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Life Storage Inc
F:SOV

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Life Storage Inc
F:SOV
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Price: 119 EUR -4.03% Market Closed
Market Cap: 10.1B EUR
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2017-Q4

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Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Life Storage Fourth Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to your host Ms. Diane Piegza, Vice President, Investor Relations for Life Storage. Thank you. You may begin.

D
Diane Piegza
VP, IR

Thank you, and welcome to our fourth quarter and full year 2017 conference call. Leading today's discussion will be Dave Rogers, Chief Executive Officer; along with Andy Gregoire, our Chief Financial Officer.

As a reminder, the following discussion and answers to your questions contain forward-looking statements. Our actual results may differ from those projected due to risks and uncertainties with the Company's business.

Additional information regarding these factors can be found in the Company's latest SEC filings. A copy of our Press Release and Quarterly Supplement maybe found on the Investor Relations Tab at lifestorage.com.

During today's question-and-answer session, we ask that all of our participants limit themselves to two questions to allow time for everyone who wishes to participate. If you need to ask a follow-up question, please re-queue.

At this time, I'll turn the call over to Dave.

D
David Rogers
CEO

Thank you, Diane, and welcome to our call. Last night, we reported adjusted FFO of $1.34 a share for the fourth quarter against the pretty tough year-over-year comparison. During the quarter, we acquired a state-of-the-art CMO property in Downtown, Charlotte sold a non-core store at Salt Lake and another in Austin, continued the ramp up of our third-party management platform, and refinanced $450 million of short-term debt beyond a 10-year note with a sub 4% interest rate.

We ended the quarter with 91% occupancy in our same-store pool and had over 90% for the total pool, both record year-end levels for LSI. This puts us in good position starting 2018 after a year in which we fully completed the integration of 120 stores we acquired in 2016 and fully completed the transition to the Life Storage brand.

In the self-storage sector, consumer demand remains strong and we see healthy demand across our markets giving us increased confidence in our prospects for growth in 2018. As we said, demand for storage space typically outpaces population growth by a bit, and we continue to see that with increased household formation. We’ve also been pretty successful in augmenting our residential customer base with more penetration into the business sector stimulating demand via our B2B programs.

New supply has been the headwind to our sector in the past few quarters and will continue to be so probably into 2019. While it's created pressure on rate growth, we believe the impact remains manageable as evidenced by our ability to maintain strong occupancies.

Supply levels vary greatly across markets, and as noted on previous calls, we face our biggest challenges in the big four Texas markets; Houston, Dallas, Austin, and San Antonio. In total, the properties in these markets comprised 23% of our same-store pool. To give some context for our exposure, we have 116 wholly owned properties in Texas, and in the past 24 months, 77 stores have opened in these areas. We foresee up to 39 more in the next 18 months.

So these are expected to have a somewhat adverse effect on as many as 93 of our Texas properties going into 2019. But as we’ve consistently said, these are rapidly growing vibrant market that are ideal for self storage. It’s a cyclical drag that’s causing us some pain now but mid to long-term we love these big Texas cities and expect to benefit from our strong presence there.

Other markets which have some oversupply concerns include Chicago, Denver, parts of Phoenix, and Miami. The impact of Life Storage resulting from new builds in these cities is not as strong as it is in Texas but there will be pricing pressure due primarily to the short-term disruption caused by moving incentives.

We’re bullish on most of Florida, St. Louis, and much of the Northeast. While we've seen some new supply in these markets, it's not always near us, and for the most part, the construction has been warranted. The markets we've moved into last year, Los Angeles, Las Vegas, and Northern California are likewise performing well.

With the exception of property taxes and Internet spend, operating expenses remain pretty well controlled, and we expect that to continue for the coming quarters. But from all we can predict, property tax increases are going to remain a significant factor resulting in NOI growth.

Looking at the transaction market, we’ve seen little movement in bid/ask prices over the past few quarters. Few data points exist, although a few midsize reduced quality portfolios are on the market. There is continued strong interest from the private sector for storage properties of all denominations.

