JD Logistics Inc
HKEX:2618
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one JD Logistics Inc stock under the Base Case scenario is 19.64 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 13.92 HKD, JD Logistics Inc is Undervalued by 29%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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JD Logistics Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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JD Logistics Inc. is a leading logistics service provider in China, born out of the need to streamline and enhance supply chain operations for its parent company, JD.com, one of the largest e-commerce platforms in the world. Established in 2017, JD Logistics has rapidly evolved into a comprehensive logistics solution, leveraging advanced technology, extensive warehousing infrastructure, and a robust delivery network. With a commitment to efficiency and customer satisfaction, the company serves not only JD.com but also third-party clients across various sectors, positioning itself as a vital player in the booming e-commerce and logistics market. As an investor, one of the most compelling asp...
JD Logistics Inc. is a leading logistics service provider in China, born out of the need to streamline and enhance supply chain operations for its parent company, JD.com, one of the largest e-commerce platforms in the world. Established in 2017, JD Logistics has rapidly evolved into a comprehensive logistics solution, leveraging advanced technology, extensive warehousing infrastructure, and a robust delivery network. With a commitment to efficiency and customer satisfaction, the company serves not only JD.com but also third-party clients across various sectors, positioning itself as a vital player in the booming e-commerce and logistics market.
As an investor, one of the most compelling aspects of JD Logistics is its strategic focus on automation and innovation, which has enabled significant cost savings and improved service levels. The company operates a vast network of fulfillment centers and last-mile delivery stations, equipped with cutting-edge technology such as robotics and artificial intelligence. This not only reduces operational risks but also enhances responsiveness to market changes. With the continued growth of the e-commerce sector, coupled with increasing demand for reliable logistics solutions, JD Logistics is poised to benefit from strong market dynamics, making it a promising investment opportunity in the logistics arena.
JD Logistics, Inc., as a leading logistics service provider in China, operates several core business segments that are integral to its operations and overall strategy. Here’s an overview of its main segments:
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Fulfillment Services: This segment involves a wide range of logistics services including warehousing, inventory management, and order fulfillment. JD Logistics utilizes its extensive network of warehouses and fulfillment centers to facilitate efficient delivery of products for JD.com and third-party merchants.
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Last-Mile Delivery: A critical component of JD Logistics' services, this segment focuses on the final leg of delivery from distribution centers to end customers. JD Logistics has developed a robust last-mile delivery network, employing both human resources and technology (like drones and autonomous vehicles) to enhance efficiency and speed.
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Cold Chain Logistics: JD Logistics has invested in specialized facilities and vehicles for cold chain services, catering to the transportation and storage needs of perishable goods, pharmaceuticals, and other temperature-sensitive products.
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Integrated Supply Chain Solutions: This segment provides end-to-end supply chain management services, helping businesses optimize their logistics processes. This includes consulting on logistics strategies, inventory management, and transportation optimization.
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International Logistics: As global trade expands, JD Logistics has developed capabilities for international shipping and logistics services. This includes customs clearance, cross-border shipping, and international warehousing, aimed at supporting merchants looking to reach global markets.
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Technological Solutions and Innovation: JD Logistics invests heavily in technology to enhance its logistics capabilities. This includes AI-driven logistics management, smart warehousing solutions, and automation technologies to improve operational efficiency.
By focusing on these core business segments, JD Logistics positions itself as a comprehensive logistics provider, catering to the diverse needs of its clients while leveraging technology and innovation to maintain its competitive edge.
JD Logistics Inc., an integral part of JD.com, has developed several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the logistics and e-commerce sectors. Here are some key advantages:
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Integrated Supply Chain: JD Logistics operates an end-to-end logistics network that is tightly integrated with JD.com’s e-commerce platform. This integration allows for better inventory management, faster delivery times, and a more streamlined shopping experience for customers.
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Advanced Technology Adoption: The company utilizes advanced technologies like robotics, artificial intelligence, and big data analytics to optimize its logistics operations. This not only enhances efficiency but also reduces costs, which can be passed on to customers.
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Extensive Warehouse Network: JD Logistics has a vast and strategically placed network of warehouses across China. This extensive footprint enables quicker fulfillment and delivery of products, allowing for same-day and next-day delivery services.
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Self-owned Delivery Fleet: Unlike many competitors that rely on third-party logistics providers, JD Logistics maintains a self-owned delivery fleet, which provides greater control over delivery processes, quality of service, and overall operational efficiency.
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Focus on Technology-Driven Solutions: JD Logistics invests heavily in technology-driven initiatives, including smart warehouses and automated sorting systems. These innovations help in increasing operational efficiency and reducing human error.
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Investment in Innovation: The company continuously invests in research and development, focusing on logistics innovation such as drone delivery and autonomous vehicles. This positions JD Logistics at the forefront of logistics technology and helps sustain its competitive edge.
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Strong Brand Reputation: Being part of JD.com, JD Logistics benefits from the strong brand reputation of its parent company, which is known for its commitment to customer service and reliability.
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Cross-Border Logistics Capability: JD Logistics offers comprehensive cross-border logistics solutions, enabling it to cater to international markets and facilitate global trade, which can diversify revenue streams and reduce dependence on domestic sales.
