Longfor Group Holdings Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Longfor Group Holdings Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 28.25 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 10.66 HKD, Longfor Group Holdings Ltd is Undervalued by 62%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Longfor Group Holdings Ltd. is a prominent player in China’s real estate sector, with a rich history that dates back to its founding in 1995. Established in Beijing, the company has successfully diversified its business model beyond just property development; it is actively involved in property management, investment, and rental services. With a vision to create vibrant urban communities, Longfor is not just constructing buildings but is committed to enhancing the quality of life in urban landscapes. The company prides itself on its innovative approach, emphasizing sustainability and community welfare, which sets it apart in a competitive market that is increasingly focused on environmental...
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd. is a prominent player in China’s real estate sector, with a rich history that dates back to its founding in 1995. Established in Beijing, the company has successfully diversified its business model beyond just property development; it is actively involved in property management, investment, and rental services. With a vision to create vibrant urban communities, Longfor is not just constructing buildings but is committed to enhancing the quality of life in urban landscapes. The company prides itself on its innovative approach, emphasizing sustainability and community welfare, which sets it apart in a competitive market that is increasingly focused on environmental and social governance.
Investors will find Longfor Group Holdings Ltd. appealing due to its balanced portfolio and growth strategies. The company has consistently reported solid financial results, backed by a strong balance sheet and a prudent approach to leveraging debt. Despite the fluctuations in the Chinese real estate market, Longfor's adept management, significant project pipeline, and focus on urban redevelopment projects position it favorably for future growth. As the company continues to expand its presence across tier-one and emerging cities in China, Longfor stands as a testament to resilience and strategic foresight in a rapidly evolving industry, making it a potential candidate for those looking to invest in the long-term prospects of China's real estate landscape.
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd. is a prominent Chinese real estate development company engaged in various core business segments. As of the latest available information, here are the primary segments:
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Property Development: This is the cornerstone of Longfor's business. The company focuses on developing residential properties, including apartments, townhouses, and villas, catering to various market segments from affordable housing to luxury developments.
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Property Investment: Longfor invests in commercial and retail properties, which are essential for generating stable rental income. This includes shopping malls, office buildings, and other income-generating real estate assets.
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Property Management: The company provides property management services to its residential and commercial developments. This segment focuses on maintaining properties, providing security, landscaping, and ensuring overall resident satisfaction.
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Urban Renewal and Infrastructure: Longfor engages in urban renewal projects that enhance urban landscapes and improve the living environment. This includes rehabilitating old districts and contributing to infrastructural development.
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Commercial Management: This segment involves managing commercial properties and retail spaces to optimize operations, tenant mix, and revenue generation through leasing and commercial operations.
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Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs): Longfor is also involved in developing and managing REIT structures, which allows investors to participate in property investments through the stock market.
By diversifying across these core segments, Longfor Group can mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations in any single area and create a sustainable business model focused on long-term growth.
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd, a leading property developer in China, has several unique competitive advantages that help it stand out in a highly competitive market. Here are some notable ones:
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Diverse Portfolio: Longfor has a well-diversified portfolio that spans residential, commercial, and mixed-use properties. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations in any single segment.
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Strong Brand Reputation: With a focus on quality and customer satisfaction, Longfor has built a strong brand reputation. This trust in the brand can lead to higher sales and customer loyalty compared to competitors.
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Innovation in Design and Construction: Longfor invests in innovative design and construction practices. The company often incorporates modern technologies and eco-friendly practices, enhancing the appeal of its developments and potentially reducing costs.
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Robust Financial Health: Longfor has maintained relatively strong financial stability compared to many competitors, which allows for better access to capital, lower borrowing costs, and the capacity to invest in new projects or strategic acquisitions when market conditions are favorable.
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Strategic Land Bank Acquisition: The company has been strategic in acquiring land parcels in prime locations, which are essential for profitable development. Their ability to secure quality land at reasonable prices provides a substantial long-term advantage.
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Focus on Urban Development: Longfor specializes in urban redevelopment and has a robust understanding of urbanization trends in China, allowing it to capitalize on emerging opportunities.
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Strong Sales and Marketing Expertise: With a dedicated sales and marketing team, Longfor is typically able to leverage analytics to understand market dynamics better, optimize pricing strategy, and enhance customer engagement.
