China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
HKEX:2319

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China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
HKEX:2319
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Price: 17.32 HKD -3.35%
Market Cap: 67.9B HKD
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Relative Value

The Relative Value of one China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 35.62 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 17.32 HKD, China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd is Undervalued by 51%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

Relative Value
Base Case
35.62 HKD
Undervaluation 51%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

vs History
85
vs Industry
62
Median 3Y
1.1
Median 5Y
1.4
Industry
1
Forward
0.7
vs History
84
vs Industry
49
Median 3Y
20.9
Median 5Y
23.6
Industry
16.8
Forward
14.2
vs History
80
vs Industry
40
Median 3Y
12.7
Median 5Y
16.2
Industry
9.9
vs History
vs Industry
50
Median 3Y
10.7
Median 5Y
7.7
Industry
17.2
vs History
87
vs Industry
51
Median 3Y
2.6
Median 5Y
3.3
Industry
1.5
vs History
85
vs Industry
64
Median 3Y
1.3
Median 5Y
1.4
Industry
1.1
Forward
0.7
vs History
85
vs Industry
76
Median 3Y
3.6
Median 5Y
3.9
Industry
4.8
vs History
80
vs Industry
38
Median 3Y
17.6
Median 5Y
18.8
Industry
10.6
Forward
6.9
vs History
84
vs Industry
48
Median 3Y
20.9
Median 5Y
23.2
Industry
13.7
Forward
10.4
vs History
82
vs Industry
39
Median 3Y
14.5
Median 5Y
16.9
Industry
11.2
vs History
79
vs Industry
8
Median 3Y
37.4
Median 5Y
59.7
Industry
15.5
vs History
87
vs Industry
64
Median 3Y
1.4
Median 5Y
1.9
Industry
1.1

Multiples Across Competitors

Competitors Multiples
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd Competitors

All Multiples
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
All Countries
Close
Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
HK
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
HKEX:2319
68.3B HKD 0.7 14.9 11.4 11.4
JP
Goyo Foods Industry Co Ltd
TSE:2230
53.2T JPY 23 895.9 540 752.8 186 542.5 318 284.3
CH
Nestle SA
SIX:NESN
190.5B CHF 2.1 17 12.4 15.1
US
Mondelez International Inc
NASDAQ:MDLZ
80B USD 2.2 21 12.9 15.5
ZA
Tiger Brands Ltd
JSE:TBS
45.5B Zac 0 0 0 0
FR
Danone SA
PAR:BN
41.2B EUR 1.5 41.1 9.4 13.8
MY
Ocb Bhd
KLSE:OCB
73m MYR 0.2 6.3 2.2 2.9
US
Kraft Heinz Co
NASDAQ:KHC
36.9B USD 1.4 27 8.7 10.3
ZA
Avi Ltd
JSE:AVI
35.9B Zac 0 0 0 0
CN
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Co Ltd
SSE:603288
258.6B CNY 10 43.2 37.1 37.1
US
General Mills Inc
NYSE:GIS
35.2B USD 1.8 13.5 10.7 12.3
P/E Multiple
Earnings Growth P/E to Growth
HK
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
HKEX:2319
Average P/E: 60 104.1
14.9
22%
0.7
JP
G
Goyo Foods Industry Co Ltd
TSE:2230
540 752.8
N/A N/A
CH
Nestle SA
SIX:NESN
17
18%
1
US
Mondelez International Inc
NASDAQ:MDLZ
21
5%
4.1
ZA
T
Tiger Brands Ltd
JSE:TBS
Not Available
50%
N/A
FR
Danone SA
PAR:BN
41.1
211%
0.2
MY
O
Ocb Bhd
KLSE:OCB
6.3
N/A N/A
US
Kraft Heinz Co
NASDAQ:KHC
27
38%
0.7
ZA
A
Avi Ltd
JSE:AVI
Not Available
29%
N/A
CN
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Co Ltd
SSE:603288
43.2
40%
1.1
US
General Mills Inc
NYSE:GIS
13.5
12%
1.1
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EBITDA Growth EV/EBITDA to Growth
HK
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
HKEX:2319
Average EV/EBITDA: 20 738.6
11.4
9%
1.3
JP
G
Goyo Foods Industry Co Ltd
TSE:2230
186 542.5
N/A N/A
CH
Nestle SA
SIX:NESN
12.4
5%
2.3
US
Mondelez International Inc
NASDAQ:MDLZ
12.9
19%
0.7
ZA
T
Tiger Brands Ltd
JSE:TBS
Not Available
74%
N/A
FR
Danone SA
PAR:BN
9.4
4%
2.5
MY
O
Ocb Bhd
KLSE:OCB
2.2
N/A N/A
US
Kraft Heinz Co
NASDAQ:KHC
8.7
6%
1.4
ZA
A
Avi Ltd
JSE:AVI
Not Available
24%
N/A
CN
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Co Ltd
SSE:603288
37.1
65%
0.6
US
General Mills Inc
NYSE:GIS
10.7
3%
3.6
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
HK
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
HKEX:2319
Average EV/EBIT: 35 378.1
11.4
17%
0.7
JP
G
Goyo Foods Industry Co Ltd
TSE:2230
318 284.3
N/A N/A
CH
Nestle SA
SIX:NESN
15.1
3%
4.5
US
Mondelez International Inc
NASDAQ:MDLZ
15.5
19%
0.8
ZA
T
Tiger Brands Ltd
JSE:TBS
Not Available
39%
N/A
FR
Danone SA
PAR:BN
13.8
17%
0.8
MY
O
Ocb Bhd
KLSE:OCB
2.9
N/A N/A
US
Kraft Heinz Co
NASDAQ:KHC
10.3
6%
1.7
ZA
A
Avi Ltd
JSE:AVI
Not Available
24%
N/A
CN
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Co Ltd
SSE:603288
37.1
45%
0.8
US
General Mills Inc
NYSE:GIS
12.3
2%
6.7

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