Swatch Group AG
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one UHR stock under the Base Case scenario is 340.76 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 250.6 EUR, Swatch Group AG is Undervalued by 26%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Swatch Group AG
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Swatch Group AG
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Swatch Group AG, a Swiss multinational company founded in 1983, represents the seamless fusion of Swiss watchmaking tradition and innovative design. With a diverse portfolio encompassing renowned brands such as Swatch, Omega, Longines, and Breguet, the company has established itself as a prominent player in the global watch industry. Swatch Group’s commitment to sustainability and craftsmanship attracts a wide array of customers, from those seeking luxury timepieces to budget-conscious buyers looking for fashionable watches. Boasting a strong distribution network and a solid market presence, Swatch continues to tap into emerging markets while maintaining its heritage of quality and precision...
Swatch Group AG, a Swiss multinational company founded in 1983, represents the seamless fusion of Swiss watchmaking tradition and innovative design. With a diverse portfolio encompassing renowned brands such as Swatch, Omega, Longines, and Breguet, the company has established itself as a prominent player in the global watch industry. Swatch Group’s commitment to sustainability and craftsmanship attracts a wide array of customers, from those seeking luxury timepieces to budget-conscious buyers looking for fashionable watches. Boasting a strong distribution network and a solid market presence, Swatch continues to tap into emerging markets while maintaining its heritage of quality and precision—a critical factor that resonates with both seasoned collectors and first-time buyers alike.
For investors, Swatch Group AG offers a compelling opportunity in an industry that marries luxury with accessibility. The company's strategic focus on innovation, such as incorporating smart technology into classic designs, positions it well for future growth, catering to evolving consumer preferences. Financially, Swatch has shown resilience through various economic cycles, leveraging its strong brand equity and operational efficiency to maintain robust revenue streams and healthy profit margins. With a commitment to shareholder value through dividends and buybacks, coupled with a forward-looking approach to expansion, Swatch Group AG stands as an attractive investment for those looking to capitalize on the ongoing resurgence of the luxury goods market. In an era where brands must continually adapt, Swatch’s blend of tradition and modernity gives it a unique edge that is poised to thrive in today’s competitive landscape.
Swatch Group AG, a leading Swiss watch manufacturer, operates through several core business segments that align with its diverse portfolio of watch brands. Here are the primary segments:
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Luxury Watches: This segment includes well-known luxury brands such as Breguet, Blancpain, and Omega. These brands focus on high-end, precision timepieces with intricate designs and advanced watchmaking techniques. The luxury segment is characterized by high profit margins and a global clientele.
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Swatch Brand: The Swatch brand itself is focused on vibrant, playful designs and affordability, appealing to a younger audience. This line encompasses various styles, often featuring limited editions and collaborations with artists, contributing to the brand's cultural and artistic positioning.
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Middle Range Watches: This segment includes brands like Tissot and Longines, which offer quality watches at more accessible price points compared to luxury brands. These watches are known for their craftsmanship and serve a broad consumer market seeking style and reliability without the premium price tag.
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Industrial and Components: Swatch Group also has a robust presence in watch manufacturing components, including movements and technology. This segment supplies parts to both internal brands and external watchmakers, capitalizing on its expertise in horology.
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Retail and Distribution: Swatch Group manages a network of retail outlets and e-commerce platforms for its brands, ensuring direct engagement with customers and maintaining brand exclusivity. This segment also includes partnerships with third-party retailers.
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Other Brands and Diversifications: The company also owns various niche and fashion brands that appeal to different customer segments, including Hamilton and Mido. Additionally, Swatch Group has interests in emerging technologies and collaborations with designers, further broadening its market reach.
Overall, Swatch Group AG's core business segments allow it to maintain a balanced portfolio, catering to various market segments while leveraging its strengths in manufacturing and branding.
Swatch Group AG possesses several unique competitive advantages that help it stand out in the highly competitive watch and luxury goods market:
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Diverse Brand Portfolio: Swatch Group operates a wide range of watch brands, from high-end luxury brands like Breguet and Omega to more affordable options like Swatch. This extensive portfolio allows the company to cater to diverse market segments, appealing to both luxury buyers and budget-conscious consumers.
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Vertical Integration: The Swatch Group controls a significant portion of its supply chain, including manufacturing and distribution. This vertical integration helps reduce costs, ensures quality control, and enables faster innovation.
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Innovation and R&D: The company invests heavily in research and development. Its innovative technologies, such as the SwatchPAY! and the use of bio-sourced materials in watch production, set it apart from competitors and attract tech-savvy consumers.
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Strong Brand Equity: Swatch and the luxury brands under its umbrella have strong brand recognition and loyalty. The Swatch brand, in particular, has a playful and creative image that resonates with younger consumers and fosters brand loyalty.
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Global Distribution Network: Swatch has established a robust and extensive distribution network that enables it to reach a wide market. This network includes direct retail channels and partnerships with distributors worldwide, helping to maintain a strong market presence.
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Adaptability to Trends: The company has shown the ability to adapt and respond to changing consumer preferences and trends. For example, its strategic moves into smartwatch technology demonstrate its agility in the face of industry evolution.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Swatch Group has been proactive in sustainability efforts, using eco-friendly materials and practices. As consumer preferences continue to shift towards sustainable products, this advantage positions the group favorably among environmentally conscious consumers.
