Adaro Energy Indonesia TBK PT
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ADRO stock under the Base Case scenario is 4 309.5 IDR. Compared to the current market price of 3 750 IDR, Adaro Energy Indonesia TBK PT is Undervalued by 13%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Adaro Energy Indonesia TBK PT
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Fundamental Analysis
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Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk PT is a leading integrated coal and energy company that has carved out a significant presence in the Southeast Asian energy landscape. Founded in 1982, Adaro's journey began with the establishment of its coal mining operations in the eastern part of Indonesia, where it has developed one of the largest coal mines in the country. The company's coal is primarily sold to global markets, with a focus on Asia, particularly China and India, which are among the largest consumers of coal globally. As renewable energy gains traction, Adaro is strategically diversifying its portfolio, venturing into renewable energy projects and embracing technological innovations to enhance...
Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk PT is a leading integrated coal and energy company that has carved out a significant presence in the Southeast Asian energy landscape. Founded in 1982, Adaro's journey began with the establishment of its coal mining operations in the eastern part of Indonesia, where it has developed one of the largest coal mines in the country. The company's coal is primarily sold to global markets, with a focus on Asia, particularly China and India, which are among the largest consumers of coal globally. As renewable energy gains traction, Adaro is strategically diversifying its portfolio, venturing into renewable energy projects and embracing technological innovations to enhance its production efficiency while committing to sustainable practices—including afforestation and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
For investors, Adaro Energy represents a compelling opportunity given its longstanding market expertise and robust financial performance. The company has consistently generated strong revenue and profits, buoyed by favorable coal prices and a growing demand for energy in emerging markets. Its commitment to sustainable growth through both conventional and renewable energy sources positions Adaro favorably in a transforming energy landscape. With solid governance practices and a strategic vision that aligns with global energy trends, Adaro Energy is not just a coal producer; it is evolving into a holistic energy provider, making it an intriguing option for investors looking to capitalize on both traditional and future-oriented energy markets.
Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk PT is one of the largest coal mining companies in Indonesia. Its core business segments can be broadly categorized into the following areas:
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Coal Mining:
- Adaro Energy is primarily engaged in the mining and production of thermal coal. The company operates several coal mines in Indonesia, which contribute significantly to its revenue. The mines are typically characterized by their high quality and low sulfur content, making them desirable in both domestic and international markets.
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Coal Trading:
- In addition to mining, Adaro also engages in the trading of coal. They sell not only their own production but also coal sourced from other producers. This segment allows the company to diversify its income and mitigate risks associated with price fluctuations in the coal market.
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Mining Services:
- Adaro Energy provides mining services, which include overburden removal, coal processing, and transportation. These services are not only utilized for their own operations but are also offered to third-party clients, thereby generating additional revenue streams.
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Power Generation:
- The company has invested in coal-fired power plants to leverage its coal production capabilities. This segment aligns with Indonesia’s growing energy needs and allows Adaro to diversify its portfolio away from solely mining.
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Infrastructure:
- Adaro Energy has developed an integrated infrastructure to support its mining and trading operations, including ports and transportation channels. This infrastructure enhances the efficiency of coal logistics and contributes to the overall growth of the company's operations.
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Other Segments:
- Adaro is also involved in various initiatives related to sustainability and environmental management, aiming to transition towards more sustainable energy solutions over time.
By maintaining a diversified business model, Adaro Energy is positioned to navigate market changes and capitalize on different opportunities within the energy sector, ensuring long-term growth and resilience.
Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk PT has several unique competitive advantages that enable it to maintain a strong position in the mining and energy sector. Here are some key advantages:
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Integrated Business Model: Adaro operates an integrated business model that encompasses coal mining, power generation, and logistics. This vertical integration allows the company to control costs, optimize production and supply chains, and enhance operational efficiency.
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Low Production Costs: The company is known for its low-cost coal production. Adaro's mining operations benefit from economies of scale and advanced mining technology, enabling it to produce coal competitively even in challenging market conditions.
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Strategic Location: Adaro operates in the South Kalimantan region, which has significant coal reserves. The location provides logistical advantages for exporting coal, particularly to key markets in Asia, such as China and India.
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Strong Brand Reputation: Over the years, Adaro has built a strong brand reputation for quality and reliability in coal supply, leading to long-term customer relationships and contracts. This reputation provides a competitive edge in retaining and attracting customers.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Adaro emphasizes sustainable practices, investing in renewable energy and reducing its carbon footprint. This commitment to sustainability can enhance its appeal to environmentally conscious investors and customers, differentiating it from many competitors.
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Financial Strength: Adaro has a solid financial position due to consistent revenue generation and prudent financial management. This financial stability allows for continued investment in infrastructure, technology, and new projects, reinforcing its competitive standing.
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Government Relations and Regulatory Compliance: The company has developed strong relationships with the Indonesian government, easing regulatory hurdles. This can facilitate smoother operations compared to competitors who may face challenges in obtaining permits or navigating regulatory environments.