We're aware the challenges to our sector with some markets needing time to absorb the recently built facilities and others just about to see the start of some new construction. The demand is there and the tools are in a kit for Life Storage to perform well even in this competitive part of the cycle.

These include proven marketing, revenue management, and customer service platforms. A well developed B2B division, opportunities across our portfolio to expand and enhance our properties, a rock-solid balance sheet, and strong operating cash flow.

We entered 2018 confident that our larger scale, improve financial strength, stronger brand, and greater presence will enable us to grow the value of our company.

And Andy with that I’ll turn it to you.

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

Thanks Dave.

As Dave mentioned last night, we reported quarterly adjusted funds from operations of $1.34 per share compared to adjusted FFO of $1.31 per share for the same period in 2016. These results were above the high end of our forecast driven by better than expected same-store performance, as well as CMO and lease-up store growth that exceeded our estimates.

We have excluded from adjusted FFO, the cost of interest rate swap terminations and other charges associated with our debt refinancing that occurred in conjunction with our issuance of 10 year bond. Also excluded from FFO was the cost related to Paul Powell's retirement, a valued member of our team who retired after 20 years with Life Storage.

Same-store quarterly revenue grew 1.3% as a result of occupancy gains. Same-store occupancy at December 31 was the fourth quarter record high for our company of 91%, a 60 basis point increase over 2016 year-end occupancy.

Fourth quarter same-store expenses outside of property taxes were well controlled by our teams, increasing only 1%. As noted on our previous call, we gained significant online traction with the Life Storage brand early in the fourth quarter, which enabled us to reduce our Internet marketing spend to more normalized levels.

As expected, property taxes increased 8% in the fourth quarter with significant increases in Austin, Texas, Chicago, St. Louis, and certain Florida markets. In addition to the improved performance of our same-store portfolio, we continue to see consistent growth trends at the properties that we purchased at certificate of occupancy are very early in the lease-up stage.

Even though we are in the traditionally slower season, average occupancy for these lease-up stores increased by 260 basis points on a sequential quarter basis from 74.8% at September 30 to 77.4% at December 31.

The Life Storage acquisition stores continue to grow occupancy with average quarterly occupancy at the 70 stable stores growing to 90.6% from the prior year's 86.3%. The 11 non-stabilized Life Storage stores experienced occupancy gains ahead of expectation and had average occupancy of 86.7% for the fourth quarter of 2017 leaving additional room for growth in both pools.

The overall fourth quarter revenue increase also reflected a 49% increase in management fee income to $2.4 million as the strength of the Life Storage brand is resonating with independent owners. Fourth quarter G&A costs were flat year-over-year even with the added $941,000 of officer retirement cost record.

We further strengthened our balance sheet during the quarter by opportunistically refinancing 225 million of short-term bank debt and a portion of our line of credit. The new tenure $450 million public bond carries some very attractive 3.875% rate. This transaction also significantly extended our debt maturity schedule. Our weighted average debt maturity is now 7.8 years.

At the end of the quarter we had $9 million of cash on hand and $395 million available on our line of credit. We have no debt maturities until December 2019. Our debt service coverage ratio was a healthy 4.9 times and our net debt to recurring EBITDA ratio was 5.6 times. We acquired one newly constructed store during the quarter in Charlotte, North Carolina for $12.5 million. We have no remaining certificate of occupancy stores under contract.

With regards to guidance, although we've achieved positive revenue trends in many of top markets, we continue to see softness in other markets due to new supply. From an expense side, we see pressure on payroll and benefit costs, property taxes and insurance. Nonetheless, we expect a decrease in Internet marketing spend to keep overall expense growth in check. We have forecasted revenue growth for Q1 to be in the 1.25% to 2.25% and for the year revenue growth is expected at 1% to 2%. Expenses outside of property taxes are expected to increase between 1% and 2% for the quarter and the year, while property taxes are forecasted to increase 5.5% to 6.5%.

Once again we are not including in our same-store group any stores acquired at SCO that have not reached stabilized occupancy above 80% at market rates as of January 2017. Our guidance assumes no acquisitions for our own portfolio, nor does it reflect any potential disposition.

