Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.66 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 26 HKD, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp is Overvalued by 40%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
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Fundamental Analysis
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Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. (SMIC) stands at the forefront of China's semiconductor industry, acting as the nation’s largest contract manufacturer of integrated circuits. Founded in 2000 in Shanghai, SMIC targets an ambitious role in the global tech ecosystem, offering a vital alternative to major players like Taiwan's TSMC and South Korea's Samsung. With a diverse range of services, including advanced process technologies for a variety of applications—from consumer electronics to automotive and artificial intelligence—SMIC is well-positioned to capitalize on the surging demand for semiconductors, especially as global supply chains continue to grapple with disruptions. F...
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. (SMIC) stands at the forefront of China's semiconductor industry, acting as the nation’s largest contract manufacturer of integrated circuits. Founded in 2000 in Shanghai, SMIC targets an ambitious role in the global tech ecosystem, offering a vital alternative to major players like Taiwan's TSMC and South Korea's Samsung. With a diverse range of services, including advanced process technologies for a variety of applications—from consumer electronics to automotive and artificial intelligence—SMIC is well-positioned to capitalize on the surging demand for semiconductors, especially as global supply chains continue to grapple with disruptions.
For investors, SMIC presents an intriguing opportunity, underpinned by its extensive investments in technology and capacity expansion. The company has made significant strides in achieving advanced manufacturing nodes, crucial for maintaining competitiveness in a fast-evolving market. However, potential investors should also be aware of the external challenges, such as trade tensions and geopolitical considerations that may influence its operations and growth trajectory. Despite these risks, SMIC’s strategic partnerships and focus on R&D position it as a pivotal player in the semiconductor landscape, making it a noteworthy consideration for those looking to invest in the technology of the future.
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) is one of the largest semiconductor foundries in the world, based in China. The company operates through several core business segments, each contributing to its overall business strategy and revenue generation. Here are the main segments:
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Foundry Services: This is the primary business segment for SMIC, where it provides manufacturing services for semiconductor companies that design but do not have the facilities to manufacture chips. SMIC fabricates chips based on customer designs using various technology nodes, including advanced processes (such as 28nm, 14nm) and mature processes (like 55nm and above).
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Technology Development: SMIC invests heavily in research and development to advance its technology offerings. This includes developing new fabrication processes, enhancing existing technologies, and ensuring that its manufacturing capabilities meet the evolving demands of the semiconductor industry, such as high-performance computing, AI, and IoT applications.
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Mask Manufacturing: SMIC also provides mask manufacturing services, which are essential in the photolithography process of chip production. This segment supports its foundry services by ensuring that high-quality masks are available for the fabrication of circuits.
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Wafer Manufacturing: The company produces silicon wafers, which are the substrates used to create semiconductor devices. This segment includes the fabrication of wafers from crystal growth to slicing and polishing.
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Packaging and Testing Services: Beyond wafer fabrication, SMIC offers packaging and testing services. These services are crucial for preparing semiconductor devices for end-user applications, ensuring they meet quality standards.
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IP and Design Services: SMIC also provides intellectual property (IP) cores and design services to help customers optimize their designs for the company's manufacturing processes. This further enhances customer engagement and value addition.
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Specialty Technologies: This segment focuses on niche markets, providing manufacturing services for specialized products such as MEMS (Micro-Electro-Mechanical Systems), RF (Radio Frequency) devices, and power management chips.
SMIC's business segments reflect its strategy to cater to a broad range of customers across diverse industries, leveraging its manufacturing capabilities and technological advancements to maintain a competitive edge in the semiconductor landscape. The company aims to position itself as a key player not just regionally but also on the global stage in semiconductor manufacturing.
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) is one of the leading semiconductor foundries based in China. Its unique competitive advantages over rivals include:
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Government Support: SMIC has substantial backing from the Chinese government, which has made significant investments in the semiconductor sector. This support can help mitigate financial risks and bolster R&D capabilities.
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Cost Competitiveness: Operating in China allows SMIC to benefit from lower labor costs and operational expenses compared to many Western competitors. This can translate into better pricing flexibility, especially for attracting price-sensitive clients.
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Local Market Access: SMIC's strong positioning within China provides an advantage as the country seeks to reduce its reliance on foreign semiconductors. As demand for chips continues to grow in sectors like consumer electronics and automotive, SMIC is well-positioned to capture domestic market share.
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Rapid Production Scaling: SMIC has demonstrated an ability to rapidly scale up production. This is critical in an industry characterized by fluctuating demand. Their capability to meet increased demand quickly can attract customers who prioritize agility.
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Technology Development: While SMIC may not yet match the leading-edge technology capabilities of rivals like TSMC or Samsung, it has been progressively improving its process nodes and R&D. Investments in advanced technologies, such as 7nm and beyond, are aimed at closing the technological gap.
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Strategic Partnerships: SMIC has formed strategic alliances and partnerships, both domestically and internationally, to foster innovation and improve its technological capabilities. Collaborations with universities and research institutes help propel its R&D efforts.
