Swire Properties Ltd
HKEX:1972
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Swire Properties Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 22.34 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 15.94 HKD, Swire Properties Ltd is Undervalued by 29%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Swire Properties Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Swire Properties Ltd
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Swire Properties Ltd., a premier property developer in Hong Kong and mainland China, has carved out a significant niche in the real estate industry since its inception in 1972. As a subsidiary of the Swire Group, the company has a distinguished history marked by its commitment to delivering high-quality residential, commercial, and retail spaces. With a portfolio that includes iconic developments like Taikoo Place and Pacific Place, Swire Properties has not only shaped the urban landscape but has also demonstrated resilience and strategic foresight in navigating market fluctuations. The company's focus on sustainable development and innovative design enhances its competitive edge, appealing...
Swire Properties Ltd., a premier property developer in Hong Kong and mainland China, has carved out a significant niche in the real estate industry since its inception in 1972. As a subsidiary of the Swire Group, the company has a distinguished history marked by its commitment to delivering high-quality residential, commercial, and retail spaces. With a portfolio that includes iconic developments like Taikoo Place and Pacific Place, Swire Properties has not only shaped the urban landscape but has also demonstrated resilience and strategic foresight in navigating market fluctuations. The company's focus on sustainable development and innovative design enhances its competitive edge, appealing to a growing demographic of environmentally-conscious consumers.
Investing in Swire Properties offers a blend of growth potential and stability, buoyed by the company's solid financial standing and attractive yield profile. With a diverse offering that spans premium office spaces, luxury residential developments, and vibrant retail environments, the firm is well-positioned to capitalize on rising demand in China's urban centers and the continual evolution of Hong Kong's real estate market. Furthermore, Swire Properties prioritizes long-term value creation through prudent asset management and a disciplined approach to development, making it a compelling choice for investors seeking a reliable and forward-thinking player in the property sector.
Swire Properties Ltd. is a prominent property development and investment company based in Hong Kong. It is a subsidiary of the Swire Group, which has diverse interests across various sectors. The core business segments of Swire Properties can be summarized as follows:
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Property Development: This segment entails the development of residential, commercial, and mixed-use properties. Swire Properties is known for its high-quality developments, including luxury residential projects and premium office spaces. Their portfolio includes notable projects like Taikoo Place and Cityplaza.
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Property Investment: Swire Properties is heavily involved in owning and managing a broad range of properties. This segment generates stable, recurring rental income from their investment properties, which include offices, retail spaces, and hotels. The focus is often on prime locations in Hong Kong and mainland China.
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Hotel Operations: The company operates several high-end hotels under well-known international brands. This segment contributes to their overall revenue and helps in enhancing the value of their property investments by attracting visitors to their commercial developments.
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Sustainability and Urban Development: Swire Properties is committed to sustainable development practices within its projects. This encompasses a focus on environmentally friendly construction methods and energy-efficient building operations, which not only comply with regulations but also enhance the company's reputation and attractiveness.
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Infrastructure Development: While not the mainstay, Swire may also engage in infrastructure-related projects, particularly those that complement their property developments or enhance accessibility to their sites.
These core segments collectively enable Swire Properties to maintain a diversified portfolio, mitigate risks, and capitalize on growth opportunities in the real estate market. The company's strategy reflects a long-term investment philosophy, akin to that advocated by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, focusing on quality, durability, and stakeholder value.
Swire Properties Ltd, a leading property developer based in Hong Kong, possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the real estate industry. Here are the key advantages:
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Strong Brand Reputation: Swire Properties has built a prestigious brand over decades of consistent quality and innovation in its developments. Its projects are often associated with luxury, sustainability, and architectural excellence, attracting high-end clients and tenants.
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Prime Location Portfolio: The company holds a well-curated portfolio of prime properties located in strategic urban areas, particularly in Hong Kong. This includes high-profile commercial developments and residential projects in desirable neighborhoods that allow them to command premium prices.
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Integrated Development Approach: Swire adopts an integrated development model, combining residential, commercial, and retail spaces within its projects. This not only maximizes space utilization but also creates vibrant communities that enhance property value and attract diverse tenants.
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Sustainability Commitment: The firm places a strong emphasis on sustainability and environmental stewardship, which resonates with the increasing consumer demand for green buildings. This helps Swire to differentiate itself in a competitive market, attract environmentally-conscious clients, and adhere to growing regulatory requirements regarding sustainability.
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Strong Financial Backing: As a subsidiary of the Swire Group, Swire Properties benefits from substantial financial resources, enabling it to engage in large-scale projects and sustain operations during economic downturns better than many competitors.