As a result of the above assumptions, we are forecasting adjusted funds from operations for the full year 2018 to be between $5.33 and $5.43 per share and between $1.44 and $1.28 per share for the first quarter of 2018.

And with that, operator we can open the call up for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Juan Sanabria with Bank of America/Merrill Lynch. Please proceed with your question.

J
Juan Sanabria
Bank of American/Merrill Lynch

Just with regards to guidance, can you quantify the benefit now including Life Storage in the same store pool? And yes, we'd just start there.

D
David Rogers
CEO

There's about 105 stores entering the same-store pool in 2018. That includes Life and some other acquisitions done earlier in the year including our California exposure and Los Angeles. We expect that to add up 50 basis points to NOI, and we’ll show that as we always have. We’ll show the different pools, so you will see that what we expect about 50 basis points of NOI.

J
Juan Sanabria
Bank of American/Merrill Lynch

Do you have a sense of what that does to the revenue line?

D
David Rogers
CEO

Very similar.

J
Juan Sanabria
Bank of American/Merrill Lynch

And then just with regard to some of the headwinds that you had now should be drivers of growth. Can you give us any color on kind of volume trends with the Google Search, kind of what you're thinking on the marketing spend and latest thoughts on the ramp ups to existing kind of things you've highlighted before that you talked present opportunities for growth in ’18?

U
Unidentified Speaker

The marketing spend, we would expect 4Q is probably a good run rate to use for 2018. Obviously, Google price is going up in the fourth quarter, October was high for us and then it tailed off. So probably a good run rate to use for 2018.

Q1 you won't see the big benefit because we didn't have the heavy spend. Q2 and Q3, you'll see the biggest benefit, probably it could be anywhere between a 10% and 20% reduction in those quarters in that spend.

Regarding in-place, as you know we're working on a few different scenarios, we would expect some different strategies to be tested throughout 2018. Most of those in place increases will occur in April, May, and June.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Jeremy Metz with BMO Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

J
Jeremy Metz
BMO Capital Markets

Good morning, guys. Andy I was hoping you could talk about the revenue trajectory in 2018. I guess I would have thought that with the tougher first half comps you'd start lower and accelerate in the back half, but your 1Q guidance is going for slightly higher growth than your full year expectation, so any color here would be great?

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

Jeremy, the Houston exposure will drive some of Q1. I mean occupancy is still relatively high. It is burning off as we thought it would, but rates are pretty strong in Houston. That's the good trend that we've seen so far that the rates are - comeback to positive territory which they were negative for quite a good portion of 2017.

So rate - street rates are positive. Occupancy is slowly burning off from the victims of that hurricane, so that's really what's driving the front end of that.

D
David Rogers
CEO

And again Jeremy, we're in the spot here where we don't have a lot of data points, the queries don't come in as often in January, February, and March. We're sitting here waiting for the busy season to start which has been a real tell; you know, for four or five years we really roared through and came out of busy season really happy.

And then in May 2016 and again in '17, it was a little slower than we expected and that was - gave us some difficulties with regard to projections of guidance. So we're sitting here as we always do in the month of February giving guidance without knowing how our pricing increases are going to work, what the customer demand is going to be.

We feel pretty good sitting here, but again we're not going to lay it out there and expect a real pop, so we're looking forward to May, we'll have a lot more color after Memorial Day, but this is the part of the year where we have a little bit difficulty with visibility.

J
Jeremy Metz
BMO Capital Markets

It does sound like you guys are indicating that Houston will probably be a drag on revenue again in 2018, even if more modest.

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

I would think it to be in the back half of 2018.

J
Jeremy Metz
BMO Capital Markets

My second question Dave, the stock has come off in the past month, it's still a little above where you bought back stock in 3Q, but not too far off. So should we expect to see the active buying back shares again here? Are you assuming any buybacks in guidance and how are you going to look to balance this opportunity without [ph] adding further to the joint ventures?

