that Telkom must adapt its offerings quickly to meet these demands.
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Infrastructure Development Costs: Significant investments are required for network expansion and maintenance. Securing financing and managing these costs while ensuring a return on investment is critical.
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Market Penetration in Rural Areas: While major cities see high penetration, expanding services to rural and underserved areas remains a challenge, both logistically and cost-effectively.
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Impact of Global Supply Chains: Disruptions in global supply chains, especially for technology and infrastructure components, can delay projects and increase costs.
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Sustainability and Environmental Concerns: Increasing pressure to adopt environmentally sustainable practices may require Telkom to invest in greener technologies and processes, which could impact cost structures.
Addressing these risks will require strategic planning, investment in technology, and a focus on regulatory compliance, customer satisfaction, and competitive positioning.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT
Current Assets | 52.4T |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 27.3T |
Receivables | 17.9T |
Other Current Assets | 7.1T |
Non-Current Assets | 232.8T |
Long-Term Investments | 7.7T |
PP&E | 205.7T |
Intangibles | 9.1T |
Other Non-Current Assets | 10.3T |
Current Liabilities | 75T |
Accounts Payable | 14.4T |
Accrued Liabilities | 13.1T |
Short-Term Debt | 10.7T |
Other Current Liabilities | 36.9T |
Non-Current Liabilities | 74.5T |
Long-Term Debt | 38.9T |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 35.5T |
Earnings Waterfall
Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT
Revenue
|
150.2T
IDR
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Cost of Revenue
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-47.7T
IDR
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Gross Profit
|
102.5T
IDR
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Operating Expenses
|
-59.6T
IDR
|
Operating Income
|
42.9T
IDR
|
Other Expenses
|
-20.2T
IDR
|
Net Income
|
22.7T
IDR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT
IDR | |
Free Cash Flow | IDR |
TLKM Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TLKM Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TLKM Price Targets Summary
Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TLKM is 3 817.75 IDR with a low forecast of 2 525 IDR and a high forecast of 5 040 IDR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TLKM is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
PT Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk is a holding company, which engages in the provision of telecommunications, information, and technology services. The company employs 20,884 full-time employees The firm operates through five segments: mobile segment, consumer segment, enterprise segment, wholesale and international business segment and other segment. The mobile segment comprises of mobile broadband services and mobile digital services. The consumer segment comprises fixed voice services, fixed broadband services and related consumer digital services. Enterprise segment mainly comprises information and communications technology (ICT) and digital platform that covers enterprise-grade connectivity services. The wholesale and international business segment comprises wholesale telecommunication carrier services, international business, tower business and infrastructure and network management services. The other segment comprises digital services and property management.
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The intrinsic value of one TLKM stock under the Base Case scenario is 4 734.22 IDR.
Compared to the current market price of 2 750 IDR, Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT is Undervalued by 42%.