ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
HKEX:2057

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
HKEX:2057
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Price: 157.3 HKD 1.35%
Market Cap: 126.5B HKD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc stock under the Base Case scenario is 226.45 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 157.3 HKD, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is Undervalued by 31%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

Intrinsic Value
226.45 HKD
Undervaluation 31%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

Intrinsic Value History
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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

Backtest Example
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
Valuation History
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Historical valuation for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc cannot be conducted due to limitations such as insufficient data or other constraints.

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Fundamental Analysis

157.3 HKD
+1.35%
+1.35%
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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
CN
Logistics & Transportation
Market Cap
126.5B HKD
IPO
Oct 27, 2016
Employees
22 536
China
Market Cap
126.5B HKD
Industry
Logistics & Transportation
IPO
Oct 27, 2016
Company Overview
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Financials
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Quarterly
TTM
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Balance Sheet Decomposition
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

Current Assets 30.2B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 22.9B
Receivables 2.2B
Other Current Assets 5.1B
Non-Current Assets 63.2B
Long-Term Investments 15.6B
PP&E 34.2B
Intangibles 10.4B
Other Non-Current Assets 3B
Current Liabilities 31.3B
Accounts Payable 2.1B
Accrued Liabilities 166.4m
Short-Term Debt 10.8B
Other Current Liabilities 18.2B
Non-Current Liabilities 1.4B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.4B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

Revenue
42B CNY
Cost of Revenue
-28.9B CNY
Gross Profit
13.1B CNY
Operating Expenses
-2B CNY
Operating Income
11.1B CNY
Other Expenses
-2.5B CNY
Net Income
8.6B CNY

Free Cash Flow Analysis
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Fundamental Scores

Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
Positive Operating Income
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
62/100
Profitability
Score

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Negative Net Debt
69/100
Solvency
Score

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

Price Targets Summary
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is 217.16 HKD with a low forecast of 190.16 HKD and a high forecast of 284.55 HKD.

Lowest
Price Target
190.16 HKD
21% Upside
Average
Price Target
217.16 HKD
38% Upside
Highest
Price Target
284.55 HKD
81% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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0
25
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100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
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What is the Intrinsic Value of one ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc stock?

The intrinsic value of one ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc stock under the Base Case scenario is 226.45 HKD.

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 157.3 HKD, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is Undervalued by 31%.

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