D
David Rogers
CEO

We have not included any buybacks in guidance. We always looked Jeremy, we have pretty strong cash flow, we've got places to put it at times, but where you know we didn't - we haven't gone into any joint venture agreement as of February 21, but we may.

So it's a balancing effort, certainly we're not happy with the share price and it becomes more and more compelling when there's a [indiscernible] in front of it. So we will - as we have in the past, as we did in the third quarter, we’ll look at all the options to see what we have.

The one thing we went pretty strong about is, we're not going to leverage up certainly to buy shares back. But we do have a lot of free cash flow and we'll allocate accordingly when we see the best opportunities.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Todd Thomas with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

T
Todd Thomas
KeyBanc Capital Markets

First I was just wondering if you could just talk about your strategy around discounting and promotions in '18 as the peak leasing season approaches?

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

Todd, it's very similar to what we've seen. The competitive pricing that we're seeing out there in the new supply, I think we'll keep that elevated. We're about 2.4% of revenue -- same store revenue as a concession upfront. And I would think that is pretty similar to what you'll see in 2018. We don't expect a big change in concession strategy.

T
Todd Thomas
KeyBanc Capital Markets

Are you seeing pricing power return somewhat, I mean how are you thinking about existing customer and increases in ’18? I think last year you dialed back a little bit on ECRIs, are you planning to kind of maintain a similar level or do you think you'll push a little bit harder in ’18?

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

We’ll test a few strategies that maybe more aggressive, but really I think you have to really want to move out rate. So as we go through and we test some things, we'll see that move out rate. And it's really about maximizing revenue and sometimes pushing more customers is not always the answer. But we would expect that we would test some more of this throughout the year.

D
David Rogers
CEO

Having said that Todd, we feel like we're in a bit of a stronger place with the web presence that we've regained. So we were more tentative last year than usual just because we didn't have that power that we did in June, July and August to push rate. So having regained the web presence, I think we'll have a little more gumption.

T
Todd Thomas
KeyBanc Capital Markets

And Dave you talked about a few portfolios being on the market. Can you just comment on the company's appetite for investments here both maybe wholly-owned or through joint ventures and can you comment on sort of the size and scope of these portfolios, maybe you can kind of book and what we're talking about in terms of size?

D
David Rogers
CEO

Yes. I think the quality of the ones that we've seen the first two months of this year would put us out in any capital structure scenario. They're just - they just aren’t there. They're in the $200 million to $250 million range and they are C Grade, they're not there for us or we would be very hesitant and most unlikely to bring those to our J.V. partners.

So that stuff is on the market right now isn’t very compelling, no matter what. Obviously with our cost of capital right now, we're not going to be big buyers for our own account, but we do plan on working with some of the private capital that's out there to go along the road of the joint venture program.

But right now, we didn't put anything in guidance to speak for the first couple of quarters because there isn't really a lot out there that we would want to have our flag up.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Ki Bin Kim with SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Please proceed with your question.

U
Unidentified Analyst

This is Ian on with Kevin. I know you didn't breakout Houston guidance for 2018. Could you share that with us and what same-store pool looks like at Houston?

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

I would say Houston we expect to start the year relatively strong. Again as it was 0.1% growth in fourth quarter. We expect a little bit better to start the year, but that would tail off as we go through the year.

U
Unidentified Analyst

And what does the same-store pool look like at Houston, is it just slightly higher than your guidance?

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

Yes, but slightly different but not Houston.

U
Unidentified Analyst

And then can you just provide street rates for the fourth quarter and so far in January and February?

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

For the fourth quarter we like the trends they were down 2% on average for the quarter which trended better as the quarter went through. January was down about 0.5% and February is flat. So we like the trend and street rates and that is really a forecast of things to come sometimes. So we like what we see that - at least the trajectory of the street rates which had been as much as 6% negative in the middle of 2017.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of George Hoglund with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

G
George Hoglund
Jefferies

Just one thing in terms of kind of what's changed in the environment over the past couple of months since November on [Nareit]. Anything noticeably better or worse since then?

