Li Auto Inc
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Li Auto Inc stock under the Base Case scenario is 154.13 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 88.75 HKD, Li Auto Inc is Undervalued by 42%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Li Auto Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Li Auto Inc., founded in 2015 and headquartered in Beijing, China, is a pioneering player in the electric vehicle (EV) market, specifically focused on creating smart, long-range electric SUVs. The company's flagship offering, the Li ONE, is a unique hybrid that combines an electric powertrain with a small internal combustion engine, allowing for extended range capabilities that appeal to consumers hesitant about the charging infrastructure. This innovative approach has garnered significant interest and propelled Li Auto into the spotlight amid China’s burgeoning EV sector, where government initiatives to promote green transportation are steadily gaining momentum. By prioritizing user experie...
Li Auto Inc., founded in 2015 and headquartered in Beijing, China, is a pioneering player in the electric vehicle (EV) market, specifically focused on creating smart, long-range electric SUVs. The company's flagship offering, the Li ONE, is a unique hybrid that combines an electric powertrain with a small internal combustion engine, allowing for extended range capabilities that appeal to consumers hesitant about the charging infrastructure. This innovative approach has garnered significant interest and propelled Li Auto into the spotlight amid China’s burgeoning EV sector, where government initiatives to promote green transportation are steadily gaining momentum. By prioritizing user experience and advanced technology — including an intuitive digital cockpit and sophisticated safety features — Li Auto continues to establish a strong brand identity among tech-savvy consumers.
As the competition in the EV landscape intensifies, Li Auto's focus on research and development has positioned it for sustainable growth. The company has shown impressive sales figures and a rapidly expanding customer base, reflecting a strong market demand for its vehicles. Investors are encouraged by Li Auto's strategic partnerships, technological advancements, and commitment to innovation, as these factors not only enhance its product offerings but also build consumer loyalty. Furthermore, with China being the world's largest EV market, Li Auto is poised to benefit significantly from the increasing emphasis on electric mobility and environmental stewardship. For investors looking for exposure in the EV sector, Li Auto represents a compelling opportunity, combining cutting-edge technology with a vision for sustainable transportation.
Li Auto Inc. is a prominent player in the electric vehicle (EV) market in China, known for its innovative approach to extending battery range and incorporating luxury features into its vehicles. The core business segments of Li Auto Inc. can generally be categorized as follows:
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Electric Vehicles (EVs):
- Product Line: Li Auto focuses on producing electric SUVs that feature extended-range electric vehicle (EREV) technology. Their signature model includes the Li ONE, which combines a battery-driven electric motor with a small gasoline engine to generate electricity, helping to extend the range beyond that of typical battery electric vehicles (BEVs).
- Innovation: The company leverages advanced technology, including smart driving functions, autonomous features, and connected vehicle technology to enhance user experience.
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Sales and Distribution:
- Direct Sales Model: Li Auto employs a direct-to-consumer sales model, which negates the need for traditional dealerships. This approach allows for greater control over customer experience and brand messaging.
- Showroom Network: The company operates a network of showrooms in key metropolitan areas, enhancing brand visibility and providing customers with hands-on experience of their vehicles.
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After-Sales Services:
- Li Auto offers comprehensive after-sales services, including vehicle maintenance, software updates, and customer support. This segment is crucial for building long-term customer relationships and enhancing brand loyalty.
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Battery Manufacturing and Technology:
- Li Auto has invested in battery technology, including R&D efforts to improve battery efficiency, life cycle, safety, and cost. They are focused on securing supply chains and partnerships with battery manufacturers to ensure the availability of high-quality batteries for their vehicles.
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Technology Development:
- This encompasses R&D in areas like autonomous driving technology, in-car connectivity, and smart vehicle systems. Continuous innovation in these fields is vital for maintaining competitive advantages in the rapidly evolving EV landscape.
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Strategic Partnerships:
- Li Auto collaborates with other companies, technology providers, and research institutions to enhance its product offerings and technological capabilities.
Each of these segments plays a crucial role in Li Auto's overall strategy, enabling the company to position itself effectively in the competitive electric vehicle market. As they continue to expand their offerings and improve their technologies, these core segments will likely evolve to meet changing consumer demands and technological advancements.
Li Auto Inc., a prominent player in China’s electric vehicle (EV) market, holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals. Here are some key factors contributing to its competitive positioning:
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Extended Range Electric Vehicles (EREVs): Li Auto’s focus on EREV technology, which combines electric propulsion with a small gasoline engine to extend range, addresses widespread concerns regarding EV range anxiety. This hybrid approach allows for longer trips without the need for frequent charging, appealing to consumers who are hesitant about fully electric vehicles.
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Strong Brand Loyalty and Customer Engagement: Li Auto has cultivated a loyal customer base through effective community engagement, customer service, and ownership experiences. Their targeted approach to customer feedback has allowed them to adapt and enhance their offerings continuously.
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Innovative Technology Integration: Li Auto focuses heavily on integrating advanced technologies into its vehicles, such as autonomous driving features and intelligent connected functions. Their continued investment in research and development enables them to stay ahead of the curve in terms of technological advancements.
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Strategic Partnerships: Collaborating with technology companies and battery manufacturers helps Li Auto enhance its technological capabilities and production efficiency. These partnerships may offer access to advanced materials, software, and battery technologies which are crucial for competitiveness in the EV market.
