China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
HKEX:2319
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EV/EBITDA
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s earnings, including both equity and debt.
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s earnings, including both equity and debt.
Valuation Scenarios
If EV/EBITDA returns to its 3-Year Average (8.3), the stock would be worth HK$12.93 (21% downside from current price).
| Scenario | EV/EBITDA Value | Implied Price | Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | 10.5 | HK$16.45 |
0%
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| 3-Year Average | 8.3 | HK$12.93 |
-21%
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| 5-Year Average | 16 | HK$25.08 |
+52%
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| Industry Average | 3.3 | HK$5.16 |
-69%
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| Country Average | 9.6 | HK$14.98 |
-9%
|
Forward EV/EBITDA
Today’s price vs future ebitda
| Today's Enterprise Value | EBITDA | Forward EV/EBITDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
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HK$48.3B
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/ |
Jan 2026
¥3.8B
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= |
|
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HK$48.3B
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/ |
Dec 2026
¥9.9B
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= |
|
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HK$48.3B
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/ |
Dec 2027
¥10.5B
|
= |
|
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HK$48.3B
|
/ |
Dec 2028
¥11.1B
|
= |
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Forward EV/EBITDA shows whether today’s EV/EBITDA still looks high or low once future ebitda are taken into account.
Peer Comparison
| Market Cap | EV/EBITDA | P/E | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HK |
|
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
HKEX:2319
|
64.1B HKD | 10.5 | 34.7 | |
| JP |
G
|
Goyo Foods Industry Co Ltd
TSE:2230
|
53.2T JPY | 186 542.5 | 540 752.8 | |
| CH |
|
Nestle SA
SIX:NESN
|
197.5B CHF | 13.3 | 21.6 | |
| US |
|
Mondelez International Inc
NASDAQ:MDLZ
|
71.9B USD | 17.9 | 29.3 | |
| FR |
|
Danone SA
PAR:BN
|
42.5B EUR | 9.6 | 23.4 | |
| ZA |
T
|
Tiger Brands Ltd
JSE:TBS
|
49.9B ZAR | 9.6 | 13 | |
| US |
|
Hershey Co
NYSE:HSY
|
38.3B USD | 21.1 | 43.3 | |
| CN |
|
Muyuan Foods Co Ltd
SZSE:002714
|
248.4B CNY | 15.7 | 15.8 | |
| CN |
|
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Co Ltd
SSE:603288
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237.4B CNY | 25.5 | 33.7 | |
| ZA |
A
|
Avi Ltd
JSE:AVI
|
33.7B ZAR | 8.9 | 13.1 | |
| CH |
|
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG
SIX:LISN
|
24.4B CHF | 19.1 | 32.3 |
Market Distribution
| Min | 0 |
| 30th Percentile | 4.8 |
| Median | 9.6 |
| 70th Percentile | 14.9 |
| Max | 9 749.3 |
Other Multiples
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
Glance View
In the heart of China’s booming consumer market lies China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd., a leading dairy product manufacturer that has woven itself into the fabric of everyday life across the nation. Established in 1999, Mengniu quickly rose from humble beginnings to become a household name, driven by its commitment to quality and innovation. At the core of its operations, Mengniu processes raw milk into a diverse range of products, including liquid milk, yogurt, and milk powder. The company’s extensive network of dairy farms and its stringent quality control measures ensure a steady supply of high-standard raw materials, enabling it to offer nutritious and safe dairy products to millions of customers across China and beyond. Mengniu's financial engine is fueled by a keen understanding of market dynamics and consumer preferences. As the burgeoning Chinese middle class continues to prioritize health and wellness, Mengniu has strategically positioned itself to capitalize on this trend by expanding its product portfolio with premium and health-oriented dairy offerings. The company invests heavily in marketing and distribution, leveraging partnerships with e-commerce giants and brick-and-mortar retailers to optimize its reach across both urban and rural areas. By emphasizing brand strength and operational efficiency, Mengniu not only thrives domestically but also carves out a presence in international markets, laying a solid foundation for sustainable growth and resilience amid the ever-changing global economic landscape.