D
David Rogers
CEO

Aside from the little bit of seasonality we’re in our absolute slow period right now. The Nareit is typically end of February beginning of March as far as activity goes with regard to call volume and move-ins and move-out. So we’d surprised I guess if anything had moved much between November and February.

So I think our perception of things looking into the year is a little better. We got some more grab with the Internet presence so that’s making us feel pretty good. There are few rate increases that we have put have stock. So I think we’re feeling pretty good about the year but again there is not a lot of data points to latch on to and give you anything definitive in these three months period especially.

G
George Hoglund
Jefferies

And then just going back to guidance, I mean you had highlighted kind of reiterated that - it’s a lot of uncertainty this early in the year but your same-store NOI guidance range is 100 bps versus peers have reported so far it’s 150 bps. I’m just wondering given kind of the missteps of guidance in the recent past why not provide a wider range of same-store NOI guidance?

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

I think when you look at what we’re seeing now what we saw in the fourth quarter we’re in line with the trends we see. We can’t control new supply pressure that comes on. The competitive pricing has been pretty strong. So it's tough to be more aggressive on those numbers. I think our Internet presence how that change your when we went through about nine months of 2017 as we improve that Internet presence. We’re comfortable with that now, but it's hard to predict any hard changes on that before we get into the busy season.

D
David Rogers
CEO

I think as far as range goes George, it’s a 25 bps at either end I think we - that’s the way we operate - you guys are pretty much looking at the midpoint anyway. So cushioning to top and bottom is one way to do it, but we feel - we hold our people in the field that the AM level, at RVP level here in the home office pretty tight the budget.

I guess 25 bps on either end might give us something to hang on to but at the end of the day we build off the midpoint and that’s our operating budget inside. So the range doesn’t matter as much to us as maybe you might think it would.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Smedes Rose with Citigroup. Please proceed with your question.

S
Smedes Rose
Citigroup

I wanted to ask you just about the fourth quarter performance of the - actual Life Storage portfolio of stable property the 70 the NOI there went down year-over-year and looks like it was driven by pretty sharp increase in expenses. Is that sort of one-time in nature or is that something that you would expect that level of increase is moving forward?

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

There was some one-time items and - it was property tax driven. The rest of the expenses are well-controlled just like the rest of our portfolio. But on the property tax line we had some significant increases in Colorado and Austin, Texas that hit the fourth quarter about 300 grand of extra expense in that fourth quarter that I would not expect to be continuing that’s not a good run rate.

S
Smedes Rose
Citigroup

So nothing on the sort of operation side its more - it just more tax related?

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

No, operating cost we kept in check. On the revenue side we seen nice increases in occupancy but they are coming at competitive pricing and a lot of special. So I think that’s held back the revenue growth there but where the occupancy is now which is at a good point I think it sets us up nicely for 2018.

S
Smedes Rose
Citigroup

And then just you mentioned supply growth in Texas and just wondering are there other markets where you’re seeing significant supply increases do you expect to come online across the course of this year?

D
David Rogers
CEO

I mean it’s nothing that we haven't seen for the last couple of quarters. We’ve been talking about Chicago we’ve been talking certainly about Miami and Phoenix and Atlanta. Again Chicago in fact it’s maybe a little bit more but the others don’t have anywhere near the impact of the Texas market.

So, it’s in a lot of place and I think it will roll I think we’ll see supply rolling over next couple years, but I actually think as much as we had Houston and Texas high on the list of problems, I think we seen most of deliveries in Houston and Austin anyway.

Dallas we’re going to add some pretty significant deliveries about least affecting us the balance of 2018 and into 2019. But it rolls, then you get into absorption phase as opposed to deliveries. But we’re looking at Houston and Austin now as perhaps by the end of this year we won’t be talking about them so much but then they’ll be others.

So and all the companies have other markets that are impacted much stronger than we are. So it's going to roll, it’s going to be I fear a little bit of secondary and tertiary market development coming and that's okay but yes, those are the market that we’re watching now most of those fleets, Southeast Florida, Chicago, Phoenix and Atlanta.

