Li Auto Inc
HKEX:2015

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Li Auto Inc Logo
Li Auto Inc
HKEX:2015
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Price: 88.75 HKD -1.55% Market Closed
Market Cap: 176.2B HKD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one Li Auto Inc stock under the Base Case scenario is 154.13 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 88.75 HKD, Li Auto Inc is Undervalued by 42%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

Intrinsic Value
154.13 HKD
Undervaluation 42%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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Li Auto Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Li Auto Inc., founded in 2015 and headquartered in Beijing, China, is a pioneering player in the electric vehicle (EV) market, specifically focused on creating smart, long-range electric SUVs. The company's flagship offering, the Li ONE, is a unique hybrid that combines an electric powertrain with a small internal combustion engine, allowing for extended range capabilities that appeal to consumers hesitant about the charging infrastructure. This innovative approach has garnered significant interest and propelled Li Auto into the spotlight amid China’s burgeoning EV sector, where government initiatives to promote green transportation are steadily gaining momentum. By prioritizing user experie...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Li Auto Inc

Current Assets 119.7B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 106.5B
Receivables 220.4m
Other Current Assets 13B
Non-Current Assets 35.1B
Long-Term Investments 1B
PP&E 28.6B
Intangibles 916m
Other Non-Current Assets 4.5B
Current Liabilities 68B
Accounts Payable 64B
Accrued Liabilities 1.2B
Other Current Liabilities 2.7B
Non-Current Liabilities 20.3B
Long-Term Debt 8.6B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 11.7B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Li Auto Inc

Revenue
141.9B CNY
Cost of Revenue
-111.4B CNY
Gross Profit
30.5B CNY
Operating Expenses
-24.1B CNY
Operating Income
6.4B CNY
Other Expenses
3.8B CNY
Net Income
10.2B CNY

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Li Auto Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q3, Li Auto achieved a record RMB 42.9 billion in revenue, up 23.6% year-over-year, bolstered by 152,000 vehicle deliveries—a 45.4% increase. Gross margin slipped slightly to 21.5%, while operating cash flow reached RMB 11 billion. The company expects Q4 vehicle deliveries between 160,000 and 170,000, with revenues projected between RMB 43.2 billion and 45.9 billion, translating to a year-over-year increase of 3.5% to 10%. The company also celebrated hitting 1 million cumulative vehicle deliveries and maintaining a robust cash position of RMB 106.5 billion. Li Auto’s strong market position continues to grow despite increasing competition in the EV sector.

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Fundamental Scores

Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Li Auto Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Free Cash Flow
ROE is Increasing
Exceptional Revenue Growth Forecast
50/100
Profitability
Score

Li Auto Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Li Auto Inc's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Negative Net Debt
Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
65/100
Solvency
Score

Li Auto Inc's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

Price Targets Summary
Li Auto Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast Li Auto Inc stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Li Auto Inc is 127.05 HKD with a low forecast of 98.48 HKD and a high forecast of 169.14 HKD.

Lowest
Price Target
98.48 HKD
11% Upside
Average
Price Target
127.05 HKD
43% Upside
Highest
Price Target
169.14 HKD
91% Upside
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Dividends

Li Auto Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for Li Auto Inc is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

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Profile

Li Auto Inc Logo
Li Auto Inc

Country

China

Industry

Automobiles

Market Cap

177.1B HKD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Li Auto, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing and currently employs 11,901 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2020-07-30. The firm's primary products are sport utility vehicles (SUVs) under its brand Li ONE. The company also sells peripheral products and provides related services, such as charging stalls, vehicle Internet connection services and extended lifetime warranties. The firm operates its businesses through its subsidiaries and variable interest entities (VIEs) in China.

Contact

BEIJING
Beijing
8th Floor, Block D, Building 8, 4th District of Wangjing East Garden
+861087427209.0
www.lixiang.com

IPO

2020-07-30

Employees

11 901

Officers

Founder, Executive Chairman & CEO
Mr. Xiang Li
President & Executive Director
Mr. Donghui Ma
CFO & Executive Director
Mr. Tie Li
Senior VP & CTO
Mr. Yan Xie
Director of Investor Relations
Janet Chang
Head of Capital Markets
Kobe Wang
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Senior Vice President
Mr. Liangjun Zou
Joint Company Secretary
Ms. Yee Wa Lau
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See Also

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one Li Auto Inc stock?

The intrinsic value of one Li Auto Inc stock under the Base Case scenario is 154.13 HKD.

Is Li Auto Inc stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 88.75 HKD, Li Auto Inc is Undervalued by 42%.

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