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Diversification and Growth Initiatives: Adaro has diversified its business interests into other sectors, such as logistics and renewable energy. This diversification reduces dependence on coal prices and opens up new growth avenues.
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Experienced Management Team: The expertise and strategic vision of Adaro’s management team, which has deep knowledge of the industry and local market conditions, provide a significant competitive advantage in navigating challenges and seizing opportunities.
These competitive advantages position Adaro Energy favorably within the Indonesian coal industry and contribute to its resilience and growth potential in a dynamic market landscape.
Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk PT, one of Indonesia's largest coal producers, faces a variety of risks and challenges in the near future, particularly in the context of the global energy market and the transition towards renewable energy. Here are some key risks and challenges:
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Regulatory and Environmental Risks:
- Stricter Environmental Regulations: Increasing global and local regulations aimed at reducing carbon emissions could impose significant operational changes and costs.
- Community Relations and Social License: Local opposition to mining operations can lead to operational delays or additional costs related to community engagement and compliance.
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Market Risks:
- Commodity Price Volatility: Coal prices are subject to fluctuation due to supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and market sentiment, impacting revenue.
- Demand Shift to Renewables: A growing global focus on renewable energy may lead to reduced demand for coal, affecting long-term viability.
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Competition:
- Increasing Competition: Both domestic and international competitors may impact market share and pricing power. The rise of alternative energy sources can also intensify competition.
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Operational Risks:
- Mining Operations: Challenges related to operational efficiency, such as equipment breakdowns, labor strikes, and safety incidents can disrupt production.
- Supply Chain Disruptions: Risks associated with logistics and transportation, especially given geopolitical tensions and potential trade restrictions.
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Financial Risks:
- Currency Risks: As a company operating in Indonesia but potentially dealing in various currencies, fluctuating exchange rates can impact profitability.
- Debt Levels: High debt levels can limit financial flexibility, especially if market conditions deteriorate.
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Technological Risks:
- Need for Technological Advancement: To remain competitive, Adaro may need significant investment in technology for cleaner coal technologies or to diversify into renewables.
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Geopolitical Risks:
- Tensions and Trade Policies: Ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, including trade policies and relations within the Asia-Pacific region, can impact market access and operational stability.
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Public Perception and Corporate Governance:
- Sustainability Practices: The increasing demand from stakeholders for corporate responsibility can lead to reputational risks if the company does not improve sustainability practices.
To navigate these challenges effectively, Adaro Energy will need to adopt a proactive strategy that includes diversifying its energy portfolio, investing in cleaner technologies, and enhancing stakeholder engagement. This approach aligns with the lessons derived from the investment principles of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, focusing on long-term value creation and the importance of adaptability in changing markets.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Adaro Energy Indonesia TBK PT
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Adaro Energy Indonesia TBK PT
Current Assets | 3.7B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 2.9B |
Receivables | 533.2m |
Other Current Assets | 358.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 6.5B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.9B |
PP&E | 3B |
Intangibles | 781.2m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 855.9m |
Current Liabilities | 1.6B |
Accounts Payable | 365.7m |
Accrued Liabilities | 318.2m |
Other Current Liabilities | 958.3m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 1.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 468.3m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1B |
Earnings Waterfall
Adaro Energy Indonesia TBK PT
Revenue
|
6B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-3.7B
USD
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Gross Profit
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2.3B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-276m
USD
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Operating Income
|
2B
USD
|
Other Expenses
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-476.5m
USD
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Net Income
|
1.5B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Adaro Energy Indonesia TBK PT
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
ADRO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Adaro Energy Indonesia TBK PT's profitability score is 73/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Adaro Energy Indonesia TBK PT's profitability score is 73/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ADRO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Adaro Energy Indonesia TBK PT's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Adaro Energy Indonesia TBK PT's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ADRO Price Targets Summary
Adaro Energy Indonesia TBK PT
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ADRO is 3 670.98 IDR with a low forecast of 2 048.28 IDR and a high forecast of 4 515 IDR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ADRO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
PT Adaro Energy Indonesia Tbk engages in the integrated coal mining, logistics, and power businesses through its subsidiaries. The company is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Dki Jakarta and currently employs 9,711 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2008-07-16. The firm is an integrated energy producer in Indonesia with businesses in the coal, energy, utilities and supporting infrastructure sectors. Its business activities include Adaro Mining, Adaro Services, Adaro Logistics, Adaro Power, Adaro Land, Adaro Water, Adaro Capital and Adaro Foundation. The firm's segments include Coal mining and trading, Mining services, Logistics and Others. Its coal is marketed under the brand name Envirocoal. Its subsdiaries include PT Alam Tri Abadi, PT Saptaindra Sejati, PT Adaro Power, PT Drupadi Tirta Intan, PT Adaro Logistics, PT Adaro Persada Mandiri, Adaro Capital Limited (ACL).
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The intrinsic value of one ADRO stock under the Base Case scenario is 4 309.5 IDR.
Compared to the current market price of 3 750 IDR, Adaro Energy Indonesia TBK PT is Undervalued by 13%.