M
Michael Bilerman
Citigroup

David, it's Michael Bilerman. I guess how much do you fear public storages move into third-party management business I mean how much do you feel that your existing management contracts that you built up could be under attack from them as they come in and go to a low cost model?

D
David Rogers
CEO

Yes, we are sort of a in between model and we had some pretty good success. We share with our partners and our clients a greater part of the insurance revenue. We work with them pretty closely on the spending sharing and so forth.

So we have had sort of a modified model like that and it's worked pretty well. I don’t know the extent, but I think this sort of caught most of us by surprise yesterday. They have been such furious opponents of the strategy that this is a pretty big turnaround for them.

So I think we turn down a lot of business in markets where we don't think we can do a good job if we don’t have scale. We don't our third-party management client to be our first or second store in a market. We’re not going to benefit it much. I think that’s where public is going to go.

So we’re evaluating it certainly because we didn’t have any idea that we were coming in here. We have to see what their marketing is going to be all about, but we had pretty good traction in the last few months.

Even we signed 18 stores for the last six weeks we’ve got 32 more that we expect to be signed in the next few weeks. I don’t know I think as a revenue generator it’s a not big thing for us it’s more our presence and our cost sharing, scale thing for that. So, it’s really early to evaluate I’m going on more than I had probably - I’m qualified to speak on this yet we have to see what they’re going to do. We have to see what their market is going to be about and how they’re going to attack it.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of David Corak with B. Riley/FBR. Please proceed with your question.

D
David Corak
B. Riley/FBR

Appreciate the color on Houston that you’ve given thus far and that it will be a drag again by the second half. But you had kind of said that the benefit of the hurricane would last through third quarter, you said four quarters at least. Are you kind of changing that narrative, you think the benefit is less so than you had initially anticipated or kind of how should we think about that at this point?

D
David Rogers
CEO

I think as far as occupancy goes, we are seeing a little bit more burn off of occupancy. But what it did I think David was allow us an opportunity to get some pricing power back and we put rate increases through with Houston and they are sticking. We’ve got some of that back. That's what we really lost.

As Andy mentioned, we were down to the lowest point the down 9% year-over-year. And we’re even, and I think we're going to see some of the price ourselves. Yes we have a little bit quicker draining that occupancy, although we're still higher than we were, but it has allowed us to use the opportunity to put in rate increases and we've done that.

So I would say we’re at the end of the day we’ll be about where we thought we would be - when we're talking about in November.

D
David Corak
B. Riley/FBR

And then one last one. One of the analyst touch on this already, but I just want to follow up in terms of kind of your same store revenue, the cadence throughout the course of the year, obviously high 1% range in 1Q, but where do you think we end up by the fourth quarter? What would you kind of budgeting at it? Should we assume just kind of a straight line down for the full year? How should we think about that?

D
David Rogers
CEO

You know Dave I think it's a minor tick-down. I don't think it's straight line down. And even what we do see because we've seen increased pricing power in many markets as I said, the overall rate structure was positive in February and hasn't been that way, street rate wise in a while. I think it's a minor tick-down. I don't think you'll see the deceleration that some people may have expected.

So our guidance from what we see now, and again we're early in the year we think it would be very gradual.

D
David Corak
B. Riley/FBR

And then one last one, should we expect to see your rent for occupants square foot stick back up into the green or the black again or will that kind of remain in the red?

D
David Rogers
CEO

I think that is a trailing indicator really. It's really the street rate. So it does take a while as street rates come back up to work through the system and get there and in place increases so, it was negative in a quarter. Q1 could be negative. Tough to say the rest of the year, but I think we're going in the right direction.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Jonathan Hughes with Raymond James. Please proceed with your question.

J
Jonathan Hughes
Raymond James

So you gave specific numbers for the new store openings in your Texas markets. I don’t think I heard it for the overall portfolio, but would you be able to give us those numbers?

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

Jonathan the last two years, we've had 220 stores open within five miles and that's the distance we use as five miles with 220 stores open. We're tracking right now 152 under construction.