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Long-Term Vision and Planning: The company has a long-term investment perspective, allowing it to manage its developments and maintain property value through various market cycles effectively. This stability leads to investor confidence and loyalty.
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Expertise in Mixed-Use Development: Swire Properties is well-known for its mixed-use developments that combine commercial, retail, and residential spaces. This expertise allows them to create dynamic environments that meet diverse consumer needs and drive foot traffic.
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Strategic Partnerships: The company often engages in strategic partnerships for certain projects, enabling them to access additional expertise, resources, and markets that can enhance project value and reduce risks.
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Resilience in Economic Downturns: Swire Properties has a strong track record of navigating economic fluctuations effectively. Its diverse portfolio and strategic asset management help mitigate risks associated with market volatility.
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High Quality of Service and Management: The firm is recognized for its excellent property management and tenant services, which fosters strong tenant relationships and a loyal customer base.
These competitive advantages position Swire Properties Ltd as a formidable player in the real estate sector and provide the company with the ability to sustain its growth and profitability over the long term.
Swire Properties Ltd, a leading property development and investment company, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Market Volatility: The real estate market is subject to fluctuations based on economic conditions, interest rates, and consumer demand. Any downturn could affect property values and rental income.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in government policies, zoning laws, or property regulations can impact development projects and operational costs. Increased scrutiny on environment and sustainability practices could also pose challenges.
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Economic Environment: Global economic uncertainties, such as inflation, recession risks, and geopolitical tensions, can affect market sentiments and investment conditions.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain issues, exacerbated by the pandemic or geopolitical tensions, can lead to delays in construction projects, increased costs, and potential reputational damage.
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Debt Levels and Financing Costs: Rising interest rates may increase borrowing costs, which could impact Swire's profitability and financial flexibility, especially if significant refinancing is required.
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Competition: The property market in Hong Kong and mainland China is highly competitive. New entrants and aggressive pricing strategies from competitors can erode market share and margin levels.
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Remote Work Trends: The shift toward remote work may reduce demand for office spaces, necessitating a reevaluation of their property portfolio and strategic plans.
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Sustainability Concerns: With increasing emphasis on sustainability, there is pressure to invest in green buildings and technologies, which may involve significant upfront costs.
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Pandemic Aftereffects: The lingering effects of COVID-19 on consumer behavior and preferences could impact retail and commercial property demand.
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Foreign Investment Flow: Changes in foreign investment policies or restrictions could impact demand from international buyers, particularly in luxury residential markets.
By closely monitoring these risks and developing strategic responses, Swire Properties Ltd can better navigate the challenges ahead.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Swire Properties Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Swire Properties Ltd
Current Assets | 18.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 5.5B |
Receivables | 3.6B |
Other Current Assets | 9.8B |
Non-Current Assets | 335B |
Long-Term Investments | 311.2B |
PP&E | 6.1B |
Intangibles | 1.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 16.1B |
Current Liabilities | 20.1B |
Accounts Payable | 11.1B |
Other Current Liabilities | 9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 52.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 34.9B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 17.8B |
Earnings Waterfall
Swire Properties Ltd
Revenue
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14.7B
HKD
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Cost of Revenue
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-4.3B
HKD
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Gross Profit
|
10.3B
HKD
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Operating Expenses
|
-2.2B
HKD
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Operating Income
|
8.1B
HKD
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Other Expenses
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-5.9B
HKD
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Net Income
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2.2B
HKD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Swire Properties Ltd
HKD | |
Free Cash Flow | HKD |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Swire Properties Ltd's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Swire Properties Ltd's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Swire Properties Ltd's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Swire Properties Ltd's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Swire Properties Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Swire Properties Ltd is 19.14 HKD with a low forecast of 15.66 HKD and a high forecast of 22.95 HKD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Swire Properties Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Swire Properties Ltd. is an investment holding company, which engages in the investment and development of real estate properties. The company employs 5,000 full-time employees The company went IPO on 2012-01-18. The firm operates its business through three segments. The Property Investment segment is engaged in the development, leasing and management of commercial, retail and some residential properties. The Property Trading and Development segment is engaged in the development and construction of properties. The Hotels segment is engaged in the operation of hotels. The Company’s subsidiaries include Cathay Limited, Cityplaza Holdings Limited and One Queen’s Road East Limited. Through its subsidiaries, the Company is also engaged in project management.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one Swire Properties Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 22.34 HKD.
Compared to the current market price of 15.94 HKD, Swire Properties Ltd is Undervalued by 29%.