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Diverse Customer Base: SMIC serves a wide range of industries, from consumer electronics to automotive and IoT. This diversification helps the company mitigate risks associated with downturns in specific market segments.
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Flexibility in Offerings: SMIC provides a broad array of services, including various process technologies and customization options. This flexibility helps them meet diverse customer requirements, appealing to a wider range of clients.
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Focus on Emerging Technologies: SMIC is focusing on developing chips for growing markets, such as AI, 5G, and automotive applications, which can provide significant growth opportunities compared to competitors primarily focused on traditional markets.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, SMIC positions itself strategically within the ever-evolving semiconductor landscape, aiming for sustained growth and improved market share. However, it's also essential to keep an eye on challenges such as geopolitical tensions and the pace of technological advancements among competitors.
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) faces several risks and challenges in the near future, primarily influenced by geopolitical, technological, and market dynamics. Here are some of the key risks:
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Geopolitical Tensions: The U.S.-China trade tensions and ongoing geopolitical conflicts can significantly impact SMIC's operations, especially with export controls and restrictions from the U.S. government. This could limit access to advanced manufacturing technologies and critical equipment.
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Technology Constraints: As SMIC aims to compete with more advanced semiconductor manufacturers such as TSMC and Samsung, it faces challenges in adopting cutting-edge technologies (like 5nm and below). Restrictions on obtaining advanced EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet) lithography equipment can hinder its ability to produce high-performance chips.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The semiconductor industry has faced significant supply chain disruptions due to the COVID-19 pandemic, logistical issues, and scarcity of raw materials. Continued volatility in the supply chain can impact production schedules and costs.
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Increased Competition: Both domestic and international competition is intensifying. Domestic players in China, along with firms from Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan, are ramping up their capabilities, which could lead to price wars and reduced margins.
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Market Volatility: The semiconductor market is highly cyclical and susceptible to fluctuations in demand. Economic downturns or changes in consumer preferences can affect demand for semiconductors, impacting revenue and profitability.
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Regulatory Environment: SMIC must navigate a complex regulatory environment in both China and global markets. Compliance with evolving regulations around technology transfer, environmental standards, and labor practices can pose challenges.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: The semiconductor industry requires highly skilled professionals. There may be competition for talent, especially for engineers and R&D staff, which could affect SMIC's ability to innovate and expand.
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Dependency on Clients: A significant portion of SMIC's revenue comes from a limited number of large clients. Dependency on specific customers can increase vulnerability to their performance and strategic decisions.
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Reputation and Brand Perception: As a leading semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC's reputation is critical. Issues related to quality, delivery, or ethical practices can affect client relationships and market positioning.
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Investment Needs: Competing effectively in the semiconductor industry requires substantial capital investment in R&D, manufacturing facilities, and talent. Securing sufficient funding, especially amidst geopolitical tensions, can be a challenge.
Addressing these risks effectively will be crucial for SMIC to maintain its competitive edge and continue growing in the semiconductor market.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp
Current Assets | 11.2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 6.8B |
Receivables | 1.2B |
Other Current Assets | 3.2B |
Non-Current Assets | 36.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 8.3B |
PP&E | 27.4B |
Intangibles | 28.8m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 392.8m |
Current Liabilities | 7.5B |
Accounts Payable | 4B |
Accrued Liabilities | 310.1m |
Other Current Liabilities | 3.3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 19.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 8.4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 11.1B |
Earnings Waterfall
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp
Revenue
|
7B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-5.8B
USD
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Gross Profit
|
1.1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-818.7m
USD
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Operating Income
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282.7m
USD
|
Other Expenses
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222.3m
USD
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Net Income
|
505m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In the third quarter of 2024, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieved record revenue of $2.17 billion, a 14.2% increase sequentially, driven by optimized product mix and increased 12-inch shipments. Gross margin rose to 20.5%, reflecting a 6.6 percentage point improvement. For Q4, SMIC expects flat to 2% revenue growth, with gross margins projected between 18% and 20%. The company anticipates a decrease in overall utilization and shipments but aims to maintain revenue stability through product mix optimization, while full-year revenues are projected at approximately $8 billion, a 27% year-over-year increase.
What is Earnings Call?
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp's solvency score is 67/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp's solvency score is 67/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp is 26.22 HKD with a low forecast of 13.13 HKD and a high forecast of 38.85 HKD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
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Description
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. engages in the production and sale of semiconductor products. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, Shanghai. The company went IPO on 2004-03-17. The firm operates two segments. The sales of wafers segment produces and sells wafers which are applied in a range of products, including power management integrated circuit (PMIC), battery management integrated circuit (BMIC), microprocessor (MCU), CMOS Image Sensors (CIS), RF and wireless connectivity, touch controller integrated circuit (TCIC) and other products. The Mask Making, Testing and Other segment manufactures semiconductor masks and provides wafer testing services. The firm sells its products to both domestic and international markets, including the United States, Europe and Asia.
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The intrinsic value of one Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.66 HKD.
Compared to the current market price of 26 HKD, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp is Overvalued by 40%.