J
Jonathan Hughes
Raymond James

152 you said?

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

Yes, and that's our wholly-owned portfolio of our 566 wholly-owned portfolio, 152 under construction in those within five miles of those stores.

J
Jonathan Hughes
Raymond James

And then I think the impact from the changing same store pool was expected to be a positive 75 basis point as of November. Do you know why did this drop 25 basis points, three months later?

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

I think when we see the supply coming out of the ground in Chicago that's probably the biggest impact and that's changed our view a little bit on the Chicago market which was 18 stores of that portfolio. So that was the biggest change with the supply, something we can't control on the supply pressures in Chicago.

J
Jonathan Hughes
Raymond James

And then one more if I may, David touched on this. But you know in place rents were down year over year and I think this was the first time in about five years. I know you said that's a back words indicator, but I'm just curious was there a shift or conscious effort to sacrifice rate for occupancy in the slower leasing months?

D
David Rogers
CEO

No, I think as we went through '17, as the Internet - as we changed the market, the brand on the web we really had to use the concession and reduce rates to maintain that occupancy which we wanted to go into '18 strong and we think we're in a good spot from a occupancy point of view.

J
Jonathan Hughes
Raymond James

Right, and that should rebound kind of halfway through the year and be positive by the fourth quarter?

D
David Rogers
CEO

It's toughest out within a year, but that would be a reasonable assumption.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question is a follow up from the line of Ki Bin Kim with SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Please proceed with your question.

K
Ki Bin Kim
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

Just limited to Life Storage portfolio to stable property under 70, the revenue increase was only 80 basis points year-over-year versus last quarter it was up 20%. I am not sure if this is mix change or something. I mean I know that probably can't change by one, but it's a pretty remarkable change. Can you talk about, please?

D
David Rogers
CEO

Ki Bin as I said the Chicago market is the toughest one in those 18 stores in Chicago. The new supply that is affecting those stores, free rent has been the way we’ve been combating that. It's been increasing occupancy. So the market is a great market, but the free month upfront obviously hurts the revenue line pretty quickly and there's been a lot of free rent in the Chicago market as we - as these new stores leased up.

A
Andy Gregoire
CFO

But I think also, unfortunately the third quarter comparison had 15 fewer days. So it was a 75 day period given. We bought the stores July 15, 2016. So that third quarter had 15 extra days and I guess.

D
David Rogers
CEO

I think we indicated that summer, but yes, it wasn’t 20%. If we were to end the 15 days ownership in '16, it would have been quite a bit less than that.

K
Ki Bin Kim
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

And when you do your AB consistently you're testing out different pricing strategies in advertising and when you're doing your AB testing in China push rents where you can. What's the general feedback you've been getting because your revenue growth is a little bit weaker than peers? I know there's a market mix reason for that. But when you start testing for and try pushing higher rents, what is the things you're learning today?

D
David Rogers
CEO

Really what we learn from is the move-out rate. And we did some testing last year as you said going above street rate and we like the results we saw from that. But '17 as we went through the transition of the rent, it was not the time to be very aggressive with that. As we go to '18, we may have more opportunities or see as we go through.

K
Ki Bin Kim
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey

And this last one for me, in your guidance for '18, are you implicitly thinking about any changes to the existing customer rate increase program, whether that be the level of the rate you pushed through or the frequency?

D
David Rogers
CEO

There hasn't been - although, as I mentioned we feel quite a bit more confident with our ability to push rates in the sense that we have our presence on the web. We have other brands really established.

So we are going to have more opportunities to push and I think given the testing and we do ex the amount per month and we really like to do it when the busy season is there. So we do lose customers, which we will, something they're on the phone or through the web query, ready to take their place in a hurry and hopefully without too much of a discount.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen we have come to the end of our time for questions. I'll turn the floor back to Mr. Rogers for any closing comment.

D
David Rogers
CEO

Well, thank you everyone for joining our call and for your interest in our company and your support. And we look forward to meeting with you throughout the year.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.