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Robust Data Analytics: Leveraging customer and operational data, JD Logistics can personalize services, optimize routes, and manage inventory more effectively, leading to improved customer satisfaction and operational efficiency.
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Sustainability Initiatives: The company's focus on sustainability and environmentally friendly practices, such as green packaging and energy-efficient transportation, appeals to a growing segment of environmentally conscious consumers.
These competitive advantages enable JD Logistics to differentiate itself in a crowded market, drive customer loyalty, and support the overall growth of JD.com.
JD Logistics Inc., as a major player in the logistics and supply chain industry, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Some of these include:
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Regulatory Changes: The logistics industry is subject to various regulations, which can change rapidly. Compliance with new regulations, particularly in areas like labor laws, environmental standards, and data privacy, could increase operational costs or restrict business practices.
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Economic Environment: Economic slowdowns or fluctuations can lead to reduced consumer demand, affecting cargo volumes and logistics operations. Additionally, inflationary pressures can lead to increased operational costs.
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Competition: The logistics market is increasingly competitive with major players such as Alibaba, Amazon, and other local companies in China enhancing their logistics capabilities. This could lead to price wars and reduced profitability.
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Technological Disruptions: Rapid advancements in technology, including automation and artificial intelligence, necessitate continuous investment. Failure to keep pace with technological changes could result in inefficiencies and loss of market share.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain challenges, such as shipping delays, shortages of raw materials, or geopolitical tensions, can affect logistics operations severely. Events like pandemics or natural disasters can exacerbate these issues.
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Labor Challenges: The logistics sector has been facing labor shortages and increasing wage pressures. Hiring and retaining qualified personnel could become more challenging, impacting operational efficiency.
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Sustainability Pressures: As consumers become more environmentally conscious, there is increasing pressure on logistics companies to adopt sustainable practices. Transitioning to greener options may require significant investment.
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Cybersecurity Threats: With increasing reliance on technology and data, JD Logistics faces cybersecurity risks. Any breaches in data security can lead to financial losses and damage to reputation.
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Geopolitical Risks: Political tensions, particularly between China and other countries, can disrupt logistics operations and affect international trade routes.
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Fluctuating Fuel Prices: As with any logistics company, fluctuations in fuel prices can significantly impact operating costs and profitability.
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Customer Expectations: Increasing customer demands for faster delivery times and greater transparency in tracking can create pressure on logistics providers to innovate and invest in new technologies.
Addressing these risks and challenges will require JD Logistics to be proactive in its strategic planning, adopting a flexible and resilient operational framework, and continuously innovating to maintain competitive advantage.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
JD Logistics Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
JD Logistics Inc
Current Assets | 58.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 35.6B |
Receivables | 18.5B |
Other Current Assets | 4.3B |
Non-Current Assets | 53B |
Long-Term Investments | 8.2B |
PP&E | 33B |
Intangibles | 10.3B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.3B |
Current Liabilities | 35.2B |
Accounts Payable | 7.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 9.4B |
Other Current Liabilities | 18.6B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 25.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 15.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 10.1B |
Earnings Waterfall
JD Logistics Inc
Revenue
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177.9B
CNY
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Cost of Revenue
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-159.9B
CNY
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Gross Profit
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18B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
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-11.2B
CNY
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Operating Income
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6.8B
CNY
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Other Expenses
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-1.3B
CNY
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Net Income
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5.5B
CNY
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
JD Logistics Inc
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
In the third quarter of 2024, JD Logistics achieved impressive growth, with total revenue rising 6.6% year-over-year to RMB 44.4 billion. Notably, revenue from external customers reached RMB 31.6 billion, marking over 70% of total revenue. Profits soared, with non-IFRS net profit nearly tripling to RMB 2.57 billion, and a profit margin of 5.8%, up 3.8 percentage points year-over-year. The quarter also saw strong performance in integrated supply chain services, growing 5.4% year-over-year to RMB 20.7 billion. Management expressed confidence in sustaining growth in 2025, targeting expansions and enhanced operational efficiencies.
What is Earnings Call?
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
JD Logistics Inc's profitability score is 42/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
JD Logistics Inc's profitability score is 42/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
JD Logistics Inc's solvency score is 56/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
JD Logistics Inc's solvency score is 56/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
JD Logistics Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for JD Logistics Inc is 18.24 HKD with a low forecast of 12.12 HKD and a high forecast of 26.25 HKD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for JD Logistics Inc is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
JD Logistics, Inc. is an investment holding company. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing. The company went IPO on 2021-05-28. The firm operates its businesses through five segments. Warehousing and Distribution Services segment provides corporate customers with comprehensive, integrated, customizable warehousing and distribution services. Express and Freight Delivery Services segment provides corporate customers and individual customers with express and freight delivery services. Bulky Item Logistics Services segment provides corporate and individual customers with one-stop bulky item warehousing, transportation, delivery and installation services. Cold chain Logistics Services segment provides corporate customers and individual customers with integrated cold chain warehousing, transportation and delivery services. Cross-border Logistics Services segment provides both Chinese and international corporate customers with cross-border supply chain services.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one JD Logistics Inc stock under the Base Case scenario is 19.64 HKD.
Compared to the current market price of 13.92 HKD, JD Logistics Inc is Undervalued by 29%.