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Cultural Marketing: The brand often collaborates with artists and designers, creating unique limited-edition watches that appeal to collectors and fashion-conscious buyers, enhancing its cultural relevance and desirability.
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Economies of Scale: As one of the largest watch manufacturers in the world, Swatch Group benefits from economies of scale, which help reduce costs and enhance profitability across its operations.
These competitive advantages collectively empower Swatch Group AG to maintain a leading position in the global watch market while effectively competing with both luxury and mass-market brands.
Swatch Group AG, a leading Swiss manufacturer of watches and jewelry, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Market Competition: The watch industry is highly competitive, with numerous brands vying for market share. Swatch Group faces competition from both luxury brands (e.g., Rolex, Cartier) and mid-range brands (e.g., Seiko, Citizen) as well as emerging smartwatches from tech companies like Apple and Samsung.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: A shift in consumer behavior towards smartwatches and wearable technology could impact the demand for traditional watches. The younger generation may prioritize functionality and integration with technology over luxury attributes.
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Economic Variability: Global economic conditions play a significant role in luxury goods sales. Economic downturns or recessions can lead to reduced consumer spending on non-essential items like watches. Inflationary pressures may also impact consumers' disposable incomes.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted vulnerabilities in global supply chains. Future disruptions — whether from geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or pandemics — could impact production timelines and costs.
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Raw Material Costs: Fluctuations in the price of raw materials, such as precious metals and stones, can affect manufacturing costs. Given the luxury nature of many Swatch Group products, increased costs may not be easily passed on to consumers.
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Counterfeiting and Brand Integrity: The luxury watch market is susceptible to counterfeiting. Combatting fakes requires ongoing investment in brand protection and enforcement efforts to maintain brand integrity.
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Shifts to Online Sales: The rise of e-commerce presents both opportunities and threats. While the online marketplace can broaden reach, Swatch Group must enhance its online presence and capabilities to compete effectively against online-only brands.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulations, whether related to trade, environmental standards, or consumer protection, may require adjustments in operations and could impact profitability.
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Sustainability and Ethical Practices: As consumers increasingly favor sustainable and ethically sourced products, Swatch will need to ensure its supply chain aligns with these values, requiring investments in sustainability practices.
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Geopolitical Risks: Given its global footprint, Swatch Group is exposed to geopolitical risks, such as trade disputes and tariffs, which could affect international sales and operations.
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Technological Disruption: The continuous evolution of technology in the watch industry (e.g., advancements in smartwatches) requires Swatch Group to stay ahead of trends and innovate continually.
Addressing these challenges will be crucial for Swatch Group to maintain its position in the market and drive future growth. The company will need to balance traditional craftsmanship with modern demands to remain competitive.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Swatch Group AG
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Swatch Group AG
Current Assets | 10.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 2.1B |
Receivables | 672m |
Other Current Assets | 7.8B |
Non-Current Assets | 3.7B |
Long-Term Investments | 13m |
PP&E | 3B |
Intangibles | 153m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 532m |
Current Liabilities | 1.2B |
Accounts Payable | 317m |
Accrued Liabilities | 567m |
Other Current Liabilities | 336m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 812m |
Long-Term Debt | 2m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 810m |
Earnings Waterfall
Swatch Group AG
Revenue
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7.9B
CHF
|
Cost of Revenue
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-1.2B
CHF
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Gross Profit
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6.7B
CHF
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Operating Expenses
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-5.5B
CHF
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Operating Income
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1.2B
CHF
|
Other Expenses
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-322m
CHF
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Net Income
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869m
CHF
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Swatch Group AG
CHF | |
Free Cash Flow | CHF |
UHR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Swatch Group AG's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Swatch Group AG's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
UHR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Swatch Group AG's solvency score is 87/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Swatch Group AG's solvency score is 87/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
UHR Price Targets Summary
Swatch Group AG
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for UHR is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
The Swatch Group AG engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of finished watches, jewelry, watch movements, and components. The company is headquartered in Biel, Bern and currently employs 31,444 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2001-08-10. The Company’s activities are divided into two core business segments: Watches and Jewelry, as well as Electronic Systems. The Watches and Jewelry segment includes the production and sale of branded watches, jewelry and quartz movements, notably the brands Breguet, Harry Winston, Blancpain, Glashuette Original, Jaquet Droz, Leon Hatot, Omega, Longines, Rado, Union Glashuette, Tissot, Balmain, Certina, Hamilton, Calvin Klein watches and jewelry, Swatch and Flik Flak. The Electronic Systems segment includes the production and marketing of electronic components, notably batteries and sports timing equipment. The firm also supplies products from these segments to third-party watchmakers. Swatch Group SA is represented worldwide through its subsidiaries and distributors, notably Tourbillion and Hour Passion, and operates Swiss production plants in Boncourt, Grenchen and Villeret.
Officers
The intrinsic value of one UHR stock under the Base Case scenario is 340.76 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 250.6 EUR, Swatch Group AG is Undervalued by 26%.