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Collaboration and Partnerships: Longfor engages in key partnerships that foster collaboration in various aspects of real estate development. This approach can enhance project efficiencies and introduces synergies that benefit the company.
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Sustainable Development Practices: The emphasis on sustainability resonates well with the current trends favoring environmentally conscious developments. This gives Longfor an edge as consumers increasingly value sustainability in property options.
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Government Relationships: Longfor tends to maintain good relationships with local governments, which can be advantageous in terms of navigating regulatory environments and obtaining support for new projects.
These competitive advantages form a robust foundation for Longfor Group, allowing it to navigate challenges and assert its position within the real estate industry effectively.
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd, like many real estate companies, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some of the key factors to consider:
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Market Volatility: The real estate market is sensitive to economic conditions. Fluctuations in demand, changes in consumer preferences, and macroeconomic factors such as inflation can significantly impact sales and profitability.
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Regulatory Environment: The Chinese real estate market has been subject to stringent regulations aimed at curbing excessive borrowing and preventing bubble formations. Changes in policy can affect Longfor’s financing capabilities and project approvals.
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Debt Levels: High levels of corporate debt in the real estate sector can pose significant risks, especially if borrowing costs rise or if cash flows weaken. Closely monitoring leverage and liquidity will be crucial.
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Competition: The real estate sector is highly competitive, with numerous players fighting for market share. Longfor must continue innovating and differentiating its offerings to maintain its competitive edge.
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Political and Economic Stability: Political factors, such as government interventions or economic slowdowns, can adversely affect the real estate sector. The global economic environment can also impact foreign investments and partnerships.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain issues could lead to increased costs and delays in project timelines. Labor shortages and rising materials costs can further exacerbate these challenges.
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Transition to Sustainable Practices: As environmental considerations become more prominent, Longfor may face pressure to adopt more sustainable building practices. Balancing profitability with sustainability initiatives can be a challenge.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: The shift towards remote work and lifestyle changes may alter demand for certain types of properties. Longfor needs to adapt its offerings to align with evolving market demands.
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Economic Slowdown: Potential economic slowdowns, triggered by external factors such as global economic trends or internal factors like debt crises, could reduce construction activity and erode consumer confidence.
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Cultural and Regional Differences: As Longfor expands geographically, understanding and navigating cultural and regional real estate dynamics can present challenges.
To mitigate these risks, Longfor will need to engage in comprehensive risk management strategies, maintain a robust financial position, and be adaptable to market changes. Additionally, keeping a close watch on regulatory developments will be vital for strategic planning moving forward.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd
Current Assets | 431.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 48.9B |
Receivables | 108.3B |
Other Current Assets | 274.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 262.9B |
Long-Term Investments | 241.9B |
PP&E | 3B |
Intangibles | 5.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 12.2B |
Current Liabilities | 262.8B |
Accounts Payable | 39.6B |
Other Current Liabilities | 223.2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 274B |
Long-Term Debt | 170.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 103.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd
Revenue
|
165.5B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
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-139.2B
CNY
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Gross Profit
|
26.3B
CNY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-9.2B
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
17.2B
CNY
|
Other Expenses
|
-6.5B
CNY
|
Net Income
|
10.7B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd's solvency score is 32/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd's solvency score is 32/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Longfor Group Holdings Ltd is 13.94 HKD with a low forecast of 9.09 HKD and a high forecast of 25.2 HKD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Longfor Group Holdings Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd. is an investment holding company, which engages in the real estate development. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing and currently employs 44,065 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2009-11-19. The firm operates through three segments. Property Development segment is engaged in the development and sales of office buildings, commercial properties, residential properties and car parks in China. Property Investment segment is engaged in the leasing of investment properties developed by the Company to generate rental income and to gain from appreciation in the properties’ values. Its property portfolio mainly includes retail properties in China, such as Chongqing North Paradise Walk, Chengdu Three Thousand Mall and Beijing Changying Paradise Walk, among others. Property Management and Related Services segment is mainly engaged in the provision of property management services in China. The firm operates businesses in Beijing, Chengdu, Chongqing, Dalian, Hangzhou and Shanghai, among others.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one Longfor Group Holdings Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 28.25 HKD.
Compared to the current market price of 10.66 HKD, Longfor Group Holdings Ltd is Undervalued by 62%.