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Cost Efficiency and Production Scalability: Li Auto has implemented advanced manufacturing processes that optimize production efficiency, enabling the company to scale operations effectively while managing costs. Their focus on vertical integration helps maintain control over quality and supply chain logistics.
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Focused Product Design: The company’s emphasis on family-oriented vehicles has set it apart in a market that often targets tech-savvy consumers. Their vehicle designs cater to the practical needs of families, incorporating spacious interiors and safety features that resonate with this demographic.
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Sales and Service Model: Li Auto employs an omnichannel sales strategy that combines online sales with physical experience centers. This model effectively reduces customer acquisition costs and enhances customer experience, setting them apart from traditional sales approaches.
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Government Support and Incentives: As a Chinese automaker, Li Auto may benefit from favorable government policies, subsidies for EV manufacturers, and initiatives promoting the adoption of electric vehicles, which can provide a competitive edge in terms of pricing and investment.
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Rapid Expanding Infrastructure: The company is invested not only in manufacturing its own vehicles but also in supporting the infrastructure needed for its products, including charging stations and service networks, which enhances customer experience and convenience.
In summary, Li Auto's unique combination of EREV technology, strong customer engagement, innovative technological advancements, strategic partnerships, and efficient operations gives it a distinct competitive edge in an increasingly crowded market. As the EV landscape continues to evolve, these factors may help Li Auto maintain its position and potentially expand its market share.
Li Auto Inc., like other players in the electric vehicle (EV) market, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its performance in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Regulatory Risks: The EV market is subject to a variety of regulations, including subsidies, emissions standards, and safety requirements. Changes in government policies or incentives can significantly affect market demand and operational costs.
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Intense Competition: The EV sector is rapidly growing, attracting both established automakers and new entrants. Li Auto faces competition from major players like Tesla, NIO, and Xpeng, as well as traditional automakers transitioning to electric vehicles. This competition could pressure margins and market share.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The global semiconductor shortage and other supply chain challenges have affected many industries, including automotive manufacturing. Li Auto may face difficulties in sourcing key components, leading to production delays and increased costs.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid technological changes in battery technology, autonomous driving, and software integration require continual investment in research and development. Failure to keep pace with innovations could hamper Li Auto's competitiveness.
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Consumer Acceptance and Market Demand: Consumer preferences can shift, and factors such as economic conditions, charging infrastructure, and range anxiety may influence the adoption of EVs. Li Auto must effectively market its vehicles to ensure strong demand.
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Financial Performance and Capital Needs: As a growth-oriented company, Li Auto relies on external financing to fund its expansion plans. Increased borrowing costs and market volatility could impact its ability to raise capital.
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Geopolitical Risks: Trade tensions, particularly between China and the U.S., can affect supply chains, manufacturing costs, and market access. Geopolitical instability can also impact investor confidence.
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Infrastructure Limitations: The availability of charging infrastructure is crucial for the adoption of EVs. Li Auto's growth may be hindered in regions where charging stations are sparse or underdeveloped.
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Market Fluctuations: Stock prices in the EV sector can be highly volatile, influencing Li Auto's market capitalization and its ability to fund operations through equity financing.
By addressing these challenges through strategic planning, innovation, and operational efficiency, Li Auto can work towards maintaining its competitive edge in the evolving EV market.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Li Auto Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Li Auto Inc
Current Assets | 119.7B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 106.5B |
Receivables | 220.4m |
Other Current Assets | 13B |
Non-Current Assets | 35.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 1B |
PP&E | 28.6B |
Intangibles | 916m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 4.5B |
Current Liabilities | 68B |
Accounts Payable | 64B |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.2B |
Other Current Liabilities | 2.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 20.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 8.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 11.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
Li Auto Inc
Revenue
|
141.9B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-111.4B
CNY
|
Gross Profit
|
30.5B
CNY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-24.1B
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
6.4B
CNY
|
Other Expenses
|
3.8B
CNY
|
Net Income
|
10.2B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Li Auto Inc
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
In Q3, Li Auto achieved a record RMB 42.9 billion in revenue, up 23.6% year-over-year, bolstered by 152,000 vehicle deliveries—a 45.4% increase. Gross margin slipped slightly to 21.5%, while operating cash flow reached RMB 11 billion. The company expects Q4 vehicle deliveries between 160,000 and 170,000, with revenues projected between RMB 43.2 billion and 45.9 billion, translating to a year-over-year increase of 3.5% to 10%. The company also celebrated hitting 1 million cumulative vehicle deliveries and maintaining a robust cash position of RMB 106.5 billion. Li Auto’s strong market position continues to grow despite increasing competition in the EV sector.
What is Earnings Call?
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Li Auto Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Li Auto Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Li Auto Inc's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Li Auto Inc's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Li Auto Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Li Auto Inc is 127.05 HKD with a low forecast of 98.48 HKD and a high forecast of 169.14 HKD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Li Auto Inc is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Description
Li Auto, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing and currently employs 11,901 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2020-07-30. The firm's primary products are sport utility vehicles (SUVs) under its brand Li ONE. The company also sells peripheral products and provides related services, such as charging stalls, vehicle Internet connection services and extended lifetime warranties. The firm operates its businesses through its subsidiaries and variable interest entities (VIEs) in China.
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The intrinsic value of one Li Auto Inc stock under the Base Case scenario is 154.13 HKD.
Compared to the current market price of 88.75 HKD, Li Auto Inc is Undervalued by 42%.