Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi Tbk PT
IDX:HITS

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Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi Tbk PT
IDX:HITS
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Price: 410 IDR 0.49% Market Closed
Market Cap: 2.8T IDR
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Dec 23, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one HITS stock is 293.73 IDR. Compared to the current market price of 410 IDR, the stock is Overvalued by 28%.

HITS DCF Value
Base Case
293.73 IDR
Overvaluation 28%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
293.73
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 293.73 IDR

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 66.4m USD. The present value of the terminal value is 109.6m USD. The total present value equals 176m USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 176m USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 40.7m USD
+ Investments 21.5m USD
Firm Value 238.2m USD
- Debt 70.7m USD
- Minority Interest 41.2m USD
Equity Value 126.3m USD
/ Shares Outstanding 6.9B
Value per Share 0.02 USD
USD / IDR Exchange Rate 16 160.58
HITS DCF Value 293.73 IDR
Overvalued by 28%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
128.3m 153.1m
Operating Income
17.6m 22.9m
FCFF
16.7m 17.7m

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one HITS stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one HITS stock is 293.73 IDR. Compared to the current market price of 410 IDR, the stock is Overvalued by 28%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Humpuss Intermoda Transportasi Tbk PT's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 176m USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 293.73 IDR per share.

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